• Title/Summary/Keyword: Crime Patterns

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The Relationship between Residential Distribution of Immigrants and Crime in South Korea

  • Park, Yoonhwan
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - This study aims to not only investigate spatial pattern of immigrants' residence and crime occurrences in South Korea, but shed light on how geographic distribution of immigrants and immigrant segregation affect crime rates. Research design, data, and methodology - Th unit of analysis is Si-Gun-Gu municipal level entities of South Korea. The crime data was obtained by Korea National Police Agency and two major types(violence and property) of crime were measured. Most demographic, social, and economic variables were derived from Korean Census Data in 2015. In order to examine spatial patterns of immigrants' distribution and crime rates in South Korea, the present study utilized GIS mapping technique and Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis(ESDA) tools. The causal linkage was investigated by a series of regression models using STATA. Results - Spatial inequality between urban metropolitan vs rural areas was visualized by mapping. Assuming large Moran's I value, spatial autocorrelation appeared to be quite strong. Several neighborhood characteristics such as residential stability and economic prosperity were found to be important factors leading to crime rate change. Residential distribution and segregation for immigrants were negatively significant in the regression models. Conclusions - Unlike the traditional arguments of social disorganization theory, immigrant segregation appeared to reduce violent crime rate and the high proportion of immigrants also turned out to be a crime prevention factor.

An Analysis of Relationship Between Word Frequency in Social Network Service Data and Crime Occurences (소셜 네트워크 서비스의 단어 빈도와 범죄 발생과의 관계 분석)

  • Kim, Yong-Woo;Kang, Hang-Bong
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.5 no.9
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    • pp.229-236
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    • 2016
  • In the past, crime prediction methods utilized previous records to accurately predict crime occurrences. Yet these crime prediction models had difficulty in updating immense data. To enhance the crime prediction methods, some approaches used social network service (SNS) data in crime prediction studies, but the relationship between SNS data and crime records has not been studied thoroughly. Hence, in this paper, we analyze the relationship between SNS data and criminal occurrences in the perspective of crime prediction. Using Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA), we extract tweets that included any words regarding criminal occurrences and analyze the changes in tweet frequency according to the crime records. We then calculate the number of tweets including crime related words and investigate accordingly depending on crime occurrences. Our experimental results demonstrate that there is a difference in crime related tweet occurrences when criminal activity occurs. Moreover, our results show that SNS data analysis will be helpful in crime prediction model as there are certain patterns in tweet occurrences before and after the crime.

A Study on the Spatial Feature and Pattern of Crime using GIS (GIS를 활용한 범죄의 공간적 군집패턴 및 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon Jae-Han;Kwon Jay-Hyoun;Yang Hyo-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.399-403
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    • 2006
  • To deal with the modem intellectual criminal acts, various efforts are tried. Especially, it is not difficult to watch the recent activities to analyze the criminal characteristics spatially using computing and GIS technology In this study, the spatial features and patterns of crime are investigated. The crime is reconstituted with respect to assault, larceny, robbery, and rape, then the variables are derived based on the theory of criminology. The kernal density analysis are performed to investigate the criminal distribution, and the correlation between the main criminal causes and the criminal outbreak is examined by buffering analysis. In addition, the land price and land usages are correlated with social-economic factors of criminal patterns.

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A Study on the Modus Operandi of Smishing Crime for Public Safety (국민안전을 위한 스미싱 범죄수법분석)

  • Choi, Kwan;Kim, Minchi
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.16 no.3_2
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to analyse Modus Operandi of smishing. For the study, 87 cases of smishing crime reports and smishing experiences of victims were analysed and 10 police officers who investigates smishing crime were interviewed. The results indicated that smishing crime can be divided into the preparation stage and the implementation stage. In the preparation stage, two modus operandi patterns, collection of personal information and text message script composition, were identified. In the implementation stage, seven modus operandi patterns were identified: sending smishing text messages and installation of malicious mobile applications, leak personal information, sending personal information to smishing crime organization through online server, payment attempt using collected personal information, intercept authorization code, completion of payment using intercepted authorization code, and payment amount was delivered to victims. Further implications were discussed.

