• Title/Summary/Keyword: Delphi Method

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Factors and Elements for Cross-border Entrepreneurial Migration: An Exploratory Study of Global Startups in South Korea (델파이 기법과 AHP를 이용한 글로벌 창업이주 요인 탐색 연구: 국내 인바운드 사례를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Hwa-joon;Kim, Tae-yong;Lee, Jungwoo
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.31-43
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    • 2022
  • Startups are recognized as the vitality of the economy, and countries are competing to attract competitive overseas entrepreneurs and startups to their own startup ecosystem. In this global trend, entrepreneurs cross the border without hesitation, expecting abundant available resources and a startup friendly environment. Despite the increasing frequency of start-up migration between countries, studies related to this are very rare. Therefore, this study has chosen the cross-border migration of startups between countries as a research topic, and those who have been involved in the cross-border entrepreneurial migration to South Korea as a research sample. This study consists of two stages. The first research stage hires a Delphi method to collect expert opinions and find major factors related to the global startup migration. Drawing on the prior literature on the regional startup ecosystem at the national level, this stage is to conduct expert interviews in order to discover underlying factors and subfactors important for global migration of startups. The second stage measures the importance of the factors and subfactors using the AHP model. The priorities of factors and factors were identified hiring the overseas entrepreneurs who moved to Korea as the AHP survey samples. The results of this study suggest some interesting implications. First, a group of entrepreneurs with nomadic tendencies was found in the trend of global migration of entrepreneurs. They had already started their own businesses with the same business ideas in multiple countries before settling down in Korea. Second, important unique factors and subfactors in the context of global start-up migration were identified. A good example is the government's support package, including start-up visas. Third, it was possible to know the priority of the factors and subfactors that influence the global migration of startups This study is meaningful in that it preemptively conducted exploratory research focusing on a relatively new phenomenon of global startup migration, which recently catches attention in the global startup ecosystem. At the same time, it has a limitation in that it is difficult to generalize the meanings found in this study because the research was conducted based on the case of South Korea

Risk Influencing Factors in Performance of River Disaster Prevention Project (하천재해예방사업의 성과에 미치는 리스크 영향요인)

  • Cho, Jin-Ho;Kim, Byung-Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.417-428
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    • 2020
  • The characteristics of the construction project involved various stakeholders' involvement from the planning stage until completion of the object, which caused the uncertainty to increase. Successful construction projects require risk analysis and appropriate responses. Therefore, this study aimed to confirm the influence of risk management factors on the success of river disaster prevention construction in construction projects and the effect of moderating communication between stakeholders involved in the construction process. The Delphi method was used to derive the risk management factors of the construction process. The survey used a snow ball sampling method. For analysis, SPSS Statistic 20 and SmartPLS 2.0 were used. As a result of the study, the impact of risk management factors on project performance was found to be large in the order of time risk, quality risk, cost risk, safety risk, and construction environment risk. In addition, the impact of the communication moderating effect was large in the order of cost risk, quality risk, construction environment risk, time risk, and safety risk. In this study, it was confirmed that communication between stakeholders related to river disaster prevention work has a moderating effect that changes the ranking of impacts on project performance. This shows the importance of communication in the construction process of river disaster prevention works. This study has important significance in that it identifies the importance of risk management factors and communication in river disaster prevention works.

Capability Assessment on Korean Meteorological Technology: A Comparative Analysis of US, Japan, and UK (한국의 기상기술력 평가: 미국, 일본, 영국과 비교분석)

  • Kim, Hye-min;Park, So-yeon;Lee, Kyoungmi;Lim, Byung-hwan;Yoo, Seung-hoon
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.34-61
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this study is to assess the capability of meteorological technology in Korea, the United States, Japan, and the United Kingdom as of 2015 and compare them with the previous values for Korea, the United States, and Japan. For the comparison, the indicators and weights for the assessment similar to those used in previous studies are used and Gordon's rating model is applied here to evaluate the indicators and conduct a survey of weather experts. The survey was administered to 200 of experts in meteorology using the Delphi method. More specifically, we investigate four categories of observation, data processing, forecast, and climate. The overall results show that the United Kingdom has the highest capability of meteorological technology among the four countries. With the result of indicator evaluation on this study the United Kingdom has the highest capability of meteorological technologies compared with Korea, the United States, and Japan. The capability of meteorological technology in Korea is 88.5% of the United Kingdom, 89.9% of Japan, and 90.6% of the United States. The countries in order of score on survey evaluation are the United States, the United Kingdom, Japan, and Korea. Through the result of survey evaluation, the level of meteorological technology in Korea was 88.9% of the United States, 91.6% of the United Kingdom, and 92.2% of Japan.

