• Title/Summary/Keyword: Debt

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China's Debt Woes: Not Yet a "Lehman Moment"

  • Sharma, Shalendra D.
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.99-114
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    • 2015
  • What explains the sharp increase in the Chinese economy's indebtedness, in particular the China's onshore corporate debt? Has the overall debt burden reached a threshold where it poses a systemic risk, thereby making the economy vulnerable to a "Lehman Moment" - with disorderly unwinding of the private sector and sovereign debt? What are the short and longer term implications of China's growing debt problems on domestic economic growth and the broader global political economy? What has Beijing done to ameliorate the problem, how effective were its efforts, and what must it do to deal with this problem?

가구주 직업이 가계의 부채구조에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Householder's Occupation on the Debt Structures of Households)

  • 성영애
    • 한국생활과학회지
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.21-32
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    • 2000
  • This study investigated the effect of householder's occupation on the debt structures of households. Household debts were categorized into six types according to borrowing sources: debts from banks, other financial institutes, employers, private sources, Gye, and retailers. Householder's occupations were classified into four groups: full-time employees, employers, farmers & fishermen, and part-time employees. The data came from the 1996 Korean Household Panel Study. It was found that the rates of holding each types of debt and the debt amounts were different according to householder's occupation. The human and economic resources to overcome the possible household debt problems were also different by the householder's occupation.

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Analysis of the Structural Changes in Household Debt Distributions by Householder Age in Korea and in the US

  • KIM, JISEOB
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제37권4호
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    • pp.21-54
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    • 2015
  • This paper analyzes how and why household debt distribution by the householder age has changed over the past decade both in Korea and the US. Data shows that the proportion of household debt held by younger households has decreased, while that held by older households has increased. Empirical analysis shows that a change in the demographic distribution of householders is the main driving force that has shifted the household debt distribution. Given that demographic aging is an inevitable trend, the proportion of household debt held by older households is also expected to increase. Therefore, the Korean government must preemptively prepare for the household debt problem, especially for debt held by older households, by strengthening macro-prudential policies, preventing asset price deflation, restructuring household debt contract structures, and reforming labor market inflexibility.

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제주지역 농가부채의 구조 분석과 개선방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Current State and Improvement Schemes of Farm Household Debt in Jeju Province)

  • 고성보
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.85-97
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this paper is to review current state of farm household's debt which is considered as one of the biggest problem in the rural community, to analyze the cause of farm household debt rising in Jeju province, and to make improvement schemes on how this problem of farm household debt could be alleviated. In order to achieve these objectives, raw data are collected from the interviews with 400 farming households in Jeju region. The results of the study are as follows; An average amount of total farm households debt was 42,000 thousand won in 2005, but an average of farm households debt excluding no debt farm households was increased by 10,000 thousand to 51,750 thousand won. But the debt properties are variable according to the farm type. Non-citrus farmers, younger farmers, rural area resident farmers hold more debt problems than other type. Among total farm households, 30 percent showed over 40 percent leverage ratio(debt/total assets), which is considered as risky or heavily indebted. Therefore, I designed a workout program and a program of land liquidation for heavily indebted farm households in Korea.

부채 취약가계 결정 요인 (Determinants of Households with Risky Debts)

  • 백은영;성영애
    • 한국생활과학회지
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.225-240
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the determinants of households with risky debt loads. The study used financial ratios to determine which households were over-indebted. The 3 ratios used were Debt to Asset ratio, Debt to Financial asset ratio, and Debt Service ratio. Data for this study was the 2011 Survey of Household Finance. Households that demonstrated total debts of 70% or more when compared to total assets were 8.8%. Households that demonstrated a debt load totaling 5 or more times their total financial assets were 19%. Households with monthly repayment obligations of 40% or more of disposable income were 20%. Households that fulfilled all 3 financial ratio criteria were 1.5% of total indebted households. Over-indebted households demonstrated severe economic condition in terms of debt, but not all over-indebted households were categorized as being in economically vulnerable group. The major determinants of households with risky debts were income, asset, purpose of loans, and spending behavior of the households.

