• 제목/요약/키워드: Demographic

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산업국가에서의 제2차 인구변천 (The Second Demographic Transition in Industrialized Countries)

  • 정성호
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.139-164
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    • 2009
  • 이 글은 유럽을 중심으로 진행된 제2차 인구변천에 관한 논의를 검토하고, 이러한 논의가 한국 사회의 출산력 변천에 어떤 함의를 지니고 있는가를 제시하고자 한다. 제2차 인구변천에 관한 논의는 기본적으로 산업국가에서 출산력 수준이 대체수준 이하로 감소되고 있는 상황을 설명하기 위한 노력에서 출발하였다. 제1차 인구변천과 달리 제2차 인구변천은 종착점으로 인구의 균형상태를 상정하지는 않는다. 오히려 새로운 변화는 대체수준 이하의 출산력, 결혼이 아닌 다양한 형태의 삶의 양식, 결혼과 출산의 무관계성, 안정된 인구의 부재 등을 가져올 것으로 전망한다. 또한 제2차 인구변천은 이민자의 유입이 없으면 인구가 지속적으로 감소할 것이며, 저출산과 평균수명의 연장의 결과로 인해 제1차 인구변천이론에 의해 예측된 인구보다 고령화될 것으로 전망한다. 제2차 인구변천에 대한 논의는 인구변천을 겪고 있는 유럽 국가들의 인구학적 변화를 밝히는데 중요할 뿐만 아니라 한국 사회의 인구학적 변화를 설명하는데 중요한 근거를 제공할 것으로 기대된다. 한국의 제2차 인구변천에서 두드러지게 나타나고 있는 상황은 저출산이다. 저출산 현상은 다양한 요인들이 유기적으로 연결되어 나타난 것이다. 이 중 결혼율의 감소, 초혼 연령의 상승, 이혼율의 상승, 소자녀 가치관 등 가족형성과 관련된 변수들은 저출산에 직접적으로 영향을 주는 변인으로 볼 수 있다. 이들은 제2차 인구변천 내용에 포함된 인구학적 변수들과 크게 다르지 않다. 다만 이러한 변인들에 영향을 주는 요인들이 유럽 사회와 다르게 작동하고 있는 것으로 보인다. 인구학적 변인 이외에 양성평등의 관념, 노동시장의 불안정성, 자녀 양육 및 교육 비용 등은 한국 사회의 저출산을 이해하는데 상대적으로 설명력이 큰 변인으로 볼 수 있다.

Compressed Demographic Transition and Economic Growth in the Latecomer

  • Inyong Shin;Hyunho Kim
    • 분석과 대안
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.35-77
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to solve the entangled loop between demographic transition (DT) and economic growth by analyzing cross-country data. We undertake a national-level group analysis to verify the compressed transition of demographic variables over time. Assuming that the LA (latecomer advantage) on DT over time exists, we verify that the DT of the latecomer is compressed by providing a formal proof of LA on DT over income. As a DT has the double-kinked functions of income, we check them in multiple aspects: early maturation, leftward threshold, and steeper descent under a contour map and econometric methods. We find that the developing countries (the latecomer) have speedy DT (CDT, compressed DT) as well as speedy income such that DT of the latecomers starts at lower levels of income, lasts for a shorter period, and finishes at the earlier stage of economic development compared to that of developed countries (the early mover). To check the balance of DT, we classify countries into four groups of DT---balanced, slow, unilateral, and rapid transition countries. We identify that the main causes of rapid transition are due to the strong family planning programs of the government. Finally, we check the effect of latecomer's CDT on economic growth inversely: we undertake the simulation of the CDT effect on economic growth and the aging process for the latecomer. A worrying result is that the CDT of the latecomer shows a sharp upturn of the working-age population, followed by a sharp downturn in a short period. Compared to early-mover countries, the latecomer countries cannot buy more time to accommodate the workable population for the period of demographic bonus and prepare their aging societies for demographic onus. Thus, we conclude that CDT is not necessarily advantageous to developing countries. These outcomes of the latecomer's CDT can be re-interpreted as follows. Developing countries need power sources to pump up economic development, such as the following production factors: labor, physical and financial capital, and economic systems. As for labor, the properties of early maturation and leftward thresholds on DTs of the latecomer mean that demographic movement occurs at an unusually early stage of economic development; this is similar to a plane that leaks fuel before or just before take-off, with the result that it no longer flies higher or farther. What is worse, the property of steeper descent represents the falling speed of a plane so that it cannot be sustained at higher levels, and then plummets to all-time lows.

