• 제목/요약/키워드: Cox regression model

검색결과 208건 처리시간 0.024초

Prognostic Evaluation of Categorical Platelet-based Indices Using Clustering Methods Based on the Monte Carlo Comparison for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

  • Guo, Pi;Shen, Shun-Li;Zhang, Qin;Zeng, Fang-Fang;Zhang, Wang-Jian;Hu, Xiao-Min;Zhang, Ding-Mei;Peng, Bao-Gang;Hao, Yuan-Tao
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권14호
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    • pp.5721-5727
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: To evaluate the performance of clustering methods used in the prognostic assessment of categorical clinical data for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients in China, and establish a predictable prognostic nomogram for clinical decisions. Materials and Methods: A total of 332 newly diagnosed HCC patients treated with hepatic resection during 2006-2009 were enrolled. Patients were regularly followed up at outpatient clinics. Clustering methods including the Average linkage, k-modes, fuzzy k-modes, PAM, CLARA, protocluster, and ROCK were compared by Monte Carlo simulation, and the optimal method was applied to investigate the clustering pattern of the indices including platelet count, platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and serum aspartate aminotransferase activity/platelet count ratio index (APRI). Then the clustering variable, age group, tumor size, number of tumor and vascular invasion were studied in a multivariable Cox regression model. A prognostic nomogram was constructed for clinical decisions. Results: The ROCK was best in both the overlapping and non-overlapping cases performed to assess the prognostic value of platelet-based indices. Patients with categorical platelet-based indices significantly split across two clusters, and those with high values, had a high risk of HCC recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] 1.42, 95% CI 1.09-1.86; p<0.01). Tumor size, number of tumor and blood vessel invasion were also associated with high risk of HCC recurrence (all p< 0.01). The nomogram well predicted HCC patient survival at 3 and 5 years. Conclusions: A cluster of platelet-based indices combined with other clinical covariates could be used for prognosis evaluation in HCC.

우리나라 성인에서 혈청 지질성분비가 허혈성 심장질환 발생에 미치는 위험도 평가: 코호트 연구 (Associations of Serum Lipid Profiles with Incidence of Ischemic Heart Diseases in Korean Adults: Retrospective Cohort Study)

  • 신숙희;이태용
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.2219-2231
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 우리나라 30세 이상 성인들의 허혈성심장질환(ischemic heart disease, IHD) 발생률을 계산하고, 지질지표(콜레스테롤, 중성지방, 고밀도지단백콜레스테롤, 저밀도지단백콜레스테롤)가 허혈성심장질환 발생에 미치는 위험도를 파악하고자 19개 대학 및 종합병원의 건강검진센터에서 검진을 받은 417,642명을 대상으로 1993년 9월부터 2009년 6월까지 평균 8.5년동안 허혈성심장질환의 발생을 추적관찰하였다. 자료수집은 검진자들에 대한 설문조사지를 이용하였고, 허혈성심장질환의 발생여부는 국민건강보험공단의 데이터베이스에서 확인하였다. 발생률은 발생밀도로 계산하였고, 혈청지질 지표에 따른 허혈성심장질환의 발생 위험도는 콕스의 비례위험 회귀모형을 이용하여 연령, BMI, 생활양식을 보정한 상태에서 성별에 따른 위험요인별 위험비와 95% 신뢰구간을 계산하였다. 연구결과 TC/HDL 비의 증가에 따라 IHD의 발생 위험비는 남자에서 1.21배에서 1.84배까지, 여자는 1.26배에서 1.86배까지 증가하였으며, TG/HDL 비의 증가에 따른 IHD의 발생 위험비는 남자에서 1.17배에서 1.49배까지, 여자는 1.42배에서 1.97배까지, LDL/HDL 비에 따라 IHD의 발생 위험비는 남자에서 1.26배에서 1.82배까지, 여자는 1.26배에서 1.68배까지 증가하였다. 결론적으로 혈청지질지표는 심혈관질환의 중요한 위험요인으로 총콜레스테롤, 저밀도지단백콜레스테롤, 중성지방은 혈중 농도가 높을수록, 고밀도지단백콜레스테롤은 낮을수록 IHD의 위험이 높아지는 것으로 나타났고, TC/HDL 비, TG/HDL 비, LDL/HDL 비에서 단독의 지질지표보다 위험도가 더 높게 나타나는 경향이 있었다. 따라서 추후 허혈성 심장질환의 예방 및 관리에는 혈청지질지표의 비도 감안하여야 한다.

