• 제목/요약/키워드: Cox's Proportional Hazard Regression Model

검색결과 31건 처리시간 0.03초

고령화연구조사(KLoSA) 패널을 활용한 중고령 자영업자의 일자리 이탈 요인에 관한 연구 (A study on the Factors Affecting Job Separation by Middle and Old aged Self-Employed using KLoSA Panel)

  • 최화영
    • 직업교육연구
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.119-138
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    • 2018
  • 이 연구에서는 중고령 자영업자를 대상으로 일자리 이탈 시점 및 일자리 이탈에 영향을 미치는 요인을 분석하고자 하였다. 고령화연구조사(KLoSA) 2006년 1차 조사대상자 중 자영업 시작 시기가 40세 이상인 684명을 대상으로 2014년 5차 조사 시기까지의 자료를 활용하여 콕스비례위험모형을 활용하였다. 이 연구의 주요 결론을 제시하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 2005년 자영업을 운영하던 중고령 자영업자의 일자리 지속기간은 평균 15.5년으로 나타났으며 전체 684명 중 214명(31.3%)의 자영업자가 조사기간 내에 일자리를 이탈한 것으로 분석되었다. 둘째, 개인적 특성에서 성별, 창업 시 연령, 교육수준이 중고령 자영업자의 일자리 이탈에 유의미하게 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 여성일 때, 창업 시 연령이 많을 때, 대학 이상의 학력일 때 자영업 이탈에 대한 위험이 증가하였다. 셋째, 자영업 특성에서 업종과 직무만족이 중고령 자영업자의 일자리 이탈에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 농림어업보다 숙박 및 음식업에 종사할 경우, 자영업에 만족하는 정도가 낮을수록 자영업 이탈에 대한 위험이 크게 나타났다. 이러한 결론을 바탕으로 다음과 같은 시사점을 제시하였다. 첫째, 여성 중고령 자영업자와 60대 이후에 자영업을 시작하는 고령 창업자에 대한 지원전략을 수립할 필요가 있다. 둘째, 진입장벽이 낮은 업종에서 창업하기보다 자신의 적성 및 경력을 활용하여 다양한 분야로 진출할 수 있도록 지원할 필요가 있다. 셋째, 노동환경에서 직무만족을 증진할 수 있도록 돕는 정책개발이 필요하며, 특히 고학력 자영업자에게는 자영업에 의한 다양한 보상에 만족할 수 있도록 할 필요가 있다.

한국 성인의 식생활평가지수에 기반한 전체 식사의 질과 대사증후군 구성요소 및 대사증후군 발생의 연관성 (Relation between the Total Diet Quality based on Korean Healthy Eating Index and the Incidence of Metabolic Syndrome Constituents and Metabolic Syndrome among a Prospective Cohort of Korean Adults)

  • 신새롬;이승민
    • 대한지역사회영양학회지
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2020
  • Objectives: This study examined the association of the total diet quality with the incidence risk of metabolic syndrome constituents and metabolic syndrome among Korean adults. Methods: Based on a community-based cohort of the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study (KoGES) from 2001 to 2014, data from a total of 5,549 subjects (2,805 men & 2,744 women) aged 40~69 years at the baseline with a total follow-up period of 38,166 person-years were analyzed. The criteria of the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel was employed to define metabolic syndrome. The total diet quality was estimated using the Korean Healthy Eating Index (KHEI). Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for risk of metabolic syndrome constituents and metabolic syndrome in relation to KHEI quintile groups was calculated by multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model. Results: After adjusting for age, energy intake, income, education, physical activity, smoking, and drinking, the incidence of abdominal obesity and high blood pressure was significantly lower, by approximately 29.7% (P < 0.01) and 25.2% (P < 0.01), respectively, in the fifth KHEI quintile compared to the first quintile in men. A significant decreasing trend of the metabolic syndrome incidence was observed across the improving levels of KHEI (HRq5vs.q1: 0.775, 95% CIq5vs.q1: 0.619~0.971, P for trend < 0.01). In women, the incidence of abdominal obesity and metabolic syndrome was significantly lower, by approximately 29.8% (P < 0.01) and 22.5% (P < 0.05), respectively, in the fifth KHEI quintile compared to the first quintile adjusting for multiple covariates. On the other hand, the linear trend of metabolic syndrome risk across the KHEI levels did not reach the significance level. Conclusions: A better diet quality can prevent future metabolic syndrome and its certain risk factors among Korean men and women.

