• 제목/요약/키워드: Deterministic models

검색결과 228건 처리시간 0.03초

Comparison of Benefit Estimation Models in Cost-Benefit Analysis: A Case of Chronic Hypertension Management Programs

  • Lim, Ji-Young;Kim, Mi-Ja;Park, Chang-Gi;Kim, Jung-Yun
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제41권6호
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    • pp.750-757
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: Cost-benefit analysis is one of the most commonly used economic evaluation methods, which helps to inform the economic value of a program to decision makers. However, the selection of a correct benefit estimation method remains critical for accurate cost-benefit analysis. This paper compared benefit estimations among three different benefit estimation models. Methods: Data from community-based chronic hypertension management programs in a city in South Korea were used. Three different benefit estimation methods were compared. The first was a standard deterministic estimation model; second, a repeated-measures deterministic estimation model; and third, a transitional probability estimation model. Results: The estimated net benefit of the three different methods were $1,273.01, $-3,749.42, and $-5,122.55 respectively. Conclusion: The transitional probability estimation model showed the most correct and realistic benefit estimation, as it traced possible paths of changing status between time points and it accounted for both positive and negative benefits.

시계열예측에 대한 역전파 적용에 대한 결정적, 추계적 가상항 기법의 효과 (The Effect of Deterministic and Stochastic VTG Schemes on the Application of Backpropagation of Multivariate Time Series Prediction)

  • 조태호
    • 한국정보처리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보처리학회 2001년도 추계학술발표논문집 (상)
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    • pp.535-538
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    • 2001
  • Since 1990s, many literatures have shown that connectionist models, such as back propagation, recurrent network, and RBF (Radial Basis Function) outperform the traditional models, MA (Moving Average), AR (Auto Regressive), and ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) in time series prediction. Neural based approaches to time series prediction require the enough length of historical measurements to generate the enough number of training patterns. The more training patterns, the better the generalization of MLP is. The researches about the schemes of generating artificial training patterns and adding to the original ones have been progressed and gave me the motivation of developing VTG schemes in 1996. Virtual term is an estimated measurement, X(t+0.5) between X(t) and X(t+1), while the given measurements in the series are called actual terms. VTG (Virtual Tern Generation) is the process of estimating of X(t+0.5), and VTG schemes are the techniques for the estimation of virtual terms. In this paper, the alternative VTG schemes to the VTG schemes proposed in 1996 will be proposed and applied to multivariate time series prediction. The VTG schemes proposed in 1996 are called deterministic VTG schemes, while the alternative ones are called stochastic VTG schemes in this paper.

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Estimating the mean number of objects in M/H2/1 model for web service

  • Lee, Yongjin
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we estimate the mean number of objects in the M/H2/1 model for web service when the mean object size in the M/H2/1 model is equal to that of the M/G/1/PS and M/BP/1 models. To this end, we use the mean object size obtained by assuming that the mean latency of deterministic model is equal to that of M/H2/1, M/G/1/PS, and M/BP/1 models, respectively. Computational experiments show that if the shape parameter of the M/BP/1 model is 1.1 and the system load is greater than 0.35, the mean number of objects in the M/H2/1 model when mean object size of M/H2/1 model is the same as that of M/G/1/PS model is almost equal to the mean number of objects in the M/H2/1 model when the mean object size of M/H2/1 model is the same as that of M/BP/1 model. In addition, as the upper limit of the M/BP/1 model increases, the number of objects in the M/H2/1 model converges to one, which increases latency. These results mean that it is efficient to use small-sized objects in the web service environment.

Prediction of Strong Ground Motion in Moderate-Seismicity Regions Using Deterministic Earthquake Scenarios

  • 강태섭
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2007
  • For areas such as the Korean Peninsula, which have moderate seismic activity but no available records of strong ground motion, synthetic seismograms can be used to evaluate ground motion without waiting for a strong earthquake. Such seismograms represent the estimated ground motions expected from a set of possible earthquake scenarios. Local site effects are especially important in assessing the seismic hazard and possible ground motion scenarios for a specific fault. The earthquake source and rupture dynamics can be described as a two-step process of rupture initiation and front propagation controlled by a frictional sliding mechanism. The seismic wavefield propagates through heterogeneous geological media and finally undergoes near-surface modulations such as amplification or deamplification. This is a complex system in which various scales of physical phenomena are integrated. A unified approach incorporates multi-scale problems of dynamic rupture, radiated wave propagation, and site effects into an all-in-one model using a three-dimensional, fourth-order, staggered-grid, finite-difference method. The method explains strong ground motions as products of complex systems that can be modified according to a variety of fine-scale rupture scenarios and friction models. A series of such deterministic earthquake scenarios can shed light on the kind of damage that would result and where it would be located.

정확성을 보장하는 결정적 Private Matching (Deterministic Private Matching with Perfect Correctness)

  • 홍정대;김진일;천정희;박근수
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:시스템및이론
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    • 제34권10호
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    • pp.502-510
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    • 2007
  • Private Matching은 각기 다른 두 참여자가 가진 데이타의 교집합을 구하는 문제이다. Private matching은 보험사기 방지시스템, 항공기 탑승 금지자 목록 검색, 의료 정보 검색 등에 이용될 수 있으며 다자간의 계산으로 확장하면 전자투표, 온라인 게임 등에도 이용될 수 있다. 2004년 Freedman 등 [1]은 이 문제를 확률적으로 해결하는 프로토콜을 제안하고 악의적인 공격자 모델과 다자간 계산으로 확장하였다. 이 논문에서는 기존의 프로토콜을 결정적(deterministic) 방법으로 개선하여 Semi-Honest 모델에서 결과의 정확성을 보장하는 한편, 이를 악의적인 공격자 모델에 확장하여 신뢰도와 연산속도를 향상 시키는 새로운 프로토콜을 제안한다.