상하악 대구치 부위에서 넓은 직경 임플란트의 생존율에 대한 후향적 연구 (Retrospective Study of Wide-Diameter Implants in Maxillary & Mandibular Molar regions)

  • 박경아;정철웅;류경호;박광범;김영준
    • Journal of Periodontal and Implant Science
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    • 제37권4호
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    • pp.825-838
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    • 2007
  • Endosseous implants are used in the treatment of various types of tooth loss, and numerous long-term studies have demonstrated the excellent reliability of this method of treatment. However, the increase of implant failure are associated with inadequate quality and/or height of bone. At the end of the 1980s, Wide(>3.75mm) implants were initially used for managing these difficult bone situations. The recommended indications for its use included poor bone quality, inadequate bone height. immediate placement in fresh extraction sockets, and immediate replacement of failed implants. At the 2000s, wider implants(6.0mm and 6.5mm) were used in a few studies. Although good clinical outcomes have been reported in recent years, there is still a controversy on this topic. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to estimate the survival rate of wide implants($6.0{\sim}8.0mm$) in molar regions, evaluating the clinical outcome. In this study, 1135 RBM surfaced wide implants($Rescue^{TM}$, MEGAZEN Co., Korea/595 maxillary, 540 mandibular) were placed in 650 patients(403 male, 247 female/age mean: $51.2{\pm}11.1$ years, range 20 to 83 years). Of the total, 68.3% were used to treat fully or partially edentulous situations, including single-tooth losses and 31.7% were placed immediately after teeth extraction or removal of failed implants, of which all were in the molar regions. Implant diameter and length ranged from 6.0 to 8.0mm and from 5.0 to 10.0mm respectively. The implants were followed for up to 42 months (mean: $14.6{\pm}9.5$ months). Of 1135 placed implants, 58 implants were lost. Among them, 53 implants were lost within 12 months after implant placement. The survival rate was 93.6% in the maxilla and 96.3% in the mandible, yielding an overall survival rate of 94.9%, for up to 42 months. As the result of Cox regression model, prosthetic type, sinus graft, and patient gender have an statistical significance on the implant survival rate in this study. This study suggests that the use of wide implants($6.0{\sim}8.0mm$) would provide a predictable treatment alternative in posterior areas.

BMI와 사망과의 관련성 - 강화 코호트 연구 - (Association between BMI and Mortality - Kangwha cohort study -)

  • 윤수진;이상욱;김소윤;이순영;박윤희;손태용;오희철
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.459-468
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    • 2000
  • Objectives : To investigate the association between BMI and Mortality. Methods : This study was based on the analysis and assembly of the 'Kangwha Cohort Study', previously conducted by the Department of Preventive Medicine, Yonsei University. A total of 2,696 males and 3,595 females were followed for almost ten years and ten months from March 1985 to January 1996, a total of whom 2,420 died during this period. The Cox's proportional hazards regression model was used to analyze this data. Results : We found a U-shaped relationship between BMI and mortality among the aged men in the Kangwha cohort. The hazard ratio of dying was adjusted for age, marital status, occupation, self cognitive health level, chronic disease, smoking, and alcohol frequency, then sorted by body mass index into the following groups; less than 10.5, 18.5 to less than 21.0, 21.0 to less than 23.5, 23.5 to less than 26.0 and greater than or equal to 26. The corresponding ratios for men were 1.81(1.50-2.19, 95%CI), 1.31(1.14-1.51, 95%CI), 1.0(referent), 1.05(0.87-1.26, 95%CI) and 1.39(1.09-1.76, 95%CI), respectively. And for women, 1.46(1.19-1.78), 1.12(0.95-1.31, 95%CI), 1.0(referent), 1.00(0.84-1.20, 95%CI) and 1.09(0.89-1.34, 95%CI), respectively. Conclusions : The risk of death among aged men in Kangwha increased in the under and overweight groups. The relationship between BMl and mortality has been well studied in Western populations, but little is known about the association between BMI and mortality in our country. So, on the basis of this study, it is apparent that more studies of the relationship between BMI and mortality will be needed for future work.