The Younger Patients Have More Better Prognosis in Limited Disease Small Cell Lung Cancer

  • Kim, Hye-Jin;Choi, Chang-Min;Kim, Seul-Gi
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • 제79권4호
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    • pp.274-281
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    • 2016
  • Background: Factors associated with the prognosis of patients with small cell lung cancer (SCLC) is relatively unknown, than of those with non-small cell lung cancer. This study was undertaken to identify the prognostic factors of SCLC. Methods: The medical records of 333 patients diagnosed with SCLC at tertiary hospital from January 1, 2008, to December 31, 2012 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients were categorized by age (${\leq}65$ years vs. >65 years) and by extent of disease (limited disease [LD] vs extensive disease [ED]). Overall survival and progression free survival rates were determined. Factors associated with prognosis were calculated using Cox's proportional hazard regression model. Results: Most baseline characteristics were similar in the LD and ED groups. Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS), first chemotherapy regimen, and prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI) differed significantly in patients with LD and ED. Mean ECOG PS was significantly lower (p<0.001), first-line chemotherapy with etoposide-cisplatin was more frequent than with etoposide-carboplatin (p<0.001), and PCI was performed more frequently (p=0.019) in LD-SCLC than in ED-SCLC. Prognosis in the LD group was better in younger (${\leq}65$ years) than in older (>65 years) patients, but prognosis in the ED group was unrelated to age. Conclusion: This study showed that overall survival (OS) was significantly improved in younger than in older patients with LD-SCLC. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that age, PCI and the sum of cycles were significant predictors of OS in patients with LD-SCLC. However, prognosis in the ED group was unrelated to age.

흡연과 음주가 남성 암 사망에 미치는 영향: 강화 코호트 연구 (Cigarette Smoking, Alcohol and Cancer Mortality in Men: The Kangwha Cohort Study)

  • 이상규;남정모;이상욱;오희철
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.123-128
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    • 2002
  • Objective : To examine the relationship between cigarette smoking, alcohol and cancer mortality in men in the Kangwha cohort after 12 years and 10 months of follow up. Methods : The subjects consisted of 2,681 men in the Kangwha cohort aged over 55 in 1985. Number of deaths and the time to death front all cancers and other cause were measured and the data for the smoking and drinking habits were obtained from the baseline survey data in 1985. All subjects were categorized into four groups according to their smoking habits: non-smokers, ex-smokers, mode(ate-smokers (1-19 cigarettes per day), heavy-smokers ($\geq$20 cigarettes per day). In addition, they were also categorized according to their drinking habits: non-drinkers, light-drinkers ($\leq$1 drink per week), moderate-drinkers (<3 drinks per day), heavy-drinkers ($\geq$3 drinks per day). The cancer specific death rates were calculated according to their smoking and drinking status. The adjusted risk ratio for all cancer deaths according to their smoking and drinking status were estimated using the Cox's proportional hazard regression model. Results : Using nonsmokers as the reference category, the adjusted risk ratio for all cancer deaths were 1.573(95% CI=1.003-2.468) for heavy-smokers. For lung cancer deaths, the adjusted risk ratios were 3.540(95% CI=1.251-10.018) for moderate-smoker and 4.114(95% CI=1.275-13.271) for heavy-smokers. Compared to non-drinkers, the adjusted risk ratio for stomach cancer was 2.204(95% CI=1.114-4.361) for light-drinkers. Conclusion : Smoking is the most significant risk factor for cancer deaths particularly lung cancer.