The Impact of Debt on Corporate Profitability: Evidence from Vietnam

  • NGO, Van Toan;TRAM, Thi Xuan Huong;VU, Ba Thanh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권11호
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    • pp.835-842
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    • 2020
  • The study aims to investigate the impact of debt on corporate profitability in the context of Vietnam. The paper investigates the impact of debt on corporate profitability in non-finance listed companies on the Vietnam stock market. The panel data of the research sample includes 118 non-financial listed companies on the Vietnam stock market for a period of nine years, from 2009 to 2017. The Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) is employed to address econometric issues and to improve the accuracy of the regression coefficients. In this research, corporate profitability is measured as the return of EBIT on total assets. The debt ratio is a ratio that indicates the proportion of a company's debt to its total assets. Firm sizes, tangible assets, growth rate, and taxes are control variables in the study. The empirical results show that debt has a statistically significant negative effect on corporate profitability. The result also shows this effect is stronger in a non-linear (concave) way, we show that the debt ratio has nonlinear effects on corporate profitability. From this, experimental evidence shows that the optimal debt ratio is 38.87%. This evidence provides a new insight to managers of the non-finance companies on how to improve the firm's profitability with debt.

부채변화에 대한 순서이론 예측력 검정 및 유통기업의 함의 (Pecking Order Prediction of Debt Changes and Its Implication for the Retail Firm)

  • 이정환;유원석
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제13권10호
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - This paper aims to investigate whether information asymmetry could explain capital structures in Korean corporations. According to Myers (1984), firms prefer internal funding to external financing due to the costs associated with information asymmetry. When external financing is necessary, firms prefer to issue debt rather than equity by the same reasoning. Since Shyam-Sunder and Myers (1999), numerous studies continue to debate the validity of the theory. In this paper, we show how the theory depends on assumptions and incorporated variables. We hope our investigation can provide helpful implications regarding capital structure, information asymmetry, and other firm characteristics. Specifically, our empirical results are complementary to the analysis of Son and Lee's (2015), a recent study that examines the pecking order theory prediction for Korean retail firms. Research design, data, and methodology - We test empirical models that are some variants of model used in Shyam-Sunder and Myers (1999). The financial and accounting data are provided by WISEfn for the firms listed on the KOSPI during 1990 to 2013. Bond ratings are supplied by the Korea Investor Service (KIS). We take into account the heterogeneity in debt capacity; a firm's debt capacity is measured by using the method of Lemmon and Zender (2010) based on its bond ratings. Finally, we estimate empirical models suggested by Shyam-Sunder and Myers (1999), Frank and Goyal (2003), and Lemmon and Zender (2010). Results - First, we find that Shyam-Sunder and Myers' (1999) prediction fails to explain total debt changes of Korean firms. Second, we find a non-monotonic relationship between total debt changes and financial deficits with respect to debt capacity. This contradicts the prediction of Lemmon and Zender (2010) that argues the pecking order theory survives with a monotonically increasing relationship. Third, we estimate a negative correlation coefficient between financial deficit and current debt changes. The result is the complete opposite of the prediction of Lemmon and Zender (2010). Finally, we also confirm the non-monotonic relationship between non-current debt changes and financial deficits with respect to debt capacity. Yet, the slope of coefficient is smaller than that of total debt change case. Indeed, the results are, to some extent, consistent with the prediction of pecking order theory, if we exclude the mid-debt capacity firms. Conclusions - Our empirical results complementary to the analysis of Son and Lee (2015), a recent study focusing on capital structure in Korean retail firms; their paper suggests interesting topics regarding capital structure, information asymmetry, and other firm characteristics in Korean corporations. Contrary to Son and Lee (2015), our results show that total debt changes and current debt changes are inconsistent with the prediction of Shyam-Sunder and Myers (1999). However, similar to Son and Lee (2015), non-current debt changes are consistent with the pecking order prediction, in the case of excluding the mid-level debt capacity firms. This contrast allows us to infer that industry characteristics significantly affect the validity of the pecking order prediction. Further studies are needed to analyze the economics behind this phenomenon, which is beyond the scope of our paper. In addition, the estimation bias potentially matters regarding the firm-level debt capacity calculation. We also reserve this topic for future research.

유통 상장기업들의 부채변화에 관한 연구 (Debt Issuance and Capacity of Korean Retail Firms)

