• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision-making time

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An Immune Algorithm based Multiple Energy Carriers System (면역알고리즘 기반의 MECs (에너지 허브) 시스템)

  • Son, Byungrak;Kang, Yu-Kyung;Lee, Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2014
  • Recently, in power system studies, Multiple Energy Carriers (MECs) such as Energy Hub has been broadly utilized in power system planners and operators. Particularly, Energy Hub performs one of the most important role as the intermediate in implementing the MECs. However, it still needs to be put under examination in both modeling and operating concerns. For instance, a probabilistic optimization model is treated by a robust global optimization technique such as multi-agent genetic algorithm (MAGA) which can support the online economic dispatch of MECs. MAGA also reduces the inevitable uncertainty caused by the integration of selected input energy carriers. However, MAGA only considers current state of the integration of selected input energy carriers in conjunctive with the condition of smart grid environments for decision making in Energy Hub. Thus, in this paper, we propose an immune algorithm based Multiple Energy Carriers System which can adopt the learning process in order to make a self decision making in Energy Hub. In particular, the proposed immune algorithm considers the previous state, the current state, and the future state of the selected input energy carriers in order to predict the next decision making of Energy Hub based on the probabilistic optimization model. The below figure shows the proposed immune algorithm based Multiple Energy Carriers System. Finally, we will compare the online economic dispatch of MECs of two algorithms such as MAGA and immune algorithm based MECs by using Real Time Digital Simulator (RTDS).

Development of Optimal Urban Runoff System : II. Development of Decision Making Model for Optimal Control of Rainfal1-Runoff System in Urban Area (최적 도시유출시스템의 개발 : II. 도시유역의 최적유출시스템 제어를 위한 의사결정모형의 개발)

  • Lee, Jung-Ho;Kim, Joong-Hoon;Kim, Hung-Soo;Jo, Deok-Jun;Kim, Eung-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.207-217
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    • 2004
  • Our government is interested in the rehabilitation for the old sewer rather than the construction of a new sewer system. However, the research work on the sewer rehabilitation is not sufficient as much as the interest on the rehabilitation is increased. There are some research works for the determination of rehabilitation time by the genetic algorithm in Korea and foreign countries. However, the previous studies have considered the simple elements for the determination of the rehabilitation time and so the complex decision-making according to the degree of sewer superannuation has not been performed. Therefore, in this study, we estimate the capacity and Ⅰ/Ⅰ of sewer and determine the priority of the optimal rehabilitation for each outfall within the draining system. Also we develop the optimal rehabilitation decision making system for the cost estimation of optimal rehabilitation using the genetic algorithm.

The Comparison of Appropriateness of Abdominal Computed Tomography (CT) and Abdominal Radiography Imaging Modality for Patients with Acute Nontraumatic Abdominal Pain (비외상성 급성 복부 통증 환자에게 시행한 복부 전산화단층촬 영과 복부 단순 촬영의 적정성 비교)

  • Song, Jung-Hup;Ryeom, Hun-Kyu
    • Quality Improvement in Health Care
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: To compare the Appropriateness of abdominal CT to abdominal radiography as an imaging modality in terms of the diagnostic value, medical costs and decision making times for patients presented to the emergency department with nontraumatic abdominal pain. Methods: This study used the records of 530 cases presented to the emergency department(ED) with nontraumatic abdominal pain from February to March 2012. Imaging modalities were categorized into abdominal radiography and CT (radiography first or CT first) or radiography alone or CT alone. The diagnostic value, total medical costs and effect on decision making time of the each imaging modalities were compared. Especially, in retrospective review, to evaluate the predictability of the abdominal radiography, alit was assumed that all the 530 cases performed that exam as initial imaging. Results: Among 530 cases, 255 cases underwent abdominal radiography only, 28 cases underwent abdominal CT only and the remnant 247 cases underwent abdominal CT with plain abdominal radiography. The diagnostic value was higher in the cases with abdominal CT (268/275, 97.5%) than in the cases with plain abdominal radiography (19/255, 7.5%).The number of cases predicted by abdominal radiography only as initial imaging were 39/530 (7.4%). In cases where the patients performed the abdominal CT as the first imaging modality thereby omitting the abdominal radiography, the total diagnostic imaging fee was lower than in cases with plain abdominal radiography first followed by the abdominal CT (277,140 vs. 284,226(mean, Korean Won)). Although diagnostic value of the plain abdominal radiography as first imaging modality was lower than the abdominal CT, Decision making time, average duration of hospital stay was longer and the total medical costs was higher than abdominal CT. Conclusion: As an imaging modality in the ED for patients with acute nontraumatic abdominal pain, plain abdominal radiography is an avoidable procedure when viewed in terms of the diagnostic value and total medical costs and decision making times comparing with abdominal CT.

