• Title/Summary/Keyword: DPNN

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A Study onthe Modelling and control Using GMDH Algorithm (GMDH 알고리즘을 이용한 모델링 및 제어에 관한 연구)

  • 최종헌;홍연찬
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 1997
  • With the emergence of neural network, there is a revived interest in identification of nonlinear systems. So in this paper, to identify unknown nonlinear systems dynamically we propose DPNN(Dynamic Polynomial Neural Network) using GMDH (Group Method of Data Handling) algorithm. The dynamic system identification using GMDH consists of applying a set of inputloutput data to train the network by dynamically computing the necessary coeffici1:nt sets. Then, MRAC(Mode1 Reference Adaptive Control) is designed to control nonlinear systems using DPNN. In the result, we can see that the modelling and control using DPNN work well by computer simulation.

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Performance Evaluation of High-Level Ozone Prediction Model Based on the Confidence Level Test (신뢰수준평가에 기반한 고농도 오존 예측모델의 성능평가)

  • 정재룡;안항배;송치권;배현;전병희;김성신
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2002.12a
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    • pp.195-198
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    • 2002
  • 고농도오존이 발생되는 원인과 환경적 요인의 상호관계를 모델링하기 위해 신경회로 망과 같은 지능제어 기법들이 많이 적용되어 왔다 분석과 모델링을 위해 유전자 알고리즘과 같은 최적화 방법을 적용하기도 하지만, 고농도 오존이 발생되는 메커니즘이 매우 복잡하고, 비선형적이며, 패턴파악이 어렵기 때문에 고농도 오존의 예측 모델링에는 여전히 문제점이 있다 따라서 본 논문에서는 신뢰수준과 신뢰구간을 이용하여 초농도 오존을 예측할 수 있는 모델링 방법을 서술하였다 예측값의 신뢰수준의 평가는 예측에 대한 실측값을 구하여 신뢰구간내의 데이터의 개수를 파악함으로써 신뢰성을 평가할 수 있다. 또한 이 테스트는 우리가 가지고 있지 않은 데이터에 대한 유효성을 평가하는데 적용될 수 있다 그리고 본 논문에서는 GMDH(Group Method of data handling)의 전형적인 알고리즘에 바탕을 두고 있는 DPNN(Dynamic Polynomial Neural Network)를 이용하여 예측 모델을 구성하였다. DPNN은 데이터 해석이 용이하고 비선형적인 동적 시스템 예측에 유용하게 적용될 수 있는 장점을 가지고 있다.

Fuzzy System and Knowledge Information for Stock-Index Prediction

  • Kim, Hae-Gyun;Bae, Hyeon;Kim, Sung-Shin
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.172.6-172
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    • 2001
  • In recent years, many attempts have been made to predict the behavior of bonds, currencies, stock, or other economic markets. Most previous experiments used multilayer perceptrons(MLP) for stock market forecasting, The Kospi 200 Index is modeled using different neural networks and fuzzy system predictions. In this paper, a multilayer perceptron architecture, a dynamic polynomial neural network(DPNN) and a fuzzy system are used to predict the Kospi 200 index. The results of prediction is compared with the root mean squared error(RMSE) and the scatter plot. The results show that the fuzzy system is performing slightly better than DPNN and MLP. We can develop the desired fuzzy system by learning methods ...

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Neuro-Fuzzy Approaches to Ozone Prediction System (뉴로-퍼지 기법에 의한 오존농도 예측모델)

  • 김태헌;김성신;김인택;이종범;김신도;김용국
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.616-628
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we present the modeling of the ozone prediction system using Neuro-Fuzzy approaches. The mechanism of ozone concentration is highly complex, nonlinear, and nonstationary, the modeling of ozone prediction system has many problems and the results of prediction is not a good performance so far. The Dynamic Polynomial Neural Network(DPNN) which employs a typical algorithm of GMDH(Group Method of Data Handling) is a useful method for data analysis, identification of nonlinear complex system, and prediction of a dynamical system. The structure of the final model is compact and the computation speed to produce an output is faster than other modeling methods. In addition to DPNN, this paper also includes a Fuzzy Logic Method for modeling of ozone prediction system. The results of each modeling method and the performance of ozone prediction are presented. The proposed method shows that the prediction to the ozone concentration based upon Neuro-Fuzzy approaches gives us a good performance for ozone prediction in high and low ozone concentration with the ability of superior data approximation and self organization.