  • 이정환;손삼호
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제13권9호
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - The aim of this paper is to investigate the explanatory power of the Pecking-order theory (the cost of financing increases with asymmetric information) among Korean retail firms from the perspective of debt capacity. According to the Pecking-order theory, a firm's first preference is to use internal funds for its capital needs, its next preference is the issuance of debt, and its last preference is the issuance of equity; this is due to the information asymmetry problem between existing shareholders and investors. However, prior empirical studies, such as Lemmon and Zender (2010), argue that the entire sample test for the Pecking-order theory could be misleading due to the different levels of debt issuance capability of each of the individual firms; in fact, they confirm that the explanatory power of the Pecking-order theory improves after taking into account the differences in debt capacity of the U.S. firms they examined. This paper implements a case study approach among Korean retail firms to examine the relationship between debt capacity and the explanatory power of the Pecking-order theory in Korea. Research design, data, and methodology - This study uses the sample of public retail firms on the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) from the time period of 1990 to 2013. We gather related financial and accounting statements from the financial information firm WISEfn. Credit rating information is provided by the Korea Investor Service. We employ the models of Lemmon and Zender (2010) and Son and Kim (2013) to measure a firm's debt capacity. Their logit models use the rating dummy variable as a dependent variable and incorporate other firm characteristics as independent variables to estimate debt capacity. To test the Pecking-order theory, we adopt variants of the financing deficit model of Shyam-Sunder and Myers (1999). In the test of the Pecking-order theory, we consider all of the changes in total debt obligations, current debt obligations, and long-term debt obligations. Results - Our main contribution to the literature is our confirmation of the predicted relationship between debt capacity and the explanatory power of the Pecking-order theory among Korean retail firms. The coefficients on financing deficits become greater as a firm's debt capacity improves. This is consistent with the results of Lemmon and Zender (2010). The coefficients on the square of the financing deficits are also negative for the firms in the largest debt capacity group, which is also consistent with the predictions in prior literature. Conclusions - This study takes a case study approach by examining Korean retail firms. We confirm that the Pecking-order theory explains the capital structure of retail firms more appropriately, after taking into account the debt capacity of each firm. This result suggests the importance of debt capacity consideration in the testing of the Pecking-order theory. Our result also implies that there has been a potential underestimation of the explanatory power of the Pecking-order theory in existing studies.

가계부채의 결정요인에 관한 실증적 연구 (An Empirical Study on the Influencing factors of Household Debt)

  • 이신남
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.177-183
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구의 목적은 부채보유 가계를 대상으로 가계부채에 미치는 결정요인에 대하여 분석하고자 한 연구이다. 분석 방법으로는 SPSS 22.0을 사용하였다. 연구결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 부채보유 가계를 대상으로 검증한 결과, 인구통계학적 특성으로는 학력이 낮을수록, 나이가 많을수록, 직업은 농림 및 어업에서 그리고 가구원 수가 많을수록, 성별에 있어서는 여성들이 더 많은 심리적 부채부담을 갖는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 부채보유가계 중 월평균 부채상환액과 총자산에 대한 부채부담특성이 심리적 부채부담에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 취약계층을 위하여 부채부담을 낮출 수 있도록 부채 금리를 낮추고, 가계부채자에 대한 이해도를 높이는 것이 필요하며, 그에 적합한 금융교육과 컨설팅이 필요하다는 것을 시사한다. 셋째, 부채보유 가계 중 심리적 부채 부담에 영향을 미치는 요인으로 나이가 많을수록, 소득에 비해 월평균 지급이자 및 상환액이 높을수록, 총자산에 비해 총부채가 많을수록 심리적 부채부담에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 가계부채에 영향을 주는 다른 요인은 후속연구에서 다루어질 것이다.

부채비율과 이익조정의 관계에 이익조정 대체적 측정치와 부채유형이 미치는 영향 (Relationship between Debt Ratio and Earnings Effect of Earnings Management's Estimating Method, Debt Type)

  • 박원
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.1932-1937
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 부채비율과 이익조정의 관계를 검증하고 이러한 관계가 이익조정 대체적 측정치에 따라 차이가 있는지 검증해 보고자 한다. 또한 재무부채와 영업부채로 구분할 경우 부채비율과 이익조정에 미치는 영향을 검증해 보고자 한다. 분석을 위하여 2003년부터 2010년까지 비금융업에 속한 12월 결산 상장법인 중 몇 가지 조건을 만족하는 2,053개(기업/년)를 대상으로 표본을 선정하여 부채비율과 이익조정의 대체적 측정치를 분석하였으며 그 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 부채비율과 이익조정의 관계는 재량적 발생액으로 이익조정을 측정할 경우 이익을 상향조정하는 결과를 확인할 수 없었지만 실제활동으로 측정한 이익조정 분석에서 부채비율 회귀계수는 0.106, 0.120으로 1%이내 유의적인 양(+)의 관계로 이익을 상향조정하는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 재무부채비율은 회귀계수 0.180, 0.194로 부채비율과 유사하게 실제활동 측정치와 1%이내 유의적인 양(+)의 관계를 검증할 수 있었다. 반면 영업부채비율과 실제활동 측정치의 관계는 회귀계수 -0.070, -0.056으로 비유의적인 것으로 나타났다.