Investigating the Correlation between Cognition and Emotion Charateristics and Judgmental Time-Series Forecasting Using a Self-Organizing Neural Network (자기조직 신경망을 이용한 인지 및 감성 특성의 직관적 시계열 예측과의 상관성 조사)

  • Yoo, Hyeon-Joong;Park, Hung-Kook;Song, Byoung-Ho
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.175-186
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    • 2001
  • Though people frequently rely on intuition in managing activities, they rarely use it in developing effective decision-making support systems. In this report, we investigate the correlations between characteristics of cognition and emotion and judgmental time-series forecasting accuracy, and compare their strengths by using a self-supervised adaptive neural network. Through the experiments, we hope to help find a desirable atmosphere for decision-making. Our experiments showed that both cognition characteristics and emotion characteristics had correlations with the time-series forecasting accuracy, and that cognition characteristics had larger correlation than emotion characteristics. We also found that conceptual style had larger correlation than behavioral or analytical styles with the accuracy.

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An Efficient Decision Maki ng Method for the Selectionof a Layered Manufacturing (3차원 조형장비 선정을 위한 효율적인 의사결정 방법)

  • Byun, Hong-Seok
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to provide a decision support to select an appropriate layered manufacturing(LM) machine that suits the application of a part. Selection factors include concept model, form/fit/functional model, pattern model far molding, material property, build time and part cost that greatly affect the performance of LM machines. However, the selection of a LM is not an easy decision because they are uncertain and vague. For this reason, the aim of this research is to propose hybrid multiple attribute decision making approaches to effectively evaluate LM machines. In addition, because subjective considerations are relevant to selection decision, a fuzzy logic approach is adopted. The proposed selection procedure consists of several steps. First, we identify LM machines that the users consider After constructing the evaluation criteria, we calculate the weights of the criteria by applying the fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) method. Finally, we construct the fuzzy Technique of Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution(TOPSIS) method to achieve the ranking order of all machines providing the decision information for the selection of LM machines.

An Algorithm for Searching Pareto Optimal Paths of HAZMAT Transportation: Efficient Vector Labeling Approach (위험물 수송 최적경로 탐색 알고리즘 개발: Efficient Vector Labeling 방법으로)

  • Park, Dong-Joo;Chung, Sung-Bong;Oh, Jeong-Taek
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2011
  • This paper deals with a methodology for searching optimal route of hazard material (hazmat) vehicles. When we make a decision of hazmat optimal paths, there is a conflict between the public aspect which wants to minimize risk and the private aspect which has a goal of minimizing travel time. This paper presents Efficient Vector Labeling algorithm as a methodology for searching optimal path of hazmat transportation, which is intrinsically one of the multi-criteria decision making problems. The output of the presented algorithm is a set of Pareto optimal paths considering both risk and travel time at a time. Also, the proposed algorithm is able to identify non-dominated paths which are significantly different from each other in terms of links used. The proposed Efficient Vector Labeling algorithm are applied to test bed network and compared with the existing k-shortest path algorithm. Analysis of result shows that the proposed algorithm is more efficient and advantageous in searching reasonable alternative routes than the existing one.

Decision-Making on Incoterms 2020 of Automotive Parts Manufacturers in Thailand

  • SURARAKSA, Juthathip;AMCHANG, Chompoonut;SAWATWONG, Nutcharin
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.10
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    • pp.461-470
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    • 2020
  • The objective of this research is to examine the factors affecting the decision-making of International Commercial Terms (Incoterms) of automotive parts manufacturers in Thailand. This mixed method study applied qualitative and quantitative research methods and utilized the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) to prioritize the significance of the factors. By an in-depth literature review and expert interview, four main criteria were identified. These criteria include Operating costs, Cooperation and bargaining power, Knowledge and understanding and Operation duration then main criteria divided into fifteen sub-criteria. The common Incoterms, Ex Works (EXW), Free On Board (FOB), Free Carrier (FCA), and Cost, Insurance and Freight (CIF), were determined as alternatives to the incoterms through a preliminary survey. The results revealed that the operating costs were the most important factor for the company. Moreover, it was discovered that this was consistent with the priority of the secondary factors, which included the annual budget for the transportation expenses and product value at one time. The respondents' perspective suggested that FCA was the most appropriate Incoterms for international trade for a company. The findings of this research suggest a hierarchy model for organizations to prioritize the significant factors in order to make a decision on the most appropriate Incoterms.

