• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cumulative Risk

Search Result 360, Processing Time 0.022 seconds

Debt Decision and Repayment of US Young Adults

  • Lee, Jong-Hee;Yang, Se-Jeong
    • International Journal of Human Ecology
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.77-92
    • /
    • 2008
  • This study investigates the characteristics of young debtors at risk of repayment problems. A cumulative logistic model is used in order to examine the effects of explanatory variables on the probability for young adults to pay off debt obligations. The following conclusions can be drawn from the results. First, the high indebtedness of young debtors increases the probability of payment delinquency whereas high income by young debtors decreases the probability. Second, financial emergencies that young debtors experienced and payment delinquency are positively related. Finally, financial resources for emergency needs reduced the probability of being delinquency on payment of household debt.

Factors Related to Paternal Disciplinary Practices of U.S. Families

  • Moon, Hyuk-Jun
    • International Journal of Human Ecology
    • /
    • v.11 no.1
    • /
    • pp.75-84
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study examined the complex process of paternal disciplinary practices and identified the factors related to paternal disciplinary practices in an examination of the effects of cumulative risk factors on the ineffective disciplinary practices of fathers. The subjects for this study consisted of 200 fathers of six-year-old children attending childcare centers in Los Angeles. Self-report questionnaires were used to collect data for the following variables: 1) family background characteristics; 2) child temperament; 3) marital & job satisfaction; 4) quality of life; 5) social support; 6) intergenerational transmission of parenting; and 7) paternal disciplinary practices. Descriptive analysis, zeroorder correlations, multiple regression analyses, and chisquare analyses were used for data description and analysis. This study indicates that the characteristics of the child, father, and contextual factors contribute to paternal disciplinary practices.

Prevalence and risk indicators of peri-implantitis in Korean patients with a history of periodontal disease: a cross-sectional study

  • Goh, Mi-Seon;Hong, Eun-Jin;Chang, Moontaek
    • Journal of Periodontal and Implant Science
    • /
    • v.47 no.4
    • /
    • pp.240-250
    • /
    • 2017
  • Purpose: The aim of this study was to analyze the prevalence and risk indicators of peri-implantitis in Korean patients with history of periodontal disease. Methods: A total of 444 patients with 1,485 implants were selected from patients who had been treated at the Department of Periodontology, Chonbuk National University Dental Hospital between July 2014 and June 2015. A group with a history of peri-implantitis (HP) (370 patients with 1,189 implants) and a group with a current peri-implantitis (CP) (318 patients with 1,004 implants) were created based on the radiographic and clinical assessments of implants. The prevalence of peri-implantitis was calculated at both the patient and implant levels. The influence of risk variables on the occurrence of peri-implantitis was analyzed using generalized estimating equations analysis. Results: The prevalence of peri-implantitis in the HP and CP groups ranged from 6.7% to 19.7%. The cumulative peri-implantitis rate in the HP group estimated with the Kaplan-Meier method was higher than that in the CP group over the follow-up period. Among the patient-related risk variables, supportive periodontal therapy (SPT) was the only significant risk indicator for the occurrence of peri-implantitis in both groups. In the analysis of implant-related variables, implants supporting fixed dental prosthesis (FDP) and implants with subjective discomfort was associated with a higher prevalence of peri-implantitis than single implants and implants without subjective discomfort in the HP group. The presence of subjective discomfort was the only significant implant-related variable predictive of peri-implantitis in the CP group. Conclusions: Within the limitations of this study, the prevalence of peri-implantitis in Korean patients with a history of periodontal disease was similar to that reported in other population samples. Regular SPT was important for preventing peri-implantitis. Single implants were found to be less susceptible to peri-implantitis than those supporting FDP. Patients' subjective discomfort was found to be a strong risk indicator for peri-implantitis.

Risk of Fracture Prevalence and Glycemic Control in Korean Older and Middle-aged Patients with Diabetes: A Retrospective Analysis of a Cohort Derived from the Korean National Health Insurance Sharing Service Database, 2009-2013 (노인과 중년 당뇨병 환자의 골절의 발생 빈도 위험과 혈당조절의 관계)

  • Sin, Hye Yeon
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Pharmacy
    • /
    • v.28 no.3
    • /
    • pp.194-203
    • /
    • 2018
  • Background: Bone fractures are high in elderly patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Hyperglycemia and chronic kidney disease may increase the risk of fracture prevalence via altered bone metabolism, but whether glycemic control and kidney function are associated with the risk of fracture prevalence remains unclear. This study evaluated the relationship between glycemic control and baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and risk of fracture prevalence in older and middle-aged patients with T2DM. Methods: Patients who underwent a general medical check-up between 2009 and 2013 were selected from the Korean National Health Insurance Sharing Service records. Chi-square test and multiple logistic regression analysis were used to assess the relationship between glycemic control and eGFR and risk of fracture prevalence. Results: Cumulative fracture prevalence were higher in patients with T2DM, irrespective of whether they had tight or less stringent glycemic control (fasting blood glucose [FBG] ${\geq}110mg/dL$). After adjustment for baseline age and FBG, tight and less stringent glycemic control was significantly associated with increased adjusted risk of fracture prevalence in middle-aged patients with T2DM (OR=1.13, 95% CI, 1.05-1.21, p=0.0005 vs OR=1.13, 95% CI, 1.06-1.20, p=0.0001), but not in older patients. Baseline eGFR was not significantly related to fracture prevalence in either older or middle-aged patients. Conclusion: Less stringent glycemic control significantly increased the adjusted risk of fracture prevalence in middle-aged patients with T2DM. Further studies are needed to confirm the effect of tight glycemic control on fracture prevalence.

