• 제목/요약/키워드: Credit classification

검색결과 110건 처리시간 0.024초

영양사 배출 관련학과의 전공과목 강화 및 개발에 관한 연구 제2보 -교과과정 분석에 대한 연구- (A Study on Reinforcement and Development of Course Programs in Department of Food Science and Nutrition Related Studies 2nd Report - A Study on Course Programs Analysis at Universities and Junior Colleges -)

  • 박명희;최봉순
    • 동아시아식생활학회지
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.17-31
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    • 1996
  • In order to reinforce and develop major courses in dietitian producing department, this study analysed and compared the courses of Food Science and Nutrition-related studies at 4-year and 2-year college. Results of the study are as follows: 1. There is no difference In the number of major courses provided by universities(33.2 courses) and junior colleges(32.6 courses), and universities(103) showed higher than junior colleges(79.9) with respect to total credit of courses. 2. Food Chemistry had highest credit(universities=1,532, junior colleges=1,037), while Nutrition Education had lowest credit (universities= 143, junior colleges=99) in the distribution of courses by way of major or classification. 3. The number of courses provided by universities and junior colleges was similar by way of minor classification. Especially, courses related to Food Chemistry showed highest frequency (universities=15, junior college=11) and percentage of credit (universities=32.6 junior college=34.3%), while courses related to Nutrition Education were one subject and percentage of credit was 3.0%. 4. Compared to percentage of the number of questions occupied in national qualifying examination for dietitians, the percentage of the number of credit provided by courses programs is higher in Biochemistry(universites 10.6%, junior colleges 7.5%) and Food Chemistry and Principles of Cooking(universites 27.0%, junior colleges 25.2%), but is lower in Diet Therapy(universites 7.6%, junior colleges 6.7%) and Nutrition Education(universites 4.9%, junior colleges 4.8%)

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다양한 다분류 SVM을 적용한 기업채권평가 (Corporate Bond Rating Using Various Multiclass Support Vector Machines)

  • 안현철;김경재
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.157-178
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    • 2009
  • Corporate credit rating is a very important factor in the market for corporate debt. Information concerning corporate operations is often disseminated to market participants through the changes in credit ratings that are published by professional rating agencies, such as Standard and Poor's (S&P) and Moody's Investor Service. Since these agencies generally require a large fee for the service, and the periodically provided ratings sometimes do not reflect the default risk of the company at the time, it may be advantageous for bond-market participants to be able to classify credit ratings before the agencies actually publish them. As a result, it is very important for companies (especially, financial companies) to develop a proper model of credit rating. From a technical perspective, the credit rating constitutes a typical, multiclass, classification problem because rating agencies generally have ten or more categories of ratings. For example, S&P's ratings range from AAA for the highest-quality bonds to D for the lowest-quality bonds. The professional rating agencies emphasize the importance of analysts' subjective judgments in the determination of credit ratings. However, in practice, a mathematical model that uses the financial variables of companies plays an important role in determining credit ratings, since it is convenient to apply and cost efficient. These financial variables include the ratios that represent a company's leverage status, liquidity status, and profitability status. Several statistical and artificial intelligence (AI) techniques have been applied as tools for predicting credit ratings. Among them, artificial neural networks are most prevalent in the area of finance because of their broad applicability to many business problems and their preeminent ability to adapt. However, artificial neural networks also have many defects, including the difficulty in determining the values of the control parameters and the number of processing elements in the layer as well as the risk of over-fitting. Of late, because of their robustness and high accuracy, support vector machines (SVMs) have become popular as a solution for problems with generating accurate prediction. An SVM's solution may be globally optimal because SVMs seek to minimize structural risk. On the other hand, artificial neural network models may tend to find locally optimal solutions because they seek to minimize empirical risk. In addition, no parameters need to be tuned in SVMs, barring the upper bound for non-separable cases in linear SVMs. Since SVMs were originally devised for binary classification, however they are not intrinsically geared for multiclass classifications as in credit ratings. Thus, researchers have tried to extend the original SVM to multiclass classification. Hitherto, a variety of techniques to extend standard SVMs to multiclass SVMs (MSVMs) has been proposed in the literature Only a few types of MSVM are, however, tested using prior studies that apply MSVMs to credit ratings studies. In this study, we examined six different techniques of MSVMs: (1) One-Against-One, (2) One-Against-AIL (3) DAGSVM, (4) ECOC, (5) Method of Weston and Watkins, and (6) Method of Crammer and Singer. In addition, we examined the prediction accuracy of some modified version of conventional MSVM techniques. To find the most appropriate technique of MSVMs for corporate bond rating, we applied all the techniques of MSVMs to a real-world case of credit rating in Korea. The best application is in corporate bond rating, which is the most frequently studied area of credit rating for specific debt issues or other financial obligations. For our study the research data were collected from National Information and Credit Evaluation, Inc., a major bond-rating company in Korea. The data set is comprised of the bond-ratings for the year 2002 and various financial variables for 1,295 companies from the manufacturing industry in Korea. We compared the results of these techniques with one another, and with those of traditional methods for credit ratings, such as multiple discriminant analysis (MDA), multinomial logistic regression (MLOGIT), and artificial neural networks (ANNs). As a result, we found that DAGSVM with an ordered list was the best approach for the prediction of bond rating. In addition, we found that the modified version of ECOC approach can yield higher prediction accuracy for the cases showing clear patterns.

