• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision Making Unit

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Development of an Inundation Risk Evaluation Method Based on a Multi Criteria Decision Making (다기준 의사결정기법을 기반으로 하는 침수위험 평가기법의 개발)

  • Park, Moo-Jong;Choi, Sung-Wook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.365-377
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    • 2008
  • In this study, PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations) which is one of the multi criteria decision making methods is applied to estimate the relative inundation risk of the urban subcatchment. For this purpose, several factors which have an effect on the inundation risk are selected and used to perform PROMETHEE. Those are elevation average, slope average, density of conduit, population and sediment yields per unit area of each subcatchment. Based on them, PROMETHEE is performed and the relative inundation risk for each subcatchment is estimated. For the validation of the suggested method, the results from the suggested method are compared with the historical inundation records occured on 1998 and the relative inundation risk estimated by the method considering sediment yields per unit area only. From the comparison, it is found that the suggested method may generate better results to estimate the relative inundation risk of each subcatchment than the method considering sediment yields per unit area only. Also, it can be applied to establish a rehabilitation order of subcatchments for mitigating the inundation risk.

Researches on division-size unit COA development plan applying Vision 21 (비전21 모델을 활용한 사단급 부대 방책발전 방안 연구)

  • 최연호;김지호
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 2003
  • Developments in science and technology based on computer technology influenced military fields and created up-to-date weapons and equipment, and as a result, which is changing the war accomplishing methods of the future warfare. Due to these changes in the war accomplishing methods, the army command centers are requested to make changes in their decision-making process. In other words, they need to apply more scientific methods rather than just build a scheme by the mere analysis of commanders and the staffs as in the past. Consequently, we propose a model, Vision 21 we developed as a war game model for division-size unit analysis use, in the COA development process, which is the most important part in establishing the OPLAN for mission accomplishment. Vision 21, with a comparative analysis of the other COA built in the COA development process, can be applied to making the best COA. Model employment concept can let us choose the best COA, operating war games on condition that the COA of the opposite forces is fixed and ours sequentially opposed against, and with a comparative analysis also. Moreover, if the time available is limited, before establishing several courses, we can apply the COA to the process for making the best decision, analysing in stages or by main phases and not establishing several courses for a special purpose.

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Development of Prediction Model of Subcontract's Bidding-Ratio for Private Apartment Projects (민간 공동주택 하도급 낙찰률 예측모델 개발)

  • Jang, Ki-Suk;Koo, Kyo-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2021.11a
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    • pp.250-251
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    • 2021
  • A subcontract work order is the basis of the construction process and consists of the root and trunk of the construction industry. The construction process through a subcontract work order is an important element of project success, and it is the basic unit of creating profit in the construction industry. Therefore, correct analysis and forecasting of subcontract work orders allow correct estimation of construction cost and profit which is the foundation of corporate decision making. This study has started to provide predictions of subcontractor's bidding-ratio for decision-making. Since the actual project data has been used in this study, the contribution level of the model is highly expected in actual field. The statistical confidential level of adjusted decision coefficient is concluded low because of limited sample numbers. However, its accuracy and confidence level can be increased through increasing sample numbers, considering more variables, and studying of reducing error.

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A Method of Evaluating Profitability and Risk of Multiple Investments Applying Internal Rate of Return

  • Mizumachi, Tadahiro
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.121-130
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    • 2010
  • In today's uncertain economic environment, economic risk is inherent in making large investments on manufacturing facilities. It is, therefore, practically meaningful to divide investment over multiple periods, reducing the risk of investment. Then, the cash-flow over the entire planning horizon would comprise positive inflow and negative outflow. In this case, in general, evaluation by internal rate of return (IRR) is not feasible, because multiple IRRs are involved. This paper deals with a problem of evaluating profitability, as well as risk, of investment alternatives made in multiple times of investment over the entire horizon. Typically, an additional investment is required after the initial one, for expanding manufacturing capacity or other reasons. The paper pays attention to a unit cash-flow over two periods, decomposing the total cash-flow into a series of unit cash-flow patterns. It is easy to evaluate profitability of a unit cash-flow by using IRR. The total cash-flow can be decomposed into the series of two types of unit cash-flows: an investment type one (negative-positive) and the borrowing type one (positive-negative). This paper, therefore, proposes a method in which only the borrowing type unit cash-flow is eliminated in the series by converting total cash-flow using capital interest rate. Then, a unique IRR can be obtained and the profitability is evaluated. Thus, the paper extends the method of IRR so that it may help decision making in complicated cash-flow pattern observed in practice.

A DEA-Based Portfolio Model for Performance Management of Online Games (DEA 기반 온라인 게임 성과 관리 포트폴리오 모형)

  • Chun, Hoon;Lee, Hakyeon
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.260-270
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    • 2013
  • This paper proposes a strategic portfolio model for managing performance of online games. The portfolio matrix is composed of two dimensions: financial performance and non-financial performance. Financial performance is measured by the conventional measure, average revenue per user (ARPU). In terms of non-financial performance, five non-financial key performance indicators (KPIs) that have been widely used in the online game industry are utilized: RU (Register User), VU (Visiting User), TS (Time Spent), ACU (Average Current User), MCU (Maximum Current User). Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is then employed to produce a single performance measure aggregating the five KPIs. DEA is a linear programming model for measuring the relative efficiency of decision making unit (DMUs) with multiple inputs and outputs. This study employs DEA as a tool for multiple criteria decision making (MCDM), in particular, the pure output model without inputs. Combining the two types of performance produces the online game portfolio matrix with four quadrants: Dark Horse, Stop Loss, Jack Pot, Luxury Goods. A case study of 39 online games provided by company 'N' is provided. The proposed portfolio model is expected to be fruitfully used for strategic decision making of online game companies.

