• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision Tree analysis

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Analysis of Predictive Factors for Suicidal Ideation of Adolescents Using Decision Tree Analysis (의사결정나무 분석을 이용한 청소년의 자살 생각 예측 요인 분석: 2019년 아동·청소년 인권실태조사를 중심으로)

  • Han, Myeunghee
    • Journal of Korean Public Health Nursing
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.157-169
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study aimed to implement a model for predicting the presence or absence of suicidal ideation in adolescents by using the decision tree analysis method. Methods: This study is a secondary data analysis using the 2019 Child and Adolescent Human Rights Survey, the most recent data published by the Korea Youth Policy Institute. In order to identify the variables predicting suicidal ideation, a decision tree analysis with suicidal ideation as a dependent variable was performed. Results: This study found that the variables of life satisfaction, insults from parents, sex, and cyber-bullying experience of adolescents were selected as significant predictors of suicidal ideation. It is predicted that 58.2% of subjects with low life satisfaction would think of suicide. Among them, the probability of thinking of suicide increased to 72.7% in the case of unhappy people, and the probability of thinking of suicide in the case of a woman increase to 82.9%. Conclusions: It is necessary to consider family, school, and society environment to prevent suicidal ideation of adolescents.

Comparative Analysis of Predictors of Depression for Residents in a Metropolitan City using Logistic Regression and Decision Making Tree (로지스틱 회귀분석과 의사결정나무 분석을 이용한 일 대도시 주민의 우울 예측요인 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Soo-Jin;Kim, Bo-Young
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.12
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    • pp.829-839
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    • 2013
  • This study is a descriptive research study with the purpose of predicting and comparing factors of depression affecting residents in a metropolitan city by using logistic regression analysis and decision-making tree analysis. The subjects for the study were 462 residents ($20{\leq}aged{\angle}65$) in a metropolitan city. This study collected data between October 7, 2011 and October 21, 2011 and analyzed them with frequency analysis, percentage, the mean and standard deviation, ${\chi}^2$-test, t-test, logistic regression analysis, roc curve, and a decision-making tree by using SPSS 18.0 program. The common predicting variables of depression in community residents were social dysfunction, perceived physical symptom, and family support. The specialty and sensitivity of logistic regression explained 93.8% and 42.5%. The receiver operating characteristic (roc) curve was used to determine an optimal model. The AUC (area under the curve) was .84. Roc curve was found to be statistically significant (p=<.001). The specialty and sensitivity of decision-making tree analysis were 98.3% and 20.8% respectively. As for the whole classification accuracy, the logistic regression explained 82.0% and the decision making tree analysis explained 80.5%. From the results of this study, it is believed that the sensitivity, the classification accuracy, and the logistics regression analysis as shown in a higher degree may be useful materials to establish a depression prediction model for the community residents.

Prediction Model for the Risk of Scapular Winging in Young Women Based on the Decision Tree

  • Gwak, Gyeong-tae;Ahn, Sun-hee;Kim, Jun-hee;Weon, Young-soo;Kwon, Oh-yun
    • Physical Therapy Korea
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.140-148
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    • 2020
  • Background: Scapular winging (SW) could be caused by tightness or weakness of the periscapular muscles. Although data mining techniques are useful in classifying or predicting risk of musculoskeletal disorder, predictive models for risk of musculoskeletal disorder using the results of clinical test or quantitative data are scarce. Objects: This study aimed to (1) investigate the difference between young women with and without SW, (2) establish a predictive model for presence of SW, and (3) determine the cutoff value of each variable for predicting the risk of SW using the decision tree method. Methods: Fifty young female subjects participated in this study. To classify the presence of SW as the outcome variable, scapular protractor strength, elbow flexor strength, shoulder internal rotation, and whether the scapula is in the dominant or nondominant side were determined. Results: The classification tree selected scapular protractor strength, shoulder internal rotation range of motion, and whether the scapula is in the dominant or nondominant side as predictor variables. The classification tree model correctly classified 78.79% (p = 0.02) of the training data set. The accuracy obtained by the classification tree on the test data set was 82.35% (p = 0.04). Conclusion: The classification tree showed acceptable accuracy (82.35%) and high specificity (95.65%) but low sensitivity (54.55%). Based on the predictive model in this study, we suggested that 20% of body weight in scapular protractor strength is a meaningful cutoff value for presence of SW.

Customer Churning Forecasting and Strategic Implication in Online Auto Insurance using Decision Tree Algorithms (의사결정나무를 이용한 온라인 자동차 보험 고객 이탈 예측과 전략적 시사점)

  • Lim, Se-Hun;Hur, Yeon
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 2006
  • This article adopts a decision tree algorithm(C5.0) to predict customer churning in online auto insurance environment. Using a sample of on-line auto insurance customers contracts sold between 2003 and 2004, we test how decision tree-based model(C5.0) works on the prediction of customer churning. We compare the result of C5.0 with those of logistic regression model(LRM), multivariate discriminant analysis(MDA) model. The result shows C5.0 outperforms other models in the predictability. Based on the result, this study suggests a way of setting marketing strategy and of developing online auto insurance business.

