• Title/Summary/Keyword: Disaster risk assessment

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Development of Natural Disaster Risk Assessment Technique (자연재난 위험도 평가 기법 개발)

  • Choi, Changwon;Bae, Changyeon;Kang, Hoseon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.87-87
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    • 2018
  • 지난 30년간 한반도의 연평균 기온은 $1.2^{\circ}C$ 상승하여, 전세계 100년간 평균 기온 상승 $0.74^{\circ}C$에 비해 그 상승폭이 크게 증가하였다. IPCC 5차 평가보고서(2013년)의 RCP 시나리오에 따르면, 4차 평가보고서(2007년)의 SRES 시나리오에서 보다 우리나라의 기후변화 영향이 크게 증가될 것으로 예상하고 있으며, 2050년 연평균기온의 변화가 기존 $2.0^{\circ}C$에서 $3.2^{\circ}C$로, 강수량은 기존 11.5%에서 15.6%대로 증가할 것으로 전망하고 있다. 우리나라의 최근 10년간 발생한 자연재난을 살펴보면 호우, 태풍에 의한 피해가 가장 크게 나타났고, 대설, 강풍에 의한 피해가 뒤를 이었으며, 기후변화의 영향으로 재난 재해의 형태는 점차 대형화 다양화 되어가고 있다. 이러한 기후변화에 대비하여 효율적인 재난 대응 및 대책수립을 위해 재난 위험도 평가의 필요성이 증대되고 있으며 국내의 다양한 부처에서 연구를 수행하고 있다. 그러나 재난 위험도 평가체계 및 방법론이 각 연구별로 다원화되어 있고, 실무적용 또한 미흡한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 UNISDR 등 국제기구에서 제시하는 위험도 평가방법론을 기반으로 우리나라에 적용 가능한 위험도 평가 방법론을 정립하고, 홍수, 태풍, 대설, 가뭄 등에 대한 재난 위험도 평가 기법을 개발하였다. 또한 실제 피해 통계와 평가 결과에 대한 비교 및 적정성 분석을 통해 우리나라 실정에 맞는 최적의 위험도 평가 체계 및 방법론을 구축하고자 하였다. 본 연구를 통해 위해성, 노출성, 취약성 및 저감능력 지표로 구성된 재난 위험도 평가 기법을 개발하였고, 재난 유형별 지역별 10단계, 5등급의 위험도 평가 결과를 도출하였다. 본 연구에서는 홍수, 태풍, 대설, 가뭄 등 6개 자연재난 유형에 대한 위험도 평가 지표를 개발하였으며, 향후, 국가 및 지역 재난안전관리계획에 자연재난 위험도 평가 결과 활용을 위해 후속 연구를 추진 중에 있다.

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Based on ISO Requirements for Sustainability Management Establishment of Evaluation Model for Supplier _ Only for Semiconductor Processes (지속가능경영을 위한 ISO 요구사항 기반 정량적 협력업체 평가모델 구축 _반도체 공정에 한하여)

  • Yu, Je-Young;Lee, Ik-Mo;Hwang, Yong-Woo;Kim, Young-Woon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.25-42
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    • 2019
  • The government announced that it would ask the contractors not only the supplier but also the contractors to take the same responsibilities if they did not observe industrial accident safety measures from 2019. The semiconductor manufacturing process belongs to the representative disaster industry group in which the facility is directly located inside a closed space called clean room. According to previous studies, the semiconductor industry group used checklists for safety management of their suppliers. This study has developed a model for assessing suppliers by constructing a quantitative checklist item through the risk assessment methodology, laws and regulations. The evaluation model of the supplier set up through this study becomes the safety management standard in the semiconductor industry. Furthermore, it is applied to the partner companies in the operation of ISO 14001, 45001, I would like to apply it as a measure of performance management for CSR (Corporate Social Responsibility).

