• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision Making Algorithm

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Bankruptcy Prediction with Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Early-Stage Business Models

  • Tuguldur Enkhtuya;Dae-Ki Kang
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.58-65
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    • 2023
  • Bankruptcy is a significant risk for start-up companies, but with the help of cutting-edge artificial intelligence technology, we can now predict bankruptcy with detailed explanations. In this paper, we implemented the Category Boosting algorithm following data cleaning and editing using OpenRefine. We further explained our model using the Shapash library, incorporating domain knowledge. By leveraging the 5C's credit domain knowledge, financial analysts in banks or investors can utilize the detailed results provided by our model to enhance their decision-making processes, even without extensive knowledge about AI. This empowers investors to identify potential bankruptcy risks in their business models, enabling them to make necessary improvements or reconsider their ventures before proceeding. As a result, our model serves as a "glass-box" model, allowing end-users to understand which specific financial indicators contribute to the prediction of bankruptcy. This transparency enhances trust and provides valuable insights for decision-makers in mitigating bankruptcy risks.

Blockchain-Enabled Decentralized Clustering for Enhanced Decision Support in the Coffee Supply Chain

  • Keo Ratanak;Muhammad Firdaus;Kyung-Hyune Rhee
    • Annual Conference of KIPS
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    • 2023.11a
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    • pp.260-263
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    • 2023
  • Considering the growth of blockchain technology, the research aims to transform the efficiency of recommending optimal coffee suppliers within the complex supply chain network. This transformation relies on the extraction of vital transactional data and insights from stakeholders, facilitated by the dynamic interaction between the application interface (e.g., Rest API) and the blockchain network. These extracted data are then subjected to advanced data processing techniques and harnessed through machine learning methodologies to establish a robust recommendation system. This innovative approach seeks to empower users with informed decision-making abilities, thereby enhancing operational efficiency in identifying the most suitable coffee supplier for each customer. Furthermore, the research employs data visualization techniques to illustrate intricate clustering patterns generated by the K-Means algorithm, providing a visual dimension to the study's evaluation.

Hybrid Learning Architectures for Advanced Data Mining:An Application to Binary Classification for Fraud Management (개선된 데이터마이닝을 위한 혼합 학습구조의 제시)

  • Kim, Steven H.;Shin, Sung-Woo
    • Journal of Information Technology Application
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    • v.1
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    • pp.173-211
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    • 1999
  • The task of classification permeates all walks of life, from business and economics to science and public policy. In this context, nonlinear techniques from artificial intelligence have often proven to be more effective than the methods of classical statistics. The objective of knowledge discovery and data mining is to support decision making through the effective use of information. The automated approach to knowledge discovery is especially useful when dealing with large data sets or complex relationships. For many applications, automated software may find subtle patterns which escape the notice of manual analysis, or whose complexity exceeds the cognitive capabilities of humans. This paper explores the utility of a collaborative learning approach involving integrated models in the preprocessing and postprocessing stages. For instance, a genetic algorithm effects feature-weight optimization in a preprocessing module. Moreover, an inductive tree, artificial neural network (ANN), and k-nearest neighbor (kNN) techniques serve as postprocessing modules. More specifically, the postprocessors act as second0order classifiers which determine the best first-order classifier on a case-by-case basis. In addition to the second-order models, a voting scheme is investigated as a simple, but efficient, postprocessing model. The first-order models consist of statistical and machine learning models such as logistic regression (logit), multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA), ANN, and kNN. The genetic algorithm, inductive decision tree, and voting scheme act as kernel modules for collaborative learning. These ideas are explored against the background of a practical application relating to financial fraud management which exemplifies a binary classification problem.