Application of Species Distribution Model for Predicting Areas at Risk of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza in the Republic of Korea (종 분포 모형을 이용한 국내 고병원성 조류인플루엔자 발생 위험지역 추정)

  • Kim, Euttm;Pak, Son-Il
    • Journal of Veterinary Clinics
    • /
    • v.36 no.1
    • /
    • pp.23-29
    • /
    • 2019
  • While research findings suggest that the highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) is the leading cause of economic loss in Korean poultry industry with an estimated cumulative impact of $909 million since 2003, identifying the environmental and anthropogenic risk factors involved remains a challenge. The objective of this study was to identify areas at high risk for potential HPAI outbreaks according to the likelihood of HPAI virus detection in wild birds. This study integrates spatial information regarding HPAI surveillance with relevant demographic and environmental factors collected between 2003 and 2018. The Maximum Entropy (Maxent) species distribution modeling with presence-only data was used to model the spatial risk of HPAI virus. We used historical data on HPAI occurrence in wild birds during the period 2003-2018, collected by the National Quarantine Inspection Agency of Korea. The database contains a total of 1,065 HPAI cases (farms) tied to 168 unique locations for wild birds. Among the environmental variables, the most effective predictors of the potential distribution of HPAI in wild birds were (in order of importance) altitude, number of HPAI outbreaks at farm-level, daily amount of manure processed and number of wild birds migrated into Korea. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the 10 Maxent replicate runs of the model with twelve variables was 0.855 with a standard deviation of 0.012 which indicates that the model performance was excellent. Results revealed that geographic area at risk of HPAI is heterogeneously distributed throughout the country with higher likelihood in the west and coastal areas. The results may help biosecurity authority to design risk-based surveillance and implementation of control interventions optimized for the areas at highest risk of HPAI outbreak potentials.

Improved Long-term Survival with Contralateral Prophylactic Mastectomy among Young Women

  • Zeichner, Simon Blechman;Ruiz, Ana Lourdes;Markward, Nathan Joseph;Rodriguez, Estelamari
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • v.15 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1155-1162
    • /
    • 2014
  • Background: Despite mixed survival data, the utilization of contralateral prophylactic mastectomy (CPM) for the prevention of a contralateral breast cancer (CBC) has increased significantly over the last 15 years, especially among women less than 40. We set out to look at our own experience with CPM, focusing on outcomes in women less than 40, the sub-population with the highest cumulative lifetime risk of developing CBC. With an extended follow-up, we hoped to demonstrate differences in the long-term disease free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) among groups who underwent the procedure (CPM) versus those that did not (NCPM). Materials and Methods: We performed a retrospective review of all breast cancer patients less than age 40 diagnosed at Mount Sinai Medical Center between January 1, 1980 and December 31, 2010 (n=481). Among these patients, 42 were identified as having undergone CPM, while 195 were confirmed as being CPM-free during the observation period. A univariate and multivariate analyses were performed. Results: The CPM group had a significantly higher percentage of patients who were diagnosed between 2000 and 2010 (95.2% vs 40%, p=0.0001). The CPM group had significantly smaller tumors (0-2cm.: 41.7% vs 24.8%, p=0.04). Among the entire group of patients, the overall five- and 10-year DFS were 81.3% and 73.3%, respectively. CPM was significantly associated [HR 2.35 (1.02, 5.41); p=0.046] with 10-year OS, although a similar effect was not observed for five-year OS. Conclusions: We found that CPM has increased dramatically over the last 15 years, especially among white women with locally advanced disease. In patients less than 40, who are thought to be at greatest cumulative risk of secondary breast cancer, CPM provided an OS advantage, regardless of genetics, tumor or patient characteristics, and which was only seen after 10 years of follow-up.

Two Cases of Severe Pancytopenia Associated with Low-Dose Methotrexate Therapy in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease and Rheumatoid Arthritis (류마티스 관절염을 가진 만성신질환 환자에서 저용량 methotrexate 투여 후 발생한 중증 범혈구 감소증 2예)

  • Kim, Hong-Ik;Lee, Woo-Hyun;Oh, Jang-Seok;Hong, Hyo-Rim;Lee, In-Hee
    • Journal of Yeungnam Medical Science
    • /
    • v.28 no.1
    • /
    • pp.60-69
    • /
    • 2011
  • Due to its efficacy and tolerability, low dose oral methotrexate (MTX) therapy has been widely used for treatment of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). However, it can rarely cause serious, life-threatening hematologic toxicities, such as pancytopenia. We report here on two patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), who developed severe pancytopenia after 5 years (cumulative dose 1,240 mg) and 4 years (cumulative dose 1,320 mg) of low dose MTX therapy for treatment of RA, respectively. Both patients presented with renal insufficiency, hypoalbuminemia, concurrent use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, and elevated mean corpuscular volume of red blood cells (RECs), all of which are known as risk factors of MTX-induced pancytopenia. Despite receiving treatment, which included REC and platelet transfusions, antibiotic therapy, granulocyte colony stimulating factor, and leucovorin rescue, one patient died of sepsis. Based on our case study, prompt investigation of risk factors associated with MTX toxicity is required for all patients receiving MTX therapy. MTX treatment, even at a low dose, should be discontinued in patients with advanced CKD.