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A Comparative Study on the Prediction of KOSPI 200 Using Intelligent Approaches

  • Bae, Hyeon;Kim, Sung-Shin;Kim, Hae-Gyun;Woo, Kwang-Bang
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2003
  • In recent years, many attempts have been made to predict the behavior of bonds, currencies, stock or other economic markets. Most previous experiments used the neural network models for the stock market forecasting. The KOSPI 200 (Korea Composite Stock Price Index 200) is modeled by using different neural networks and fuzzy logic. In this paper, the neural network, the dynamic polynomial neural network (DPNN) and the fuzzy logic employed for the prediction of the KOSPI 200. The prediction results are compared by the root mean squared error (RMSE) and scatter plot, respectively. The results show that the performance of the fuzzy system is little bit worse than that of the DPNN but better than that of the neural network. We can develop the desired fuzzy system by optimization methods.

Stock-Index Prediction using Fuzzy System and Knowledge Information (퍼지시스템과 지식정보를 이용한 주가지수 예측)

  • Kim, Hae-Gyun;Kim, Sung-Shin
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2001.07d
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    • pp.2030-2032
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    • 2001
  • In recent years, many attempts have been made to predict the behavior of bonds, currencies, stock, or other economic markets. Most previous experiments used multilayer perceptrons(MLP) for stock market forecasting. The Kospi 200 Index is modeled using different neural networks and fuzzy system predictions. In this paper, a multilayer perceptron architecture, a dynamic polynomial neural network(DPNN) and a fuzzy system are used to predict the Kospi 200 index. The results of prediction is compared with the root mean squared error(RMSE) and the scatter plot. Results show that both networks can be trained to predict the index. And the fuzzy system is performing slightly better than DPNN and MLP.

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Forecasting High-Level Ozone Concentration with Fuzzy Clustering (퍼지 클러스터링을 이용한 고농도오존예측)

  • 김재용;김성신;왕보현
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.191-194
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    • 2001
  • The ozone forecasting systems have many problems because the mechanism of the ozone concentration is highly complex, nonlinear, and nonstationary. Also, the results of prediction are not a good performance so far, especially in the high-level ozone concentration. This paper describes the modeling method of the ozone prediction system using neuro-fuzzy approaches and fuzzy clustering. The dynamic polynomial neural network (DPNN) based upon a typical algorithm of GMDH (group method of data handling) is a useful method for data analysis, identification of nonlinear complex system, and prediction of a dynamical system.

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A study on the Method of the Keyword Spotting Recognition in the Continuous speech using Neural Network (신경 회로망을 이용한 연속 음성에서의 keyword spotting 인식 방식에 관한 연구)

  • Yang, Jin-Woo;Kim, Soon-Hyob
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.43-49
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    • 1996
  • This research proposes a system for speaker independent Korean continuous speech recognition with 247 DDD area names using keyword spotting technique. The applied recognition algorithm is the Dynamic Programming Neural Network(DPNN) based on the integration of DP and multi-layer perceptron as model that solves time axis distortion and spectral pattern variation in the speech. To improve performance, we classify word model into keyword model and non-keyword model. We make an experiment on postprocessing procedure for the evaluation of system performance. Experiment results are as follows. The recognition rate of the isolated word is 93.45% in speaker dependent case. The recognition rate of the isolated word is 84.05% in speaker independent case. The recognition rate of simple dialogic sentence in keyword spotting experiment is 77.34% as speaker dependent, and 70.63% as speaker independent.

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Modified Transformation and Evaluation for High Concentration Ozone Predictions (고농도 오존 예측을 위한 향상된 변환 기법과 예측 성능 평가)

  • Cheon, Seong-Pyo;Kim, Sung-Shin;Lee, Chong-Bum
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.435-442
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    • 2007
  • To reduce damage from high concentration ozone in the air, we have researched how to predict high concentration ozone before it occurs. High concentration ozone is a rare event and its reaction mechanism has nonlinearities and complexities. In this paper, we have tried to apply and consider as many methods as we could. We clustered the data using the fuzzy c-mean method and took a rejection sampling to fill in the missing and abnormal data. Next, correlations of the input component and output ozone concentration were calculated to transform more correlated components by modified log transformation. Then, we made the prediction models using Dynamic Polynomial Neural Networks. To select the optimal model, we adopted a minimum bias criterion. Finally, to evaluate suggested models, we compared the two models. One model was trained and tested by the transformed data and the other was not. We concluded that the modified transformation effected good to ideal performance In some evaluations. In particular, the data were related to seasonal characteristics or its variation trends.