도시 저소득층의 소비자문제지각과 관련요인 연구 (Consumer Problem Perceived by Urban Low-Income Consumers and the Related Factors)

  • 김성숙;이기춘
    • 가정과삶의질연구
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.31-43
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    • 1989
  • The purposes of this study were to identify the overall levels of consumer problem, consumer competencies and purchase pattern of urban low-income consumers and to examine the factors affecting the consumer problem and the subareas-market environment problem(MEP) and transaction relation problem(TRP). The related factors, that is, independent variables were competencies-related factors(consumption-oriented attitude, attitude on consumerism, consumer knowledge), purchase pattern-related factors (search pattern, credit pattern, peddler pattern) and socio-demorgraphic factors(age, educational level, family size). For this purpose, a survey was conducted by interview using questionaires on 198 homemakers that lived in the poor areas of Seoul. Statistics used for data analysis were Frequency Distribution, Percentile, Mean, Pearson's Correlation, One-way ANOVA, Scheffe-test, Breakdown and Multiple Classification Analysis. Major findings were as follows: 1) In the level of consum r problem were in the middle level and the level of MEP were higher than that of TRP. The attitude on consumption-orientation was so negative, while attitude on consumerism was positive. The level of consumer knowledge was in the middle level. The urban low-income consumers searched a little and depended on credit and peddler in the low level. 2) Consumer problem perceived by urban low-income consumers differed significantly according to attitude on consumerism, credit pattern, monthly charge of peddler purchase. The MEP depended on attitude on consumerism and monthly charge of peddler purchase, and the TRP was affected by credit pattern and attitude on consumerism. Resulting from MCA, the most influencial variable was attitude on consumerism and credit pattern in the consumer problem, and attitude on consumerism in the MEP, and credit pattenr in the TRP.

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신용카드 대손회원 예측을 위한 SVM 모형 (Credit Card Bad Debt Prediction Model based on Support Vector Machine)

  • 김진우;지원철
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.233-250
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, credit card delinquency means the possibility of occurring bad debt within the certain near future from the normal accounts that have no debt and the problem is to predict, on the monthly basis, the occurrence of delinquency 3 months in advance. This prediction is typical binary classification problem but suffers from the issue of data imbalance that means the instances of target class is very few. For the effective prediction of bad debt occurrence, Support Vector Machine (SVM) with kernel trick is adopted using credit card usage and payment patterns as its inputs. SVM is widely accepted in the data mining society because of its prediction accuracy and no fear of overfitting. However, it is known that SVM has the limitation in its ability to processing the large-scale data. To resolve the difficulties in applying SVM to bad debt occurrence prediction, two stage clustering is suggested as an effective data reduction method and ensembles of SVM models are also adopted to mitigate the difficulty due to data imbalance intrinsic to the target problem of this paper. In the experiments with the real world data from one of the major domestic credit card companies, the suggested approach reveals the superior prediction accuracy to the traditional data mining approaches that use neural networks, decision trees or logistics regressions. SVM ensemble model learned from T2 training set shows the best prediction results among the alternatives considered and it is noteworthy that the performance of neural networks with T2 is better than that of SVM with T1. These results prove that the suggested approach is very effective for both SVM training and the classification problem of data imbalance.

