• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
• /
• 2014.10a
• /
• pp.533-538
• /
• 2014

Power generator is one of the most important component of electricity generation system to convert mechanical energy to electrical energy. I t designed robustly to maintain high system reliability during operation time. But unexpected failure of the power generator could happen and it cause huge amount of economic and social loss. To keep it from unexpected failure, health prognostics should be carried out In this research, We developed a health prognostic method of stator windings in power generator with statistical data analysis and degradation modeling against water absorption. We divided whole 42 windings into two groups, absorption suspected group and normal group. We built a degradation model of absorption suspected winding using Fick's second law to predict upcoming absorption data. Through the analysis of data of normal group, we could figure out the distribution of data of normal windings. After that, we can properly predict absorption data of normal windings. With data prediction of two groups, we derived upcoming Directional Mahalanobis Distance (DMD) of absorption suspected winding and time vs DMD curve. Finally we drew the probability distribution of Remaining Useful Life of absorption suspected windings.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
• /
• v.39 no.6
• /
• pp.625-629
• /
• 2015

In this study, we develop a prognostic method of assessing the stator windings of power generators against water absorption through statistical data analysis and degradation modeling. The 42 windings of the generator are divided into two groups: the absorption and normal groups. A degradation model of a winding is constructed using Fick's second law to predict the level of absorption. By analyzing data from the normal group, we can determine the distribution of the data of normal windings. The health index of a winding is estimated using the directional Mahalanobis distance (DMD) method. Finally, the probability distributions of the failure time of the windings are determined.