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Ki67 Index Is the Most Powerful Factor for Predicting the Recurrence in Atypical Meningioma : Retrospective Analysis of 99 Patients in Two Institutes

  • Lee, Sang Hyuk;Lee, Eun Hee;Sung, Kyoung Su;Kim, Dae Cheol;Kim, Young Zoon;Song, Young Jin
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제65권4호
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    • pp.558-571
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    • 2022
  • Objective : The primary objective of this study was to identify predicting factors for local control (LC) of atypical meningioma, and we validated them with comparing the predicting factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS). We also examined the rate of LC after surgical resection with or without adjuvant treatment and RFS. Methods : Clinical and radiological records of patients with atypical meningiomas diagnosed at two institutes from January 2000 to December 2018 were reviewed retrospectively. Histopathological features were also reviewed using formalin-fixed paraffin embedded samples from pathological archives. Results : Of the 99 atypical meningiomas eligible for analysis, 36 (36.4%) recurred during the follow-up period (mean, 83.3 months; range, 12-232 months). The rate of 3-year LC and 5-year LC was 80.8% and 74.7%, respectively. The mean time-to-recurrence was 49.4 months (range, 12-150). The mean RFS was 149.3 months (95% confidence interval, 128.8-169.8 months) during the mean follow-up duration of 83.3 months (range, 12-232 months). Multivariate analysis using Cox proportional-hazard regression model showed that the extent of resection (hazard ratio [HR], 4.761; p=0.013), Ki67 index (HR, 8.541; p=0.004), mitotic index (HR, 3.275; p=0.044), and tumor size (HR, 3.228; p=0.041) were independently associated with LC. These factors were also statistically associated with RFS. In terms of radiotherapy after surgical resection, the recurrence was not prevented by immediate radiotherapy because of the strong effect of proliferative index on recurrence. Conclusion : The present study suggests that the extent of resection, proliferative index (according to Ki67 expression) and mitotic index, and tumor size are associated with recurrence of atypical meningiomas. However, our results should be further validated through prospective and randomized clinical trials to overcome the inborn bias of retrospective nature of the study design.

Characteristics of Patients with Surgical Closure of an Atrial Septal Defect during Infancy

  • Byeong A Yoo;Su Jin Kwon;Yu-Mi Im;Dong-Hee Kim;Eun Seok Choi;Bo Sang Kwon;Chun Soo Park;Tae-Jin Yun
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제56권3호
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    • pp.155-161
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    • 2023
  • Background: Surgical closure of an atrial septal defect (ASD) is infrequently indicated during infancy. We evaluated the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients who underwent surgical ASD closure during infancy. Methods: A single-center retrospective review was performed for 39 patients (19 males) who underwent surgical ASD closure during infancy between 1993 and 2020. The median body weight percentile at the time of operation was 9.3. Results: During a median follow-up of 60.9 months, 4 late deaths occurred due to chronic respiratory failure. A preoperative history of bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) was the only risk factor for late mortality identified in Cox regression (hazard ratio, 3.54; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.75-163.04; p=0.015). The 5-year survival rate was significantly lower in patients with preoperative history of BPD (97.0% vs. 50.0%, p<0.001) and preoperative ventilatory support (97.1% vs. 40.4%, p<0.001). There were significant postoperative increases in left ventricular end-diastolic (p=0.017), end-systolic (p=0.014), and stroke volume (p=0.013) indices. A generalized estimated equation model showed significantly better postoperative improvement in body weight percentiles in patients with lower weight percentiles at the time of operation (<10th percentile, p=0.01) and larger indexed ASD diameter (≥45 mm/m2, p=0.025). Conclusion: Patients with ASD necessitating surgical closure during infancy are extremely small preoperatively and remain small even after surgical closure. However, postoperative somatic growth was more prominent in smaller patients with larger defects, which may be attributable to an increase in postoperative cardiac output due to changes in ventricular septal configuration. The benefits of ASD closure in patients with BPD are undetermined.

Overall and cardiovascular mortality according to 10-year cardiovascular risk of the general health checkup: the Kangbuk Samsung Cohort Study

  • Youshik Jeong;Yesung Lee;Eunchan Mun;Eunhye Seo;Daehoon Kim;Jaehong Lee;Jinsook Jeong;Woncheol Lee
    • Annals of Occupational and Environmental Medicine
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    • 제34권
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    • pp.40.1-40.9
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    • 2022
  • Background: According to the occupational accident status analysis in 2020, of 1,180 occupational deaths, 463 were caused by cardiovascular disease (CVD). Workers should be assessed for CVD risk at regular intervals to prevent work-related CVD in accordance with the rules on occupational safety and health standards. However, no previous study has addressed risk and mortality. Therefore, this longitudinal study was conducted to evaluate the relationship between 10-year cardiovascular risk of the general health checkup and mortality. Methods: The study included 545,859 participants who visited Kangbuk Samsung Total Healthcare Centers from January 1, 2002, to December 31, 2017. We performed 10-year cardiovascular risk assessment for the participants and the risk was divided into 4 groups (low, moderate, high, and very high). The study used death data from the Korea National Statistical Office for survival status as an outcome variable by December 31, 2019, and the cause of death based on the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10) was identified. Statistical analysis was performed using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, and the sum of the periods from the first visit to the date of death or December 31, 2019, was used as a time scale. We also performed a stratified analysis for age at baseline and sex. Results: During 5,253,627.9 person-years, 4,738 overall deaths and 654 cardiovascular deaths occurred. When the low-risk group was set as a reference, in the multivariable-adjusted model, the hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence interval [CI]) for overall mortality were 3.36 (2.87-3.95) in the moderate-risk group, 11.08 (9.27-13.25) in the high-risk group, and 21.20 (17.42-25.79) in the very-high-risk group, all of which were statistically significant. In cardiovascular deaths, the difference according to the risk classification was more pronounced. The HRs (95% CI) were 8.57 (4.95-14.83), 38.95 (21.77-69.69), and 78.81 (42.62-145.71) in each group. As a result of a subgroup analysis by age and sex, the HRs of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality tended to be higher in the high-risk group. Conclusions: This large-scale longitudinal study confirmed that the risk of death increases with the 10-year cardiovascular risk of general health checkup.

