• Journal of Industrial Convergence
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• v.21 no.11
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• pp.13-27
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• 2023

This study aims to contribute to the reduction of the failure rate and social costs resulting from business failures by analyzing factors that affect the insolvency of social enterprises, as the role of social enterprises is increasing in our economy. The data used in this study were classified as normal and insolvent companies among social enterprises (including prospective social enterprises) that were established between 2009 and 2018 and received credit guarantees from credit guarantee institutions as of the end of June 2022. Among the collected data, 439 social enterprises with available financial information were targeted; 406 (92.5%) were normal enterprises, and 33 (7.5%) were insolvent enterprises. Through a literature review, eight non-financial factors commonly used for insolvency prediction were selected. The cross-analysis results showed that four of these factors were significant. Logistic regression analysis revealed that two variables, including corporate credit rating and the personal credit rating of the representative, were significant. Financial factors such as debt ratio, sales operating profit rate, and total asset turnover were used as control variables. The empirical analysis confirmed that the two independent variables maintained their influence even after controlling for financial factors. Given that government-led support and development policies have limitations, there is a need to shift policy direction so that various companies aspiring to create social value can enter the social enterprise sector through private and regional initiatives. This would enable the social economy to create an environment where local residents can collaborate to realize social value, and the government should actively support this.

• Korea-Australia Rheology Journal
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.107-117
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• 2000

Prediction of the product shape in sheet casting process is performed from the numerical simulation. A three-dimensional finite element method is used to investigate the flow behavior and to examine the effects of processing conditions on the sheet produced. Effects of inertia, gravity, surface tension and non-Newtonian viscosity on the thickness profile of the sheet are considered since the edge bead and the flow patterns in the chill roll region have great influence on the quality of the products. In the numerical simulation with free surface flows, the spine method is adopted to update the free surface, and the force-free boundary condition is imposed along the take-up plane to avoid severe singularity problems existing at the take-up plane. From the numerical results of steady isothermal flows of a generalized Newtonian fluid, it is shown that the draw ratio plays a major role in predicting the shape of the final sheet produced and the surface tension has considerable effect on the bead thickness ratio and the bead width fraction, while shear-thinning and/or tension-thickening viscosity affect the degree of neck-in.

• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.22 no.3
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• pp.163-173
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• 1997

Although numerous studies demonstrate that one technique outperforms the others for a given data set, it is hard to tell a priori which of these techniques will be the most effective to solve a specific problem. It has been suggested that the better approach to classification problem might be to integrate several different forecasting techniques by combining their results. The issues of interest are how to integrate different modeling techniques to increase the predictive performance. This paper proposes the post-model integration method, which tries to find the best combination of the results provided by individual techniques. To get the optimal or near optimal combination of different prediction techniques, Genetic Algorithms (GAs) are applied, which are particularly suitable for multi-parameter optimization problems with an object function subject to numerous hard and soft constraints. This study applies three individual classification techniques (Discriminant analysis, Logit model and Neural Networks) as base models for the corporate failure prediction. The results of composite predictions are compared with the individual models. Preliminary results suggests that the use of integrated methods improve the performance of business classification.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.99-121
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• 2009

Recently, there have been many studies that predict corporate bankruptcy using data mining techniques. Although various data mining techniques have been investigated, some researchers have tried to combine the results of each data mining technique in order to improve classification performance. In this study, we classify 4 types of data mining techniques via their characteristics and select representative techniques of each type then combine them using a genetic algorithm. The genetic algorithm may find optimal or near-optimal solution because it is a global optimization technique. This study compares the results of single models, typical combination models, and the proposed integration model using the genetic algorithm.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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• 2019.11a
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• pp.38-39
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• 2019

Environmental problems caused by GHG emitted by various industries are emerging around the world, and accordingly, relevant regulations are being applied by countries around the world. Korea is operating a carbon credit system that trades GHG in industry for money, which is expected to be applied to the construction industry. In addition, construction equipment using fossil fuels accounts for the largest portion of $CO_2$ emissions in the construction industry, and the importance of $CO_2$ reduction and prediction is increasing. However, there is a lack of data on the directly measured $CO_2$ emissions of construction equipment and there is no accurate methodology for measuring methods. Therefore, in this study, independent variables were derived based on the $CO_2$ emission data. In addition, multiple linear regression is performed for each independent variable to derive a predictive model of carbon dioxide emission by work type of construction equipment. It is expected that the construction process plan based on environmental factors in the construction industry can be established in the future.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.17 no.10
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• pp.520-526
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• 2016