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Vibration Monitoring of Reactor Internals Using Excore Neutron Flux Noise Signals (중성자속잡음 신호를 이용한 원자로의 전동감시)

  • 김성호;강현국;성풍현;한상준;전종선
    • Journal of KSNVE
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.361-371
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    • 1995
  • The vibration of reactor internals should be monitored and diagnosed for the early detection of the failure of reactor pressure vessel. This can be performed by analyzing the time-history signals from the excore neutron flux detertors. The conventional method is an on-demand system which generates power spectra through Fast Fourier Transform(FFT) algorithm. The operator can make his own decision to detect abnormal vibration using these spectra. This post- processing method, however, requires special expertise in the reactor noise analysis and signal processing for random data. It may mislead the operator into erroneous decision-making, if he is a novice in reactor noise analysis. Hence this study is focused on the automated monitoring and diagnosis procedure for the reactor noise analysis, especially on the Fuzzy algorithm to recognize the pattern of the vibration of Core Suport Barrel. The excore neutron signals of Yonggwang Nuclear Power Plant unit 3 is acquired and analyzed using conventional FFT spectra and tested to adopt the Fuzzy method. An Automated Monitoring and Diagnosis System for CSB Vibration using this Fuzzy method is proposed. Furthermore, vibration data for CSB of Youggwang Nnclear Power Plant unit 3 is presented.

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A fuzzy ART Approach for IS Personnel Selection and Evaluation (정보시스템 인력의 선발 및 평가를 위한 퍼지 ART 접근방법)

  • Uprety, Sudan Prasad;Jeong, Seung Ryul
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2013
  • Due to increasing competition of globalization and fast technological improvements the appropriate method for evaluating and selecting IS-personnel is one of the key factors for an organization's success. Personnel selection is a multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) problem which consists of both qualitative and quantitative metrics. Although many articles have discussed various knowledge and skills IS personnel should possess, no specific model for IS personnel selection and evaluation, to our knowledge, has been published up to now. After reviewing the IS personnel's important characteristics, we propose an approach for categorizing the IS personnel based on their skills, ability, and knowledge during evaluation and selection process. Our proposed approach is derived from a model of neural network algorithm. We have adapted and implemented the fuzzy ART algorithm with Jaccard choice function. The result of an illustrative numerical example is proposed to demonstrate the easiness and effectiveness of our approach.

Building an Algorithm for Compensating AIS Error Data (AIS 에러 데이터 관리기법에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Do-Yeon;Hong, Taeho;Jeong, Jung-Sik;Lee, Sang-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.310-315
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    • 2014
  • The domestic maritime environment shows higher frequency of maritime accidents amidst greater traffic volume arising from increasing international seaborne trade and maritime leisure activities. To reduce such maritime accidents, there exist various kinds of safety navigation devices in the ship bridge aimed to mitigate burdens of navigators and support their accurate decision making. Amongst is the AIS considered very important, which is an automatic tracking system to assist understanding of the circumstances in the vicinity by receiving information of other ships and also sending its own; where the information contains errors initially, however, such wrong information is periodically transmitted, accordingly giving rise to hindrance sometimes in decision making by shore operators or ship navigators at sea. This study is to propose the error data and field management algorithm using fuzzy theory toward improving reliability and accuracy in ship related information received from AIS.

A Study on the Implement of Image Recognition the Road Traffic Safety Information Board using Nearest Neighborhood Decision Making Algorithm (최근접 이웃 결정방법 알고리즘을 이용한 도로교통안전표지판 영상인식의 구현)