A Study on Unit Commitment using Lagrangian Relaxation Method (Lagrangian Relaxation법에 의한 기동정지계획에 관한 연구)

  • Song, K.Y.;Lee, B.;Kim, Y.H.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1992.07a
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    • pp.89-92
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    • 1992
  • This paper presents an approach for thermal Unit Commitment by Lagrangian Relaxation with fuzzy technique. A proposed algorithm makes it possible to execute optimal decision making between Generation Cost and Load Demand with membership function. In order to test the validity of the proposed method, we applied to Mid-westerm utility system which has 20 thermal units. So, the usefulness of this method is verified.

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Attitudes and Awareness towards the Withdrawal of Life-Sustaining Treatment among Nurses, Physicians, and Families of Intensive Care Unit Patients (연명치료중단에 관한 중환자실간호사, 의사 및 중환자가족의 태도 및 인식)

  • Lee, Hyea Kyung;Kang, Hyun Sook
    • Journal of Korean Clinical Nursing Research
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.85-98
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: This study was aimed to investigate the awareness and attitudes towards withdrawal of the life-sustaining treatment among nurses, physicians, and the families of intensive care unit (ICU) patients in general hospitals. Methods: The data were collected using a questionnaire from 80 ICU nurses, 80 physicians, and 80 families of ICU patients in general hospitals. Data were collected from February 22nd to May 31st, 2010. Rusults: ICU nurses, physicians, and families of ICU patients felt that objective and ethical guidelines were needed in making a decision to withdraw the life-sustaining treatment. The main reason for withdrawal of the life-sustaining treatment was found that the patients could not recovered despite many efforts. The role of nurses in decision making process on withdrawal of the life-sustaining treatment was considered very positive from the view of physicians and family members. The most important role of nurses for those patients in ICU was found to try their best to care for the patients. Conclusion: ICU nurses should play a major coordinating role in communication among patients, their families, and medical teams. Also, an appropriate roles of nurses in the process of the withdrawal of the life-sustaining treatment should be established.

Intelligent Intrusion Detection and Prevention System using Smart Multi-instance Multi-label Learning Protocol for Tactical Mobile Adhoc Networks

  • Roopa, M.;Raja, S. Selvakumar
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.2895-2921
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    • 2018
  • Security has become one of the major concerns in mobile adhoc networks (MANETs). Data and voice communication amongst roaming battlefield entities (such as platoon of soldiers, inter-battlefield tanks and military aircrafts) served by MANETs throw several challenges. It requires complex securing strategy to address threats such as unauthorized network access, man in the middle attacks, denial of service etc., to provide highly reliable communication amongst the nodes. Intrusion Detection and Prevention System (IDPS) undoubtedly is a crucial ingredient to address these threats. IDPS in MANET is managed by Command Control Communication and Intelligence (C3I) system. It consists of networked computers in the tactical battle area that facilitates comprehensive situation awareness by the commanders for timely and optimum decision-making. Key issue in such IDPS mechanism is lack of Smart Learning Engine. We propose a novel behavioral based "Smart Multi-Instance Multi-Label Intrusion Detection and Prevention System (MIML-IDPS)" that follows a distributed and centralized architecture to support a Robust C3I System. This protocol is deployed in a virtually clustered non-uniform network topology with dynamic election of several virtual head nodes acting as a client Intrusion Detection agent connected to a centralized server IDPS located at Command and Control Center. Distributed virtual client nodes serve as the intelligent decision processing unit and centralized IDPS server act as a Smart MIML decision making unit. Simulation and experimental analysis shows the proposed protocol exhibits computational intelligence with counter attacks, efficient memory utilization, classification accuracy and decision convergence in securing C3I System in a Tactical Battlefield environment.

Analysis of Relative Combat Power with Expert System (전문가 시스템을 이용한 상대적 전투력 분석)

  • Han, Seung-Jo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2016
  • This paper's aim is to suggest the Expert System for analyzing relative combat power in ground operations. Since relative combat power analysis in terms of comparing combat power of friendly forces with one of the enemy can determine how the commander and staffs operate their unit afterwards, it requires fast and rational decision-making process. However, it has relied on manual method so far though Tactical Information Communications Network(TICN) into which numbers of applications can be loaded has been developed over a decade. 3 methods for analyzing relative combat power were expressed as mathematic rules to be used knowledge in the expert system after reviewing previous studies, and it studied how intangible power as well as tangible were reflected on total combat power. The expert system that will be built using EXSYS Corvid tool is expected to lessen error rate, provide faster decision-making, and reflect both intangible combat power and tangible one by using an appropriate weights in analyzing relative combat power. Next research filed includes how to build expert systems related with military personnel and intelligence areas for fast and rational decision-making processes.

Study on the Inundation Risk Evaluation by the Relationship Analysis (다양한 침수인자간의 상관관계 분석을 통한 침수위험지역 예측)

  • Choi, Sung-Wook;Jun, Hwan-Don;Park, Moo-Jong
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.115-118
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    • 2008
  • In this study, PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations) which is one of the multi criteria decision making methods is applied to estimate the relative inundation risk of the urban subcatchment. For this purpose, five factors which have an effect on the inundation risk are selected and used to perform PROMETHEE. Those are elevation average, slope average, density of conduit, population and sediment yields per unit area of each subcatchment. Based on them, PROMETHEE is performed and the relative inundation risk for each subcatchment is estimated. Sensitivity anlysis is conducted to evaluate each factor's effect on subcatchment and it is found that suggested method can be used to establish a practical guide to mitigate the inundation.

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