A Study on the Safety Distance of the Fuelling Facilities by the Radiation Heat in the Fire at the Gas Station (주유소 내 부대시설 화재발생시 복사열에 따른 주유설비 안전거리에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kisung;Lee, Sangwon;Song, Dongwoo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2021
  • Various research has been done on fires and explosions at gas stations at home and abroad. However, only studies of off-site damage in the event of fire at the gas station were conducted, and research on fire at the auxiliary facilities in the gas station was insufficient. The gas station is a place where anyone can easily access dangerous goods. As the risk of fire increases due to the recent increase of auxiliary facilities such as convenience stores and car repair shops in gas stations, it is important to detect the effects of fire on the main oil refinery in case of fire and to verify the validity of existing regulations. In this thesis, we conducted a study to find out the effect of radiation heat on the separation between fixed and fixed oil reactors in the event of fire at an auxiliary facility. Simulation was modelled using FDS 5.5.3 Version, and the size of the fire source was configured with 13 fire assessment devices and the heat emission rate per unit area was entered. Simulation shows that the separation distance of 2 m does not secure the safety of the gas pump in the event of fire at the auxiliary facilities, and radiation heat does not damage at the separation distance of at least 4 m. Accordingly, facilities that can block radiant heat in the event of fire at auxiliary facilities, and measures to limit the use of auxiliary facilities or to re-impose the separation between buildings and fixtures will be needed.

The Role of Safety Management Professional Organizations through Industrial Accident Analysis (산업재해분석을 통한 안전관리전문기관의 역할)

  • Deuk-Hwan Kim;Sun-Jae Hwang;Dae-Jin Jo;Jun-Won Lee
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.71-83
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    • 2023
  • Since last year, the government has enforced the 'Act on the Punishment of Severe Accidents, Etc.' (hereafter referred to as the 'Serious Accident Punishment Act'), which punishes business owners and business managers who fail to fulfill their duty of safety measures with 'imprisonment of one year or more' and the Occupational Safety and Health Act. Based on this, various occupational safety and health policies were developed, including the operation of a system related to entrusting the work of safety managers. Despite these efforts, the effect of implementing the Severe Accident Punishment Act is a groundbreaking change in the current disaster prevention policy, which has increased by 0.02%P and 0.03‱P, respectively, from the previous year to 0.65% of the total accident rate and 1.10‱ of the death rate per 10,000 people as of 2022. As the need emerged, attention was paid to 'collaboration and governance with safety management institutions' in the 'Severe Disaster Reduction Roadmap' announced by the Ministry of Employment and Labor in November 2022. In this study, a meaningful result was derived by comparing and analyzing the industrial accident status of workplaces entrusted by "A" safety management institutions with the national average based on the industrial accident survey table, and the types of industrial accidents that occurred in consigned workplaces were selected as intensive management targets. The policy direction for industrial accident prevention was established. It is necessary to develop safety management work manuals based on the results of this study, expertise, discover best cases of risk assessment and develop guides, and educate and train consigned workers. In addition, it suggests that the government's guidance and supervision are needed to advance the professionalism of safety management entrusted tasks, and that safety management institutions should strengthen their roles and functions for preventing and reducing industrial accidents. However, due to difficulties in disclosing information of specialized safety management institutions, the limitation of the provision, collection, and viewing of research-related data to "A" specialized safety management institutions remains a limitation of the research. It seems likely that more thorough research will be conducted.

The Approach of Land Use Planning for Climate Change on Coastal Areas - Focus on the Case of US, Mediterranean Sea and Caribbean Sea Coastal Areas - (기후변화 적응을 위한 연안완충구역 정책 개선방안 - 미국 연안도시와 지중해, 카리브해 연안지역 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Jiwoon Oh;Hansol Mun;Yeonju Kim;Jiwoo Han;Juchul Jung
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.18-29
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    • 2024
  • The aggravation of coastal erosion due to climate change has recently emerged as a global issue, and the international community is aware of the risk and is applying national consultations and various policies. In the case of coastal countries located in the Mediterranean Sea and the Caribbean Sea, coastal buffer zones and coastal management plans are established at a national level, and the United States is establishing coastal area management plans at the city level. In Korea, coastal erosion management areas are designated and managed to prevent coastal erosion and coastal disasters, but the number of designated areas and policies for coastal land areas are lacking. Therefore, in this study, we study policy cases applied to coastal land to prevent and reduce coastal erosion and coastal disasters through policy status and overseas cases, and seek ways to improve coastal buffer zone policies. As a result of the study, implications were drawn that expansion of the coastal buffer zone for coastal land areas and standards for establishing buffer zones based on scientific analysis are necessary.