Base Location Prediction Algorithm of Serial Crimes based on the Spatio-Temporal Analysis (시공간 분석 기반 연쇄 범죄 거점 위치 예측 알고리즘)

  • Hong, Dong-Suk;Kim, Joung-Joon;Kang, Hong-Koo;Lee, Ki-Young;Seo, Jong-Soo;Han, Ki-Joon
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.63-79
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    • 2008
  • With the recent development of advanced GIS and complex spatial analysis technologies, the more sophisticated technologies are being required to support the advanced knowledge for solving geographical or spatial problems in various decision support systems. In addition, necessity for research on scientific crime investigation and forensic science is increasing particularly at law enforcement agencies and investigation institutions for efficient investigation and the prevention of crimes. There are active researches on geographic profiling to predict the base location such as criminals' residence by analyzing the spatial patterns of serial crimes. However, as previous researches on geographic profiling use simply statistical methods for spatial pattern analysis and do not apply a variety of spatial and temporal analysis technologies on serial crimes, they have the low prediction accuracy. Therefore, this paper identifies the typology the spatio-temporal patterns of serial crimes according to spatial distribution of crime sites and temporal distribution on occurrence of crimes and proposes STA-BLP(Spatio-Temporal Analysis based Base Location Prediction) algorithm which predicts the base location of serial crimes more accurately based on the patterns. STA-BLP improves the prediction accuracy by considering of the anisotropic pattern of serial crimes committed by criminals who prefer specific directions on a crime trip and the learning effect of criminals through repeated movement along the same route. In addition, it can predict base location more accurately in the serial crimes from multiple bases with the local prediction for some crime sites included in a cluster and the global prediction for all crime sites. Through a variety of experiments, we proved the superiority of the STA-BLP by comparing it with previous algorithms in terms of prediction accuracy.

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Hotspot Analysis of Urban Crime Using Space-Time Scan Statistics (시공간검정통계량을 이용한 도시범죄의 핫스팟분석)

  • Jeong, Kyeong-Seok;Moon, Tae-Heon;Jeong, Jae-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.14-28
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    • 2010
  • The aim of this study is to investigate crime hotspot areas using the spatio-temporal cluster analysis which is possible to search simultaneously time range as well as space range as an alternative method of existing hotspot analysis only identifying crime occurrence distribution patterns in urban area. As for research method, first, crime data were collected from criminal registers provided by official police authority in M city, Gyeongnam and crime occurrence patterns were drafted on a map by using Geographic Information Systems(GIS). Second, by utilizing Ripley K-function and Space-Time Scan Statistics analysis, the spatio-temporal distribution of crime was examined. The results showed that the risk of crime was significantly clustered at relatively few places and the spatio-temporal clustered areas of crime were different from those predicted by existing spatial hotspot analysis such as kernel density analysis and k-means clustering analysis. Finally, it is expected that the results of this study can be not only utilized as a valuable reference data for establishing urban planning and crime prevention through environmental design(CPTED), but also made available for the allocation of police resources and the improvement of public security services.

AI Crime Prediction Modeling Based on Judgment and the 8 Principles (판결문과 8하원칙에 기반한 인공지능 범죄 예측 모델링)

  • Hye-sung Jung;Eun-bi Cho;Jeong-hyeon Chang
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.99-105
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    • 2023
  • In the 4th industrial revolution, the field of criminal justice is paying attention to Legaltech using artificial intelligence to provide efficient legal services. This paper attempted to create a crime prediction model that can apply Recurrent Neural Network(RNN) to increase the potential for using legal technology in the domestic criminal justice field. To this end, the crime process was divided into pre, during, and post stages based on the criminal facts described in the judgment, utilizing crime script analysis techniques. In addition, at each time point, the method and evidence of crime were classified into objects, actions, and environments based on the sentence composition elements and the 8 principles of investigation. The case summary analysis framework derived from this study can contribute to establishing situational crime prevention strategies because it is easy to identify typical patterns of specific crime methods. Furthermore, the results of this study can be used as a useful reference for research on generating crime situation prediction data based on RNN models in future follow-up studies.

