• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision Methods

Search Result 3,273, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Applying Monte Carlo Simulation for Supporting Decision Makings in Software Projects (소프트웨어 프로젝트 의사결정 지원을 위한 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션의 활용)

  • Han, Hyuk-Soo;Kim, Cho-Yi
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
    • /
    • v.9 no.4
    • /
    • pp.123-133
    • /
    • 2010
  • There are many occasions on which the critical decisions should be made in software projects. Those decisions are basically related to estimating and predicting project parameters such as costs, efforts, and duration. The project managers are looking for methods to make better decisions. The decisions about project parameters are recommended to be performed based on historical data of Similar projects. The measures of the tasks in past projects may have different shapes of distributions. we need to add those measures to get a predicted project measures. To add measures with different shapes of distribution, we need to use Monte Carlo Simulation. In this paper, we suggest applying Monte Carlo Simulation for supporting decision makings in software project. We implemented best-fit case and scheduling estimations with Cristal Ball, a commercial product of Monte Carlo simulation and showed how the suggested approach supports those critical decision makings.

Seamless Mobility of Heterogeneous Networks Based on Markov Decision Process

  • Preethi, G.A.;Chandrasekar, C.
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
    • /
    • v.11 no.4
    • /
    • pp.616-629
    • /
    • 2015
  • A mobile terminal will expect a number of handoffs within its call duration. In the event of a mobile call, when a mobile node moves from one cell to another, it should connect to another access point within its range. In case there is a lack of support of its own network, it must changeover to another base station. In the event of moving on to another network, quality of service parameters need to be considered. In our study we have used the Markov decision process approach for a seamless handoff as it gives the optimum results for selecting a network when compared to other multiple attribute decision making processes. We have used the network cost function for selecting the network for handoff and the connection reward function, which is based on the values of the quality of service parameters. We have also examined the constant bit rate and transmission control protocol packet delivery ratio. We used the policy iteration algorithm for determining the optimal policy. Our enhanced handoff algorithm outperforms other previous multiple attribute decision making methods.

Rule Selection Method in Decision Tree Models (의사결정나무 모델에서의 중요 룰 선택기법)

  • Son, Jieun;Kim, Seoung Bum
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
    • /
    • v.40 no.4
    • /
    • pp.375-381
    • /
    • 2014
  • Data mining is a process of discovering useful patterns or information from large amount of data. Decision tree is one of the data mining algorithms that can be used for both classification and prediction and has been widely used for various applications because of its flexibility and interpretability. Decision trees for classification generally generate a number of rules that belong to one of the predefined category and some rules may belong to the same category. In this case, it is necessary to determine the significance of each rule so as to provide the priority of the rule with users. The purpose of this paper is to propose a rule selection method in classification tree models that accommodate the umber of observation, accuracy, and effectiveness in each rule. Our experiments demonstrate that the proposed method produce better performance compared to other existing rule selection methods.

Multivariate Decision Tree for High -dimensional Response Vector with Its Application

  • Lee, Seong-Keon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.11 no.3
    • /
    • pp.539-551
    • /
    • 2004
  • Multiple responses are often observed in many application fields, such as customer's time-of-day pattern for using internet. Some decision trees for multiple responses have been constructed by many researchers. However, if the response is a high-dimensional vector that can be thought of as a discretized function, then fitting a multivariate decision tree may be unsuccessful. Yu and Lambert (1999) suggested spline tree and principal component tree to analyze high dimensional response vector by using dimension reduction techniques. In this paper, we shall propose factor tree which would be more interpretable and competitive. Furthermore, using Korean internet company data, we will analyze time-of-day patterns for internet user.