An Analysis on the Social Policy Networks A Comparison of the Kim Young-Sam Government and the Kim Dae-Jung Government (사회복지정책 결정 구조에 대한 정책 연결망 분석: 문민 정부와 국민의 정부 비교)

  • Hong, Kyung-Zoon;Song, Ho-Keun
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.57 no.4
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    • pp.5-33
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    • 2005
  • In order to examine the causes of the social policy changes in Korea during the late of 1990s, this study tries to compare the social policy decision-making structure between Kim Yong-Sam Government and Kim Dae-Jung Government. This study applies policy network analysis method which measures the relation and power structures of policy actors and as a result shows the characteristics of the policy making structure. Analysing the 6 policy domains and 52 policy events, this study finds that the importance and location of veto points which were created by the social policy decision processes have changed. In Korea, social policy decision processes have been produced power structures in which Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning Board have played a decisive role. In result, these executives can have controlled policy making processes and had veto power, i. e. veto points in policy decision-making structure. But, during Kim Dae-Jung government, accountability issues of financial crisis and reorganization of ministries have changed the importance and location of veto points. Pro-welfare groups of civil society got a chance to penetrate policy decision-making structure during that time. This study argues that these changes of policy decision-making structure may be associated with the social policy changes in Korea during the late of 1990s.

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A Research on the Importance of Decision Making in Process of Promoting an Urban Regeneration Project -Focused on Cheong-ju City- (도시재생 사업추진과정에서의 의사결정기준 중요도 -청주시를 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Joonghun;Oh, Hyoungseok;Baik, Minseok;Hwang, Jaehoon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.431-439
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    • 2016
  • Urban regeneration projects involve various stakeholders, which result in decision making processes that require long periods of time and cause many conflicts. This study aims to identify important factors in decision making for promoting an urban regeneration project. The analysis results utilizing AHP are as follows: Firstly, the analysis results identify the main considerations in the process of promoting urban regeneration projects as residents' opinion(0.393), involvement of local government(0.231), opinions of related experts(0.206) and master plan(0.169). Secondly, the key drivers of stakeholders' qualitative decision making were found to include sustainability(0.325), economic feasibility(0.277), ease of project implementation(0.232) and equity(0.166). Lastly, meaningful differences in the relative importance of key aspects of decision making were identified when respondents were grouped according to being aware or not aware of the urban regeneration project, as well as living on or living off the project site. The results of this study can be used to implement successful urban regeneration projects in the future.

Heritage Conservation Principles in the Context of Sustainable Development (지속가능한 발전에 있어서 문화유산 보존·관리의 원칙과 적용)

  • Lee, Su-jeong
    • Korean Journal of Heritage: History & Science
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.106-121
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    • 2019
  • Sustainable development in society has become the center of focus in many fields such as industry, environment, health, culture, etc. Considering that the concept of heritage involves understanding it as a 'resource' to improve the quality of people's lives, sustainability is an important goal that heritage policy has to achieve. Adopting the definition of sustainability in the 1987 Brundtland Report, this paper defines the concept of sustainability with respect to heritage, as well as their respective roles. Following that, three action principles are presented: value-based conservation, rational decision-making, and community involvement. Two cases demonstrating how the three principles should be practiced in managing change are then illustrated. Considering that heritage can play its role as a resource once its significance is protected, this paper argues that value-based rational decision-making is of paramount importance and the first principle. Conservation aims to manage change by practicing a cyclic process of value identification, value sustaining, and value dissemination. Therefore, this paper argues that all processes should be connected in the context of heritage values. A rational decision-making process practicing value-based conservation is then suggested. This paper argues that rational decision-making can only be practiced once values are identified by objective criteria and managed by rational judgment upon impact assessment. Community involvement, the third principle, is necessary to realize value-based conservation and rational decision-making. Recognizing that a community is a beneficiary of heritage and a creator of a beneficial process at the same time, it discusses the role of community and the importance of this role in policies for the sustainability of heritage. This paper concludes with a set of recommendations to improve policies after examining the two decision-making cases.