S카드사의 가맹점 분류체계 정비를 통한 고객세분화 전략 (Reforming Business Classification Systems of Merchants: A Case of S-Card's Customer Segmentation Strategy)

  • 박진수;장남식;황유섭
    • 경영정보학연구
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.89-109
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    • 2008
  • 후발카드사들의 시장 확대 전략, 은행계 카드사의 약진 등 점차 치열해지는 경쟁 구도에 대비하기 위해 S카드사는 과거와 같이 단순 신용카드 상품이나 '고수익 고위험'의 대출서비스에 주력하는 수익모델로는 향후 생존하기 어렵다는 현실을 인식하고 신용판매 활동의 내실 강화를 통해 지속적으로 수익을 창출할 수 있는 방안을 강구하였는데 이것이 바로 가맹점 업종분류체계 정비를 통한 고객세분화이다. 즉, 기존의 수수료율 책정기준으로 만들어진 가맹점 업종분류체계를 마케팅 목적으로 재편하고 새로운 업종분류체계에 맞춰 고객의 정확한 카드 사용실적을 파악한 후 고객을 세분화하는 개념으로, 가맹점과 고객의 다양한 니즈를 연계 관리함으로써 고객에게는 맞춤 정보 및 오퍼를 제공하고, 가맹점과의 긴밀한 협력관계를 통해 가맹점 매출을 증대하며, 이로 인해 자사의 신용판매를 확대하고 수익을 극대화하는 고객, 가맹점, 자사 상호간의 Win-Win-Win 관계 형성을 목표로 하였다. 본 연구에서는 S카드사가 어떠한 방식으로 기존의 업종분류체계를 정비하여 고객세분화를 수행하였으며, 어떻게 활용하고 있는가를 살펴봄으로써 효과적인 고객세분화에 기반한 마케팅 전략수립 의 방향을 제시하고자 한다.

시계열 예측을 위한 LSTM 기반 딥러닝: 기업 신용평점 예측 사례 (LSTM-based Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: The Case of Corporate Credit Score Prediction)

  • 이현상;오세환
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.241-265
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    • 2020
  • Purpose Various machine learning techniques are used to implement for predicting corporate credit. However, previous research doesn't utilize time series input features and has a limited prediction timing. Furthermore, in the case of corporate bond credit rating forecast, corporate sample is limited because only large companies are selected for corporate bond credit rating. To address limitations of prior research, this study attempts to implement a predictive model with more sample companies, which can adjust the forecasting point at the present time by using the credit score information and corporate information in time series. Design/methodology/approach To implement this forecasting model, this study uses the sample of 2,191 companies with KIS credit scores for 18 years from 2000 to 2017. For improving the performance of the predictive model, various financial and non-financial features are applied as input variables in a time series through a sliding window technique. In addition, this research also tests various machine learning techniques that were traditionally used to increase the validity of analysis results, and the deep learning technique that is being actively researched of late. Findings RNN-based stateful LSTM model shows good performance in credit rating prediction. By extending the forecasting time point, we find how the performance of the predictive model changes over time and evaluate the feature groups in the short and long terms. In comparison with other studies, the results of 5 classification prediction through label reclassification show good performance relatively. In addition, about 90% accuracy is found in the bad credit forecasts.

Using Estimated Probability from Support Vector Machines for Credit Rating in IT Industry

  • 홍태호;신택수
    • 한국지능정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지능정보시스템학회 2005년도 공동추계학술대회
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    • pp.509-515
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    • 2005
  • Recently, support vector machines (SVMs) are being recognized as competitive tools as compared with other data mining techniques for solving pattern recognition or classification decision problems. Furthermore, many researches, in particular, have proved it more powerful than traditional artificial neural networks (ANNs)(Amendolia et al., 2003; Huang et al., 2004, Huang et al., 2005; Tay and Cao, 2001; Min and Lee, 2005; Shin et al, 2005; Kim, 2003). The classification decision, such as a binary or multi-class decision problem, used by any classifier, i.e. data mining techniques is cost-sensitive. Therefore, it is necessary to convert the output of the classifier into well-calibrated posterior probabilities. However, SVMs basically do not provide such probabilities. So it required to use any method to create probabilities (Platt, 1999; Drish, 2001). This study applies a method to estimate the probability of outputs of SVM to bankruptcy prediction and then suggests credit scoring methods using the estimated probability for bank's loan decision making.

