• 제목/요약/키워드: Cost-effectiveness model

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The cost-effectiveness of alternative control measures against the 2010-2011 epidemic of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in Andong, Republic of Korea

  • Kim, Eutteum;Pak, Son-Il
    • Journal of Preventive Veterinary Medicine
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    • 제42권4호
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    • pp.163-170
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    • 2018
  • The cost-effectiveness of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) control strategies was evaluated using a simulation model fitted to the 2010/11 FMD epidemic in the city of Andong, Republic of Korea. Seven FMD-control strategies were evaluated with respect to the direct cost of a FMD-control strategy, such as slaughtering, movement restriction, and vaccination. All the strategies included pre-emptive slaughtering, movement restriction, and vaccination, but the levels of each control option were different. The simulated median cost of the baseline FMD-control strategy (three kilometers of pre-emptive slaughtering area, 100 days of movement restriction and vaccination of all FMD-susceptible animals in the study area) was estimated to be USD 99.7 million. When a five kilometer vaccination area was applied (with the other control measures being the same as the baseline strategy), the simulated median cost was reduced to USD 81.1 million from USD 99.7. The simulated median costs were USD 107.6 million for a five kilometer radius slaughtering area and USD 168.8 million for 60 days of movement restriction. The FMD-control strategy cost decreased with increasing number of farms depopulated per day. The probability of passive surveillance being effective or the probability of the successful implementation of movement restrictions were increased. Cost-effectiveness analysis is a suitable tool for evaluating the financial consequences of FMD-control strategies by comparing the cost of control strategies for a specific area.

STATISTICALLY PREPROCESSED DATA BASED PARAMETRIC COST MODEL FOR BUILDING PROJECTS

  • Sae-Hyun Ji;Moonseo Park;Hyun-Soo Lee
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.417-424
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    • 2009
  • For a construction project to progress smoothly, effective cost estimation is vital, particularly in the conceptual and schematic design stages. In these early phases, despite the fact that initial estimates are highly sensitive to changes in project scope, owners require accurate forecasts which reflect their supplying information. Thus, cost estimators need effective estimation strategies. Practically, parametric cost estimates are the most commonly used method in these initial phases, which utilizes historical cost data (Karshenas 1984, Kirkham 2007). Hence, compilation of historical data regarding appropriate cost variance governing parameters is a prime requirement. However, precedent practice of data mining (data preprocessing) for denoising internal errors or abnormal values is needed before compilation. As an effort to deal with this issue, this research proposed a statistical methodology for data preprocessing and verified that data preprocessing has a positive impact on the enhancement of estimate accuracy and stability. Moreover, Statistically Preprocessed data Based Parametric (SPBP) cost models are developed based on multiple regression equations and verified their effectiveness compared with conventional cost models.

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Development of a Cost-benefit Model for the Management of Structural Risk on Oil Facilities in Mexico

  • Leon, David-De;Alfredo H-S. Ang
    • Computational Structural Engineering : An International Journal
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.19-23
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    • 2002
  • A reliability-based cost-benefit model for the risk management of oil platforms in the formulation of optimal decisions based on life-cycle consideration is proposed. The model is based on structural risk assessments and the integration of social issues and economics into the management decision process. Structural risks result from the platform's exposure to the random environmental loading associated with the offshore site where it is located. Several alternative designs of a typical platform are proposed and assessed from the cost-effectiveness viewpoint. This assessment is performed through the generation of cost/benefit relationships that are used, later on, to select the optimal design.

