• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand and Supply

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Evaluation Algorithms for Multiple Function of Dispersed Electrical Energy Storage Systems

  • Son, Joon-ho;Choi, Sung-Sik;Rho, Dae-Seok
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.2245-2253
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    • 2018
  • With the increase of electrical consumption and the unbalance of power demand and supply, power reserve rate is getting smaller and also the reliability of the power supply is getting deteriorated. Under this circumstance, the electrical energy storage (EES) System is considered as one of essential countermeasure for demand side management. This paper proposes efficient evaluation algorithms of multiple functions for EES systems, especially the secondary battery energy storage systems, in the case where they are interconnected with the power distribution systems. It is important to perform the economic evaluation for the new energy storage systems in a quantitative manner, because they are very costly right now. In this paper, the multiple functions of EES systems such as load levelling, effective utilization of power distribution systems and uninterruptible power supply are classified, and then the quantitative evaluation methods for their functions are proposed. From the case studies, it is verified that EES systems installed at distribution systems in a dispersed manner have multiple functions involved with direct and indirect benefits and also they can be expected to introduce to distribution systems with respects to economical point of view.

Forecasting Demand of Agricultural Tractor, Riding Type Rice Transplanter and Combine Harvester by using an ARIMA Model

  • Kim, Byounggap;Shin, Seung-Yeoub;Kim, Yu Yong;Yum, Sunghyun;Kim, Jinoh
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: The goal of this study was to develop a methodology for the demand forecast of tractor, riding type rice transplanter and combine harvester using an ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) model, one of time series analysis methods, and to forecast their demands from 2012 to 2021 in South Korea. Methods: To forecast the demands of three kinds of machines, ARIMA models were constructed by following three stages; identification, estimation and diagnose. Time series used were supply and stock of each machine and the analysis tool was SAS 9.2 for Windows XP. Results: Six final models, supply based ones and stock based ones for each machine, were constructed from 32 tentative models identified by examining the ACF (autocorrelation function) plots and the PACF (partial autocorrelation function) plots. All demand series forecasted by the final models showed increasing trends and fluctuations with two-year period. Conclusions: Some forecast results of this study are not applicable immediately due to periodic fluctuation and large variation. However, it can be advanced by incorporating treatment of outliers or combining with another forecast methods.

Understanding Uncertainties in Projecting Water Demand and Effects of Climate Change for Adaptive Management of Water Supply Risk of the Water Resources System (수자원 시설 물공급 리스크의 적응형 관리를 위한 물수요 및 기후변화 영향의 불확실성 검토)

  • Lee, Sang-Eun;Park, Hee-Kyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.293-305
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    • 2011
  • A special concern is paid to the risks with which small-sized water resources systems are confronted in supplying water in the far future. Taking the Gwangdong dam reservoir as a case study, the authors seek to understand demand-side and supply-side disturbances of a reservoir, which, respectively, corresponds to effects of water demand changes on the intake amount and those of climate changes on the inflow amount. In result, it is demonstrated that both disturbances in the next 50 years are almost unpredictable. Yet the projection ranges, thought of as relatively reliable information that models offer, reveal that severity and period of water shortage is very likely to change. It is therefore concluded that water resources management requires more rigorous approaches to overcoming high uncertainties. The methods and models for projecting those disturbances are selected, based on practicality and applicability. Nevertheless, they show a large usefulness, especially in dealing with data shortage and reducing the needs for expensive modeling resources.

World Food Perspective and Food Security in Korea (세계 식량전망과 한국의 식량대책)

  • Kim Kwang Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Crop Science Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.189-209
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    • 1998
  • Food resources have been supplied more and more by crop land expansion, technological Improvement for higher crop yield, establishment of irrigation system, and input of fertilizers, chemicals and others, to sustain a world population increase currently about 6 billion. Food demand will be significantly increased in the 21st century due to population increases of 90 million per year and more consumption of meat with per capital income increase. But food production increase will be limited by difficulty of crop/irrigation land expansion and small or decreasing effectiveness of fertilizer use. Development of new techniques for higher yield per ha is only one way to meet future food demand increase. Optimistic prospect for food demand/supply balance was reported by FAO until 2010, and IFPRI until 2020. However, Worldwatch Institute warned world food supply will be less than expected demand by 500 million tons of cereal grains in 2030. It is necessary to establish a national plan to meet expected worldwide shortage of food resources in 21 century. What planning should be under taken to meet the upcoming century of food shortage in Korea whose food self-sufficiency rate is only $30{\%}$. It is recommended that (1) keep paddy field area as much as 1,100 thousand ha, (2) expansion of barley and wheat cultivation on all paddy area in winter season, (3) continue development of new technology to get international superiority of food resources produced in Korea, (4) expand nationwide the importance of food security under the current financial crisis encountered In Korea, and for food security in the future unified Korean peninsula.

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A Study on the Cremation Status of Public Cremation Facilities By Jurisdiction Area and Outside of the Jurisdiction Area Targeting Users of E-Haneul Funeral Information System in Jeollabuk-do

  • Choi, Jae-sil;Kim, Jeong-lae
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.187-197
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    • 2021
  • We present following research summary and implications through the analysis of the research. First, the before the opening of public cremation facilities compared to new opening of those, the number of the corpse cremation increases to annual average of 5.5% of the rate, and it has a positive effect on increasing rate of the cremation. Therefore, a policy of expanding the supply of public cremation facilities should be pursued to improve cremation rate in the area of uninstalled public cremation facilities. Second, the before the opening of public cremation facilities compared to new opening of those, the number of the corpse cremation has increased to the annual average 3,623 people(56.9%) at jurisdiction area, while it has decreased to 949 people (28.3%) at the out of the jurisdiction area. The active efforts and building the funding expansion should be made to establish public cremation facilities of the central and local governments to improve convenience of the use of public cremation facilities. Third, since the before and after opening of public cremation facilities at Jeongeup City lead to great effect on demand of jurisdiction area and out of the jurisdiction area, the cremation demand should be reduced through the supply expansion of public cremation facilities and differentiation strategy to control cremation demand at the out of the jurisdiction area, focusing on metropolitan areas with high cremation demand, such as metropolitan areas or metropolitan cities.

