• Title/Summary/Keyword: Displacement estimation

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Determinants of a Firm's Exit from Exporting: Evidence from Korean Manufacturing Firms (우리나라 제조업 기업의 수출중단 결정요인 분석)

  • Nam, Yunmi;Choi, Moon Jung
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.98-136
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    • 2020
  • We empirically investigate the determinants of a firm's exit from exporting, using Korean manufacturing firm-level data for the period from 2006 to 2014. Specifically, we estimate the effects of not only firm-level and industry-level characteristics, but also macroeconomic variables on the probability that a firm stops exporting by applying a Complementary Log-Log Model analysis. The results of our estimation suggest that firm-level heterogeneity, such as workforce size, capital intensity, intangible assets and foreign ownership, industry-level variation, such as the labor displacement rate, and macroeconomic variables, such as domestic demand and world demand, significantly affect the possibility of a firm ceasing exports. Also, we show that market interest rates increase the possibility of an export cessation and that the effects of market interest rates are more pronounced on firms with a higher debt ratio. In the primary exporting industries, the probability of a firm ceasing exports decreases as productivity at the firm rises.

An improved extended Kalman filter for parameters and loads identification without collocated measurements

  • Jia He;Mengchen Qi;Zhuohui Tong;Xugang Hua;Zhengqing Chen
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 2023
  • As well-known, the extended Kalman filter (EKF) is a powerful tool for parameter identification with limited measurements. However, traditional EKF is not applicable when the external excitation is unknown. By using least-squares estimation (LSE) for force identification, an EKF with unknown input (EKF-UI) approach was recently proposed by the authors. In this approach, to ensure the influence matrix be of full column rank, the sensors have to be deployed at all the degrees-of-freedom (DOFs) corresponding to the unknown excitation, saying collocated measurements are required. However, it is not easy to guarantee that the sensors can be installed at all these locations. To circumvent this limitation, based on the idea of first-order-holder discretization (FOHD), an improved EKF with unknown input (IEKF-UI) approach is proposed in this study for the simultaneous identification of structural parameters and unknown excitation. By using projection matrix, an improved observation equation is obtained. Few displacement measurements are fused into the observation equation to avoid the so-called low-frequency drift. To avoid the ill-conditioning problem for force identification without collocated measurements, the idea of FOHD is employed. The recursive solution of the structural states and unknown loads is then analytically derived. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is validated via several numerical examples. Results show that the proposed approach is capable of satisfactorily identifying the parameters of linear and nonlinear structures and the unknown excitation applied to them.

Deformation analysis of shallow tunneling with unconsolidated soil using nonlinear numerical modeling (비선형 수치모델링을 이용한 미고결 지반 저토피 터널의 변형해석)

  • Lee, Jae-Ho;Kim, Young-Su;Yoo, Ji-Hyeung;Jeong, Yun-Young
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.105-116
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    • 2010
  • The estimation of surface settlement, ground behavior and tunnel displacement are the main factors in urban tunnel design with shallow depth and unconsolidated soil. On deformation analysis of shallow tunnel, it is important to identify possible deformation mechanism of shear bands developing from tunnel shoulder to the ground surface. This paper investigated the effects of key design parameter affecting deformation behavior by numerical analysis using nonlinear model incorporating the reduction of shear stiffness and strength parameters with the increment of the maximum shear strain after the initiation of plastic yielding. Numerical parametric studies are carried out to consider the reduction of shear stiffness and strength parameters, horizontal stress ratio, cohesion and shotcrete thickness.

Response of steel pipeline crossing strike-slip fault in clayey soils by nonlinear analysis method

  • Hadi Khanbabazadeh;Ahmet Can Mert
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.409-424
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    • 2023
  • Response of the pipeline crossing fault is considered as the large strain problem. Proper estimation of the pipeline response plays important role in mitigation studies. In this study, an advanced continuum modeling including material non-linearity in large strain deformations, hardening/softening soil behavior and soil-pipeline interaction is applied. Through the application of a fully nonlinear analysis based on an explicit finite difference method, the mechanics of the pipeline behavior and its interaction with soil under large strains is presented in more detail. To make the results useful in oil and gas engineering works, a continuous pipeline of two steel grades buried in two clayey soil types with four different crossing angles of 30°, 45°, 70° and 90° with respect to the pipeline axis have been considered. The results are presented as the fault movement corresponding to different damage limit states. It was seen that the maximum affected pipeline length is about 20 meters for the studied conditions. Also, the affected length around the fault cutting plane is asymmetric with about 35% and 65% at the fault moving and stationary block, respectively. Local buckling is the dominant damage state for greater crossing angle of 90° with the fault displacement varying from 0.4 m to 0.55 m. While the tensile strain limit is the main damage state at the crossing angles of 70° and 45°, the cross-sectional flattening limit becomes the main damage state at the smaller 30° crossing angles. Compared to the stiff clayey soil, the fault movement resulting 3% tensile strain limit reach up to 40% in soft clayey soil. Also, it was seen that the effect of the pipeline internal pressure reaches up to about 40% compared to non-pressurized condition for some cases.

