• Title/Summary/Keyword: Delayed Failure

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Estimating Failure Rate Using Warranty Claim Data with Delayed Report of Customers (고객의 지연보고를 고려한 보증수리내역자료에서의 고장률 추정)

  • Park, J.H.;Kim, Y.H.;Baek, J.H.;Lie, C.H.
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.176-181
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    • 2010
  • Warranty claim data analysis is a useful tool for the manufacturer because it contains many useful informations regarding reliability of the product in the real-world environments. Because of the nature of uncertainty and the incompleteness of data, some bias patterns are observed on warranty claim rate known as 'spikes'. Two types of spikes are considered. One is due to manufacturing-related failures. The other is caused by customer's behavior. This paper proposes a model by considering two types of spikes. Warranty claim data is analyzed with the proposed model. To represent spikes observed on the early warranty period, we classify failures into manufacturing-related failures and usage-related failures. Uniform distribution is assumed for the time delayed to diagnose and report by customers. By reducing maximum value of the delayed time by customers, the proposed model characterizes customer's rush in the vicinity of the warranty expiration limit. Experimental results by using the real warranty claim data show that the proposed model is better than the existing one in respect to MSE(Mean Squared Error). Moreover it is expected to estimate the failure rate more realistically with proposed model because it considers the delayed time to diagnose and report by customers.

Instrumental perforation of the esophagus the results of delayed surgical drainage more than 24 hours (식도질환의 기계적 처치후 발생한 식도파열 치험 -외과적 처치가 지연되었던 6예-)

  • 이두연
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.744-749
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    • 1986
  • Even in the hands of the expert endoscopists, an occasional instrumental perforation of the esophagus occurs. But instrumental perforation of the esophagus should not be difficult to diagnose if the possibility is borne in mind. Occasionally patient with esophageal perforations show little reaction at first, but usually they develop systemic manifestation if surgical management is delayed. Early surgical drainage of esophageal perforation is very important & effective therapeutic method. The delayed surgical treatment of esophageal perforation would have increased the morbidity & mortality by allowing mediastinitis & empyema thoracis. We have experienced 6 cases of delayed surgical management of instrumental perforation of esophagus from May 1974 to April 1986 in the department of thoracic and cardiovascular surgery, Yonsei University, college of the medicine. The ages ranged from 4 years to 57 years. The underlying esophageal diseases consisted of esophageal stricture in 3 cases, foreign bodies in the esophagus in 2 cases and esophageal ca. in one case. Most clinical manifestations on admission were high fever, chest discomfort, chest pain, dysphagia and subcutaneous emphysema. Most complications due to esophageal rupture were acute mediastinitis with or without empyema thoracis. Failure to diagnose promptly and failure to promptly institute adequate treatment undoubtedly were largely responsible for this patients death. All 6 patients had been taken delayed surgical drainage more than 24 hours following esophageal perforation. One patient had been in the open drainage state for long time and the another patient has been in the tracheostomy with postintubation vocal cord ulceration. The third patient died due to respiratory failure and sepsis due to fulminant mediastinitis & empyema thoracis. Even if the patients with esophageal perforation have been taken delayed surgical management, the patients should be survived with aggressive & effective surgical drainage with intensive post-operative care.

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Experimental Study on The Bending Collapse Characteristics of Al Rectangular Tubes (알루미늄 사각관의 굽힘붕괴특성에 관한 실험적 고찰)

  • 강신유;김창수;정태은
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 1997.03a
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    • pp.265-272
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    • 1997
  • In this paper the bending collapse characteristics of 60 series Al rectangular tubes were studied with a pure bending collapse test rig which could apply the pure bending moment, there occured three kinds of bending collapse modes - local buckling, delayed buckling, tensile failure - depending on the b/t(width/thickness) ratio and material properties. Experiment results are compared with the results of finite element method.

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Complete trisomy 14 mosaicism: first live-born case in Korea

  • Hur, Yun Jung;Hwang, Taegyu
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.55 no.10
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    • pp.393-396
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    • 2012
  • Trisomy 14 mosaicism is a rare chromosome disorder characterized by delayed development, failure to thrive, and facial dysmorphism. Only approximately 30 trisomy 14 mosaicism cases have been reported in the literature because trisomy 14 is associated with early spontaneous abortion. We report a case of a 17-month-old girl with abnormal skin pigmentation, delayed development, facial dysmorphism, and failure to thrive with the 47,XX,+14/46,XX chromosome complement.

Delayed Sternal Closure After Heart Surgery in Neonate (신생아 개심술후 지연 흉골봉합)

  • 성시찬
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.28 no.11
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    • pp.977-982
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    • 1995
  • Early repair of complex congenital heart malformation may lead to life-threatening respiratory and hemodynamic embarrassment on sternal closure. We performed delayed sternal closure in nine neonates to avoid a fatal outcome in these situations. Primary elective open sternum was used in 8 [66.7% and primary sternal closure in 4 [33.3% of the 12 patients studied. one patient with primary sternal closure underwent delayed sternal reopening in the intensive care unit. Of the 9 patients with open sternum, 2 patients died of low cardiac output and acute renal failure respectively before delayed sternal closure. 7 patients could undergo delayed sternal closures 3 days after initial operation. The mean age at open cardiac procedure was 14.3 days [range 3 to 30 and mean preoperative weight was 3.4kg [range 2.8 to 4.1 . The aortic cross-clamping time was longer in the group with open sternum than the group with closed sternum [p=0.042 . There was no morbidity and mortality related to delayed sternal closure. Given the low morbidity and potential benifits, this technique should be used in neonates after open heart procedures when postoperative mediastinal compression produces frank low cardiac output or respiratoy compromise during a trial of sternal closure.

