• Title/Summary/Keyword: Disaster statistics

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The Analysis of the Priority and Progress Direction of Electrical Safety Technology using Analytic Hierarchy Process (계층분석과정(AHP)을 이용한 전기안전기술 우선순위 및 추진방향 분석연구)

  • Kim, Han-Sang;Yi, Geon-Ho;Kim, Dong-Woo;Jeon, Jeong-Chay;Lee, Ki-Yeon;Kim, Young-Seog;Jung, Jin-Soo
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.62 no.12
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    • pp.1784-1791
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    • 2013
  • Electrical safety technique is a disaster prevention technology to protect the life and property of the people and it has high correlation with all electricity industry. According to the latest statistics, loss of human life and property damage due to electrical fire have increased from 2011. Therefore, technological development for guarantee safety of electrical facilities for customer will become more important. In this paper, we drew priority and weigh for the electrical safety technology using analytic hierarchy process and present progress direction of each technology through Risk-Return assessment. We expect development of the research and development policies of government about electrical safety technology in a higher state and think that policymakers and experts will be more interested in these fields based on this paper.

The 17th Century Dry Period in the Time Series of the Monthly Rain and Snow Days of Seoul (서울의 강우와 강설 일수 자료에 나타난 17세기 말엽의 건조기)

  • Lim, Gyu-Ho;Choi, Eun-Ho;Koo, Kyosang;Won, Myoungsoo
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.381-386
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    • 2012
  • The monthly number of days with rain or snow in Seoul extends backward to 1626 from the present. The number of rain and snow days are from the ancient records and combined with the modern precipitation records from 1907 to the present. There are two distinct and abrupt changes in the time series, which allow us to divide the entire period into three sub-periods of CR-I, CR-II, and MR. For each sub-period, we calculated the basic statistics and the associated distributions. The analysis proves Seoul, which may comprise East Asia when considering the lengthy period of dry condition, had dry climate for the Maunder Minimum when Europe experienced cold climate. We also note relationships between the rain days and sunspot numbers in various frequency bands.

A Study on behavior of Slope Failure Using Field Excavation Experiment (현장 굴착 실험을 통한 사면붕괴 거동 연구)

  • Park, Sung-Yong;Jung, Hee-Don;Kim, Young-Ju;Kim, Yong-Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.5
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2017
  • Recently, the occurrence of landslides has been increasing over the years due to the extreme weather event. Developments of landslides monitoring technology that reduce damage caused by landslide are urgently needed. Therefore, in this study, a strain ratio sensor was developed to predict the ground behavior during the slope failure, and the change in surface ground displacement was observed as slope failed on the field model experiment. As a result, in the slope failure, the ground displacement process increases the risk of collapse as the inverse displacement approaches zero. It is closely related to the prediction of precursor. In all cases, increase in displacement and reverse speed of inverse displacement with time was observed during the slope failure, and it is very important event for monitoring collapse phenomenon of risky slopes. In the future, it can be used as disaster prevention technology to contribute in reduction of landslide damage and activation of measurement industry.

Analysis of Improvement Methods of Safety Management Guidelines with Design for Safety

  • Kim, Minjung;Park, Moonseo;Lee, hyun-soo;Lee, Dowan;Lee, seul bi
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.602-603
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    • 2015
  • Despite all efforts to reduce construction disaster, construction site accident rate has steadily increased in Korea since 2008. As a different approach from traditional research, there is a growing issue about design for safety concept to prevent construction disaster. The notion is that construction worker's safety need to be considered at design phase, not only at construction phase. Globally, the notion has been noted that to improve the safety of the worker and used in practice. However, in Korea, most of safety management guidelines are limited to construction phase. From recent statistics, only 1.4 percent of designer feel responsible for safety accident at construction site. In this circumstance, this research find out safety guidelines through literatures reviews and practical experience of safety management in other country which apply design for safety concept. Selected guidelines are verified by survey which is evaluated with risk, function, cost, time and aesthetic view categories. Through the survey, define guidelines which could be effectively applied in Korea. By using proposed safety guidelines for design phase, preventing construction accident and improving designer's recognition of safety issue at design phase are expected.

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A Study on Safe Hiking According to Caution Against Cardiac Arrest That Occurs Unexpectedly during Mountaineering (등산 중 발생하는 심정지 주의에 따른 안전산행 연구)

  • Park, Ok-Nam;OH, Hye-Ryeong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2023.11a
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    • pp.129-130
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    • 2023
  • The From COVID-19 until recently, the demand for hiking has been rapidly increasing due to the popularization of mountain seekers.,On weekends and holidays, people who do not hike frequently while hiking in large and small mountains to see wildflowers and foliage in the mountains are more likely to be exposed to safety accidents due to an increase in sudden muscle use.,If you fall or get muscle damage during a hike, you can prevent a major accident with a simple treatment. In some cases, the error of first aid may permanently damage the important function of the body.,In particular, during a safety accident on a mountain, while climbing in light clothes, the body temperature rises due to the sweat that was shed at the beginning, and the blood pressure rises due to the contraction of the blood vessels due to the drop in body temperature from the top, resulting in an emergency such as cardiac arrest.,According to statistics from the National Park Service, nearly half (48%) of deaths in national parks are known to be sudden cardiac deaths.,There are many safety accidents that occur frequently in the mountains, but among them, we will study how to cope with acute diseases such as cardiac arrest due to increased blood pressure due to insufficient body temperature control, chest pain or dyspnea, and heart burden due to excessive hiking.

