• 제목/요약/키워드: Deep convection

검색결과 27건 처리시간 0.019초

안전한 항공기 운항을 위한 현업 전지구예보모델 기반 깊은 대류 예측 지수: Part 2. 계절별 최적화 및 사례 분석 (Aviation Convective Index for Deep Convective Area using the Global Unified Model of the Korean Meteorological Administration, Korea: Part 2. Seasonal Optimization and Case Studies)

  • 박이준;김정훈
    • 대기
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.531-548
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    • 2023
  • We developed the Aviation Convective Index (ACI) for predicting deep convective area using the operational global Numerical Weather Prediction model of the Korea Meteorological Administration. Seasonally optimized ACI (ACISnOpt) was developed to consider seasonal variabilities on deep convections in Korea. Yearly optimized ACI (ACIYrOpt) in Part 1 showed that seasonally averaged values of Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) and True Skill Statistics (TSS) were decreased by 0.420% and 5.797%, respectively, due to the significant degradation in winter season. In Part 2, we developed new membership function (MF) and weight combination of input variables in the ACI algorithm, which were optimized in each season. Finally, the seasonally optimized ACI (ACISnOpt) showed better performance skills with the significant improvements in AUC and TSS by 0.983% and 25.641% respectively, compared with those from the ACIYrOpt. To confirm the improvements in new algorithm, we also conducted two case studies in winter and spring with observed Convectively-Induced Turbulence (CIT) events from the aircraft data. In these cases, the ACISnOpt predicted a better spatial distribution and intensity of deep convection. Enhancements in the forecast fields from the ACIYrOpt to ACISnOpt in the selected cases explained well the changes in overall performance skills of the probability of detection for both "yes" and "no" occurrences of deep convection during 1-yr period of the data. These results imply that the ACI forecast should be optimized seasonally to take into account the variabilities in the background conditions for deep convections in Korea.

Design of Solar Cell Cooling System Using Convection Phenomena

  • Lee, Jae-hyuk
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.123-128
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    • 2020
  • We constructed a cooling system for solar cells using convection phenomena and investigated its cooling performance. The cooling system didn't need any driving power or water resources. The convection cooler manufactured with a right-triangle shape of an air duct was attached to the rear of the solar cell to confirm that cooling was performed using convection phenomena. When the ratio of duct width to attachment surface width was 3:7, and the ratio of entrance height and exit height of duct was 5:1, it showed the best cooling performance. Comparative experiments with solar cells without convection cooler showed that cooling effects from 16.5℃ to 20.9℃ occurred after 40 minutes exposed to the 1300W Xenon lamp condition.

동해고유수의 해양학적 특성 I. 겨울철 동해의 해황과 동해고유수 (Oceanographic Characteristics of the Japan Sea Proper Water I. Oceanographic Conditions of the Japan Sea and the Japan Sea Proper Water in Winter)

  • 최용규;양성기
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제3권4호
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    • pp.317-332
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    • 1994
  • Based on the Results of Marine Meteorological and Oceanographical Observations (1966 ~ 1987), oceanographic conditions of the Japan Sea in winter was studied in relation to the Japan Sea Proper Water (JSPW). The mean and dispersion of the deep water above 1000 m depth are 0.26$\pm$0.2$^{\circ}C$ in temperature and 5.1$\pm$0.25 ml/h in oxygen. The mean and dispersion of the bottom water below 1000m depth are 0.07$\pm$$0.04^{\circ}C$ in temperature and 5.1$\pm$0.15ml/1 in oxygen. The distributions of the temperature and dissolved oxygen in the deep water above 1000m depth are ranged wider than 각one of the bottom water below 1000m depth in T-S and T-$ extrm{O}_2$ diagrams. The bottom water are showed more homogeneous and smaller variations than the deep water in the characteristics of water mass. The deep water above 1000m depth is active in contact with the atmosphere. The JSPW similar to the above characteristics is showed in the open ocean of the north of $40^{\circ}$30""N, west of $138^{\circ}$E. Therefore, the deep water is formed probably by the open-ocean convection.tion.