Survival Time and Molecular Subtypes of Breast Cancer after Radiotherapy in Thailand

  • Kongsiang, Apichat;Tangvoraphonkchai, Vorachai;Jirapornkul, Chananya;Promthet, Supannee;Kamsa-ard, Siriporn;Suwanrungruang, Krittika
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권23호
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    • pp.10505-10508
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    • 2015
  • Background: Breast cancer is an important cause of death among women. One way of classifying different forms of breast cancer is by molecular features, usually in terms of the four subtypes: luminal A, luminal B, HER2-enriched, and triple negative. Objectives: This study aimed to investigate the association between molecular subtypes and survival among breast cancer patients treated with radiotherapy. Materials and Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted. The subjects were 272 breast cancer patients who had received treatment in the radiotherapy unit at Srinagarind Hospital, Thailand, between 1 January, 1999, and 31 May, 2009. The end of the study was 1 June, 2014. Overall survival was defined as the time elapsing between initial registration at the radiotherapy unit and death or the end of the study. Survival curves were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method, and a multivariate analysis was performed using Cox's proportional hazard regression model. Results: The patient mean age was $47.5{\pm}10.4$ at the time of diagnosis. Of the 272 patients, 146 (53.7%) were classified as luminal A, 12 (4.4%) as luminal B, 30 (11.0%) as HER2-enriched, and 84 (30.9%) as triple negative. The overall survival rates at 1, 3 and 5 years were 87.1%, 68.4% and 59.2%, respectively. According to molecular subtypes, HER2-enriched patients had the lowest 5-year survival rate (30.0 %, 95%CI: 15.02-46.55). The median follow-up time was 8.37 years. In the Cox model analysis a higher risk of death was found for patients with HER2-enriched ($HR_{adj}=3.34$, 95%CI:1.96-5.67), triple negative ($HR_{adj}=2.17$, 95%CI: 1.44-3.27), and stage IIlB ($HR_{adj}=2.20$, 95%CI: 1.16-4.17) cancers. Conclusions: The worst survival rates were among patients classified as HER2-enriched, triple negative and at stage IIIB. Early detection and an advanced treatment modality are needed to help these patients.

추적조사된 대구시내 일부 병원분만 산모에서 모유수유중단 예측변수 (Predictors of breast-feeding discontinuation in some followed-up hospital-delivered mothers)

  • 이충원;이무식;박종원;이미영;강미정;신동훈;이세엽
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.845-862
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    • 1995
  • 모유수유를 시작하지 않는 산모의 특성과 모유수유 중단을 예측해주는 특성을 찾아내기 위하여 1년간 매달 전화면담으로 추적조사를 실시하였다. 등록대상자는 대구시의 대학병원 산부인과와 개업산부인과 각각 1개소에서 1991년 9월부터 11월까지 분만한 산모로서 최종분석에 이용된 자는 대학병원에서 166명, 개업산부인과에서 316명으로 총 482명이었다. 모유수유 중단은 고형식 유무에 관계없이 100% 인공수유로 전환하여 1주일 이상 지속하는 것으로 정의하였다. 대상자의 평균연령은 27.3세(표준편차 3.2)였다. 모유수유를 중단한 산모와 지속한 산모간의 특성차이는 다중지수회귀분석시 출신지, 직업, 출산방법, 모성의 건강을 위해 좋다고 생각되는 수유방법 등이었다. 한 달 이상 모유수유를 지속한 242명의 산모를 추적조사시에 모유수유 중단의 중앙값은 5개월이었으며 추적 대상자의 25%, 75%가 각각 3개월, 9개월에 모유수유를 중단하였다. Cox's proportional hazard model로 분석시 9년이하의 교육수준인 산모에 비하여 $10\sim12$년을 교육받은 산모는 2.63배(95% 신뢰구간 $1.50\sim4.60$), 13년 이상의 교육을 받은 산모는 3.55배(95% 신뢰구간 $1.99\sim6.33$)나 모유수유 중단을 할 가능성이 더 높았다. 전업 주부에 비하여 시간제 근무를 하는 주부는 1.99배(95% 신뢰구간 $0.86\sim4.57$) 모유수유 중단의 가능성이 더 높았고 취업 주부는 1.55배(95% 신뢰구간 $0.96\sim2.51$) 더 높았다. 이러한 결과는 모유수유를 시작하지 않는 것과 관련된 변수와 모유수유 중단과 관련된 변수들이 다를 수 있다는 사실을 시사해주며 모유수유 증진을 위한 전략 역시 출산 후 시기에 따라 달라져야 한다는 것을 시사해준다.