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Developing Statistics of the Direct and Indirect Socioeconomic Losses from Storm and Flood to Construct Regional Spatial Information System (지역공간정보체계 구축을 위한 풍수해의 사회경제적인 직·간접손실 항목 도출에 관한 연구)

  • Hyun, Su-Hyun;Kim, Hag-Yeol
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.95-107
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    • 2017
  • Since disasters have been getting stronger and wider according to the influence of climate change, those impacts on social and national economy have been also getting more severe in various subjects. However, as direct property damage as well as casualties are only measured in case of disasters, monetary figures on its losses are likely to be underestimated, which are known as a major barrier to both compensation for loss and making a regional disaster management plan. Thus, the main purpose of this study is to develop statistics appropriate to the direct and indirect socioeconomic losses, which have continuously been overlooked. To achieve this purpose, this study defines the scope of direct and indirect socioeconomic losses, provides a framework for developing those measurements, and determines a preliminary statistics list. Selection criteria to set the final list are decided and are then applied to the list. The result of this study can be used as basic data for further studies to estimate and calculate its socioeconomic losses from storm and flood.

Comparison of log-logistic and generalized extreme value distributions for predicted return level of earthquake (지진 재현수준 예측에 대한 로그-로지스틱 분포와 일반화 극단값 분포의 비교)

  • Ko, Nak Gyeong;Ha, Il Do;Jang, Dae Heung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2020
  • Extreme value distributions have often been used for the analysis (e.g., prediction of return level) of data which are observed from natural disaster. By the extreme value theory, the block maxima asymptotically follow the generalized extreme value distribution as sample size increases; however, this may not hold in a small sample case. For solving this problem, this paper proposes the use of a log-logistic (LLG) distribution whose validity is evaluated through goodness-of-fit test and model selection. The proposed method is illustrated with data from annual maximum earthquake magnitudes of China. Here, we present the predicted return level and confidence interval according to each return period using LLG distribution.

The Study on the Effectiveness and Satisfaction of the 'Disaster Safety and On-Site Emergency Management' weekend course in the High School-University affiliated career experience activities

  • Yun, Hyeong-Wan;Jung, Ji-Yeon;Jung, Eun-kyung
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.24 no.12
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    • pp.143-149
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    • 2019
  • This study investigates the satisfaction of students who participated in 'Disaster Safety and On-Site Emergency Management' weekend course, the high school-university affiliated program, to provide the basic data on university's major linked program developing and teaching methods. 98 high school students attended the courses at D General high school and B University in North Jeonlla Province. Among the participants, 52%(51 students) were sophomores, while 56.1%(55 students) were male and 43.9%(43 students) were female. The collected data was analyzed by using the SPSS statistics version 21.0 program. 80.6%(79 students) among the participants chose the weekend course program by themselves, 85.7%(84 students) were with clear motivation and goal, and 42.9%(42 students) answered "so interested studying Emergency at a college in the future" The most important reasons to choose this program are as follows: score 4.68 for 'the degree to which the useful program for youth', score 4.58 for 'the leader's expertise', and score 4.53 for 'reflecting the opinion of youth.' After the program's experience, the 'certificate for cardiopulmonary resuscitation' was the most important and the most satisfactory with score 4.78 and score 4.83 respectively. As the university career program using various job experience can be a meaningful experience that enhance the level of career status and career decisions of high school students, this program will strengthen the affiliation between high school and university curriculum and establish the sufficient national social system environment.

A Study on the Prediction Function of Wind Damage in Coastal Areas in Korea (국내 해안지역의 풍랑피해 예측함수에 관한 연구)

  • Sim, Sang-bo;Kim, Yoon-ku;Choo, Yeon-moon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 2019
  • The frequency of natural disasters and the scale of damage are increasing due to the abnormal weather phenomenon that occurs worldwide. Especially, damage caused by natural disasters in coastal areas around the world such as Earthquake in Japan, Hurricane Katrina in the United States, and Typhoon Maemi in Korea are huge. If we can predict the damage scale in response to disasters, we can respond quickly and reduce damage. In this study, we developed damage prediction functions for Wind waves caused by sea breezes and waves during various natural disasters. The disaster report (1991 ~ 2017) has collected the history of storm and typhoon damage in coastal areas in Korea, and the amount of damage has been converted as of 2017 to reflect inflation. In addition, data on marine weather factors were collected in the event of storm and typhoon damage. Regression analysis was performed through collected data, Finally, predictive function of the sea turbulent damage by the sea area in 74 regions of the country were developed. It is deemed that preliminary damage prediction can be possible through the wind damage prediction function developed and is expected to be utilized to improve laws and systems related to disaster statistics.

A Study on the Development of a Fire Site Risk Prediction Model based on Initial Information using Big Data Analysis (빅데이터 분석을 활용한 초기 정보 기반 화재현장 위험도 예측 모델 개발 연구)

  • Kim, Do Hyoung;Jo, Byung wan
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.245-253
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study develops a risk prediction model that predicts the risk of a fire site by using initial information such as building information and reporter acquisition information, and supports effective mobilization of fire fighting resources and the establishment of damage minimization strategies for appropriate responses in the early stages of a disaster. Method: In order to identify the variables related to the fire damage scale on the fire statistics data, a correlation analysis between variables was performed using a machine learning algorithm to examine predictability, and a learning data set was constructed through preprocessing such as data standardization and discretization. Using this, we tested a plurality of machine learning algorithms, which are evaluated as having high prediction accuracy, and developed a risk prediction model applying the algorithm with the highest accuracy. Result: As a result of the machine learning algorithm performance test, the accuracy of the random forest algorithm was the highest, and it was confirmed that the accuracy of the intermediate value was relatively high for the risk class. Conclusion: The accuracy of the prediction model was limited due to the bias of the damage scale data in the fire statistics, and data refinement by matching data and supplementing the missing values was necessary to improve the predictive model performance.