• Title/Summary/Keyword: Critical storm duration

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An Analysis on Effect of Hydrologic Factors for Estimation of Critical Storm Duration (설계강우의 임계지속기간 산정을 위한 수문요소의 영향분석)

  • Park, Sang-Woo;Jun, Byung-Ho;Lee, Sin-Jae;Park, Yang-Rae;Kim, Myung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.571-577
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    • 2005
  • 최근 일련의 기상이변현상은 과거의 기상현상과 달리 국지성 호우 발생과 강우량의 증가현상으로 나타나고 있으며, 이러한 집중호우로 인해 발생하는 홍수규모는 기존의 수공구조물들을 위협할 수준에까지 이르러 기존 수공구조물의 안전성에 대한 재검토 필요성과 신규 구조물에 대한 안전성 확보대책이 강구되고 있다. 이에 따라 수문관련의 실무에서는 설계홍수량의 산정시 설계강우에 대한 임계지속기간의 개념이 적용되고 있으나, 아직까지 설계지침에는 이에 대한 명확한 기준이 구체적으로 제시되어 있지 못한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 수공구조물의 설계에 필요한 임계지속기간의 결정에 도움을 주고자 설계홍수량 산정시 설계 강우로부터 홍수량을 산정하기 위한 일련의 과정에서 이용되는 유역 및 기상 특성인자 등의 제반 수문요소에 따른 임계지속기간의 변동양상을 파악하고, 임계지속기간과 재현기간, 유역특성인자, 단위도 단위시간과의 관계 및 임계지속기간에 대한 강우지속기간과 첨두홍수량의 변화 등을 분석하여 설계강우의 임계지속기간 산정을 위한 기초연구자료를 제시하고자 하였다.

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Effect of rainfall patterns on the response of water pressure and slope stability within a small catchment: A case study in Jinbu-Myeon, South Korea

  • Viet, Tran The;Lee, Giha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.202-202
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    • 2016
  • Despite the potentially major influence of rainstorm patterns on the prediction of shallow landslides, this relationship has not yet received significant attention. In this study, five typical temporal rainstorm patterns with the same cumulative amount and intensity components comprising Advanced (A1 and A2), Centralized (C), and Delayed (D1 and D2) were designed based on a historical rainstorm event occurred in 2006 in Mt. Jinbu area. The patterns were incorporated as the hydrological conditions into the Transient Rainfall Infiltration and Grid-based Regional Slope-stability Model (TRIGRS), in order to assess their influences on pore pressure variation and changes in the stability of the covering soil layer in the study area. The results revealed that not only the cumulative rainfall thresholds necessary to initiate landslides, but also the rate at which the factor of safety (FS) decreases and the time required to reach the critical state, are governed by rainstorm pattern. The sooner the peak rainfall intensity occurs, the smaller the cumulative rainfall threshold, and the shorter the time until landslide occurrence. Left-skewed rainfall patterns were found to have a greater effect on landslide initiation. More specifically, among the five different patterns, the Advanced storm pattern (A1) produced the most critical state, as it resulted in the highest pore pressure across the entire area for the shortest duration; the severity of response was then followed by patterns A2, C, D1, and D2. Thus, it can be concluded that rainfall patterns have a significant effect on the cumulative rainfall threshold, the build-up of pore pressure, and the occurrence of shallow landslides, both in space and time.

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A Reliability Analysis of Liquefaction Potential Induced by Ocean Wave (해양(海洋) 구조물(構造物) 지반(地盤)의 액상화(液狀化) 가능성(可能性)에 대한 신뢰도(信賴度) 해석(解析))

  • Kim, Joon Seok;Lee, In Mo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 1988
  • A model for predicting the probability of liquefaction induced by the ocean storm-wave is developed. Many uncertainties are encountered in the analysis of liquefaction potential for the foundation of offshore structures : (1) the storm-wave duration, (2) the effect of reconsolidation, (3) the effect of patial drainage, etc. These uncertainties are formulated in probabilistic terms and used to assess the risk of liquefaction for a given offshore site. The model developed is applied to the Ekofisk oil storage tank in the North Sea installed in 1973. Reasonable comparison is obtained between the probabilities of liquefaction obtained and the results of deterministic models or the field observations. Among the un certainties encountered, it is revealed that the effect of reconsolidation is the most critical factor. Since many problems are encountered in the deterministic models developed so far, the probabilistic model developed in this paper might be a resonable alternative tool and can be used in the design of new offshore structures.