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복합항법센서를 갖는 수중운동체의 정밀 유도제어 정확도 분석 (Effectiveness Analysis for the Precision Guided and Controled Underwater Vehicle system with Integrated Navigation System)

  • 한용수;현철;정동민
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제19권11호
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    • pp.2751-2757
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    • 2015
  • 유도제어 시스템 체계 개발의 초기단계에는 운용 효과도 도출 및 요구사항 적합성 검토를 통한 체계 개략사양도출을 위해 효과도 분석을 수행한다. 본 논문에서는 M&S (Modeling & Simulation)를 활용하여 항법센서 성능과 환경영향(조류의 세기와 방향)에 따른 유도제어 시스템의 목표점 도달 정확도에 대한 운용 효과도 분석을 수행한다. 효과도 분석을 위해 6자유도 운동모델, 환경모델, 유도항법제어모델을 구성한다. 항법센서는 관성항법센서(Inertia Navigation Sensor, INS)와 도플러 속도센서(Doppler Velocity Log, DVL)로 구성하고, 환경변수는 조류(current)의 세기와 방향이다. 수치 시뮬레이션 결과는 CEP(Circular Error Probability)와 분산을 이용한 확률분석으로 분석한다. 효과도 분석 결과는 항법센서의 가격을 고려한 비용 대비 효율 분석에 활용하여 가격 대비 높은 성능의 센서 사양을 도출할 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 높은 수준의 INS와 낮은 수준의 DVL을 이용하면 가격 대비 성능이 높은 복합항법센서를 구성한다는 것을 보여준다.

어업관리 옵서버 제도의 효과에 대한 생물경제학적 분석 (Bioeconomic Analysis of Effectiveness of the Observe Program in Fisheries Management)

  • 이상고;김도훈
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2002
  • The observer program is being utilized In various fishing areas and fisheries internationally and nationally due to the its expected effectiveness in fisheries management and the collection of bioeconomic data necessary in fisheries management policy. The timely gathered data by observers play substantially a major role in decision-making fisheries policy such as the change in management measures, the application of season closure and area closure and etc. The expected effectiveness of the observer program In fisheries management, generally mentioned, is that it would lead to the increase in stock size from which the level of harvest would consequently increases. This study is aimed to analyze this tentatively expected effectiveness of the observer program in fisheries management. The changes in stock size and the level of harvest over time are analyzed under the observer program assuming the fishermen bear the cost of the observer program by investigating the change in fisherman's fishing activity under the observer program and by combining this changed activity with the biological model. The level of fishing efforts of fishermen was decreased from the results of the increase in fishing cost caused by the observer cost and the decrease in catchable stock size restricted by observers. This reduced level of fishing efforts enables stock size to increase over time and therefore, the expected level of harvest increases as time goes on. Another benefit under the observer program is to reduce management costs from the fact that fishermen are responsible for the cost of the observer program and the avoidance cost of fisherman responding to the fisheries regulation could be eliminated from the surveillance of observer. Therefore, it may possible to accomplish the cost-efficient fisheries management policy.

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Cost-effectiveness Analysis of Cervical Cancer Screening Strategies Based on the Papanicolaou Smear Test in Korea

  • Ko, Min Jung;Kim, Jimin;Kim, Younhee;Lee, Yoon Jae;Hong, Sung Ran;Lee, Jae Kwan
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.2317-2322
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    • 2015
  • Background: Despite the increasing number of screening examinations performed for cervical cancer utilizing the Papanicolaou smear test (Pap test), few studies have examined whether this strategy is cost-effective in Korea. Objective: This study was conducted to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of cervical cancer screening strategies incorporating the Pap test based on age at the start and end of screening as well as screening interval. Materials and Methods: We designed four alternative screening strategies based on patient age when screening was started (20 or 30 years) and discontinued (lifetime, 79 years). Each strategy was assessed at screening intervals of 1, 2, 3, or 5 years. A Markov model was developed to determine the cost-effectiveness of the 16 possible cervical cancer screening strategies, and this was evaluated from a societal perspective. The main outcome measures were average lifetime cost, incremental quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Results: Compared with various strategies comprising younger starting age, discontinuation age, and longer screening intervals, strategies employing annual screening for cervical cancer starting at a target age of 30 years and above were the most cost-effective, with an ICER of 21,012.98 dollars per QALY gained (with a Korean threshold of 30,000,000 KRW or US$27,272). Conclusions: We found that annual screening for cervical cancer beginning at a target age of 30 years and above is most cost-effective screening strategy. Considering the potential economic advantages, more intense screening policies for cervical cancer might be favorable among countries with high rates of cervical cancer and relatively low screening costs.