Validation of Korean Nomenclature of NOC;Focused on 260 Outcomes (간호결과분류체계(Nursing Outcomes Classifications)의 한글 명명화에 대한 타당성 연구;260개 간호결과명을 중심으로)

  • Yoo, Hyung-Sook;Jang, In-Sun;Jeon, Mi-Soon;Kim, Hee-Girl;Nam, Hye-Kyung;Park, Yeon-Sook;Kim, Ok-Hyeon;Park, Hye-Ja;Hwang, Yun-Young;Lee, Jeong-Hee;Lee, Mi-Ja;Choi, Enn-Hee;Lee, In-Soon;Lee, Soon-Hee;Yom, Young-Hee;Chi, Sung-Ai
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing Administration
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.221-238
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    • 2002
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop and test the validity of the standardized Korean nomenclature of 260 Nursing Outcomes Classification(NOC) developed by Johnson and Mass at University of Iowa in 2000. Method: The four phases of the study were: (1) translation of the NOC into Korean by the Research Team, (2) nine nursing professors and nurses with various clinical backgrounds reviewed each nomenclature taking into consideration of definitions and outcome indicators. The modified Delphi method was used to determine the most appropriate nomenclature for each term, (3) 307 Clinical expert nurses more than three years field experiences were given a questionnaire to rate each Korean nomenclature using a 5 point Likert scale ranging from very inappropriate to very appropriate, and (4) final accordance of Korean Nomenclature. Result: The team determined that 260 Korean nomenclature was appropriately named. because the mean validity score of 260 outcomes was 3.90 and each of 260 Korean nomenclature had a score more than 3.00. Conclusion: Korean nomenclature of NOC can be used as a standardized language of nursing result in a computerized nursing information system.

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A Weight Analysis for Measuring the Management Performance of Strategic Business Units of Large Construction Companies (대형건설기업의 경영성과 측정을 위한 전략사업본부 비중분석)

  • Lee, Dong-Hoon;Park, Hye-Sung;Kim, Jung-Chul;Kim, Sun-Kuk
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.530-540
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    • 2013
  • The business environment that affects the management performance can be characterized by each Strategic Business Unit (SBU) since construction companies win overseas contracts due to the fairly good construction situations while experience a decline in the local housing market. Environmental changes can alter the strategic importance of the SBU when measuring the management performance. However, large construction companies apply BSC (Balanced Score Card) for collective calculation to determine the management performance, making it difficult to reflect the strategic importance of SBU. This method may create a distorted image of management performance that fails to take environmental changes into consideration, and as such it needs to be improved. Yet, there are no studies on the weight of each SBU considering environmental changes. Thus, the current study intends to analyze the weight of SBU for company-wide measurement of the performance of large construction companies. In addition, a model for analysis of SBU importance is proposed to respond to the constantly changing environmental situations and to modify the weight. For analysis of SBU weight, a questionnaire was conducted with 23 experts and hands-on workers, and the questionnaire result was quantitatively analyzed by applying the FD-AHP method. It is expected that the result will enable a model to be proposed to calculate the weight per division in a manner that reflects environmental changes and minimizes strategic distortion when measuring the management performance of large construction companies.

Risk Assessment and Clasification for Climate Change Adaptation: Application on the Method of Climate Change Risk Assessment in the UK (기후변화 적응을 위한 리스크 평가 및 유형화: 영국의 정성적 리스크 평가 방법론 적용)

  • Kim, Dong Hyun
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.53-83
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    • 2015
  • Recently, climate change risk assessment has been discussed as a medium process for making climate change adaptation policies in the research field of climate change adaptation. Climate change risk assessment has been understood to have an intermediary role among impact assessment, vulnerable assessment and policy, and is used in the process of devising adaptation policies in the United Kingdom (UK). This paper quantitatively assessed the risks of climate change in Korea, applied the methods used in the UK, underwent the classification process and suggested implications of Korean adaptation policies. A survey of experts, based on Delphi's method and the classification criterion developed by Klinke and Renn(2002), was also carried out. A list of climate risks was created from the climate change impact and vulnerability assessment report of Korea, first national adaptation policy of Korea, and general climate risks of the UK. From the results, 42 risks out of total 125 risks were selected based on their importance. The assessed risks with factors, such as high impact and urgency, are related to repeated and large scale damage from storms and floods caused by abnormal or extreme weather events. Ecological changes and social infrastructure risks were engaged as required as a policy response for medium to longer term. As for making the classification, types of climate risks were suggested to manage the basic capacity in relation to social trust, triggering mechanism and responsibility. Following suggestions are put forward as the base of autonomous adaptation: increasing the capacity of civil society, mutual trust and civil participation in adaptation policy process.