Heuristic for Distribution Planning in Capacitated Multi-echelon Supply Chains (생산 능력 제한이 있는 다계층 공급사슬의 분배계획을 위한 발견적 기법)

  • Kwon, Ick-Hyun;Shin, Hyun-Joon;Kim, Sung-Shick
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.124-132
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    • 2006
  • The system under study is a single item, multi-echelon distribution system with a capacitated production facility. All the nodes at the downstream ends are demand-sites, i.e., ordered items are delivered to the customers from the node. Also any transshipment depots in the midstream can be demand-sites as well. For a given planning period, at each of demand-site, demand is forecasted and known. Our objective is to minimize the average system cost per period which is the sum of holding and backorder costs in the entire network. Due to the capacity restrictions, it is difficult to establish efficient distribution planning. To overcome such a difficulty and obtain a reasonable and better solution, we convert this problem into a single machine earliness and weighted tardiness scheduling. We propose a simple but cost-effective heuristic for this problem. The experimental results showed that the proposed heuristic obtained much better solutions compared with another approach.

Gap Analysis between Required Technology in the Global Market and Supply of Construction Re-education (글로벌 건설시장에서의 요구기술과 건설재교육 공급현황 간 차이분석을 통한 개선방안 도출)

  • Lee, Seul-Ki;Shin, Seoung-Woo
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Planning & Design
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    • v.34 no.9
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2018
  • Demand for construction technology is expected to change due to changes in domestic and foreign construction markets and the fourth industrial revolution. In particular, demand for project management strategy and project management capability is even more increasing rather than existing production technology capability. However, the current re-education program for engineers and technicians in construction industry is not matching the need of improving capacity required to reflect the demand of construction technology from construction industry. Therefore, in this study, as a part of efforts in innovating the current global construction talent re-education system to cope with the change in the construction industry, we analyzed the difference between the demand of construction technology and the present condition of construction re-education program. In order to investigate the current status of re-education of construction, questionnaires were prepared to gather opinions from construction engineers who attended construction re-education program and also from industrial partners that are jointly doing business. This study can be an example to improve the construction re-education program as a system for substantially reinforcing the competence of engineers rather than those programs that are merely verifying and/or extending engineers' certification.

A Study on Transportation Optimization and Efficient Production Method of Raw Materials for Pellet for Construction of Supply Chain Management

  • Choi, Sang Hyun;Lee, Jae Hwan;Bakyt, Bekzhanov;Woo, Jong Choon
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.173-181
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    • 2016
  • This study designed a model of the efficient production schemes and raw materials transportation optimization of current South Korean's simple and monolithic distribution system of wood to build a SCM (supply chain management) as a basic level to establish a distribution of future by pellet production of raw materials costs and reduce transport costs, and specifically to forest of pallet to contribute to revitalizing the market. The result of each transportation costs after building the best transportation network from raw material supply area to demand area applying transport law was 964,600 thousands Won from 6 supply areas to 7 demand areas. And the result of each model's analysis to get the pellet's efficient production through production cost reduction showed that it reduced from 325,701 Won/t to 240,106 Won/t, results of existing efficient pellet for the production model 8,233 tons over 20,000 tons annual production capacity from the size of the expanded production capacity when the expansion. However, when the production size expanded to 50,000 Tons of the production, the effect was very small even though production cost decreased.

An Experimental Study on Understanding of Production Mechanism of a Mist from Fin-Tube Heat Exchanger (핀-튜브 열교환기에서의 습증기 발생 메커니즘의 파악을 위한 실험적 연구)

  • Park, S.K.;Yoon, S.H.;Kim, K.K.;Kim, M.H.;Oh, C.
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.595-604
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    • 2001
  • As an improvement in the standard of living and economic growth, the demand for air conditioning equipment is increasing rapidly. Nowadays, air conditioning equipments are being used for industry, large building, house and car. There equipments were concentrated on improving heat efficiency of economic aspects while thy design heat exchanger for cooling and heating. These air conditioning equipments using heat exchanger cause a discomfort to user due to generating mist at the beginning of operating. Therefore, the user demand air of high class and quality. In this experimental study, to acquire elementary data for development of heat exchanger which be able to supply air of high quality, that is to say, possess a restraint effect of mist generation. We estimate an effect on cooling plate quality, supply air velocity, supply air temperature, cooled plate temperature and supply air relative humidity which have an influence on outlet air condition of heat exchanger.

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Robust production and transportation planning for TFT-LCD industry under demand and price uncertainties using scenario model (시나리오 모델을 활용한 수요 및 가격 불확실성이 존재하는 TFT-LCD 산업에서의 Robust 생산 및 수송계획)

  • Shin, Hyun-Joon;Ru, Jae-Pil
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.9
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    • pp.3304-3310
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    • 2010
  • This study solves the decision making problems for TFT-LCD manufacturing supply chain with demand and price uncertainties by establishing robust production and distribution strategies. In order to control the decisions regarding production graded by quality, inventory level and distribution, this study develop scenario model based stochastic mixed integer linear programs (SMILPs) that consider demand and price uncertainties as well as realistic constraints such as capacities etc. The performance of the solution obtained from the SMILPs using robust algorithms will be evaluated through various scenarios.