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안전한 항공기 운항을 위한 현업 전지구예보모델 기반 깊은 대류 예측 지수: Part 1. 개발 및 통계적 검증 (Aviation Convective Index for Deep Convective Area using the Global Unified Model of the Korean Meteorological Administration, Korea: Part 1. Development and Statistical Evaluation)

  • 박이준;김정훈
    • 대기
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.519-530
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    • 2023
  • Deep convection can make adverse effects on safe and efficient aviation operations by causing various weather hazards such as convectively-induced turbulence, icing, lightning, and downburst. To prevent such damage, it is necessary to accurately predict spatiotemporal distribution of deep convective area near the airport and airspace. This study developed a new index, the Aviation Convective Index (ACI), for deep convection, using the operational global Unified Model of the Korea Meteorological Administration. The ACI was computed from combination of three different variables: 3-hour maximum of Convective Available Potential Energy, averaged Outgoing Longwave Radiation, and accumulative precipitation using the fuzzy logic algorithm. In this algorithm, the individual membership function was newly developed following the cumulative distribution function for each variable in Korean Peninsula. This index was validated and optimized by using the 1-yr period of radar mosaic data. According to the Receiver Operating Characteristics curve (AUC) and True Skill Score (TSS), the yearly optimized ACI (ACIYrOpt) based on the optimal weighting coefficients for 1-yr period shows a better skill than the no optimized one (ACINoOpt) with the uniform weights. In all forecast time from 6-hour to 48-hour, the AUC and TSS value of ACIYrOpt were higher than those of ACINoOpt, showing the improvement of averaged value of AUC and TSS by 1.67% and 4.20%, respectively.

동해고유수의 해양학적 특성 II. 동해고유수와 chimney (Oceanographic Characteristics of the Jspan Sea Proper Water II. The Japan Sea Proper Water and Chimney)

  • 최용규;조규대;양성기
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.121-139
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    • 1995
  • Based on the Results of Marine Meteorological and Oceanographical Observations (1966 -1987), the phenomenon of chimney is found as a candidate for the formation of the Japan Sea Proper Water (JSPW). The chimney phenomenon occurs twelve times Inuring 1966∼ 1987. The water types in the chimney denoting the deep convection are similar to those of the JSPW 0∼ 1℃ in potential temperature, 34.0∼34.1 ‰ in salinity and 68∼80 cl/t in potential thermosteric anomaly from the sea surface to the deep layer. The static stabilities in the chimney stations are unstable or neutral. This indicates that the winter time convection occurs. The JSPW sunken from the surface layer of chimney in winter spreads out under the Tsushima Warm Current area, following the isosteric surface of about 76 cl/t in Potential thermosteric anomaly. The formation of the deep water of the JSPW is mainly affected by the cooling of the sea surface than the evaporation of winds because the temperature and the salinity on the isoteric surface of about 76 cl/t in potential thermosteric anomaly ate cold and low The phenomenon of chimney occurred in here and there of the area in the north of 40" 30'N, west of 138" E. This suggests that the deep water of the JSPW is formed not in a limited area but probably in the overall region of the northern open ocean.

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대류가용잠재에너지와 대류억제도에 입각한 여름철 습윤 대류 예측성에 대한 연구 (A Study on the Predictability of Moist Convection during Summer based on CAPE and CIN)

  • 맹도열;강성락
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제44권6호
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    • pp.540-556
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구는 여름 및 초가을(6-9월)에 한반도에서 관측된 레윈존데 사운딩을 분석하여 대류가용잠재에너지와 대류억제도가 깊은 습윤 대류 및 강수 발생 예측에 유용성이 있는지를 확인해보았다. 레원존데 사운딩은 열역학적으로 깊은 습윤 대류가 발생할 가능성이 높은 고 대류가용잠재에너지 저 대류억제도 그룹과 대류 발생을 억제시킬 수 있는 저 대류가용잠재에너지 고 대류억제도 그룹으로 분류하였다. 이후, 두 그룹의 12시간 누적 강수량, 12시간 평균 최저운고, 12시간 평균 중하층운량의 분포 차이가 유의미한지 여부를 통계적 가설검정을 통해 확인하였다. 그 결과, 무강수인 경우 21:01-09:00 KST 시간대의 12시간 평균 최저운고를 제외하고 두 그룹은 통계적으로 유의미한 차이가 있음이 검증되었다. 이 결과는 고 대류가용잠재에너지 저 대류억제도 그룹이 저 대류가용잠재에너지 고 대류억제도 그룹보다 깊은 습윤 대류 및 강수 발생에 더 유리함을 시사한다.