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Estimation of Design Flood Considering Time Distribution of Rainfall (강우 시간분포를 고려한 설계홍수량산정)

  • Park, Jae-Hyun;Ahn, Sang-Jin;Hahm, Chang-Hahk;Choi, Min-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1191-1195
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    • 2006
  • Now days, heavy storm occur to be continue. It is hard to use before frequency based on flood discharge for decision that design water pocket structure. We need to estimation of frequency based on flood discharge on the important basin likely city or basin that damage caused by flood recurrence. In this paper flood discharge calculated by Clark watershed method and SCS synthetic unit hydrograph method about upside during each minute of among time distribution method of rainfall, Huff method choosing Bocheong Stream basin that is representative basin of International Hydrologic Project (IHP) about time distribution of rainfall that exert big effect at flood discharge estimate to research target basin because of and the result is as following. Relation between probability flood discharge that is calculated through frequency analysis about flood discharge data and rainfall - runoff that is calculated through outward flow model was assumed about $48.1{\sim}95.9%$ in the case of $55.8{\sim}104.0%$, SCS synthetic unit hydrograph method in case of Clark watershed method, and Clark watershed method has big value overly in case of than SCS synthetic unit hydrograph method in case of basin that see, but branch of except appeared little more similarly with frequency flood discharge that calculate using survey data. In the case of Critical duration, could know that change is big area of basin is decrescent. When decide time distribution type of rainfall, apply upside during most Huff 1-ST because heavy rain phenomenon of upsides appears by the most things during result 1-ST about observation recording of target area about Huff method to be method to use most in business, but maximum value of peak flood discharge appeared on Huff 3-RD too in the case of upside, SCS synthetic unit hydrograph method during Huff 3-RD incidental of this research and case of Clark watershed method. That is, in the case of Huff method, latitude is decide that it is decision method of reasonable design floods that calculate applying during all $1-ST{\sim}4-TH$.

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A Study on Effects of Hydrological Factors on Critical Duration of Design Storm - Centering on the Wi-Cheon Stream - (설계강우의 임계지속기간에 미치는 수문요소들의 영향에 관한 연구 - 위천 유역을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Jong-Kyu;Yang, Hee-Shng;Jang, Ki-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.681-686
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    • 2004
  • 수공구조물의 설계를 위해서는 해당 수공구조물의 중요도에 따른 설계빈도 및 설계유량과 설계수위 등의 설정이라는 과정이 필요하다. 설계빈도는 하천설계기준에 제시되어 있는 바와 같이 시설물의 입지조건과 중요도에 따라 기준이 제시되어 있으며 설계홍수량은 확률강우량을 기초로 한 설계강우를 결정하고, 결정된 설계우량에 의한 유출량의 산정작업이 필요하다. 이와 같은 설계수량의 산정에 있어서 설계강우의 지속기간 설정은 매우 중요한 작업이다. 일반적으로 동일한 설계빈도의 홍수량은 지속기간에 따라 많은 차이를 보이고 있다. 따라서 설계강우의 지속시간 설정은 매우 중요한 설계인자가 되므로 본 연구에서는 IHP유역인 위천유역을 대상으로 최근 권장되고 있는 설계강우의 지속시간 선정을 위한 개념인 임계지속기간을 산정하여 임계지속기간에 영향을 미치는 수문인자들에 대해 살펴보고자 한다. 본 연구에서는 IHP 유역인 위천 유역(동곡 외 4개 소유역)을 대상으로 설계홍수량의 첨두유출량이 최대로 발생하는 강우지속기간을 임계지속기간으로 설정하였으며, 설계홍수량의 산정시 설계강우로부터 홍수량을 산정하기 위한 일련의 절차에서 이용되는 각종 수문요소들, 즉 강우시간분포와 유효우량 산정방법, 유출모형 그리고 면적의 변화에 따른 임계지속기간의 변화를 연구하였다. 본 연구에서는 임계지속기간의 개념을 고려할 설계강우의 지속기간을 산정하기 위해 필요한 각 수문요소별 산정방법은 국내 자료로부터 제안된 방법을 우선 사용하였으며, 임계지속기간의 개념에 따른 설계강우의 지속기간 산정을 위해 확률강우량 산정, 강우의 시간분포(Huff 분포, Yen & Chow의 삼각형 분포), 유효우량 산정방법(AMC-II, AMC-III, CN37), 대표단위도와 6가지 합성단위도법을 적용하였다. 산정 된 결과로부터 임계지속기간 산정에 영향을 주는 각 수문인자 중 강우시간분포와 유효우량 산정방법 그리고 유출모형에 대해 자자 검토하였으며, 최종적으로 면적에 따른 임계지속기간과 유출량의 변화를 검토해 보았다.