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A Comparative Analysis of Failure Rate, Effective Failure Rate and Equivalent Failure Rate of A System Composed of Identical Parallel Units (병렬구조 시스템의 고장률, 유효(有效) 고장률과 대등(對等) 고장률의 비교분석)

  • Cho, Kyung-Hwan
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.256-261
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    • 2015
  • The aim of this paper is to present some issues to be discussed in relation to failure rate of a system that has identical parallel units. It is assumed that Time-to-Failure of each unit has the same exponential distribution and all units are repairable with a periodic maintenance of time interval T. Effective failure rate is widely recommended for nonrepairable systems as the reciprocal of MTTF but it should not be applied for repairable systems if delayed maintenance is used. And equivalent failure rate of an imaginary system is taken into consideration, the reliability value of which is the same as that of the redundant system when time interval T is given. With a numerical example, failure rate, effective failure rate, and equivalent failure rate of the redundant system are analyzed comparatively.

Failure Probability Estimation of Flaw in CANDU Pressure Tube Considering the Dimensional Change (가동중 중수로 압력관의 외경과 두꼐 변화를 고려한 결함의 파손확률 예측)

  • Kwak, Sang-Log;Lee, Joon-Seong;Kim, Young-Jin;Park, Youn-Won
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.26 no.11
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    • pp.2305-2311
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    • 2002
  • The pressure tube is a major component of the CANDU reactor, which supports nuclear fuel bundle and heavy water coolant. Pressure tubes are installed horizontally inside the reactor and only selected samples are periodically examined during in-service inspection. In this respect, a probabilistic safety assessment method is more appropriate fur the assessment of overall pressure tube safety. The failure behavior of CANDU pressure tubes, however, is governed by delayed hydride cracking which is the major difference from pipings and reactor pressure vessels. Since the delayed hydride cracking has more widely distributed governing parameters, it is impossible to apply a general PFM methodology directly. In this paper, a PFM methodology for the safety assessment of CANDU pressure tubes is introduced by applying Monte Carlo simulation in determining failure probability Initial hydrogen concentration, flaw shape and depth, axial and radial crack growth rate and fracture toughness were considered as probabilistic variables. Parametric study has been done under the base of pressure tube dimension and hydride precipitation temperature in calculating failure probability. Unstable fracture and plastic collapse are used for the failure assessment. The estimated failure probability showed about three-order difference with changing dimensions of pressure tube.

The Comparative Study for Property of Learning Effect based on Truncated time and Delayed S-Shaped NHPP Software Reliability Model (절단고정시간과 지연된 S-형태 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰모형에 근거한 학습효과특성 비교연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2012
  • In this study, in the process of testing before the release of the software products designed, software testing manager in advance should be aware of the testing-information. Therefore, the effective learning effects perspective has been studied using the NHPP software. The finite failure nonhomogeneous Poisson process models presented and applied property of learning effect based on truncated time and delayed S-shaped software reliability. Software error detection techniques known in advance, but influencing factors for considering the errors found automatically and learning factors, by prior experience, to find precisely the error factor setting up the testing manager are presented comparing the problem. As a result, the learning factor is greater than autonomous errors-detected factor that is generally efficient model can be confirmed. This paper, a failure data analysis was performed, using time between failures, according to the small sample and large sample sizes. The parameter estimation was carried out using maximum likelihood estimation method. Model selection was performed using the mean square error and coefficient of determination, after the data efficiency from the data through trend analysis was performed.

Utilizing Under Voltage Load Shedding Strategy to Prevent Delayed Voltage Recovery Problem in Korean Power System

  • Lee, Yun-Hwan;Oh, Seung-Chan;Lee, Hwan-Ik;Park, Sang-Geon;Lee, Byong-Jun
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.60-67
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    • 2018
  • The presence of induction motor loads in a power system may cause the phenomenon of delayed voltage recovery after the occurrence of a severe fault. A high proportion of induction motor loads in the power system can be a significant influence on the voltage stability of the system. This problem referred to as FIDVR(Fault Induced Delayed Voltage Recovery) is commonly caused by stall of small HVAC unit(Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioner) after transmission or distribution system failure. This delayed voltage recovery arises from the dynamic characteristics associated with the kinetic energy of the induction motor load. This paper proposes the UVLS (Under Voltage Load Shedding) control strategy for dealing with FIDVR. UVLS based schemes prevent voltage instability by shedding the load and can help avoid major economic losses due to wide-ranging cascading outages. This paper review recent topic about under voltage load shedding and compare decentralized load shedding scheme with conventional load shedding scheme. The load shedding strategy is applied to an actual system in order to verify the proposed FIDVR mitigation solution. Simulations demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method in resolving the problem of delayed voltage recovery in the Korean Power System.

A study of hydrogen embrittlement behavior in E.B welded 250,300 grade 18% Ni maraging steel (전자비임 용접한 250 및 300 Grade 18% Ni Maraging 강의 수소취화 거동에 관한 연구)

  • 윤한상;정병호
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.53-59
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    • 1987
  • The effect of applied stress, current density and heat-treatment after welding on the time to fracture, fracture behavior was investigated by the method of constant load tensile testing under catholic charging with hydrogen in E.B. welded 250,300 Grade 18% Ni Maraging steel sheet. The main results obtained are as follows: 1. All specimen showed the characteristic delayed failure and the time to fracture showed decreasing tendency with the increase in current density and applied stress. 2. Hydrogen embitterment susceptibility of notched specimen after solution-treatment and aging after welding was more increased than that of aged smooth specimen and as welded specimen. 3. Fracture surface showed a typical intergranular fracture on the border, a dimple pattern in the center of specimen and some quasi-cleavage fracture between the intergranular and the dimple.

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