열대 지역 Gross Moist Stability 특징 분석 및 미래 변화 (Characteristics of the Gross Moist Stability in the Tropics and Its Future Change)

  • 김혜원;서경환
    • 대기
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.141-150
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    • 2014
  • This study investigates the characteristics of the Gross Moist Stability (GMS) over the tropics. The GMS summarizes the relationship between large-scale entropy forcing due to radiation and surface fluxes and the response of smaller-scale convection. The GMS is able to explain both to where moist entropy is advected by the atmospheric circulation and how deep the moisture flux convergence is in the tropical region. In the deep convective region, positive GMS appears over the warm pool region due to the strong column-integrated moisture convergence and the ensuing export of moist entropy to the environment. The vertical advection of moist entropy dominates over the horizontal advection in this region. Meanwhile, over the eastern tropical ITCZ region, which is characterized by shallow convective area, import of moist entropy by horizontal winds is dominant compared to the vertical moist entropy advection. Future changes in the GMS are also examined using the 22 CMIP5 model simulations. A decrease in the GMS appears widely across the tropics, but its increase occurs over the western-central equatorial Pacific. It is evident that the increased GMS region corresponds to an increased region of precipitation, implying that strengthened convection in the future due to increased entropy forcing exports the enhanced moist energy to stabilize the environment.

GTA 용접시 발생하는 용융금속의 유동에 미치는 공기역학적 향력의 영향 (Effect of aerodynamic drag force on liquid metal convection in GTA welding)

  • 나석주;김성도
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.575-583
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    • 1991
  • The weld pool convection problem that occurs during the stationary GTA welding has been studied, considering the four driving forces for weld pool convection, i.e., the electromagnetic force, the buoyancy force, the aerodynamic drag force, and the surface tension force at the weld pool surface. In the numerical simulation, the difficulties associated with the irregular moving liquid-solid interface have been successfully overcome by adopting a Boundary-Fitted Coordinate system. In the experiments to show the validity of the numerical analysis, a deep periphery and shallow centerpentrated weld pool shape was observed from the etched specimen. It could be revealed that this type of weld pool shape could be simulated, only when some of aerodynamic drag force distributions are considered. Although slight disagreement arose, the calculated and the observed weld pool shapes were in a reasonable agreement.

Why the Mediterranean Sea Is Becoming Saltier

  • Bryden, Harry-L.;Boscolo, Roberta
    • Journal of the korean society of oceanography
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    • 제37권3호
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    • pp.117-124
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    • 2002
  • Anthropogenic changes have been made to the water budget for the Mediterranean Sea as a result of river diversion projects. The decrease in freshwater inflow to the Mediterranean represents an effective increase in the overall net evaporation over the basin. Hydraulic control models for the exchange between the Mediterranean and Atlantic through the Strait of Gibraltar predict that the salinity of the Mediterranean should increase if the net evaporation over the Mediterranean increases. Increases in the salinity of the deep waters in both the western and eastern Mediterranean basins have been observed. The causes of such higher deep water salinity are attributed to increases in intermediate water salinity which are ultimately mixed down into the deep sea during wintertime buoyancy loss events. The pattern of the Mediterranean salinity increase is instructive for understanding how the water mass properties in a basin change over time as a result of anthropogenic changes.

TRMM 자료로 분석한 매든-줄리안 진동의 대류성 및 층운형 강수 특징 (Rainfall Characteristics of the Madden-Julian Oscillation from TRMM Precipitation Radar: Convective and Stratiform Rain)

  • 손준혁;서경환
    • 대기
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.333-341
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    • 2010
  • The stratiform rain fraction is investigated in the tropical boreal winter Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) and summer intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) using Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Precipitation Rader data for the 11-yr period from 1998 to 2008. Composite analysis shows that the MJO/ISO produces larger stratiform rain rate than convective rain rate for nearly all phases following the propagating MJO/ISO deep clouds, with the greatest stratiform rainfall amount when the MJO/ISO center is located over the central-eastern Indian Ocean and the western Pacific. The fraction of the intraseasonally filtered stratiform rainfall compared to total rainfall (i.e., convective plus stratiform rainfall) amounts to 53~56%, which is 13~16% larger than the stratiform rain fraction estimated for the same data on seasonal-to-annual time scales by Schumacher and Houze. This indicates that the MJO/ISO exhibits the organized rainfall process which is characterized by the shallow convection/heating at the incipient phase and the subsequent flare-up of strong deep convection, followed by the development of stratiform clouds at the upper troposphere.