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Statistical Estimates from Black Non-Hispanic Female Breast Cancer Data

  • Khan, Hafiz Mohammad Rafiqullah;Ibrahimou, Boubakari;Saxena, Anshul;Gabbidon, Kemesha;Abdool-Ghany, Faheema;Ramamoorthy, Venkataraghavan;Ullah, Duff;Stewart, Tiffanie Shauna-Jeanne
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권19호
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    • pp.8371-8376
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    • 2014
  • Background: The use of statistical methods has become an imperative tool in breast cancer survival data analysis. The purpose of this study was to develop the best statistical probability model using the Bayesian method to predict future survival times for the black non-Hispanic female breast cancer patients diagnosed during 1973-2009 in the U.S. Materials and Methods: We used a stratified random sample of black non-Hispanic female breast cancer patient data from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional regression methods. Four advanced types of statistical models, Exponentiated Exponential (EE), Beta Generalized Exponential (BGE), Exponentiated Weibull (EW), and Beta Inverse Weibull (BIW) were utilized for data analysis. The statistical model building criteria, Akaike Information Criteria (AIC), Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC), and Deviance Information Criteria (DIC) were used to measure the goodness of fit tests. Furthermore, we used the Bayesian approach to obtain the predictive survival inferences from the best-fit data based on the exponentiated Weibull model. Results: We identified the highest number of black non-Hispanic female breast cancer patients in Michigan and the lowest in Hawaii. The mean (SD), of age at diagnosis (years) was 58.3 (14.43). The mean (SD), of survival time (months) for black non-Hispanic females was 66.8 (30.20). Non-Hispanic blacks had a significantly increased risk of death compared to Black Hispanics (Hazard ratio: 1.96, 95%CI: 1.51-2.54). Compared to other statistical probability models, we found that the exponentiated Weibull model better fits for the survival times. By making use of the Bayesian method predictive inferences for future survival times were obtained. Conclusions: These findings will be of great significance in determining appropriate treatment plans and health-care cost allocation. Furthermore, the same approach should contribute to build future predictive models for any health related diseases.

한국인의 흡연과 사망 위험에 관한 코호트 연구 (Cigarette Smoking and Mortality in the Korean Multi-center Cancer Cohort (KMCC) Study)

  • 이은하;박수경;고광필;조인성;장성훈;신해림;강대희;유근영
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제43권2호
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2010
  • Objectives: The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between cigarette smoking and total mortality, cancer mortality and other disease mortalities in Korean adults. Methods: A total of 14 161 subjects of the Korean Multi-center Cancer Cohort who were over 40 years of age and who were cancer-free at baseline enrollment reported their lifestyle factors, including the smoking status. The median follow-up time was 6.6 years. During the follow-up period from 1993 to 2005, we identified 1159 cases of mortality, including 260 cancer mortality cases with a total of 91 987 person-years, by the national death certificate. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of cigarette smoking for total mortality, cancer mortality and disease-specific mortality, as adjusted for age, gender, the geographic area and year of enrollment, the alcohol consumption status, the education level and the body mass index (BMI). Results: Cigarette smoking was significantly associated with an increased risk of total mortality, all-cancer mortality and lung cancer mortality (p-trend, < 0.01, <0.01, <0.01, respectively). Compared to non-smoking, current smokers were at a higher risk for mortality [HR (95% CI)=1.3 (1.1 - 1.5) for total mortality; HR (95% CI)=1.6 (1.1 -2.2) for all-cancer mortality; HR (95% CI)=3.9 (1.9-7.7) for lung cancer mortality]. Conclusions: This study's results suggest that cigarette smoking might be associated with total mortality, all-cancer mortality and especially lung cancer mortality among Korean adults.

간암 환자에서 예후인자를 통한 생존기간의 예측 (Prediction of Life-expectancy for Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on Prognostic Factors)