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Identification of Emerging Research at the national level: Scientometric Approach using Scopus (국가적 차원의 유망연구영역 탐색: Scopus 데이터베이스를 이용한 과학계량학적 접근)

  • Yeo, Woon-Dong;Sohn, Eun-Soo;Jung, Eui-Seob;Lee, Chang-Hoan
    • Journal of Information Management
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.95-113
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    • 2008
  • In todays environment in which scientific technologies are changing very fast than ever, companies have to monitor and search emerging technologies to gain competitiveness. Actually many nations try to do that. Most of them use Dephi approach based on experts review as a searching method. But experts review has been criticised for probability of inclination and its derivative problems in the sense that it is accomplished only by expert's subjectivity. To overcome such problems, we used Scientometric Method for identifying emerging technology that had been done by Delphi as a rule. We made three particular efforts in order to improve the Quality of the result. Firstly, we selected one alternative database between SCI and Scopus hoping to see evenly-distributing results in wide fields on the front burner. Secondly we used Fractional citation counting in counting citation number in the stage of linear regression analysis. Lastly, we verified Scientometric result with experts opinions to minimize probable errors in a Scientometric research. As a result, we derived 290 emerging technologies from Scientometric analysis with Scopus Database, and visualized them on 2-dimension map with data mining system named KnowledgeMatrix which was developed by KISTI.

A Study on the Improvement of the Policy Utilization of Technology Foresight Using a Scenario : Renewable Energy Scenario (시나리오를 이용한 과학기술예측조사의 정책 활용도 제고에 관한 연구 : 신재생에너지 시나리오)

  • Yim, Hyun;Han, Jong-Min;Son, Seok-Ho;Hwang, Ki-Ha
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.53-74
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    • 2010
  • The creation and acceptance of new technologies has been speeding up dramatically in modern times. There are also significant uncertainties about the future shape of markets, governance and social values that will have an important impact on organizations and their capacity to meet their objectives. These rapid technological and social change and uncertainties make the upsurge of interest in technology foresight, giving rise to its emergence as a global concept and policy tool. A wide range of future methods are available for technology foresight. Selection of methods will depend upon several factors, most notably available and the time financial resources, and the objectives of the exercise. Although Delphi has been widely used for many years, scenario becomes very popular in recent years. The use of scenarios can take better account of the complexity and unpredictability of the economic, social and political environments. Scenarios tell the stories describing paths to different futures, which help organizations make better decisions today. In this study, the scenario method was employed to draw the images of the future of renewable energy. Renewable energy grows dramatically in recent years. However, there is still considerable uncertainty with regard to the potential of renewable energy due to environment regulation, energy costs, and political and economic developments in the main supplier countries for oil and natural gas. Scenario can help us to identify the risks and opportunities when we develop the renewable energy, and to prepare for them. The scenario method is expected to be more utilized in the national technology foresight.

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A study on improvements of disaster management with public-private partnerships (재난관리 민관협력 개선방안 연구)

  • Yoo, Soonduck
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.171-180
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this research is to study how efficiently corporate public-private partnerships in disaster management is. The research method involved interviewing fifteen experts in disaster management, who were questioned about assisting disaster-stricken areas in accordance with public-private partnerships. These experts offered the following suggestions for improving disaster management methodology. First, to overcome the lack systematic management in the public-private partnerships for disaster relief to expand and strengthen the role of civil organizations. Second, disaster managers and private organizations should have active communication along secure channels so that private organizations can take advantage of the talents that public and private entities own. Third, for civilian experts to share their information, which should be actively utilized to support disaster management in local government. Fourth, education and training for public-private partnerships should be made on an ongoing basis. Fifth, effective disaster management and recognition of public-private cooperation should be strengthened. Finally, private sector support should be made. This study was applied to the Delphi method and that improvements can be made to a variety of populations, such as questionnaires. The results of this study will contribute to the policy options for establishing public-private partnerships in disaster management.

The Application of Science Education Lecture for Pre-Service Teacher Using Teaching-Learning Method Based on Flipped Learning (플립러닝 교수-학습 방법을 활용한 예비교사의 과학교육론 수업 적용)

  • Jeon, Young-ju;Yoon, Ma-byong
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.499-507
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    • 2016
  • A flipped learning class was held in an attempt to overcome the limits of lecture-type classes in pre-service science teacher training and to provide a student-oriented education suitable for digital native generation. The principles of teaching-learning in flipped learning were applied to the general ADDIE model to design the class; learning materials were developed accordingly. The developed flipped learning materials and class design were verified for their validity using an expert panel's Delphi method and validity test, in which the validity was verified with 0.75 CVR. The developed flipped learning materials were applied to the theory of science education and the instructional effectiveness was analyzed. The results suggest that the students' motivation to study, interest, and confidence in learning increased; however, their satisfaction in class decreased by 30% as compared to the lecture-type class and their self-confidence in the improvement of their academic achievement was not sufficient. In order for a flipped learning class to be successful, the class should be small in size, which would ensure appropriate teacher-student communication and individualized learning; also, the students' burden of learning should be reduced and accessibility to video materials for pre-class learning should be reinforced.