현대패션에 나타난 그린 컬러의 감성이미지 및 선호도 - 부산, 울산, 경남 지역을 중심으로 - (Sensory Image and Preference of the Color Green Shown in Modern Fashion - With Regard to Busan, Ulsan and Gyungnam Area -)

  • 박영희
    • 한국의상디자인학회지
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 2015
  • After drawing the sensory images from the color green, the difference of sensory images and the difference of the color green according to demographic characteristics and which factors affect the preference have been analysed. The thirty six-photos of 2013 women fashion show on the STYLE.COM were used for the stimuli of green colour fashion for the questionnaire. The people surveyed were adults in their 20s to 50s. The 123 copies of the questionnaire were used for the statistical analysis of this study. Factor analysis, Cronbach's ${\alpha}$ test, t-test, ANOVA, Duncan test and Regression analysis test were carried out by SPSS 19 for the statistical analysis of collected data. The results were as follows. The sensory images of green fashion were drawn in six types. The sensory images of green fashion according to demographic characteristics showed a significant difference depending on martial status, age, monthly income and occupation. The preference of green colour fashion according to demographic characteristics showed a significant difference depending on sex, age, monthly income, occupation. The variables affecting the preference of green fashion were identified as four types, and the most affecting variable to the preference was the favorable and familiar factor. These research results will become available on selecting the target customer and making the marketing differentiation strategy when planning fashion products.

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라이프스타일 집단별 외모관리행동과 삶의 만족도의 차이분석 (Differences of Appearance Management Behaviors and Life Satisfaction among Lifestyle Groups)

  • 박광희;김인숙
    • 한국의류산업학회지
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.554-564
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    • 2013
  • We provide an empirical assessment that examines the differences in appearance management behavior, life satisfaction and demographic variables between groups classified by individual lifestyle. Questionnaires were administered to 513 female and male adults over 17 years of age in the Daegu and Kyungbok metropolitan regions. Descriptive statistics, cluster analysis, Cronbach's ${\alpha}$, ANOVA, Duncan test and ${\chi}^2$ test were applied to analyze data from 513 respondents. The results are as follows. First, we did a cluster analysis on the appearance management behavior of weight training, skin care, hair care, make-up and clothing selection. Four groups (passive, rational, fashion oriented, and active typed) where classified according to individual lifestyle. Second, the rational and active groups were more interested in the social life, environmental stability, health, fashion and economic seeking life. They were also more involved in appearance management behavior and in a higher level of life satisfaction. However, the differences of life satisfaction among the lifestyle group (male) were not statistically significant. Third, females with higher level of income and education (among the demographic variables) belonged to the active group. We found significant differences in appearance management behavior, life satisfaction and demographic variables among male and female groups classified by lifestyle.

A maximum likelihood approach to infer demographic models

  • Chung, Yujin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.385-395
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    • 2020
  • We present a new maximum likelihood approach to estimate demographic history using genomic data sampled from two populations. A demographic model such as an isolation-with-migration (IM) model explains the genetic divergence of two populations split away from their common ancestral population. The standard probability model for an IM model contains a latent variable called genealogy that represents gene-specific evolutionary paths and links the genetic data to the IM model. Under an IM model, a genealogy consists of two kinds of evolutionary paths of genetic data: vertical inheritance paths (coalescent events) through generations and horizontal paths (migration events) between populations. The computational complexity of the IM model inference is one of the major limitations to analyze genomic data. We propose a fast maximum likelihood approach to estimate IM models from genomic data. The first step analyzes genomic data and maximizes the likelihood of a coalescent tree that contains vertical paths of genealogy. The second step analyzes the estimated coalescent trees and finds the parameter values of an IM model, which maximizes the distribution of the coalescent trees after taking account of possible migration events. We evaluate the performance of the new method by analyses of simulated data and genomic data from two subspecies of common chimpanzees in Africa.

대학생의 孝行에 관한 연구 (A Study on the College Students' Behavior of Hyo(filial-piety))

  • 고경미;서병숙
    • 가정과삶의질연구
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.205-221
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    • 1988
  • The purpose of this study is to classify several variable which were assumed to have relationship with the college students behavior of Hyo, to see their possible correlation with demographic characteristics, and to proved some useful data for their possible correlation with demographic characteristics. and to provide some useful data for their sound value system. The data for this study was obtained form the survey of the 477 students who reside in the city of Seoul by using questionnaire methods. The frequency of variables was statistically analyzed to see the general character of the samples and factor analysis was made for classification of the college student's behavior of Hyo. In order to study th characteristic of demographic variables, t-test and ANOVA were conducted The major findings of this study can be summarized as follows. 1) As the result of factor analysis about behavior of Hyo, six factors (Which Eigen value was above 1.0) out of 64 questions were extracted : 'respect' familiarity' 'family consciousness' 'serve' self-preservation, establishmence of them-selves in life' and 'self-reliance' were selected. 2)In general, it can be said that the college students' behavior of Hyo varies by demographic variables. 3) By surveying the level of actualizing Hyo of the college students' all of factors ranged from 'the middle' to 'the high level'. The result confirmed that students fulfilled the behavior of Hyo to their parents in all items.

