• 대한교통학회지
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.179-201
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• 2004

지능형 교통체계(intelligent transport systems)의 구축이 점차 널리 확대됨에 따라 교통류의 실시간 모형화(online traffic flow modeling)의 중요성이 증대되고 있다. 교통량-밀도 관계는 주어진 교통량, 밀도 상황에서 교통류의 행태를 나타낼 뿐만 아니라 거시 교통류 모형의 결과에 많은 영향을 미친다. 현재까지 교통량-밀도관계에 관한 대부분의 연구는 그 관계식을 규명하는데 그치고 있다. 상류부와 하류부의 교통 상태에 따른 교통량-밀도관계의 시간적 변화는 교통류의 모형화에 반드시 고려되어야 할 특성이지만, 현재까지 그에 대한 연구가 폭넓게 이루어지지 않고 있는 실정이다. 본 논문에서는 한 지점에서의 교통량-밀도관계가 시간의 흐름에 따라 분석되었고 states diagram으로 표현되었다. 동적 교통량-밀도관계 (dynamic flow-density relation)는 states diagram으로부터 fuzzy-logic을 이용하여 유추되었고, 거시 교통류모형을 실시간으로 응용할 수 있는 기초를 제공하였다. 동적 교통량-밀도관계를 거시 교통류 모형에 이용함으로써 교통류의 실시간 모형화 과정에서 발생하는 모수추정 (parameter calibration) 문제를 완화하였다.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.130-138
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• 2023

The traffic flow in an urban area is affected by the date, weather, and regional traffic flow. The existing methods are weak to model the dynamic road network features, which results in inadequate long-term prediction performance. To solve the problems regarding insufficient capacity for dynamic modeling of road network structures and insufficient mining of dynamic spatio-temporal features. In this study, we propose a novel traffic flow prediction framework called shared spatio-temporal attention convolution optimization network (SSTACON). The shared spatio-temporal attention convolution layer shares a spatio-temporal attention structure, that is designed to extract dynamic spatio-temporal features from historical traffic conditions. Subsequently, the graph optimization module is used to model the dynamic road network structure. The experimental evaluation conducted on two datasets shows that the proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art methods at all time intervals.

• Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.171-176
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• 2007

To give a guarantee a consistently high level of quality and reliability of Telematics traffic service, traffic flow forecasting is very important issue. In this paper, we proposed an adaptable integrated prediction model to predict the traffic flow in the future. Our model combines two methods, short-term prediction model and long-term prediction model with different combining coefficients to reflect current traffic condition. Short-term model uses the Kalman filtering technique to predict the future traffic conditions. And long-term model processes accumulated speed patterns which means the analysis results for all past speeds of each road by classifying the same day and the same time interval. Combining two models makes it possible to predict future traffic flow with higher accuracy over a longer time range. Many experiments showed our algorithm gives a better precise prediction than only an accumulated speed pattern that is used commonly. The result can be applied to the car navigation to support a dynamic shortest path. In addition, it can give users the travel information to avoid the traffic congestion areas.

• International Journal of Automotive Technology
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.145-154
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• 2006

In the companion paper, the composition and structure of the MATDYMO (Multi-Agent for Traffic Simulation with Vehicle Dynamic Model) were proposed. MATDYMO consists of the road management system, the vehicle motion control system, the driver management system, and the integration control system. Among these systems, the road management system and the integration control system were discussed In the companion paper. In this paper, the vehicle motion control system and the driver management system are discussed. The driver management system constructs the driver agent capable of having different driving styles ranging from slow and careful driving to fast and aggressive driving through the yielding index and passing index. According to these indices, the agents pass or yield their lane for other vehicles; the driver management system constructs the vehicle agents capable of representing the physical vehicle itself. A vehicle agent shows its behavior according to its dynamic characteristics. The vehicle agent contains the nonlinear subcomponents of engine, torque converter, automatic transmission, and wheels. The simulation is conducted for an interrupted flow model and its results are verified by comparison with the results from a commercial software, TRANSYT-7F. The interrupted flow model simulation is implemented for three cases. The first case analyzes the agents' behaviors in the interrupted flow model and it confirms that the agent's behavior could characterize the diversity of human behavior and vehicle well through every rule and communication frameworks. The second case analyzes the traffic signals changed at different intervals and as the acceleration rate changed. The third case analyzes the effects of the traffic signals and traffic volume. The results of these analyses showed that the change of the traffic state was closely related with the vehicle acceleration rate, traffic volume, and the traffic signal interval between intersections. These simulations confirmed that MATDYMO can represent the real traffic condition of the interrupted flow model. At the current stage of development, MATDYMO shows great promise and has significant implications on future traffic state forecasting research.