Study on the Consequence Effect Analysis & Process Hazard Review at Gas Release from Hydrogen Fluoride Storage Tank (최근 불산 저장탱크에서의 가스 누출시 공정위험 및 결과영향 분석)

  • Ko, JaeSun
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.449-461
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    • 2013
  • As the hydrofluoric acid leak in Gumi-si, Gyeongsangbuk-do or hydrochloric acid leak in Ulsan, Gyeongsangnam-do demonstrated, chemical related accidents are mostly caused by large amounts of volatile toxic substances leaking due to the damages of storage tank or pipe lines of transporter. Safety assessment is the most important concern because such toxic material accidents cause human and material damages to the environment and atmosphere of the surrounding area. Therefore, in this study, a hydrofluoric acid leaked from a storage tank was selected as the study example to simulate the leaked substance diffusing into the atmosphere and result analysis was performed through the numerical Analysis and diffusion simulation of ALOHA(Areal Location of Hazardous Atmospheres). the results of a qualitative evaluation of HAZOP (Hazard Operability)was looked at to find that the flange leak, operation delay due to leakage of the valve and the hose, and toxic gas leak were danger factors. Possibility of fire from temperature, pressure and corrosion, nitrogen supply overpressure and toxic leak from internal corrosion of tank or pipe joints were also found to be high. ALOHA resulting effects were a little different depending on the input data of Dense Gas Model, however, the wind direction and speed, rather than atmospheric stability, played bigger role. Higher wind speed affected the diffusion of contaminant. In term of the diffusion concentration, both liquid and gas leaks resulted in almost the same $LC_{50}$ and ALOHA AEGL-3(Acute Exposure Guidline Level) values. Each scenarios showed almost identical results in ALOHA model. Therefore, a buffer distance of toxic gas can be determined by comparing the numerical analysis and the diffusion concentration to the IDLH(Immediately Dangerous to Life and Health). Such study will help perform the risk assessment of toxic leak more efficiently and be utilized in establishing community emergency response system properly.

Analysis of Abroad Mid- to Long-Term R&D Themes and Market Information in the Geological Information and Mineral Resources Fields (지질정보 및 광물자원 분야 국외 중장기 연구개발 주제 및 시장정보 분석)

  • Ahn, Eun-Young
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.637-645
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    • 2019
  • Due to the transformation to the intelligent information society, the rapid change of our life and environment is expected. The Ministry of Science and ICT (MSIT) and the National Research Council of Science and Technology (NST) introduced a five-year government supported research institution's planning and evaluation based on the mid-to long-term perspective. This study collects international benchmarking information including industry, academia, and research fields by collecting mid- and long-term strategy reports from public research institutes, surveys by experts from abroad universities and research institutes, and analyzing overseas market information reports. The British Geological Survey (BGS), the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and the japanese geological survey related institutes (AIST-GSJ) plans for three-dimensional national geological information, predictions of geological environmental disasters, and development of important metals and material in the low carbon economic transformation and in the era of the Fourth Industrial Revolution. The mid- and long-term program emphasizes basic and public research on geological information through abroad experts survey such as the IPGP-CNRS etc. The market analysis of the mining automation and digital map sectors has been able to derive the fields in which the role of public research institutes by the market is expected such as data collection on land and in the air, mobile or three-dimensional information production, smooth/fast/real-time maps, custom map design, mapping support to various platforms, geological environmental risk assessment and disaster management information and maps.