The Effects of Advance Care Planning on Decision Conflict and Psychological Distress: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

  • Yeun, Young-Ran
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
    • /
    • v.24 no.3
    • /
    • pp.144-153
    • /
    • 2021
  • Purpose: Advance care planning (ACP) is widely understood to improve end-of-life care. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to examine the effects of ACP interventions on decision conflict and psychological distress. Methods: A search of PubMed, CINAHL, CENTRAL, EMBASE, KISS, KoreaMed, and RISS was conducted in November 2020. The study included randomized controlled trials. Data were pooled using fixed- and random-effects models. Results: Fourteen studies were identified that cumulatively included 1,548 participants. ACP interventions were effective in alleviating decision conflict (d=-0.53; 95% CI: -0.83 to -0.23), depression (d=-1.22; 95% CI: -1.71 to -0.74) and anxiety (d=-0.76; 95% CI: -1.12 to -0.39). Conclusion: ACP interventions have significant positive effects on reducing decision conflict and psychological distress. A high level of bias was shown related to allocation concealment and blinding. The results of this study are expected to be useful for end-of-life care providers to improve the effectiveness of ACP interventions.

On procedures for reliability assessment of mechanical systems and structures

  • Schueller, G.I.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • v.25 no.3
    • /
    • pp.275-289
    • /
    • 2007
  • In this paper a brief overview of methods to assess the reliability of mechanical systems and structures is presented. A selection of computational procedures, stochastic structural dynamics, stochastic fatigue crack growth and reliability based optimization are discussed. It is shown that reliability based methods may form the basis for a rational decision making.

Fast Mode Decision in H.264/AVC Using Adaptive Selection of Reference Frame and Selective Intra Mode (다중 참조 영상의 적응적 선택 및 선택적 인트라 모드를 이용한 H.264/AVC의 고속 모드 결정 방법)

  • Lee Woong-Ho;Lee Jung-Ho;Cho Ik-Hwan;Jeong Dong-Seok
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
    • /
    • v.31 no.3C
    • /
    • pp.271-278
    • /
    • 2006
  • Rate-constrained coding is one of the many coding-efficiency oriented tools of H.264/AVC, but mode decision process of RDO(Rate distortion optimization) requires high computational complexity. Many fast mode decision algorithms have been proposed to reduce the computational complexity of mode decision. In this paper, we propose two algorithms for reduction of mode decision in H.264/AVC, which are the fast reference frame selection and selective intra prediction mode decision. Fast reference frame selection is efficient for inter predication and selective intra prediction mode decision can effectively reduce excessive calculation load of intra prediction mode decision. The simulation results showed that the proposed methods could reduce the encoding time of the overall sequences by 44.63% on average without any noticeable degradation of the coding efficiency.

FACTORS AFFECTING PATIENTS' DECISION-MAKING FOR DENTAL PROSTHETIC TREATMENT

  • Jung, Hyo-Kyung;Kim, Han-Gon
    • The Journal of Korean Academy of Prosthodontics
    • /
    • v.46 no.6
    • /
    • pp.610-619
    • /
    • 2008
  • STATEMENT OF PROBLEM: Factors affecting patients' decision-making for dental prosthetic treatment should be examined in terms of understanding improving patients' oral health. PURPOSE: The main purpose of this dissertation was to investigate patients' dental prosthetic treatment and factors affecting patients' decision-making for dental prosthesis treatment in Deagu and Gyungbook areas. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This study was based on the preliminary survey of dental patients conducted from July 1 to August 31 in 2006. A total of 700 questionnaires had been distributed and 640 were collected. 629 questionnaires were used for the statistical analysis. Descriptive and inferential statistics, such as frequencies, cross tabulation analysis, correlation analysis, logistic regression analysis, and multiple regression analysis were introduced. In the multiple regression analysis and logistic regression analysis, twenty-two independent variables were employed to explore the factors which have impacts on decision-making and satisfaction. RESULTS: The results of this dissertation are as follows: Logistic regression analysis turned out that monthly income, age, degree of expectation, marital status, and employer-insured policy of national insurance statistically increased the odds of decision-making of dental prosthesis treatment. But educational attainment decreased the odds ratio of the decision-making of dental prosthesis treatment. However, the rest independent variables do not have statistically significant impacts on the decision-making of dental prosthesis treatment CONCLUSION: Among independent variables, marital status had the most significant influence on the decision making of dental prosthesis treatment. Finally, suggestions for the future study and policy implications to improve satisfaction of the patients' dental prosthetic treatment were discussed.