은닉층에 비단조 뉴런을 갖는 결정론적 볼츠만 머신의 학습능력에 관한 연구 (Learning Ability of Deterministic Boltzmann Machine with Non-Monotonic Neurons in Hidden Layer)

  • 박철영
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제11권6호
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    • pp.505-509
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    • 2001
  • 본 연구에서는 학습기근을 갖는 결정론적 볼츠만 머신의 은닉충 뉴런에 비단조 활성화 함수를 적요한 경위의 학습성능을 XOR 문제와 ADD 학습에 대하여 수지 시뮬레이션을 통하여분석한다. 단조 활성화함수를 사용한 경우와 비교하여 학습 수렴률, 학습안정도, 및 학습 속도에 있어서 성능이 크게 향상됨을 확인하였다. 또한 네트워크의 막전위 분포를 조사함으로서 end-cut-off 타입의 비단조 함수를 이용한 경우에 나타는 다음 층의 뉴런에 영향을 주지 않는 뉴런의 출현, 즉, 신경회로망에 있어서 은닉층 뉴런늬 수을 자율적으로 조정하는것을 확인하였따. 이것은 학습문제에 대하여 네트워크 은닉층 뉴런의 수를 명확하게 결정할수 없는 현재의 상황에 있어서는 새로운 돌파구가 될것으로 기대된다.

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Neutronic simulation of the CEFR experiments with the nodal diffusion code system RAST-F

  • Tran, Tuan Quoc;Lee, Deokjung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권7호
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    • pp.2635-2649
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    • 2022
  • CEFR is a small core-size sodium-cooled fast reactor (SFR) using high enrichment fuel with stainless-steel reflectors, which brings a significant challenge to the deterministic methodologies due to the strong spectral effect. The neutronic simulation of the start-up experiments conducted at the CEFR have been performed with a deterministic code system RAST-F, which is based on the two-step approach that couples a multi-group cross-section generation Monte-Carlo (MC) code and a multi-group nodal diffusion solver. The RAST-F results were compared against the measurement data. Moreover, the characteristic of neutron spectrum in the fuel rings, and adjacent reflectors was evaluated using different models for generation of accurate nuclear libraries. The numerical solution of RAST-F system was verified against the full core MC solution MCS at all control rods fully inserted and withdrawn states. A good agreement between RAST-F and MCS solutions was observed with less than 120 pcm discrepancies and 1.2% root-mean-square error in terms of keff and power distribution, respectively. Meanwhile, the RAST-F result agreed well with the experimental values within two-sigma of experimental uncertainty. The good agreement of these results indicating that RAST-F can be used to neutronic steady-state simulations for small core-size SFR, which was challenged to deterministic code system.

A Systems Engineering Approach to Multi-Physics Analysis of CEA Ejection Accident

  • Sebastian Grzegorz Dzien;Aya Diab
    • 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.46-58
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    • 2023
  • Deterministic safety analysis is a crucial part of safety assessment, particularly when it comes to demonstrating the safety of nuclear power plant designs. The traditional approach to deterministic safety analysis models is to model the nuclear core using point kinetics. However, this simplified approach does not fully reflect the real core behavior with proper moderator and fuel reactivity feedbacks during the transient. The use of Multi-Physics approach allows more precise simulation reflecting the inherent three-dimensionality (3D) of the problem by representing the detailed 3D core, with instantaneous updates of feedback mechanisms due to changes of important reactivity parameters like fuel temperature coefficient (FTC) and moderator temperature coefficient (MTC). This paper addresses a CEA ejection accident at hot full power (HFP), in which the underlying strong and un-symmetric feedback between thermal-hydraulics and reactor kinetics exist. For this purpose, a multi-physics analysis tool has been selected with the nodal kinetics code, 3DKIN, implicitly coupled to the thermal-hydraulic code, RELAP5, for real-time communication and data exchange. This coupled approach enables high fidelity three-dimensional simulation and is therefore especially relevant to reactivity initiated accident (RIA) scenarios and power distribution anomalies with strong feedback mechanisms and/or un-symmetrical characteristics as in the CEA ejection accident. The Systems Engineering approach is employed to provide guidance in developing the work in a systematic and efficient fashion.

Two Uncertain Programming Models for Inverse Minimum Spanning Tree Problem

  • Zhang, Xiang;Wang, Qina;Zhou, Jian
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2013
  • An inverse minimum spanning tree problem makes the least modification on the edge weights such that a predetermined spanning tree is a minimum spanning tree with respect to the new edge weights. In this paper, the concept of uncertain ${\alpha}$-minimum spanning tree is initiated for minimum spanning tree problem with uncertain edge weights. Using different decision criteria, two uncertain programming models are presented to formulate a specific inverse minimum spanning tree problem with uncertain edge weights involving a sum-type model and a minimax-type model. By means of the operational law of independent uncertain variables, the two uncertain programming models are transformed to their equivalent deterministic models which can be solved by classic optimization methods. Finally, some numerical examples on a traffic network reconstruction problem are put forward to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed models.