  • PDF

Lack of Association between an XRCC1 Gene Polymorphism and Colorectal Cancer Survival in Thailand

  • Siewchaisakul, Pallop;Suwanrungruang, Krittika;Poomphakwaen, Kirati;Wiangnon, Surapon;Promthet, Supannee
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.2055-2060
    • /
    • 2016
  • Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common causes of death worldwide and in Thailand. The X-ray repair cross-complementary protein 1 (XRCC1) is required for efficient DNA repair. The effects of this gene on survival in colorectal cancer remain controversial and have not been reported in Thailand. The aim of this study was to investigate the association of the XRCC1 gene with survival of colorectal cancer patients in a Thai population. Materials and Methods: Data and blood samples were collected from 255 newly diagnosed and pathologically confirmed CRC patients who were recruited during the period 2002 to 2006 and whose vital status was followed up until 31 October, 2014. Real-time PCR-HRM was used for genotype identification. The Kaplan-Meier method, the log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazard regression were used to estimate cumulative survival curves and compare various survival distributions and adjusted hazard ratios. Results: Most of the cases were males, and the median age was 55 years. The median survival time was 2.43 years. The cumulative 1-, 3-, 5-, 7-, and 10 year survival rates were 76.70%, 39.25%, 26.50%, 16.60% and 3.56%, respectively. After adjustment, female gender, ages 50-59 and ${\geq}60years$, tumour stage III+IV, a signet-ring cell carcinoma, and poor differentiation had significant associations with increased risk of CRC death. While the XRCC1 Arg/Arg homozygote appeared to be a risk factor for CRC death, the association was not significant. Conclusions: The genetic variant in the XRCC1 may not be associated with the survival of CRC patients in Thailand. Further studies are needed to verify our findings.

Evaluation of Working Postures of Catering Workers in a Restaurant (식당 조리직 작업자의 작업자세 평가)

  • Hwang, Jae-Jin;Jung, Myung-Chul;Kim, Hyun-Joo;JungChoi, Kyung-Hee;Bahk, Jin-Wook;Lee, In-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.26 no.5
    • /
    • pp.81-88
    • /
    • 2011
  • The goal of this study was to determine whether food industry workers are exposed to musculoskeletal loads due to the work time, frequency, awkward postures and inappropriate workspace design. Three catering workers were evaluated based on job analysis and posture analysis. The results showed that the four most time-consuming tasks were arranging(17%), cooking(16%), handling before cooking(15%) and cutting(15%), and the four most frequent tasks were arranging(21%), cooking(18%), handling after cooking(16%) and handling before cooking(13%). The most common posture was a standing posture(73%) with neutral back(73%), and bent head(50%), left lower arm(71%), right lower arm(78%) and right hand(60%). The comparative analysis of subtasks for the risk levels of musculoskeletal disorders was conducted using the work time, frequency and cumulative time of the postures. The 'displaying' and 'handling after cooking' showed higher risk levels than other subtasks. In addition, the height and length of the tables were evaluated to be inadequate for the workers. It can be concluded that the working environments for catering workers of restaurants should be improved due to the high cumulative time of awkward postures of upper extremities.

On the Application of Zp Control Charts for Very Small Fraction of Nonconforming under Non-normal Process (비정규 공정의 극소 불량률 관리를 위한 Zp 관리도 적용 방안 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Gurl;Choi, Seong-Won;Kim, Hye-Mi;Um, Sang-Joon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.44 no.1
    • /
    • pp.167-180
    • /
    • 2016
  • Purpose: The problem for the traditional control chart is that it is unable to monitor the very small fraction of nonconforming and the underlying distribution is the normal distribution. $Z_p$ control chart is useful where it controls the vert small fraction on nonconforming. In this study, we will design the $Z_p$ control chart in order to use under non-normal process. Methods: $Z_p$ is calculated not by failure rate based on attribute data but using variable data. Control limit for non-normal $Z_p$ control chart is designed based on ${\alpha}$-risk calculated by cumulative distribution function of Burr distribution. ${\beta}$-risk, which is for performance evaluation, obtains in the Burr distribution's cumulative distribution function and control limit. Results: The control limit for non-normal $Z_p$ control chart is designed based on Burr distribution. The sensitivity can be checked through ARL table and OC curve. Conclusion: Non-normal $Z_p$ control chart is able to control not only the very small fraction of nonconforming, but it is also useful when $Z_p$ distribution is non-normal distribution.