A Multi-Attribute Intuitionistic Fuzzy Group Decision Method For Network Selection In Heterogeneous Wireless Networks Using TOPSIS

  • Prakash, Sanjeev;Patel, R.B.;Jain, V.K.
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • v.10 no.11
    • /
    • pp.5229-5252
    • /
    • 2016
  • With proliferation of diverse network access technologies, users demands are also increasing and service providers are offering a Quality of Service (QoS) to satisfy their customers. In roaming, a mobile node (MN) traverses number of available networks in the heterogeneous wireless networks environment and a single operator is not capable to fulfill the demands of user. It is crucial task for MN for selecting a best network from the list of networks at any time anywhere. A MN undergoes a network selection situation frequently when it is becoming away from the home network. Multiple Attribute Group Decision (MAGD) method will be one of the best ways for selecting target network in heterogeneous wireless networks (4G). MAGD network selection process is predominantly dependent on two steps, i.e., attribute weight, decision maker's (DM's) weight and aggregation of opinion of DMs. This paper proposes Multi-Attribute Intuitionistic Fuzzy Group Decision Method (MAIFGDM) using TOPSIS for the selection of the suitable candidate network. It is scalable and is able to handle any number of networks with large set of attributes. This is a method of lower complexity and is useful for real time applications. It gives more accurate result because it uses Intuitionistic Fuzzy Sets (IFS) with an additional parameter intuitionistic fuzzy index or hesitant degree. MAIFGDM is simulated in MATLAB for its evaluation. A comparative study of MAIFDGM is also made with TOPSIS and Fuzzy-TOPSIS in respect to decision delay. It is observed that MAIFDGM have low values of decision time in comparison to TOPSIS and Fuzzy-TOPSIS methods.

Fuzzy AHP and FCM-driven Hybrid Group Decision Support Mechanism (퍼지 AHP와 퍼지인식도 기반의 하이브리드 그룹 의사결정지원 메커니즘)

  • Kim, Jin-Sung;Lee, Kun-Chang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Industrial Systems Conference
    • /
    • 2003.11a
    • /
    • pp.239-250
    • /
    • 2003
  • In this research, we propose a hybrid group decision support mechanism (H-GDSM) based on Fuzzy AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) and FCM (Fuzzy Cognitive Map). The AHP elicits a corresponding priority vector interpreting the preferred information among the decision makers. Corresponding vector was composed of the pairwise comparison values of a set of objects. Since pairwise comparison values are the judgments obtained from an appropriate semantic scale. However, AHP couldn't represent the causal relationship among information, which were used by decision makers. In contrast to AHP, FCM could represent the causal relationship among variables or information. Therefore, FCMs were successfully developed and used in several ill-structured domains, such as strategic decision-making, policy making, and simulations. Nonetheless, many researchers used subjective and voluntary inputs to simulate the FCM. As a result of subjective inputs, it couldn't avoid the rebukes of businessman. To overcome these limitations, we incorporated the Fuzzy membership functions, AHP and FCM into a H-GDSM. In contrast to current AHP methods and FCMs, the H-GDSM method developed herein could concurrently tackle the pairwise comparison involving causal relationships under a group decision-making environment. The strengths and contributions of our mechanism were 1) handling of qualitative knowledge and causal relationships, 2) extraction of objective input value to simulate the FCM, 3) multi-phase group decision support based on H-GDSM. To validate our proposed mechanism we developed a simple prototype system to support negotiation-based decisions in electronic commerce (EC).

  • PDF