• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cumulative Hazard

Search Result 117, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

A Study on the Parameter Estimation of the Cumulative Hazard Paper (누적 해저드지의 모수추정에 관한 연구 - 컴퓨터 프로그래밍 및 신뢰성공학에의 응용 -)

  • 엄태원
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.16 no.28
    • /
    • pp.145-155
    • /
    • 1993
  • This paper studies the estimation of hazard parameters, which have a close relation with product reliability characteristics in reliability test. Among the many kinds of estimation methods, hazard Probability Paper(HPP) is commonly used. The HPP is very convenient, but it has a great disadvantage in estimation W by plotting method It is very difficult to get the same results even if one use the same data several times. A computer program for the regression method is used for the parameter estimation to reduce these errors. Especially, the computer graphic program was written in GW-BASIC 3.22 language and a couple of running examples for user's reference appears in the appendix part.

  • PDF

ON CONSISTENCY OF SOME NONPARAMETRIC BAYES ESTIMATORS WITH RESPECT TO A BETA PROCESS BASED ON INCOMPLETE DATA

  • Hong, Jee-Chang;Jung, In-Ha
    • The Pure and Applied Mathematics
    • /
    • v.5 no.2
    • /
    • pp.123-132
    • /
    • 1998
  • Let F and G denote the distribution functions of the failure times and the censoring variables in a random censorship model. Susarla and Van Ryzin(1978) verified consistency of $F_{\alpha}$, he NPBE of F with respect to the Dirichlet process prior D($\alpha$), in which they assumed F and G are continuous. Assuming that A, the cumulative hazard function, is distributed according to a beta process with parameters c, $\alpha$, Hjort(1990) obtained the Bayes estimator $A_{c,\alpha}$ of A under a squared error loss function. By the theory of product-integral developed by Gill and Johansen(1990), the Bayes estimator $F_{c,\alpha}$ is recovered from $A_{c,\alpha}$. Continuity assumption on F and G is removed in our proof of the consistency of $A_{c,\alpha}$ and $F_{c,\alpha}$. Our result extends Susarla and Van Ryzin(1978) since a particular transform of a beta process is a Dirichlet process and the class of beta processes forms a much larger class than the class of Dirichlet processes.

  • PDF

Energy Ratio Factor and Phase Angle Based Fatigue Prediction Model for Flexible Pavements

  • Kim, Nak-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.75-80
    • /
    • 2011
  • The main objective of this research is to develop fatigue prediction model for flexible pavements using energy ratio factor and phase angle. The two parameters are considered as fundamental properties of time and temperature dependent viscoelastic asphalt concrete materials. The energy ratio factor is defined as the ratio of the pseudo-total cumulative dissipated energy to the cumulative dissipated energy to failure during the test. The phase angle between the stress and strain ware signals stems from the intrinsic the dependent asphalt mixture behavior. The phase angle was computed and the relationship between the initial mixture stiffness and the initial phase angle is presented. As a result, fatigue prediction model for flexible pavements was proposed using intrinsic properties of viscoelastic asphalt concrete materials.

A retrospective study of the cumulative survival rate of implants installed in combination with sinus elevation (상악동 거상술을 동반한 임플란트의 누적생존율에 대한 연구)

  • Koo, Hae-Jin;Cho, Young-Dan;Ku, Young
    • The Journal of the Korean dental association
    • /
    • v.55 no.2
    • /
    • pp.116-127
    • /
    • 2017
  • Objectives : The aim of this study was to evaluate the cumulative survival rates of the implants placed into grafted sinus and determine the effect of age, gender, smoking, and systemic disease on the implant cumulative survival rates. Materials and Methods : The retrospective study was performed on 51 implants placed in 26 patients by one dentist at the Dental Implant Center, Seoul National University Dental Hospital in the years 2000-2010. The cumulative survival rates were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method. The differences within the factors were analyzed using log-rank test and the correlations between the factors and implant survival rates were analyzed using Cox proportional hazard model. Results : 1. Among the total of 51 implants placed in 26 patients, 7 implants failed and 44 implants remained stable. The 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year cumulative survival rates were 92%, 88%, and 85%, respectively. 2. Patients in their 50s and in their 70s showed statistically significant difference in the cumulative survival rates (P < 0.05). Gender and the existence of systemic disease did not show significant results. 3. In the implant treatment, smokers showed 7.5 times higher risk of implant failure than non-smokers (P < 0.05). Conclusion: Implants installed in combination with sinus elevation can be considered as a reliable treatment method.