• International Journal of Automotive Technology
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.25-34
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• 2006

For decades, simulation technique has been well validated in areas such as computer and communication systems. Recently, the technique has been much used in the area of transportation and traffic forecasting. Several methods have been proposed for investigating complex traffic flows. However, the dynamics of vehicles and diversities of driver characteristics have never been considered sufficiently in these methods, although they are considered important factors in traffic flow analysis. In this paper, we propose a traffic simulation tool called Multi-Agent for Traffic Simulation with Vehicle Dynamics Model (MATDYMO). Road transport consultants, traffic engineers and urban traffic control center managers are expected to use MATDYMO to efficiently simulate traffic flow. MATDYMO has four sub systems: the road management system, the vehicle motion control system, the driver management system, and the integration control system. The road management system simulates traffic flow for various traffic environments (e.g., multi-lane roads, nodes, virtual lanes, and signals); the vehicle motion control system constructs the vehicle agent by using various vehicle dynamic models; the driver management system constructs the driver agent capable of having different driving styles; and lastly, the integrated control system regulates the MATDYMO as a whole and observes the agents running in the system. The vehicle motion control system and driver management system are described in the companion paper. An interrupted and uninterrupted flow model were simulated, and the simulation results were verified by comparing them with the results from a commercial software, TRANSYT-7F. The simulation result of the uninterrupted flow model showed that the driver agent displayed human-like behavior ranging from slow and careful driving to fast and aggressive driving. The simulation of the interrupted flow model was implemented as two cases. The first case analyzed traffic flow as the traffic signals changed at different intervals and as the turning traffic volume changed. Second case analyzed the traffic flow as the traffic signals changed at different intervals and as the road length changed. The simulation results of the interrupted flow model showed that the close relationship between traffic state change and traffic signal interval.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.71-84
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• 1999

본 연구의 목적은 기존 동적통행배정모형의 접근 기법과는 달리 교통류이론을 이용하여 동적분석모형을 구축하고, 이 모형에 적합한 동적통행배정기법을 개발하는 것이다. 본 연구에서는 기존 동적교통류 모델 중 동적통행배정에 가장 적합하다고 판단되는 Daganzo의 cell transmission theory를 이용하여 동적분석모형을 구축하였으며, 동적통행배정기법인 분류부분할모델, 비용갱신모듈, 링크비용함수모듈을 새롭게 개발하였다. 또한 Daganzo가 명확하게 제시하지 않은 최대대기시간 결정 알고리듬을 제시하였다. 본 연구에서 구축한 모형을 가상의 네트워크에 적용한 결과 병목구간분석, HOV타로 효과분석등은 교통특성을 현실적으로 반영하고 있다. 통행배정결과는 수학적 기법을 적용한 동적통행배정모형과 같이 완전한 균형(equibriun)상태의 해를 보여주지 못하지만, 노선별 평균통행시간이 시간대별로 비슷하게 유지해나가는 결과를 보이고 있다. 본 모형은 고속도로 합류부 및 분류부의 교통특성분석, HOV 효과분석, TCS 및 램프미터링과 접목하여 고속도로 운영에 이용될 수 있으리라 판단된다.

• 한국자동차공학회논문집
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• 제12권5호
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• pp.136-145
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• 2004

In companion paper, the composition and structure of the traffic environment is derived. Rules to regulate agent behaviors and the frameworks to communicate between the agents are proposed. In this paper, the model of a driver agent which controls a vehicle agent is constructed. The driver agent is capable of having different driving styles. That is, each driver agent has individual behavior settings of the yielding index and the passing index. The yielding index can be defined as how often the agent yields in case of lane changes, and the passing index can be defined as how often the agent passes ahead. According to these indices, the agents overtake or make their lanes for other vehicles. Similarly, the vehicle agents can have various vehicle dynamic models. According to their dynamic characteristics, the vehicle agent shows its own behavior. The vehicle model of the vehicle agent contains the nonlinear subcomponents of engine, torque converter, automatic transmission, and wheels. The simulation has proceeded for an interrupted flow model. The result has shown that it is possible to express the characteristics of each vehicle and its driver in a traffic flow, and that the change of the traffic state is closely related with the distance and the signal delay between intersections. The system developed in this paper shows the effectiveness and the practical usefulness of the traffic simulation.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.1359-1363
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• 2009