Development and Assessment of Hedging Rule for Han River Reservoir System Operation against Severe Drought (한강수계 저수지군의 갈수대응 운영을 위한 Hedging Rule의 개발과 적용성 평가)

  • Kim, Jeong Yup;Park, Myung Ky;Lee, Gi Ha;Jung, Kwan Sue
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.10
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    • pp.891-906
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    • 2014
  • This study suggests the hedging rule of MIP (Mixed Integer Programing) in counting the risk evaluation criteria of the objective function and constraints in order to provide the optimum operating rule in reservoir system as constraining water shortage as much as possible which may happen in the downstream control point of water supply in the aspect of water system management. The proposed model is applied to the Han-river reservoir system for two testing periods (Case I: Jan. 1993~Dec. 1997, Case II: Jan. 1999~Dec. 2003). The model based on the hedging rule with trigger volume, estimated in this study shows that in Case I, the monthly minimum discharge was $310.6{\times}10^6m^3$ in the single operation, $56.3{\times}10^6m^3$ in the joint operation, and $317.5{\times}10^6m^3$ in the hedging rule and also, in Case II, the monthly minimum discharge was found to be $204.2{\times}10^6m^3$ in the single operation, $111.2{\times}10^6m^3$ in the joint operation, and $243.7{\times}10^6m^3$ in the hedging rule. In conclusion, the hedging rule, proposed in this study can decrease vulnerability while guarantees reliability and resiliency.

Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Drought Risk (기후변화가 가뭄 위험성에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2011
  • A chronic drought stress has been imposed during non-rainy season(from winter to spring) since 1990s. We faced the most significant water crisis in 2001, and the drought was characterized by sultry weather and severe drought on a national scale. It has been widely acknowledged that the drought related damage is 2-3 times serious than floods. In the list of the world's largest natural disaster compiled by NOAA, 4 of the top 5 disasters are droughts. And according to the analysis from the NDMC report, the drought has the highest annual average damage among all the disasters. There was a very serious impact on the economic such as rising consumer price during the 2001 spring drought in Korea. There has been flood prevention measures implemented at national-level but for mitigation of droughts, there are only plans aimed at emergency (short-term) restoration rather than the comprehensive preventive measures. In addition, there is a lack of a clear set of indicators to express drought situation objectively, and therefore it is important and urgent to begin a systematic study. In this study, a nonstationary downscaling model using RCM based climate change scenario was first applied to simulate precipitation, and the simulated precipitation data was used to derive Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). The SPI under climate change was used to evaluate the spatio-temporal variability of drought through principal component analysis at three different time scales which are 2015, 2045 and 2075. It was found that spatio-temporal variability is likely to modulate with climate change.

Measurements of the Heat Release Rate and Fire Growth Rate of Combustibles for the Performance-Based Design - Focusing on the Combustibles in Residential and Office Spaces (성능위주설계를 위한 가연물의 열발생률 및 화재성장률 측정 -주거 및 사무공간 가연물을 중심으로)

  • Nam, Dong-Gun;Hwang, Cheol-Hong
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2017
  • The design fire based on the heat release rate (HRR) of combustibles can significantly affect the assessment of fire safety in the performance-based design (PBD). In the present PBD, however, limited information in the foreign literature has been used without further verification due to the lack of fire information in domestic combustibles. The objective of this study is to provide information on the HRR and fire growth rate for various combustibles in residential and office spaces. To end this, the fire experiments were carried out with single and multiple combustibles. The peak HRR of combustibles used in the present study had a range of 36 kW~1,092 kW. The fire growth rates were also $0.003kW/s^2{\sim}0.0287kW/s^2$ and $0.003kW/s^2{\sim}0.0838kW/s^2$ for the residential and office spaces, respectively. In particular, a sofa had the highest fire risk in terms of the peak HRR and fire growth rate. Finally, a methodology for calculating the peak HRR in a space was proposed through correlation analysis between the peak HRR and exposed surface of various combustibles.