Estimation of Shear Moduli Degradation Characteristics from Pressuremeter Tests (프레셔미터 시험을 이용한 전단탄성계수 감쇠 특성 평가)

  • Kwon, Hyung Min;Chung, Choong Ki
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.3C
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    • pp.105-113
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    • 2009
  • Pressuremeter test estimates deformational properties of soil from the relationship between applied pressure and the displacement of cavity wall, and the results reflect the in-situ stress condition and the structure of soil particles. This study suggests the overall process of test and analysis for the evaluation of nonlinear degradation characteristics of shear moduli, based on the reloading curve of pressuremeter test. The method estimates the maximum shear modulus, taking into account the difference between the stress states around the probe in reloading and that of the in-situ state, and then combines the degradation characteristics of shear moduli taken from reloading curve. This procedure derives the shear moduli in overall strain range. Pressuremeter tests were carried out in various ground conditions using large calibration chamber, together with various reference tests. Shear moduli taken from pressuremeter tests were compared with bender element test and resonant column test results.

Investigation of three-dimensional deformation mechanisms of existing tunnels due to nearby basement excavation in soft clay

  • Wanchun Chen;Lixian Tang;Haijun Zhao;Qian Yin;Shuang Dong;Jie Liu;Zhaohan Zhu;Xiaodong Ni
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 2023
  • By conducting three-dimensional simulation with consideration of small-strain characteristics of soil stiffness, the effects of excavation geometry and tunnel cover to diameter ratio on deformation mechanisms of an existing tunnel located either at a side of basement or directly underneath the basement were systematically studied. Field measurements were used to verify the numerical model and model parameters. For basement excavated at a side of an existing tunnel, the maximum settlement and horizontal displacement of the tunnel are always observed at the tunnel springline closer to basement and tunnel crown, respectively, regardless of basement geometry. By increasing basement length and width by five times, the maximum movements of tunnel located at the side of basement and directly underneath the basement increase by 450% and 186%, respectively. Obviously, tunnel movements are more sensitive to basement length rather than basement width. For basement excavated at a side of an existing tunnel, tunnel movements at basement centerline become stable when basement length reaches 10 He (i.e., final excavation depth). Moreover, tunnel heaves due to overlying basement excavation become stable when the normalized basement length (L/He) is larger than 8.0. As tunnel cover to diameter ratio varies from 2.5 to 3.0, the maximum heave and tensile strain of tunnel due to overlying basement excavation decrease by up to 41.0% and 44.5%, respectively. If basement length is less than 8 He, the assumption of plane strain condition of basement-tunnel interaction grossly overestimates tunnel movements, and ignores tensile strain of tunnel along its longitudinal direction. Thus, three-dimensional numerical analyses are required to obtain a reasonable estimation of tunnel responses due to adjacent and overlying basement excavations in clay.

Whole-life wind-induced deflection of insulating glass units

  • Zhiyuan Wang;Junjin Liu;Jianhui Li;Suwen Chen
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.289-302
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    • 2023
  • Insulating glass units (IGUs) have been widely used in buildings in recent years due to their superior thermal insulation performance. However, because of the panel reciprocating motion and fatigue deterioration of sealants under long-term wind loads, many IGUs have the problem of early failure of watertight properties in real usage. This study aimed to propose a statistical method for wind-induced deflection of IGU panels during the whole life service period, for further precise analysis of the accumulated fatigue damage at the sealed part of the edge bond. By the estimation of the wind occurrence regularity based on wind pressure return period, the events of each wind speed interval during the whole life were obtained for the IGUs at 50m height in Beijing, which are in good agreement with the measured data. Also, the wind-induced deflection analysis method of IGUs based on the formula of airspace coefficient was proposed and verified as an improvement of the original stiffness distribution method with the average relative error compared to the test being about 3% or less. Combining the two methods above, the deformation of the outer and inner panes under wind loads during 30 years was precisely calculated, and the deflection and stress state at selected locations were obtained finally. The results show that the compression displacement at the secondary sealant under the maximum wind pressure is close to 0.3mm (strain 2.5%), and the IGUs are in tens of thousands of times the low amplitude tensile-compression cycle and several times to dozens of times the relatively high amplitude tensile-compression cycle environment. The approach proposed in this paper provides a basis for subsequent studies on the durability of IGUs and the wind-resistant behaviors of curtain wall structures.

