• Title/Summary/Keyword: Design population

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City Shrinking Simulation followed by a Decrease of Population Trend in Small and Medium-Sized Local Cities (지방 중소도시의 인구감소추세에 따른 도시 축소 시뮬레이션)

  • Lee, Da-Geon;Yoon, Cheol-Jae
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Planning & Design
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.127-134
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    • 2019
  • Recently, the city development policies are being switched to the policies focusing on recession worldwide. Even though South Korea is also facing the phenomena that small and medium-sized cities are downsized because of a decrease in population and an aging society problem, there is lack of solutions and even they are still planning city development policies based on prospect of high growth. This study is featuring 4 viewpoints depending on shrinking population trend in 7 small and medium sized local cities, which are chosen as downsized cities. It is dealing with population peak, current population, 2030 population, and 2040 population viewpoints. And this study uses downsizing simulation that suggests optimum area that fits population and then shows visual check of the status of the small and medium sized local cities. The area of the small and medium sized local cities are expanded more than needs when they are on population peak point. However, they need only 20% to 25% of current area in 2030 and 2040. The most important thing is realizing the seriousness and facing up to the 'shrinking' phenomena that each small and medium-sized cities suffer. Therefore, this study has significance for presenting the status of small and medium-sized cities' problems in South Korea.

Variance estimation for distribution rate in stratified cluster sampling with missing values

  • Heo, Sunyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.443-449
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    • 2017
  • Estimation of population proportion like the distribution rate of LED TV and the prevalence of a disease are often estimated based on survey sample data. Population proportion is generally considered as a special form of population mean. In complex sampling like stratified multistage sampling with unequal probability sampling, the denominator of mean may be random variable and it is estimated like ratio estimator. In this research, we examined the estimation of distribution rate based on stratified multistage sampling, and determined some numerical outcomes using stratified random sample data with about 25% of missing observations. In the data used for this research, the survey weight was determined by deterministic way. So, the weights are not random variable, and the population distribution rate and its variance estimator can be estimated like population mean estimation. When the weights are not random variable, if one estimates the variance of proportion estimator using ratio method, then the variances may be inflated. Therefore, in estimating variance for population proportion, we need to examine the structure of data and survey design before making any decision for estimation methods.

Does Population Aging Contribute to Increased Fiscal Spending?

  • LEE, Mihye
    • Asian Journal of Business Environment
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.23-28
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - With rapid population aging in Korea, changes in the population structure will result in a rise in the fiscal burden. This paper investigates the effects of population aging on fiscal spending based on Korea's province data and country panel data from the OECD. Research design, data, and methodology - We use province-level fiscal data from Local Finance Integrated Open System and the Korean Statistical Information Service and also collect country panel data from the OECD. To investigate the relationship between population aging and fiscal expenditures, our analysis uses the fixed effects model. Results - The empirical analysis based on Korean local finance and country panel data show that population aging has a positive impact on social welfare expenditures and it also has a positive impact on spending related to children and the elderly, implying that population aging may lead to an increase in fiscal spending via an increase in social welfare expenditures and spending related to children and the elderly. Conclusion - These empirical results suggest that countries like Korea that expect to experience rapid population aging need to pay more attention to prepare for the expected increase in age-related spending in the near future.

A Bayesian Approach to Assessing Population Bioequivalence in a 2 ${\times}$ 2 Crossover Design

  • Oh, Hyun-Sook;Ko, Seoung-Gon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2002
  • A Bayesian testing procedure is proposed for assessment of bioequivalence in both mean and variance which ensures population bioequivalence under normality assumption. We derive the joint posterior distribution of the means and variances in a standard 2 ${\times}$ 2 crossover experimental design and propose a Bayesian testing procedure for bioequivalence based on a Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The proposed method is applied to a real data set.

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A GENERALIZED MODEL-BASED OPTIMAL SAMPLE SELECTION METHOD

  • Hong, Ki-Hak;Lee, Gi-Sung;Son, Chang-Kyoon
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.807-815
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    • 2002
  • We consider a more general linear regression super-population model than the one of Chaudhuri and Stronger(1992) . We can find the same type of the best linear unbiased(BLU) predictor as that of Chaudhuri and Stenger and see that the optimal design is again a purposive one which prescribes choosing one of the samples of size n which has $\chi$ closest to $\bar{X}$.