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데이터마이닝을 위한 혼합 데이터베이스에서의 속성선택

  • 차운옥;허문열
    • 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통계학회 2003년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.103-108
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    • 2003
  • 데이터마이닝을 위한 대용량 데이터베이스를 축소시키는 방법 중에 속성선택 방법이 많이 사용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 세 가지 속성선택 방법을 사용하여 조건속성 수를 60%이상 축소시켜 결정나무와 로지스틱 회귀모형에 적용시켜보고 이들의 효율을 비교해 본다. 세 가지 속성선택 방법은 MDI, 정보획득, ReliefF 방법이다. 결정나무 방법은 QUEST, CART, C4.5를 사용하였다. 속성선택 방법들의 분류 정확성은 UCI 데이터베이스에 주어진 Credit 승인 데이터베이스와 German Credit 데이터베이스를 사용하여 10층-교차확인 방법으로 평가하였다.

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AdaBoost 알고리즘기반 SVM을 이용한 부실 확률분포 기반의 기업신용평가 (Corporate Credit Rating based on Bankruptcy Probability Using AdaBoost Algorithm-based Support Vector Machine)

  • 신택수;홍태호
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.25-41
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    • 2011
  • 최근 몇 년간 SVM(support vector machines)기법은 패턴인식 또는 분류의사결정문제를 위한 분석기법으로서 기존의 데이터마이닝 기법과 비교할 때, 매우 높은 성과를 갖는 것으로 인식되어 왔다. 더 나아나 많은 연구자들은 SVM기법이 1980년대 이후 대표적인 예측 및 분류모형으로 인정받은 인공신경망기법(ANNs : Artificial Neural Networks)에 비해 더 성과가 좋다는 사실을 실증적으로 입증해 왔다(Amendolia et al., 2003; Huang et al., 2004, Huang et al., 2005; Tay and Cao, 2001; Min and Lee, 2005; Shin et al., 2005; Kim, 2003). 일반적으로 이와 같이 다양한 데이터마이닝 기법에 의해 분석되는 이진분류 또는 다분류 의사결정문제들은 특히 금융분야 등에 있어서 오분류비용에 민감하며, 이로 인한 오분류의 경제적 손실도 상대적으로 매우 크다고 할 수 있다. 따라서 기업부도예측모형과 같은 이진분류모형의 결과값을, 부도확률에 기초하여 정교하게 계산된 사후확률의 개념으로서 다분류의 신용등급평가의 문제로 변환할 필요가 있다. 그러나, SVM 모형의 결과값은 기본적으로 그와 같은 부도확률분포를 보여주지 않는다. 따라서, 그러한 확률분포를 정교하게 보여줄 방법을 제시할 필요가 있다(Platt, 1999; Drish, 2001). 본 연구는 AdaBoost 알고리즘기반의 SVM 모형을 이용하여, 이진분류모형으로서 IT 기업의 부실예측모형에 적용한 후, 이 SVM 모형의 예측결과를 SVM의 손실함수에 적용하여 계산된 값을 사후부도확률의 정규분포 특성에 따라 이를 구간화하여 IT기업에 대한 다분류 신용등급 평가의 문제로 전환시키는 방법을 제시하였다. 그리고 본 연구에서 제안하는 방법은 이러한 AdaBoost 알고리즘기반 SVM 모형이 각 기업이 고유한 신용위험(부도확률)을 갖고 있다는 조건하에서, 신용등급부여를 위한 부도확률분포 구간을 정교하게 조정함으로써 오분류 문제를 좀 더 줄일 수 있음을 제시하였다.

An Application of the Rough Set Approach to credit Rating

  • Kim, Jae-Kyeong;Cho, Sung-Sik
    • 한국지능정보시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지능정보시스템학회 1999년도 추계학술대회-지능형 정보기술과 미래조직 Information Technology and Future Organization
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    • pp.347-354
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    • 1999
  • The credit rating represents an assessment of the relative level of risk associated with the timely payments required by the debt obligation. In this paper, we present a new approach to credit rating of customers based on the rough set theory. The concept of a rough set appeared to be an effective tool for the analysis of customer information systems representing knowledge gained by experience. The customer information system describes a set of customers by a set of multi-valued attributes, called condition attributes. The customers are classified into groups of risk subject to an expert's opinion, called decision attribute. A natural problem of knowledge analysis consists then in discovering relationships, in terms of decision rules, between description of customers by condition attributes and particular decisions. The rough set approach enables one to discover minimal subsets of condition attributes ensuring an acceptable quality of classification of the customers analyzed and to derive decision rules from the customer information system which can be used to support decisions about rating new customers. Using the rough set approach one analyses only facts hidden in data, it does not need any additional information about data and does not correct inconsistencies manifested in data; instead, rules produced are categorized into certain and possible. A real problem of the evaluation of the evaluation of credit rating by a department store is studied using the rough set approach.

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