  • 염창환;심재용;이혜리;홍영선
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.30-38
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    • 1998
  • 배경: 간암은 우리나라에 흔한 암으로 암등록 자료($1991{\sim}1992$)에 의하면 암발생율 3위, 암에 의한 사망 원인 중 2위를 차지한다. 암환자에서 환자의 생존기간을 예측하는 것은 환자의 진료에서 환자 자신이나 가족, 의료진에게 매우 중요하다고 생각된다. 본 연구는 간암 환자에서 환자의 생존 기간을 예측할 수 있는 예후 인자를 찾아 간암 환자의 진료에 도움이 되고자 하였다. 방법: 1995년 1월부터 6월 사이에 연세대학교 의과대학 부속 영동세브란스 병원에 간암으로 입원한 환자 91명(남자 73명, 여자 18명)을 대상으로 의무기록을 통해 입원 당시 임상적인 특성 28가지를 조사하였으며, 의무기록과 동사무소 기록을 가지고 1996년 7월 31일까지 추적하여 생존 여부를 확인하였다. Cox proportional hazard model을 이용하여 임상적 특성 중 사망위험도를 높이는 유의한 변수를 얻은 후 이를 예후 인자로 삼았다. 이것을 life regression analysis을 통해 예후 인자 각각이 존재할 때의 생존 기간 및 동반된 예후 인자 갯수에 따른 생존 기간을 예측하였다. 결과: 1) 원발성 간암 91명 중 남자가 73명(80.2%), 여자가 18명(19.8%)이며, 평균 연령은 $56.7{\pm}10.6$세이었고, 추적 불가능한 사람 16명을 제외한 75%명중 그 기간 사이에 사망한 사람이 57명(76%), 생존한 사람이 18명(24%)이었다. 2) 임상적인 특성 중 프로트롬빈 시간(prothrombin time) 40% 미만(RR: relative risk. 10.8), 체중감소(RR. 4.4), 고혈압의 과거력(RR. 3.2), 복수(RR. 2.8), 저칼슘혈증(RR. 2.5)인 경우가 환자의 사망위험도의 유의한 예후 인자였다(P<0.01). 3) 사망위험도 예후 인자 5가지가 모두 있는 경우는 생존 기간이 1.7일, 4가지만 있는 경우는 $4.2{\sim}10.0$일, 3가지만 있는 경우는 $10.4{\sim}41.9$일, 2가지만 있는 경우는 $29.5{\sim}118.1$일, 1가지만 있는 경우는 $124.0{\sim}296.6$일, 모두 없는 경우는 724.0일이었다. 결론: 간암 환자에서 프로트롬빈 시간의 연장(<40%), 체중감소 고혈압의 과거력, 복수, 저칼슘혈증(<8.7mg/dl) 등의 순으로 높은 사망위험도를 예측하게 하는 유의한 인자임을 알 수 있었고, 동반된 예후인자의 갯수로써 생존 기간을 예측할 수 있을 것으로 생각된다.

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공복 혈당과 간암 발생 위험에 관한 코호트 연구 (Fasting Serum Glucose and Subsequent Liver Cancer Risk in a Korean Prospective Cohort)

  • 곽진;황승식;고광필;전재관;박수경;장성훈;신해림;유근영
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.23-28
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    • 2007
  • Objectives : Chronic infections with hepatitis B or C and alcoholic cirrhosis are three well-known major risk factors for liver cancer. Diabetes has also been suggested as a potential risk factor. However, the findings of previous studies have been controversial in terms of the causal association. Therefore, the aim of this study was to evaluate the association between serum glucose levels and liver cancer development in a Korean cohort. Methods : Thirty-six liver cancer cases were identified in the Korean Multi-Center Cancer Cohort (KMCC). Baseline information on lifestyle characteristics was obtained via questionnaire. Serum glucose levels were measured at the study's enrollment. Relative risks (RRs) were estimated using a Cox proportional hazard regression model. The adjusting variables included age, gender, smoking history, alcohol consumption, body mass index, and hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seropositivity. Results : The RRs of serum glucose for liver caner were 1.20 (95% CI = 0.48-2.99) for the category of 100 to 125 mg/dL of serum glucose and 2.77 (95% CI = 1.24-6.18) for the >126 mg/dL serum glucose category (both compared to the <100 mg/dL category). In a subgroup analysis, the RR of serum glucose among those who were both HBsAg seronegative and non-drinkers was 4.46 (95% CI = 1.09-18.28) for those with glucose levels >100 mg/dL. Conclusions : The results of this study suggest that a high level of serum glucose can increase liver cancer risk independently of hepatitis infection and drinking history in Koreans. This study implies that glucose intolerance may be an independent risk factor for liver cancer.