자궁내막암의 수술 후 방사선치료 결과에 영향을 미치는 예후인자 (Prognostic Factors Influencing the Result of Postoperative Radiotherapy in Endometrial Carcinoma)

  • 기용간;권병현;김원택;남지호;윤만수;이형식;김동원
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.110-115
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    • 2006
  • 목적: 수술 후 보조적으로 방사선치료를 받은 자궁내막암 환자의 전체생존율, 무병생존율, 재발 부위 등을 분석하여 이와 관련된 예후인자를 알아보고자 하였다. 대상 및 방법: 1992년 4월부터 2003년 5월까지 부산대학교병원에서 수술 후 방사선치료를 받은 자궁내막암 환자 중 조직유형이 선암인 환자 54명을 대상으로 후향적 분석하였다. 전체 환자의 중앙 나이는 55세(35-76세)였고, 병기 분포는 FIGO 병기 I군이 34명(63.0%), 병기 II군이 8명(14.8%), 병기 III군이 12명(22.2%)이었다. 모든 환자는 수술 및 외부 방사선조사($41.4{\sim}54.0Gy$, 중앙값 50.4 Gy)를 받았고, 20명(전체 환자의 37.0%)의 환자에서 추가로 질내 근접치료($15.0{\sim}24.0Gy$, 중앙값 15.0 Gy)를 받았다. 전체추적기간은 $5{\sim}115$개월로 중앙추적기간은 35개월이었다. 분석 결과 유의 인자로 나타난 조직 분화도(histologic grade), 림프-혈관 침범(Iymphovascular space invasion), 그리고 자궁근 침범 정도(myometrial invasion depth)를 점수화(GLM 점수)하여 생존분석을 시행하였다. 생존분석은 Ka-plan-Meter 법을, 단변량 및 다변량 통계분석은 각각 log-rank 검정과 Cox 회귀분석을 사용했다. 결과: 전체 자궁내막암 환자의 5년 생존율은 87.7%였고, 5년 무병생존율은 87.1%였다. 단변량 통계분석에서는 조직분화도, 림프-혈관 침범, 그리고 자궁근 침범 정도가 전체생존율 및 무병생존율과 관련 있는 인자였고, 다변량 통계분석에서는 림프-혈관 침범이 무병생존율과 관련 있는 인자였다(p=0.0158). GLM 점수는 전체생존율 및 무병생존율과 의미 있는 관계를 나타냈고(각각 p=0.0090, p=0.0073), 원격재발에도 유의한 예후인자로 나타났다 (p=0.0132). 전체 환자 중 6명(11%)의 환자에서 재발을 보였고, 재발 부위는 대동맥 림프절 2명, 폐 2명, 쇄골상부 림프절 1명, 질 1명이었다. 결론: 수술 및 수술 후 방사선치료를 받은 자궁내막암 환자의 예후는 수술 후의 병리 소견과 밀접한 관계를 가지고 있다. 더 많은 연구를 통해 자궁내막암 환자의 예후인자를 체계화한다면, 병의 진행양상을 예견하고 대처하는데 도움이 될 것이다.

베이비붐세대와 정년연장 혜택의 귀착 (Which of Baby Boom Generation Can Get the Benefit of Extension of the Retirement Age Obligation?)