  • PDF

The change in the fertility rates and the determinants of birth interval of Korean women (한국여성의 출산율 변화와 출산간격 영향요인)

  • Ryoo, Kee-Cheol;Piao, Ying-Hua
    • Korea journal of population studies
    • /
    • v.32 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-23
    • /
    • 2009
  • This paper uses a survey data to analyze the age-specific fertility rates, age-specific cumulative fertility rates, and ages of marriage of the five birth cohorts of Korean women born in the 1940s and thereafter. It was found that later cohorts reach their highest age-specific fertility rate at higher ages than earlier cohorts. The age-specific cumulative fertility rates of the 1950s and 1960 cohorts were found to be much lower than those of the immediately preceding cohorts, while those of the 1970s and 1980s cohorts were not different from those of the 1960s cohorts. Women belonging to later cohorts were found to get married at relatively higher ages. The estimation results of the hazard model show that women belonging to later cohorts and those with more schooling have a tendency to get married at higher ages. The effect of the birth cohorts is thought to be due to the economic, social, and cultural changes in Korea during the late 50 years or so. The time interval between a woman‘s marriage and first birth was found not to be affected by either the year of marriage or that of her birth. Also, those who remained employed for some time around their marriage and those with low schooling were found to have a lower first child birth hazard, which implies that married women’s employment status and family income play an important role in their decisions on childbirth.

Cumulative survival rate and associated risk factors of Implantium implants: A 10-year retrospective clinical study

  • Park, Jin-Hong;Kim, Young-Soo;Ryu, Jae-Jun;Shin, Sang-Wan;Lee, Jeong-Yol
    • The Journal of Advanced Prosthodontics
    • /
    • v.9 no.3
    • /
    • pp.195-199
    • /
    • 2017
  • PURPOSE. The objective of this study was to determine the cumulative survival rate (CSR) and associated risk factors of Implantium implants by retrospective clinical study. MATERIALS AND METHODS. Patients who received Implantium implants (Dentium Co., Seoul, Korea) at Korea University Guro Hospital from 2004 to 2011 were included. The period between the first surgery and the last hospital visit until December 2015 was set as the observation period for this study. Clinical and radiographic data were collected from patient records, including all complications observed during the follow-up period. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to examine CSR. Multiple Cox proportional hazard model was employed to assess the associations between potential risk factors and CSR. RESULTS. A total of 370 implants were placed in 121 patients (mean age, 56.1 years; range, 19 to 75 years). Of the 370 implants, 13 failed, including 7 implants that were lost before loading. The 10-year cumulative survival rate of implants was 94.8%. The multiple Cox proportional hazard model revealed that significant risk factor of implant failure were smoking and maxillary implant (P<.05). CONCLUSION. The 10-year CSR of Implantium implants was 94.8%. Risk factors of implant failure were smoking and maxillary implant.

The seven-year cumulative survival rate of Osstem implants

  • Kim, Young-Kyun;Kim, Bum-Su;Yun, Pil-Young;Mun, Sang-Un;Yi, Yang-Jin;Kim, Su-Gwan;Jeong, Kyung-In
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
    • /
    • v.40 no.2
    • /
    • pp.68-75
    • /
    • 2014
  • Objectives: This study was performed to analyze the cumulative survival rate of Osstem implants (Osstem Implant Co., Ltd.) over a seven-year period. Materials and Methods: A total of 105 patients who had 467 Osstem implants that were placed at the Section of Dentistry, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital (Seongnam, Korea) from June 2003 through December 2005 were analyzed. The life table method and a cross-tubulation analysis, log rank test were used to evaluate the survival curve and the influence that the prognostic factors. The prognostic factors, i.e., age and gender of patients, diameter and length, type of implants, bone graft history and loading time were determined with a Cox proportional hazard model based on logistic regression analysis. Results: The seven-year cumulative survival rate of Osstem implants was 95.37%. The Cox proportional hazard model revealed that the following factors had a significant influence on survival rate; increased diameter, reduced prosthetic loading period and performance of bone grafting. Conclusion: The osstem implants showed satisfactory results over the seven-year study period.