A customer credit Prediction Researched to Improve Credit Stability based on Artificial Intelligence

  • MUN, Ji-Hui;JUNG, Sang Woo
    • Korean Journal of Artificial Intelligence
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.21-27
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    • 2021
  • In this Paper, Since the 1990s, Korea's credit card industry has steadily developed. As a result, various problems have arisen, such as careless customer information management and loans to low-credit customers. This, in turn, had a high delinquency rate across the card industry and a negative impact on the economy. Therefore, in this paper, based on Azure, we analyze and predict the delinquency and delinquency periods of credit loans according to gender, own car, property, number of children, education level, marital status, and employment status through linear regression analysis and enhanced decision tree algorithm. These predictions can consequently reduce the likelihood of reckless credit lending and issuance of credit cards, reducing the number of bad creditors and reducing the risk of banks. In addition, after classifying and dividing the customer base based on the predicted result, it can be used as a basis for reducing the risk of credit loans by developing a credit product suitable for each customer. The predicted result through Azure showed that when predicting with Linear Regression and Boosted Decision Tree algorithm, the Boosted Decision Tree algorithm made more accurate prediction. In addition, we intend to increase the accuracy of the analysis by assigning a number to each data in the future and predicting again.

A Study on Estimation of R&D Research Funds by Linear Regression and Decision Tree Analysis (회귀분석 및 의사결정나무 분석을 통한 R&D 연구비 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Guen;Cheon, Youngdon;Kim, Sungkyu;Lee, Yoon Been;Hwang, Ji Ho;Kim, Yong Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2012
  • Currently, R&D investment of government is increased dramatically. However, the budget of the government is different depending on the size of ministry and priorities, and then it is difficult to obtain consensus on the budget. They did not establish decision support systems to evaluate and execute R&D budget. In this paper, we analyze factors affecting research funds by linear regression and decision tree analysis in order to increase investment efficiency in national research project. Moreover, we suggested strategies that budget is estimated reasonably.

An Empirical Study on Mobile Advertisement Business(S Telecom Case)

  • Koh, Bong-Sung;Lee, Seok-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.81-96
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    • 2007
  • The headline of advertisements holds the important position in advertisement recognition and receptivity. In this paper, we classified the headlines as several types with measuring the response effects for purpose of understanding the customer's behavior. Also we conducted the decision tree analysis and correspondence analysis. The decision tree shows the difference between responders and non-responders, and the correspondence analysis shows the relationship between the sales and the customer's demographic information.

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A Comparison of Predicting Movie Success between Artificial Neural Network and Decision Tree (기계학습 기반의 영화흥행예측 방법 비교: 인공신경망과 의사결정나무를 중심으로)

  • Kwon, Shin-Hye;Park, Kyung-Woo;Chang, Byeng-Hee
    • Asia-pacific Journal of Multimedia Services Convergent with Art, Humanities, and Sociology
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.593-601
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we constructed the model of production/investment, distribution, and screening by using variables that can be considered at each stage according to the value chain stage of the movie industry. To increase the predictive power of the model, a regression analysis was used to derive meaningful variables. Based on the given variables, we compared the difference in predictive power between the artificial neural network, which is a machine learning analysis method, and the decision tree analysis method. As a result, the accuracy of artificial neural network was higher than that of decision trees when all variables were added in production/ investment model and distribution model. However, decision trees were more accurate when selected variables were applied according to regression analysis results. In the screening model, the accuracy of the artificial neural network was higher than the accuracy of the decision tree regardless of whether the regression analysis result was reflected or not. This paper has an implication which we tried to improve the performance of movie prediction model by using machine learning analysis. In addition, we tried to overcome a limitation of linear approach by reflecting the results of regression analysis to ANN and decision tree model.

Breast Cancer Diagnosis using Naive Bayes Analysis Techniques (Naive Bayes 분석기법을 이용한 유방암 진단)

  • Park, Na-Young;Kim, Jang-Il;Jung, Yong-Gyu
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.87-93
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    • 2013
  • Breast cancer is known as a disease that occurs in a lot of developed countries. However, in recent years, the incidence of Korea's modern woman is increased steadily. As well known, breast cancer usually occurs in women over 50. In the case of Korea, however, the incidence of 40s with young women is increased steadily than the West. Therefore, it is a very urgent task to build a manual to the accurate diagnosis of breast cancer in adult women in Korea. In this paper, we show how using data mining techniques to predict breast cancer. Data mining refers to the process of finding regular patterns or relationships among variables within the database. To this, sophisticated analysis using the model, you will find useful information that is easily revealed. In this paper, through experiments Deicion Tree Naive Bayes analysis techniques were compared using analysis techniques to diagnose breast cancer. Two algorithms was analyzed by applying C4.5 algorithm. Deicison Tree classification accuracy was fairly good. Naive Bayes classification method showed better accuracy compared to the Decision Tree method.

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A Method for Selection of Input-Output Factors in DEA (DEA에서 투입.산출 요소 선택 방법)

  • Lim, Sung-Mook
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.44-55
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    • 2009
  • We propose a method for selection of input-output factors in DEA. It is designed to select better combinations of input-output factors that are well suited for evaluating substantial performance of DMUs. Several selected DEA models with different input-output factors combinations are evaluated, and the relationship between the computed efficiency scores and a single performance criterion of DMUs is investigated using decision tree. Based on the results of decision tree analysis, a relatively better DEA model can be chosen, which is expected to well represent the true performance of DMUs. We illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method by applying it to the efficiency evaluation of 101 listed companies in steel and metal industry.