The object of this research is to develop a simulation system for earthmoving operations in consideration of the impact of congestion in-between equipment and existing traffic flow around the site. The congestion in-between equipment and traffic flow affect work productivity. The conventional discrete event simulation, however, has limitations in simulating the flow of construction equipment. To consider the impact of congestion in-between equipment and existing traffic flow, in this paper, a multi-agent based simulation model that can realize characteristics of truck behavior more accurately to consider the impact of congestion was proposed. In this simulation model, multiple agents can identify environmental changes and adapt themselves to the new environment. This modeling approach is a better choice for this problem since it describes behavioral characteristics of each agent by sensing changes in dynamic surroundings. This study suggests a detailed system design of the multi-agent based simulation system.

• 한국ITS학회 논문지
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.1-12
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• 2006

관측교통자료의 수집이 실시간으로 가능해짐으로써 혼잡교통류에 대한 교통류 관련 변수들 간의 전이 과정 등 교통류 특성에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 또한 관측교통량을 이용한 O-D 추정방법에 대해서도 관심과 연구가 집중되고 있다. 이와 같이 고속도로의 교통류 특성을 보다 명확히 파악하여 동적 O-D를 구축할 수 있다면, 계획, 설계, 운영, 관리 등 다양한 분야에서 효율화를 도모할 수 있다. 하지만 동적 O-D 구축을 위한 기존연구에서는 다음과 같은 문제점이 지적되고 왔다. 첫째로, 동적 교통류 구현을 위해 교통시뮬레이션모형에 사전 O-D가 필요하며 동적 교통류모듈과 동적O-D추정모듈 간 Bi-level Problem으로 접근해야 한다는 점과 둘째로, 혼잡교통류 상황에 대한 특성이 반영되지 못하여 혼잡교통류 상항에 대한 예측력이 떨어지는 문제점이 지적되어 왔다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 문제점인 Bi-level Problem접근 방법을 해결하기 위해, VDS자료를 이용한 차량의 궤적을 추적하여 링크분포비율을 계산함으로써 반복적 수행이 없도록 하였으며 혼잡교통류 상황을 반영할 수 있도록 교통류 예측모듈을 구성하여 동적 O-D 예측모형을 구축하였다. 혼잡교통류에 대한 특성을 반영하기 위해 속도와해현상 및 혼잡 확산등 실제 혼잡교통류에 대한 분석을 통해 속도, 점유율, 교통량 등 교통류 변수들의 관계를 교통상황별로 구분하여 규명하였다. 본 연구에 적용된 모형은 동적 O-D 예측 및 추정모형에서 기존의 Bi-level Problem을 해소할 수 있어 적용이 용이하여 실제 검지기 자료를 활용하여 교통상황을 예측하게 되므로 혼잡교통류에 대한 예측력이 향상되었다고 판단된다.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.216-238
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• 2023

In intelligent transportation systems, traffic management is an important task. The accurate forecasting of traffic characteristics like flow, congestion, and density is still active research because of the non-linear nature and uncertainty of the spatiotemporal data. Inclement weather, such as rain and snow, and other special events such as holidays, accidents, and road closures have a significant impact on driving and the average speed of vehicles on the road, which lowers traffic capacity and causes congestion in a widespread manner. This work designs a model for multivariate short-term traffic congestion prediction using SLSTM_AE-BiLSTM. The proposed design consists of a Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory(BiLSTM) network to predict traffic flow value and a Convolutional Neural network (CNN) model for detecting the congestion status. This model uses spatial static temporal dynamic data. The stacked Long Short Term Memory Autoencoder (SLSTM AE) is used to encode the weather features into a reduced and more informative feature space. BiLSTM model is used to capture the features from the past and present traffic data simultaneously and also to identify the long-term dependencies. It uses the traffic data and encoded weather data to perform the traffic flow prediction. The CNN model is used to predict the recurring congestion status based on the predicted traffic flow value at a particular urban traffic network. In this work, a publicly available Caltrans PEMS dataset with traffic parameters is used. The proposed model generates the congestion prediction with an accuracy rate of 92.74% which is slightly better when compared with other deep learning models for congestion prediction.