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Comparing Calculation Techniques for Effective Rainfalls Using NRCS-CN Method: Focused on Introducing Weighted Average and Slope-based CN (NRCS-CN 방법을 이용한 유효우량 산정기법의 비교분석: 가중평균방법과 경사도 도입을 중심으로)

  • Moon, Geon-Woo;Yoo, Ji-Young;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.1171-1180
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    • 2014
  • The NRCS-CN method is generally used to estimate effective rainfalls in a basin. However, since the curve number which plays a critical role in the NRCS-CN method was originally developed for US watersheds, it is limited to be directly applied to other basins outside the United States. Therefore various modifications have been suggested to revise the NRCS-CN for specific watershed condition. This study introduced the weighted average method and the slope-based CN to estimate effective rainfalls available for Korean watersheds and compared with the observed direct runoff. The overall results achieved from this study indicated that the adjusted slope-based CN considerably increases effective rainfalls in general and makes the duration of effective storm longer. Based on the statistical error analysis performed for various modifications of NRCS-CN, the weighted average method with the adjusted slope-based CN has highest precision with the observed direct runoff. In addition, after analyzing the relation between the initial loss estimated from rainfall-runoff observations and the potential maximum retention from GIS-based data, it turns out that the assumption of linear relationship between the initial loss and the potential maximum retention is not available for Korean watersheds.

Characteristics and Geoeffectiveness of Small-scale Magnetic Flux Ropes in the Solar Wind

  • Kim, Myeong Joon;Park, Kyung Sun;Lee, Dae-Young;Choi, Cheong-Rim;Kim, Rok Soon;Cho, Kyungsuk;Choi, Kyu-Cheol;Kim, Jaehun
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.237-244
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    • 2017
  • Magnetic flux ropes, often observed during intervals of interplanetary coronal mass ejections, have long been recognized to be critical in space weather. In this work, we focus on magnetic flux rope structure but on a much smaller scale, and not necessarily related to interplanetary coronal mass ejections. Using near-Earth solar wind advanced composition explorer (ACE) observations from 1998 to 2016, we identified a total of 309 small-scale magnetic flux ropes (SMFRs). We compared the characteristics of identified SMFR events with those of normal magnetic cloud (MC) events available from the existing literature. First, most of the MCs and SMFRs have similar values of accompanying solar wind speed and proton densities. However, the average magnetic field intensity of SMFRs is weaker (~7.4 nT) than that of MCs (~10.6 nT). Also, the average duration time and expansion speed of SMFRs are ~2.5 hr and 2.6 km/s, respectively, both of which are smaller by a factor of ~10 than those of MCs. In addition, we examined the geoeffectiveness of SMFR events by checking their correlation with magnetic storms and substorms. Based on the criteria Sym-H < -50 nT (for identification of storm occurrence) and AL < -200 nT (for identification of substorm occurrence), we found that for 88 SMFR events (corresponding to 28.5 % of the total SMFR events), substorms occurred after the impact of SMFRs, implying a possible triggering of substorms by SMFRs. In contrast, we found only two SMFRs that triggered storms. We emphasize that, based on a much larger database than used in previous studies, all these previously known features are now firmly confirmed by the current work. Accordingly, the results emphasize the significance of SMFRs from the viewpoint of possible triggering of substorms.