• Title/Summary/Keyword: Data Accuracy

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Prediction of Water Storage Rate for Agricultural Reservoirs Using Univariate and Multivariate LSTM Models (단변량 및 다변량 LSTM을 이용한 농업용 저수지의 저수율 예측)

  • Sunguk Joh;Yangwon Lee
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.39 no.5_4
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    • pp.1125-1134
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    • 2023
  • Out of the total 17,000 reservoirs in Korea, 13,600 small agricultural reservoirs do not have hydrological measurement facilities, making it difficult to predict water storage volume and appropriate operation. This paper examined univariate and multivariate long short-term memory (LSTM) modeling to predict the storage rate of agricultural reservoirs using remote sensing and artificial intelligence. The univariate LSTM model used only water storage rate as an explanatory variable, and the multivariate LSTM model added n-day accumulative precipitation and date of year (DOY) as explanatory variables. They were trained using eight years data (2013 to 2020) for Idong Reservoir, and the predictions of the daily water storage in 2021 were validated for accuracy assessment. The univariate showed the root-mean square error (RMSE) of 1.04%, 2.52%, and 4.18% for the one, three, and five-day predictions. The multivariate model showed the RMSE 0.98%, 1.95%, and 2.76% for the one, three, and five-day predictions. In addition to the time-series storage rate, DOY and daily and 5-day cumulative precipitation variables were more significant than others for the daily model, which means that the temporal range of the impacts of precipitation on the everyday water storage rate was approximately five days.

Methodology of Test for sUAV Navigation System Error (소형무인항공기 항법시스템오차 시험평가 방법)

  • SungKwan Ku;HyoJung Ahn;Yo-han Ju;Seokmin Hong
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.510-516
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    • 2021
  • Recently, the range of utilization and demand for unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) has been continuously increasing, and research on the construction of a separate operating system for low-altitude UAV is underway through the development of a management system separate from manned aircraft. Since low-altitude UAVs also fly in the airspace, it is essential to establish technical standards and certification systems necessary for the operation of the aircraft, and research on this is also in progress. If the operating standards and certification requirements of the aircraft are presented, a test method to confirm this should also be presented. In particular, the accuracy of small UAV's navigation required during flight is required to be more precise than that of a manned aircraft or a large UAV. It was necessary to calculate a separate navigation error. In this study, we presented a test method for deriving navigation errors that can be applied to UAVs that have difficulty in acquiring long-term operational data, which is different from existing manned aircraft, and conducted verification tests.

A Comparative Study on Prediction Performance of the Bankruptcy Prediction Models for General Contractors in Korea Construction Industry

  • Seung-Kyu Yoo;Jae-Kyu Choi;Ju-Hyung Kim;Jae-Jun Kim
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2011.02a
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    • pp.432-438
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of the present thesis is to develop bankruptcy prediction models capable of being applied to the Korean construction industry and to deduce an optimal model through comparative evaluation of final developed models. A study population was selected as general contractors in the Korean construction industry. In order to ease the sample securing and reliability of data, it was limited to general contractors receiving external audit from the government. The study samples are divided into a bankrupt company group and a non-bankrupt company group. The bankruptcy, insolvency, declaration of insolvency, workout and corporate reorganization were used as selection criteria of a bankrupt company. A company that is not included in the selection criteria of the bankrupt company group was selected as a non-bankrupt company. Accordingly, the study sample is composed of a total of 112 samples and is composed of 48 bankrupt companies and 64 non-bankrupt companies. A financial ratio was used as early predictors for development of an estimation model. A total of 90 financial ratios were used and were divided into growth, profitability, productivity and added value. The MDA (Multivariate Discriminant Analysis) model and BLRA (Binary Logistic Regression Analysis) model were used for development of bankruptcy prediction models. The MDA model is an analysis method often used in the past bankruptcy prediction literature, and the BLRA is an analysis method capable of avoiding equal variance assumption. The stepwise (MDA) and forward stepwise method (BLRA) were used for selection of predictor variables in case of model construction. Twenty two variables were finally used in MDA and BLRA models according to timing of bankruptcy. The ROC-Curve Analysis and Classification Analysis were used for analysis of prediction performance of estimation models. The correct classification rate of an individual bankruptcy prediction model is as follows: 1) one year ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 83.04%, BLRA: 93.75%); 2) two years ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 77.68%, BLRA: 78.57%); 3) 3 years ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 84.82%, BLRA: 91.96%). The AUC (Area Under Curve) of an individual bankruptcy prediction model is as follows. : 1) one year ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 0.933, BLRA: 0.978); 2) two years ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 0.852, BLRA: 0.875); 3) 3 years ago before the event of bankruptcy (MDA: 0.938, BLRA: 0.975). As a result of the present research, accuracy of the BLRA model is higher than the MDA model and its prediction performance is improved.