This study aims to develop a distress prediction model, in order to evaluate the distress prediction power for first-class hotels and to calculate the average financial ratio in the Seoul area by using the financial ratios of hotels in 2015. The sample data was collected from 19 first-class hotels in Seoul and the financial ratios extracted from 14 of these 19 hotels. The results show firstly that the seven financial ratios, viz. the current ratio, total borrowings and bonds payable to total assets, interest coverage ratio to operating income, operating income to sales, net income to stockholders' equity, ratio of cash flows from operating activities to sales and total assets turnover, enable the top-level corporations to be discriminated from the failed corporations and, secondly, by using these seven financial ratios, a discriminant function which classifies the corporations into top-level and failed ones is estimated by linear multiple discriminant analysis. The accuracy of prediction of this discriminant capability turned out to be 87.9%. The accuracy of the estimates obtained by discriminant analysis indicates that the distress prediction model's distress prediction power is 78.95%. According to the analysis results, hotel management groups which administrate low level corporations need to focus on the classification of these seven financial ratios. Furthermore, hotel corporations have very different financial structures and failure prediction indicators from other industries. In accordance with this finding, for the development of credit evaluation systems for such hotel corporations, there is a need for systems to be developed that reflect hotel corporations' financial features.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 2001.10a
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• pp.161-164
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• 2001

본 연구에서는 할부금융시장에서의 고객신용예측을 위한 모형으로 여러 가지 인공신경망(Neural Network) 모형들을 유전자 알고리즘(Genetic Algorithm)을 이용하여 통합한 신용예측모형을 제안한다. 10개의 학습된 인공신경망 모형들을 유전자알고리즘을 이용하여 종류별로 통합하여 MLP(Multi-Layered Perceptrons), Linear, RBF(Radial Basis Function) 세 가지의 대표모델을 얻고 이를 다시 하나의 인공신경망 모델로 통합하였다. 이를 통합되기 이전의 각각의 인공신경망 모형들과 성능을 비교, 분석하여 본 연구에서 제안한 통합모형의 유효성과 통합방법의 타당성을 제시하였다.

• IE interfaces
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.15-28
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• 1997

Knowledge acquisition has been a major bottleneck in building expert systems. To ease the problems arising in knowledge acquisition, analog concept learning systems(ACLS) has been used. In this paper, in order to avoid the overfitting problem and secure a good performance, we propose the revised ACLS, which pruning methods -cost complexity, reduced error, pessimistic pruning and production rule- are incorporated into and apply them to the credit evaluation for Korean companies. The performances of the revised ACLS are evaluated in light of the prediction accuracy. To check the effect of the training data sampling on the performance, experiments are conducted using the different proportion of the training data. Experimental results show that the revised ACLS of combining cost complexity pruning with reduced error pruning performs best among original ACLS and other methods.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.33 no.3
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• pp.239-256
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• 2020

Health is an important issue due to increased life expectancy. As a result, the demand for industry and services associated with individual health, health-related programs and services will be facilitated by a method to evaluate and classify the health level of an individual based on various factors. This study suggests a methodology to measure and score an individual health level. A credit scoring model was introduced to implement the categorization of variables, construct a prediction model, and to score individual health level. Cohort DB provided by National Health Insurance Service was used to illustrate overall procedures. It is expected that the suggested model can be utilized in designing and managing health care services as well as other health-related programs.

• Information Systems Review
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.49-67
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• 2009

E-mail marketing is the cheapest channel in target marketing. The channel works amazingly well for marketers who know how to use it. The e-mail marketers are able to integrate transactional and behavioral data to improve the targeting content of e-mail marketing campaigns. The cost in e-mail marketing is low and e-mail marketing makes no pollution. But, the e-mail response rate is lower than all the other channels. So, it is very hard for companies to increase their sales volumes, though the companies are ready to execute e-mail marketing campaigns on the side of computer systems. Marketers can send messages easily to target customers compared to other channels. But, the possibility to be read by the customers is low. Normal e-mails are continually devalued by spam mails. This study shows the influence of e-mail marketing to increase sales used by credit cards, on the basis of the real data promoted by A bank, in the Republic of Korea. The analysis on the traits of the respondent can help marketers to target customers. If additional studies on the response prediction model on the basis of traits of potential respondents are done, the targeting method to increase the effectiveness of e-mail marketing will be better structured and organized.