The Outcome of Anterior Cruciate Ligament Reconstruction in Patients with Meniscal Injury (반월판 연골 손상이 동반된 환자에서 전방 십자 인대 재건술의 임상적 결과)

  • Lee Kwang Won;Park Jae Guk;Jung Yu Hun;Kim Byung Sung;Kim Ha Yong;Choy Won Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Arthroscopy Society
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.160-168
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    • 2003
  • Purpose : To analyze the anterior stability and functional results after the arthroscopic ACL reconstruction and meniscectomy based on meniscus status at the time of surgery. Materials and Methods : From October 1997 to October 2002, 78 patients (male 64 female 14) were treated by arthroscopic ACL reconstruction and meniscectomy and followed more than 12 months (range, $12\~72$ months, average: 32 months). Average age was 32 years old (range, $18\~57$ years old). We divided the patients into 4 groups; Both menisci was intact (BMI, control group), lateral meniscus removed (LMR), medial meniscus removed (MMR) and both menisci removed (BMR). Anterior passive displacement (objective stability) was estimated using KT-2000 arthrometer under the loading of 15lb,20lb and 30lb and evaluated anterior drawer test, Lachman test, range of motion, thigh circumference. Functional evaluation system of IKDC, OAK and Lysholm knee score was used. Results : Average anterior displacement under the loading of 30lb were 2.47 mm, 2.96 mm, 2.96 mm and 3.57 mm in each group(BMI, LMR, MMR, BMR) and it was statistically significant difference (p<0.05). There is no statistically significant difference in average anterior displacement under the loading of 15lb and 20lb in each group but it has showed decreasing tendency in meniscal removed groups. The mean anterior displacement was within 3 mm in 21 cases, 15 cases, 24 cases and 12 cases (total 72 cases, $94\%$) under the loading of 15lb and 20 cases, 15 cases, 24 cases and 11 cases (total 70 cases, $91\%$) under the loading 20lb of in each group and postoperative knee joint stability has showed increasing tendency (p>0.05). The mean score was 94.5, 93.2, 92.2 and 90.4 points in each group and 71 cases $(91\%)$ were more than excellent or good with a OAK score and fair results were noted 4 cases in both meniscal removed group. There were 65 cases $(83\%)$ with a Lysholm knee score more than excellent or good, and IKDC grading were more than normal or nearly normal in 74 cases $(95\%)$ except 4 cases (2 cases in MMR group and 2 cases in BMR group). Conclusion : Long-term anterior stability and functional results of a successful ACL reconstruction affected by tile status of the menisci at the time of surgery and KT-2000 arthrometer was good for estimation of objective follow up.

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A Study of Strength Reduction Factor Preparation for Circular Concrete Columns confined by Carbon Sheet Tube (카본시트튜브로 구속된 원형 콘크리트 기둥의 강도감소계수 제안에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyoung-Hun
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.106-112
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    • 2016
  • In this study, circular concrete column specimens confined by carbon sheet tube with different winding angles and different number of carbon sheet plies(3T, 5T and 7T) were tested to propose design equations and a strength reduction factor. Specimens were designed by 300 mm diameter and 600 mm height with $90^{\circ}{\pm}0^{\circ}$, $90^{\circ}{\pm}30^{\circ}$, $90^{\circ}{\pm}45^{\circ}$, $90^{\circ}{\pm}60^{\circ}$, $90^{\circ}{\pm}75^{\circ}$ and $90^{\circ}{\pm}90^{\circ}$ carbon fiber angles. A 10,000 kN UTM was used for compressive strength test of specimens by displacement control method with 0.01 mm/sec velocity. Estimation equations of compressive strength and ultimate strain of circular concrete column specimens confined by carbon sheet tube using a regression analysis and a strength reduction factor to apply ultimate strength design method of concrete were proposed. The strength reduction factor(${\phi}$) of circular concrete columns confined by carbon sheet tube was estimated as 0.64 by the Monte Carlo Analysis Method. Manufacture and construction process have to be perfectly managed by construction managers because the structural capacities of carbon tubes were depends on construction abilities of manufacturing operators.

An Estimation of Equivalent Heat Source for Thermal Analysis of Steel Deck Bridge under Pavement Procedure (강바닥판 교량의 포장시 열영향 해석을 위한 등가열원 산정기법)

  • Chung, Heung-Jin;Yoo, Byoung-Chan;Lee, Wan-Hoon
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.653-660
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    • 2007
  • Since the temperature of asphalt for deck plate of steel bridge during paying procedure is relatively high as $240^{\circ}C\;to\;260^{\circ}C$, the temperature of deck plate of bridge rises mere than $100^{\circ}C$ and excessive displacement and stress could occur. In order to avoid undesirable failure of base plate and determine the optimal pavement pattern, a thorough thermal analysis is needed. General structural model which is made of beam and plate element should be modified for transient heat transfer analysis; asphalt pavement material and convection effect on surface of structure need to be added. A new technique with the Equivalent Heat Source (EHS) for numerical thermal analysis for steel bridge under thermal load of Guss asphalt pavement is proposed. Since plate/beam elements which were generally used for structural analysis for bridge cannot explain convection effect easily on plate/beam surface, EHS which is determined based on calculated temperature with convection effect is used. To verify the EHS proposed in this study, numerical analyses with plate elements are performed and the results are compared with estimated temperatures. EHS might be used for other thermal analyses of steel bridge such as welding residual stress analysis and bridge fire analysis.