Assessing Bioequivalence of Variabilities in $2{\times}2$ Crossover Design

  • Park, Sang-Gue;Jang, Jung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.645-657
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    • 2007
  • Several statistical procedures for assessment of bioequivalence of variabilities between two drug formulations in bioequivalence trials are reviewed and modified methods for assessing total variability are suggested. The problem of the current US FDA aggregate criterion for population bioequivalence and the necessity of disaggregate criterion are discussed with an illustrated example.

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A Sampling Design on the Survey of Non-Consignment Fishery Products (水산物 非系統생산量 調査에 關한 標本設計)

  • 朴弘來
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.213-217
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    • 1980
  • This paper aimed at studying an efficient sampling design of the survey for non-consignment fishery products including both marine fisheries and seaculture. An analysis was done on the relationship between precision and sample size. On the basis of the analysis, the sample size was determined to be 1,080 fishery house holds with the expected precision of 4%-5%. The molluscs and seaculture were recognized to be correlated with the non-consignment products. An attempt was made to investigate the coverage of the fish kinds by the sample about 100 fish kinds were found in the 80 selected sample villages, whereas the population includes about 120 in total. This shows that the sample represents the population with satisfaction.

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A Study on Analysis With Present Conditions of Elderly Community in China - Focused on Oriental Sun City in Beijing - (중국 노인주거단지에 관한 실태조사분석 연구 - 북경시 동방태양성 주거단지를 중심으로 -)

  • Liu, Yang;Lee, Dong-Suk;Youn, Chung-Yeul
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Rural Architecture
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2017
  • Following the development of economy and progress of the society, the problem of aging population appears. In 1999, China had been classified as "aging society" and aging of population has become a serious social issue that affects the economic growth and social stability. And one of the crux issue is the dwelling of aged people. As a cosmopolitan city, Beijing keeps leading position on residential development. But facing grim problem of ageing population, and the problem of the elderly living has not been solved yet. At the beginning of 21 Century, the first aged community(Oriental Sun City) was built in Beijing, and attracted a large number of old people to move in. But there are many problems in the process of design and construction since there is not much correlative researches for planning and design of aged communities. With a view to aged communities in Beijing, this thesis intends to research on the planning and design of aged communities. This thesis will give reference to help the programming and design of aged communities.

New or Renew: Constructing Tomorrow with Kit of Parts

  • Ilkay Standard;Sena Kucukayan
    • International Journal of High-Rise Buildings
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.97-102
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    • 2024
  • In this paper, we would like to share our ongoing research on global population and demographic shifts and the corresponding need for diverse responses. As population growth varies worldwide, the pressing issue is the current global housing shortage. The USA alone lacks 4 million homes, underlining the urgency for new construction and renewal of existing. Our focus is primarily on new building processes, which must also incorporate elements of renewal for future sustainability. Our research addresses several key questions: How will roles for construction professionals change? What should be the primary goal of the design process? What types of technologies are currently available, and which aspects of the process can be enhanced with AI? A significant part of our study is exploring sustainable building methods that reduce embodied carbon and increase speed of construction. Our goal is to extend the transition from smart homes to cities, analyzing the evolution towards smart communities and cities. A critical aspect of our research is the 'kit of parts concept, involving prefabrication and modular construction. This approach is essential for both rebuilding and new projects, potentially lowering costs in manufacturing and design for long term. Lastly, we present a detailed comparison of the construction industry with manufacturing.

A Study on the Evaluation Method about Marketability of Product Design (제품디자인의 시장성 평가방법 연구)

  • 이문기
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2001
  • This study suggested how to apply it decision-making of product development rapidly by design evaluation process to objectify and the result to quantify with viewpoint of design evaluation sets to marketability. Coverage of this method limited to the evaluation stage of design concept. The procedure of study, first of all, referred to some type of design evaluation method and their feature. And next, referred to some kinds of demand forecasting for marketing. Above an, this study focused on the method of demand forecasting by buying intentions surveys proper to the marketability evaluation of new product design. On a case study, I had investigated preference survey and buying intentions surveys about the design proposal of "language master audio". I selected the best design proposal through the conjoint analysis and also investigated demand forecasting. First, on the basis of buying intentions surveys, choose population and had produced buying demand, awareness demand, potential demand. I could estimate some profit to take out expense and cost from the buying demand. This estimated profit is marketability judgement data of product design at the design concept stage and can be utilized to measurable data for decision-making of product development. Through the case study, this method could forecast a target demand, and even if it is some difference between real sales volume, but the case study could verified that this method is effective to the evaluation of marketability in case of completely new product got on the typical category and the product category could be set up the population clearly.

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