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외모 관심과 인구통계학적 변인이 의복 동조성에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Appearance Interest and Demographic Characteristics on Clothing Conformity)

  • 박광희;유화숙
    • 한국의류산업학회지
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.210-218
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    • 2013
  • This study examined the degree of appearance interest and clothing conformity, the impacts of appearance interest on clothing conformity, and the effects of appearance interest and demographic variables on clothing conformity. A questionnaire survey collected data from October $3^{rd}$ to $27^{th}$ 2011. A convenience sample was drawn from adults between the ages of 17 and 76 who lived in the Daegu and Gyeongbuk regions of South Korea. A total of 513 responses produced complete and usable questionnaires. Data were tested through factor analysis and regression analysis, using SPSS 20.0. The results of this study are as follows : First, three factors were extracted from clothing conformity (normative, informative, identifiable conformity). The appearance interest was relatively high and normative conformity was the highest level among three factors of clothing conformity. Second, appearance interest was significant predictors of clothing conformity. Third, demographic variables such as gender, marital status, age and education levels had significant effects on the relationship between appearance interest and clothing conformity.

2001년 국민건강영양조사 자료를 이용한 한국 성인의 건강증진용 식품 사용실태 (Health Intended Food Use by Korean Adults: Data from the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2001)

  • 정해랑
    • 대한영양사협회학술지
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.369-377
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    • 2006
  • Data from the 2001 Korea Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, a nationally representative, cross-sectional survey, were analyzed to assess prevalence of health intended food use overall and in relation to socio-demographic and lifestyle characteristics. Health intended food were classified into four broadly defined categories: vitamin and mineral supplements, health aid food, animal protein based restorative food and medicinal plants. Thirty three percent of adults aged 20 years or older reported taking health intended food in the past year : twenty four percent took vitamin or mineral supplements and medicinal plants were taken by 17 % of adults, health aid food by 15% and animal protein based restorative food by 6%. In multivariate logistic regression, female gender, older age, more education, regular exercise and non smoking were associated with greater use of vitamin or mineral supplements. Dietary quality was significantly associated with use of vitamin or mineral supplements or health aid food but not with use of medicinal plants or animal protein based restorative foods. Obese persons were less likely to take vitamin or mineral supplements. These findings suggest that epidemiologic studies of diet, demographic or lifestyle and health take health intended food use into account because of high prevalence of use of the food by the population and differential use of the food by socio-demographic and lifestyle characteristics.

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성인 남성의 신사복에 대한 선호 디자인 및 요구 성능 (A Study on the Preference Design and the Demand Performance for Adult Men's Suit)

  • 박영희;한승희
    • 복식문화연구
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2010
  • This study diagnosed difference of preference about demand performance with design of men's suit according to demographic characteristic and figured out Needs of adult man consumers for men's suit. This study is survey research. In order to collect data, a questionnaire was used. To analyze the collected data, fact analysis, $\chi^2$, ANOVA, Duncan's multiple comparisons and the rest were carried out with using SPSS 14.0. Result of this study could get as following. According to silhouette and color, there was difference to age, attainments in scholarship and preference according to job. Also young people preferred fitted-silhouette and in occasion of color, all of them preferred best black. It was no difference according to demographic characteristic in preferring pattern but preferred best solid on the whole. Demand performance of men's suit appeared by five main causes of design, practicality, comfort, appearance appropriateness, another person awareness and functional materials. And most main causes showed difference according to demographic characteristic.

Correlation Analysis of Self-employment of Retirees Using Demographic Characteristics of the Retail Establishment

  • Kim, Jong-Jin;Youn, Myoung-Kil
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - This study investigated the demographic characteristics of retirees who sought not to be reemployed or join an organization but, instead, to be self-employed. This study verified self-employment by regional and/or educational features to determine the self-employment factors and the policies required. Research design, data, and methodology - Models and hypotheses were used to verify the conversion into self-employment depending on retirees' demographic characteristics. This study investigated regions according to precedent studies and used SPSS 18.0 as follows. First, frequency was used to investigate the general characteristics. Second, a factor correlation analysis was done. Results - Hypothesis 1, which stated that, "retirees with low educational background often start a self-employed business," was significant. Hypothesis 2, which stated that, "retirees in metropolitan areas frequently start a self-employed business," was significant. Hypothesis 3, which stated that, "retirees in a megalopolis frequently start a self-employed business," was significant. Conclusions - A preliminary startup education was needed to lessen the losses. Retirees should have preliminary knowledge of actual self-employment conditions to be given a startup education.