No-Touch Radiofrequency Ablation Using Twin Cooled Wet Electrodes for Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma Following Locoregional Treatments

  • Seong Jun Hong;Jae Hyun Kim;Jeong Hee Yoon;Jeong Hoan Park;Jung-Hwan Yoon;Yoon Jun Kim;Su Jong Yu;Eun Ju Cho;Jeong Min Lee
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
    • /
    • v.25 no.5
    • /
    • pp.438-448
    • /
    • 2024
  • Objective: To evaluate the therapeutic outcomes of no-touch radiofrequency ablation (NT-RFA) using twin cooled wet (TCW) electrodes in patients experiencing recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after undergoing locoregional treatments. Materials and Methods: We conducted a prospective, single-arm study of NT-RFA involving 102 patients, with a total of 112 recurrent HCCs (each ≤ 3 cm). NT-RFA with TCW electrodes was implemented under the guidance of ultrasonography (US)-MR/CT fusion imaging. If NT-RFA application proved technically challenging, conversion to conventional tumor puncture RFA was permitted. The primary metric for evaluation was the mid-term cumulative incidence of local tumor progression (LTP) observed post-RFA. Cumulative LTP rates were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression was used to explore factors associated with LTP. Considering conversion cases from NT-RFA to conventional RFA, intention-to-treat (ITT; including all patients) and per-protocol (PP; including patients not requiring conversion to conventional RFA alone) analyses were performed. Results: Conversion from NT-RFA to conventional RFA was necessary for 24 (21.4%) out of 112 tumors. Successful treatment was noted in 111 (99.1%) out of them. No major complications were reported among the patients. According to ITT analysis, the estimated cumulative incidences of LTP were 1.9%, 6.0%, and 6.0% at 1, 2, and 3 years post-RFA, respectively. In PP analysis, the cumulative incidence of LTP was 0.0%, 1.3%, and 1.3% at 1, 2, and 3 years, respectively. The number of previous locoregional HCC treatments (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.265 per 1 treatment increase; P = 0.004), total bilirubin (aHR, 7.477 per 1 mg/dL increase; P = 0.012), and safety margin ≤ 5 mm (aHR, 9.029; P = 0.016) were independently associated with LTP in ITT analysis. Conclusion: NT-RFA using TCW electrodes is a safe and effective treatment for recurrent HCC, with 6.0% (ITT analysis) and 1.3% (PP analysis) cumulative incidence of LTP at 2 and 3-year follow-ups.

Comparison of parametric and nonparametric hazard change-point estimators (모수적과 비모수적 위험률 변화점 통계량 비교)

  • Kim, Jaehee;Lee, Sieun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.27 no.5
    • /
    • pp.1253-1262
    • /
    • 2016
  • When there exists a change-point in hazard function, it should be estimated for exact parameter or hazard estimation. In this research, we compare the hazard change-point estimators. Matthews and Farewell (1982) parametric change-point estimator is based on the likelihood and Zhang et al. (2014) nonparametric estimator is based on the Nelson-Aalen cumulative hazard estimator. Simulation study is done for the data from exponential distribution with one hazard change-point. The simulated data generated without censoring and the data with right censoring are considered. As real data applications, the change-point estimates are computed for leukemia data and primary biliary cirrhosis data.

An ergonomic survey on cumulative trauma disorders at the VDT-based phone directory service workstations (VDT 작업현장에서의 누적외상질환에 관한 연구)

  • 이남식;한정수;안재용
    • Proceedings of the ESK Conference
    • /
    • 1996.10a
    • /
    • pp.3-6
    • /
    • 1996
  • Cumulative trauma disorders (CTDs) are becoming a major health hazard among phone directory service operators. In order to clarify the causes and to reduce the occurrence of CTDs, a site survey was done. The survey includes observation of the task and the working environment. Also, operators were closely examined and diagnosed to understand the exact causes of CTDs. Different types of CTDs were identified and the most cases were developed in a two or three-years after using new VDT-based workstations. The various design features of workstation aggravated the developemtn of CTDs together with the intense workload. The ergonomic resolutions were suggested based upon these observations.

  • PDF