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Standard Procedures and Field Application Case of Constant Pressure Injection Test for Evaluating Hydrogeological Characteristics in Deep Fractured Rock Aquifer (고심도 균열암반대수층 수리지질특성 평가를 위한 정압주입시험 조사절차 및 현장적용사례 연구)

  • Hangbok Lee;Chan Park;Eui-Seob Park;Yong-Bok Jung;Dae-Sung Cheon;SeongHo Bae;Hyung-Mok Kim;Ki Seog Kim
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.348-372
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    • 2023
  • In relation to the high-level radioactive waste disposal project in deep fractured rock aquifer environments, it is essential to evaluate hydrogeological characteristics for evaluating the suitability of the site and operational stability. Such subsurface hydrogeological data is obtained through in-situ tests using boreholes excavated at the target site. The accuracy and reliability of the investigation results are directly related to the selection of appropriate test methods, the performance of the investigation system, standardization of the investigation procedure. In this report, we introduce the detailed procedures for the representative test method, the constant pressure injection test (CPIT), which is used to determine the key hydrogeological parameters of the subsurface fractured rock aquifer, namely hydraulic conductivity and storativity. This report further refines the standard test method suggested by the KSRM in 2022 and includes practical field application case conducted in volcanic rock aquifers where this investigation procedure has been applied.

Tip and taper compatibility of accessory gutta-percha points with rotary and reciprocating instruments

  • Julia Niero Zanatta Streck; Sabrina Arcaro;Renan Antonio Ceretta;Eduardo Antunes Bortoluzzi;Lucas da Fonseca Roberti Garcia;Josiane de Almeida ;Patricia Maria Poli Kopper ;Anarela Vassen Bernardi
    • Restorative Dentistry and Endodontics
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.22.1-22.8
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    • 2023
  • Objectives: This study was conducted to evaluate and compare the tip and taper compatibility of accessory gutta-percha points (AGPs) with various rotary and reciprocating instruments. Materials and Methods: Using a profile analyzer, tip and taper measurements were taken of 10 AGPs of each of the 14 models available from Odous de Deus and the 4 models available from Dentsply-Maillefer. Diameter measurements were taken at 1-mm intervals, from 3 mm from the tip (D3) to 16 mm. Results: Based on the mean values obtained, 3-dimensional (3D) models of the AGPs were drawn in Autodesk Fusion 360 and superimposed on 3D models of each instrument selected (Mtwo, Reciproc, RaCe, K3, and ProDesign Logic) to determine the compatibility between the instrument and the AGP. Data corresponding to the tips and tapers of the various AGPs, as well as the tip and taper differences between the AGPs and the instruments, were analyzed using descriptive statistics. The tapers of the AGPs were subject to the American National Standards Institute/American Dental Association No. 57 standard. The Odous de Deus extra-long medium and extra-long extra-medium AGPs were shown to be compatible with Mtwo, K3, and ProDesign Logic instruments with taper 0.06 and tip sizes 25 and 30, while the Dentsply fine and fine medium cones were compatible with Mtwo, RaCe, and K3 instruments with conicity of 0.04 and tip sizes 35 and 40. Conclusions: Both the Odous de Deus and Dentsply commercial brands included 2 AGP models with tip (D3) and taper compatibility with Mtwo, RaCe, K3, and/or Prodesign Logic instruments.