  • 석재은;이기주
    • 한국사회복지학
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    • 제68권2호
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    • pp.107-130
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    • 2016
  • 2013년 정년연장이 법제화되어, 베이비붐 세대가 노령기로 진입하는 2016-17년에 단계적으로 적용될 전망이다. 이 연구는 정년연장 법제화로 베이비붐세대 중 얼마나 혜택을 받으며, 실제로 누가(어떤 특성의 집단) 혜택을 누리게 될 것인가에 대한 실증적 분석을 제공하고자 하였다. 이와 같이 정년연장 혜택의 귀착 규모 및 특성을 분석함으로써, 이 연구는 정년연장 정책의 파급효과와 영향을 파악하는 데 목적이 있다. 정년연장은 상근 정규직근로자에게 적용될 수 있는 제도이다. 따라서 베이비붐 세대의 경제활동상태와 노동이력을 추적하여, 정년연장 혜택을 받을 가능성이 높은 상근 정규직근로자로 생존하게 되는 집단의 규모와 특성을 분석해 보고자 하였다. 이를 위해 한국노동패널조사 4차(2001)부터 17차(2014)까지 패널자료를 활용하여, 생존분석을 통해 베이비붐세대 중 상근 정규직근로자 생존확률을 분석하였다. 생명표 분석결과, 베이비붐세대 중에서 정년연장 혜택을 받을 수 있는 비율은 11.4%에 불과했고, 75.3만명 규모로 추정되었다. Kaplan-Meier 생존분석과 Cox 비례위험 회귀분석(Cox proportional hazards regression model) 결과, 고학력일수록, 여성근로자에 비해 남성근로자의 경우 정규직 생존확률이 높았으며, 공공 및 정부기관 종사자가 민간기업 종사자에 비해 정규직 생존확률이 높았다. 100인 이상 규모의 기업에 근무하는 경우, 노동조합이 조직되어 있는 곳에 근무하는 경우 정규직 생존확률이 높았다. 이는 정년연장 혜택이 안정적 고용집단인 특정계층에게 집중되는 계층화 효과, 젠더편향 효과를 보여주는 것이다. 이는 격차확대 위험을 시사하며, 청년층이 선호하는 괜찮은 일자리에서의 일자리 경쟁과 세대갈등 가능성을 시사한다.

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진행성 비소세포폐암 환자에서 Gefitinib와 Erlotinib의 비교 (Comparison of Gefitinib and Erlotinib for Patients with Advanced Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer)

  • 이진화;이경은;류연주;천은미;장중현
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • 제66권4호
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    • pp.280-287
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    • 2009
  • 연구배경: 표피성장인자수용체(epidermal growth factor receptor, EGFR) 티로신 활성효소 억제제(tyrosine kinase inhibitor, TKI)는 진행성 비소세포폐암의 새로운 치료제이다. 몇몇 연구 결과 gefitinib와 erlotinib에 대한 반응률과 반응 예측인자에 차이가 있을 가능성을 제시하였다. 저자들은 한국인 진행성 비소세포폐암에서 gefitinib와 erlotinib의 효과 및 독성을 비교하고 각 약제에 대해 서로 다른 반응 예측인자가 있는지 평가하였다. 방 법: 2003년 7월부터 2009년 2월까지 이화여자대학 교부속병원에서 진행성 비소세포폐암으로 gefitinib 또는 erlotinib로 치료 받은 환자들의 임상정보를 수집하였다. 중앙 생존기간은 Kaplan-Meier법으로 계산하였다. 결 과: 대상 환자는 총 86명이었다(gefitinib군 52명 대 erlotinib군 34명). 나이의 중앙값은 64세였고 53명(62%)이 남자였다. 86명 중 83명에서 반응평가가 가능했으며, 83명 중 35명이 반응을 보였고 12명이 안정성 질환이었으며 36명이 진행성 질환으로, 치료 반응률이 42%였고 질병 조절률이 57%였다. 중앙 추적관찰기간 502일 동안, 진행까지의 중앙기간은 129일이었으며 중앙 생존기간은 259일이었다. 치료 반응률(gefitinib 44% 대 erlotinib 39%, p=0.678), 중앙 생존기간(gefitinib 301일 대 erlotinib 202일, p=0.151) 및 병의 진행까지 기간의 중앙값(gefitinib 136일 대 erlotinib 92일, p=0.672)은 두 군 사이에 차이가 없었다. 두 약제는 비슷한 독성을 보였다. Cox 회귀모형을 이용한 다변수분석에서 선암이 생존과 관련된 독립적인 예후인자였다(상대위험도: 0.487, 95% 신뢰구간: 0.292~0.811, p=0.006). 아집단 분석 결과 두 약제에 대한 서로 다른 반응 예측인자는 없었다. 결 론: Gefitinib와 erlotinib 사이에 반응률, 생존기간, 진행까지의 기간 및 독성에 차이는 없었다. 각 약제에 대한 특이적인 반응 예측인자도 없었다.