A Countermeasures on Credit Card Crime Using Personal Credit Information (개인신용정보이용 신용카드범죄에 대한 대처방안)

  • Kim, Jong-Soo
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.9
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    • pp.27-68
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    • 2005
  • Recently, because credit card crime using a personal credit information is increasing, professionalizing, and spreading the area, the loss occurring from credit card crime is enormous and is difficult to arrest and punish the criminals. At past, crime from forging and counterfeiting the credit card was originated by minority criminals, but at present, the types and appearance of credit card crime is very different to contrasting past crime. The numbers of people using credit card in the middle of 1990's was increasing and barometer of living conditions was evaluated by the number having credit card, therefore this bad phenomenon occurring from credit card crime was affected by abnormal consumption patterns. There is no need emphasizing the importance of personal credit card in this credit society. so, because credit card crime using personal credit card information has a bad effect, and brings the economic loss and harms to individuals, credit card company, and members joining credit card. Credit card crime using personal credit card information means the conduct using another people's credit card information(card number, expiring duration, secret number) that detected by unlawful means. And crime using dishonest means from another people's credit information is called a crime profiting money-making and a crime lending an illegal advance by making false documents. A findings on countermeasures of this study are as follows: Firstly, Diverting user's mind, improving the art of printing, and legitimating password from payment gateway was suggested. Secondly, Complementing input of password, disseminating the system of key-board protection, and promoting legitimations of immediate notification duty was suggested. Thirdly, Certificating the electronic certificates as a personal certificates, assuring the recognition by sense organ of organism, and lessening the ratio of crime occurrence, and restricting the ratio of the credit card crime was suggested.

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An Investigation of the Fear of Crime in the Neighborhoods: The Case Study of Youngtong, Suwon (근린에서의 범죄의 두려움에 대한 고찰 -수원 영통을 사례로-)

  • Ko, Jun-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.42 no.2 s.119
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    • pp.243-257
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    • 2007
  • This paper aims to analyze fear of crime which is considered socio-psychologically important in our daily lives from a geographical point of view. Especially, the spatial patterns of the fear of crime which were analyzed in the area of Youngtong in Suwon city. First, this paper takes a look at the correlation between the incidence of crime and the fear of crime. Most people feel fear in actual crime scenes, but they do not always coincide with place where people feel the high level of fear. Fear of crime is closely connected with physical environments as well as the incidence of crime. The level of fear is high in places where the light is dark, unfrequented paths, especially in parks and around mountains. Several factors which have effects on fear of crime operate differently upon place. Second, a survey which measures the fear of crime was quantitatively analyzed. Factor analysis was employed to find out whether questions are appropriate for measuring the fear of crime as well as to reduce the amount of data so that more exact result can be derived from the data. Through the factor analysis, seven factors were extracted and it is found that a factor of incivility accounts for 24.032% of variance. Other factors which affect fear of crime are community cohesion, warning, incidence of crime, victimization, morality and authority.

An Analysis of Urban Residential Crimes using Eigenvector Spatial Filtering (아이겐벡터 공간필터링을 이용한 도시주거범죄의 분석)

  • Kim, Young-Ho
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.179-194
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    • 2009
  • The spatial distribution of crime incidences in urban neighborhoods is a reflection of their socio-economic environment and spatial inter-relations. Spatial interactions between offenders and victims lead to spatial autocorrelation of the crime incidences. The spatial autocorrelation among the incidences biases the interpretation of the ecological model in OLS framework. This research investigates residential crimes using residential burglaries and robberies occurred in the city of Columbus, Ohio, for 2000. In particular, the spatial distribution of incidence rates of residential crimes are accounted in OLS framework using eigenvectors, which reflect spatial dependence in crime patterns. Result presents that handling spatial autocorrelation enhanced model estimation, and both economic deprivation and crime opportunity are turned out significant in estimating residential crime rates.

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