Deep Learning Approach for Automatic Discontinuity Mapping on 3D Model of Tunnel Face (터널 막장 3차원 지형모델 상에서의 불연속면 자동 매핑을 위한 딥러닝 기법 적용 방안)

  • Chuyen Pham;Hyu-Soung Shin
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.508-518
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    • 2023
  • This paper presents a new approach for the automatic mapping of discontinuities in a tunnel face based on its 3D digital model reconstructed by LiDAR scan or photogrammetry techniques. The main idea revolves around the identification of discontinuity areas in the 3D digital model of a tunnel face by segmenting its 2D projected images using a deep-learning semantic segmentation model called U-Net. The proposed deep learning model integrates various features including the projected RGB image, depth map image, and local surface properties-based images i.e., normal vector and curvature images to effectively segment areas of discontinuity in the images. Subsequently, the segmentation results are projected back onto the 3D model using depth maps and projection matrices to obtain an accurate representation of the location and extent of discontinuities within the 3D space. The performance of the segmentation model is evaluated by comparing the segmented results with their corresponding ground truths, which demonstrates the high accuracy of segmentation results with the intersection-over-union metric of approximately 0.8. Despite still being limited in training data, this method exhibits promising potential to address the limitations of conventional approaches, which only rely on normal vectors and unsupervised machine learning algorithms for grouping points in the 3D model into distinct sets of discontinuities.

Development of Stream Cover Classification Model Using SVM Algorithm based on Drone Remote Sensing (드론원격탐사 기반 SVM 알고리즘을 활용한 하천 피복 분류 모델 개발)

  • Jeong, Kyeong-So;Go, Seong-Hwan;Lee, Kyeong-Kyu;Park, Jong-Hwa
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2024
  • This study aimed to develop a precise vegetation cover classification model for small streams using the combination of drone remote sensing and support vector machine (SVM) techniques. The chosen study area was the Idong stream, nestled within Geosan-gun, Chunbuk, South Korea. The initial stage involved image acquisition through a fixed-wing drone named ebee. This drone carried two sensors: the S.O.D.A visible camera for capturing detailed visuals and the Sequoia+ multispectral sensor for gathering rich spectral data. The survey meticulously captured the stream's features on August 18, 2023. Leveraging the multispectral images, a range of vegetation indices were calculated. These included the widely used normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), the soil-adjusted vegetation index (SAVI) that factors in soil background, and the normalized difference water index (NDWI) for identifying water bodies. The third stage saw the development of an SVM model based on the calculated vegetation indices. The RBF kernel was chosen as the SVM algorithm, and optimal values for the cost (C) and gamma hyperparameters were determined. The results are as follows: (a) High-Resolution Imaging: The drone-based image acquisition delivered results, providing high-resolution images (1 cm/pixel) of the Idong stream. These detailed visuals effectively captured the stream's morphology, including its width, variations in the streambed, and the intricate vegetation cover patterns adorning the stream banks and bed. (b) Vegetation Insights through Indices: The calculated vegetation indices revealed distinct spatial patterns in vegetation cover and moisture content. NDVI emerged as the strongest indicator of vegetation cover, while SAVI and NDWI provided insights into moisture variations. (c) Accurate Classification with SVM: The SVM model, fueled by the combination of NDVI, SAVI, and NDWI, achieved an outstanding accuracy of 0.903, which was calculated based on the confusion matrix. This performance translated to precise classification of vegetation, soil, and water within the stream area. The study's findings demonstrate the effectiveness of drone remote sensing and SVM techniques in developing accurate vegetation cover classification models for small streams. These models hold immense potential for various applications, including stream monitoring, informed management practices, and effective stream restoration efforts. By incorporating images and additional details about the specific drone and sensors technology, we can gain a deeper understanding of small streams and develop effective strategies for stream protection and management.