  • Jung Jin-Yong;Kim Dong-Hyun;Lee So-Haeng
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.4
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    • pp.257-284
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    • 2000
  • According as the drivers increase who have their cars, the comprehensive studies on the automobile for the traffic safety have been raised as the important problems. Visual Recognition System for radio-controled driving is a part of the sensor processor of Unmanned Autonomous Vehicle System. When a driver drives his car on an unknown highway or general road, it produces a model from the successively inputted road traffic information. The suggested Recognition System of the Road Traffic Safety Information Board is to recognize and distinguish automatically a Road Traffic Safety Information Board as one of road traffic information. The whole processes of Recognition System of the Road Traffic Safety Information Board suggested in this study are as follows. We took the photographs of Road Traffic Safety Information Board with a digital camera in order to get an image and normalize bitmap image file with a size of $200{\times}200$ byte with Photo Shop 5.0. The existing True Color is made up the color data of sixteen million kinds. We changed it with 256 Color, because it has large capacity, and spend much time on calculating. We have practiced works of 30 times with erosion and dilation algorithm to remove unnecessary images. We drawing out original image with the Region Splitting Technique as a kind of segmentation. We made three kinds of grouping(Attention Information Board, Prohibit Information Board, and Introduction Information Board) by RYB( Red, Yellow, Blue) color segmentation. We minimized the image size of board, direction, and the influence of rounding. We also minimized the Influence according to position. and the brightness of light and darkness with Eigen Vector and Eigen Value. The data sampling this feature value appeared after building the learning Code Book Database. The suggested Recognition System of the Road Traffic Safety Information Board firstly distinguished three kinds of groups in the database of learning Code Book, and suggested in order to recognize after comparing and judging the board want to recognize within the same group with Nearest Neighborhood Decision Making.

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AHP and Group Decision Making for Access Network Selection in Heterogeneous Wireless Networks (이기종 무선 네트워크에서 접근 네트워크 선택을 위한 AHP와 그룹 결정 방법)

  • Kim, Nam-Sun
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.38A no.10
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    • pp.858-864
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    • 2013
  • In the 4G wireless environment, one of the important issues is to discover and select an access network suited for users. In this thesis, we propose a new network selection mechanism using group decision making and evaluate the effect of network selection schemes for vertical handover in heterogeneous wireless networks. We consider the group of users with similar QoS requirements search for the available access network simultaneously and a service area consist of multiple access networks with various characteristics. We divide the access networks with similar characteristics split into a group. Between each group, the one group is selected and within that group, the best access networks will be assigned according to priority order by network selection algorithm. We evaluate and compare the performance of three representative MADM schemes: GRA, SAW and TOPSIS. The MATLAB simulation results indicate the proposed algorithm can make a more effective choice according to the networks' characteristics and user's preference.

A Study on Factors of Education's Outcome using Decision Trees (의사결정트리를 이용한 교육성과 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Wan-Seop
    • Journal of Engineering Education Research
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 2010
  • In order to manage the lectures efficiently in the university and improve the educational outcome, the process is needed that make diagnosis of the present educational outcome of each classes on a lecture and find factors of educational outcome. In most studies for finding the factors of the efficient lecture, statistical methods such as association analysis, regression analysis are used usually, and recently decision tree analysis is employed, too. The decision tree analysis have the merits that is easy to understand a result model, and to be easy to apply for the decision making, but have the weaknesses that is not strong for characteristic of input data such as multicollinearity. This paper indicates the weaknesses of decision tree analysis, and suggests the experimental solution using multiple decision tree algorithm to supplement these problems. The experimental result shows that the suggested method is more effective in finding the reliable factors of the educational outcome.

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The Vertical Handover Between WLAN and UMTS using Group Decision Making Method (그룹결정방법을 이용한 WLAN과 UMTS간의 수직 핸드오버)

  • Kim, Nam-Sun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.9
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    • pp.4492-4497
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    • 2013
  • An important features of next-generation wireless networks will be heterogeneous environment in which a mobile terminal will be able to connect to multiple radio access networks and network selection mechanisms play an important role in ensuring QoS for users in this environment. In this paper, our study is concerned with an extension of the well known AHP to the group decision making methods. The users requested specific QoS divide into a group and the access networks with similar characteristics split into a group. Between each group, the one group is selected and within that group, the best access networks will be assigned according to priority order by network selection algorithm. The experimental results of MATLAB simulation show that the every user in each services can select the same network with decision value as large as 0.9. Consequently, the proposed network selection mechanism is more effective than conventional one in integrated UMTS and WLAN networks.