Vehicle Acceleration and Vehicle Spacing Calculation Method Used YOLO (YOLO기법을 사용한 차량가속도 및 차두거리 산출방법)

  • Jeong-won Gil;Jae-seong Hwang;Jae-Kyung Kwon;Choul-ki Lee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.82-96
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    • 2024
  • While analyzing traffic flow, speed, traffic volume, and density are important macroscopic indicators, and acceleration and spacing are the important microscopic indicators. The speed and traffic volume can be collected with the currently installed traffic information collection devices. However, acceleration and spacing data are necessary for safety and autonomous driving but cannot be collected using the current traffic information collection devices. 'You Look Only Once'(YOLO), an object recognition technique, has excellent accuracy and real-time performance and is used in various fields, including the transportation field. In this study, to measure acceleration and spacing using YOLO, we developed a model that measures acceleration and spacing through changes in vehicle speed at each interval and the differences in the travel time between vehicles by setting the measurement intervals closely. It was confirmed that the range of acceleration and spacing is different depending on the traffic characteristics of each point, and a comparative analysis was performed according to the reference distance and screen angle to secure the measurement rate. The measurement interval was 20m, and the closer the angle was to a right angle, the higher the measurement rate. These results will contribute to the analysis of safety by intersection and the domestic vehicle behavior model.

Domain Knowledge Incorporated Local Rule-based Explanation for ML-based Bankruptcy Prediction Model (머신러닝 기반 부도예측모형에서 로컬영역의 도메인 지식 통합 규칙 기반 설명 방법)

  • Soo Hyun Cho;Kyung-shik Shin
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.105-123
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    • 2022
  • Thanks to the remarkable success of Artificial Intelligence (A.I.) techniques, a new possibility for its application on the real-world problem has begun. One of the prominent applications is the bankruptcy prediction model as it is often used as a basic knowledge base for credit scoring models in the financial industry. As a result, there has been extensive research on how to improve the prediction accuracy of the model. However, despite its impressive performance, it is difficult to implement machine learning (ML)-based models due to its intrinsic trait of obscurity, especially when the field requires or values an explanation about the result obtained by the model. The financial domain is one of the areas where explanation matters to stakeholders such as domain experts and customers. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to incorporate financial domain knowledge into local rule generation to provide explanations for the bankruptcy prediction model at instance level. The result shows the proposed method successfully selects and classifies the extracted rules based on the feasibility and information they convey to the users.

Safety Verification Techniques of Privacy Policy Using GPT (GPT를 활용한 개인정보 처리방침 안전성 검증 기법)

  • Hye-Yeon Shim;MinSeo Kweun;DaYoung Yoon;JiYoung Seo;Il-Gu Lee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.207-216
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    • 2024
  • As big data was built due to the 4th Industrial Revolution, personalized services increased rapidly. As a result, the amount of personal information collected from online services has increased, and concerns about users' personal information leakage and privacy infringement have increased. Online service providers provide privacy policies to address concerns about privacy infringement of users, but privacy policies are often misused due to the long and complex problem that it is difficult for users to directly identify risk items. Therefore, there is a need for a method that can automatically check whether the privacy policy is safe. However, the safety verification technique of the conventional blacklist and machine learning-based privacy policy has a problem that is difficult to expand or has low accessibility. In this paper, to solve the problem, we propose a safety verification technique for the privacy policy using the GPT-3.5 API, which is a generative artificial intelligence. Classification work can be performed evenin a new environment, and it shows the possibility that the general public without expertise can easily inspect the privacy policy. In the experiment, how accurately the blacklist-based privacy policy and the GPT-based privacy policy classify safe and unsafe sentences and the time spent on classification was measured. According to the experimental results, the proposed technique showed 10.34% higher accuracy on average than the conventional blacklist-based sentence safety verification technique.