복합전력계통의 신뢰도와 혼잡비용과의 상관관계성에 관한 기초 연구 (A Basic Study on Relationship between Reliability and Congestion Cost of Composite Power System)

  • 최재석;트란트룽틴;권중지;정상헌;시보
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2006년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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    • pp.275-278
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    • 2006
  • This paper describes a probabilistic annual congestion cost assessment of a grid at a composite power system derived from a model. This probabilistic congestion cost assessment simulation model includes capacity limitation and uncertainties of the generators and transmission lines. In this paper, the proposed probabilistic congestion cost assessment model is focused on an annualized simulation methodology for solving long-term grid expansion planning issues. It emphasizes the questions of "how should the uncertainties of system elements (generators, lines and transformers, etc.) be considered for annual congestion cost assessment from the macro economic view point"? This simulation methodology comes essentially from a probabilistic production cost simulation model of composite power systems. This type of model comes from a nodal equivalent load duration curve based on a new effective load model at load points. The characteristics and effectiveness of this new simulation model are illustrated by several case studies of a test system.

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정보시스템 기능의 아웃소싱 : 상황모델의 실증적 연구 (Outsourcing of Information Systems Functions : An Empirical Study of A Contingency Model)

  • 천면중
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.131-164
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    • 1994
  • A contingency model of outsourcing is developed from the information systems (IS) literature and strategic management literature in order to assess the following question: What factors influence change in the extent to which an organization outsources IS functions? Based on the literature, this study identifies four IS factors-gaps in information quality, IS support quality, IS staff quality, and IS cost effectiveness-and three organizational factors-the gap in financial performance, strategic orientation, and the role of information technology in an organization-that influence the change in degree of outsourcing. These factors are hypothesized to influence the change in the extent of an organization's outsourcing of IS functions. From a mail survey of 188 top IS executives in U.S. companies, the results of analysis of covariance and bivariate correlational and multivariate regression analyses provide the following major findings: (a) This study found support for the proposed research model. (b) The change in the degree of IS outsourcing is determined by gaps in information quality, IS support quality, IS cost effectiveness, and financial performance and by the role of IT among IS and organizational factors.

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생애주기비용의 간접비용 산출을 위한 Regression Model의 개발 (Development of Regression Model to evaluate the indirect costs of Life-Cycle Costs)

  • 조효남;이종순;김충완;박경훈
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2004년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.150-156
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    • 2004
  • Though the concept of Life-Cycle Cost (LCC) itself is not new, its effectiveness for planning, design, rehabilitation and maintenance/management of civil infrastructures is becoming increasingly recognized. For the decision problems as in the case of the LCC of plant facilities, equipments, bridge decks, pavements, etc., the Life-Cycle Cost Analysis (LCCA) is relatively simple, and thus its practical implementation is rather straightforward. However, when it comes to major infrastructures such as bridge, tunnels, underground facilities, etc., the LCCA problem becomes extremely complex because lack of cost data associated with various direct and indirect losses, and the absence of uncertainty data available for the assessment as well. As a result, the LCC studies have been largely limited only to those relatively simple LCCA problems of planning or conceptual design for making decisions. Accordingly, in the recent years, the researchers have pursued extensive studies on the LCC effectiveness mostly related to LCC models and frameworks for civil infrastructures. Moreover, recently the demand on the practical application of LCC effective decisions in design and maintenance is rapidly growing unprecedently in civil engineering practice. Indirction cost is very important on LCC formulation. But that is very difficult and complicate the estimation every LCC. The objective of this paper is to suggest efficient regression model for the estimation of indirect cost approach to the practical application of LCC for the design and rehabilitation of civil. infrastructures considering traffic, traffic network, detour condition, and workzone condition. In this paper, it performed the sensitivity analysis and correlation analysis of parameter for development of regression model of inflection cost.

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철도차량 유지보수 비용관리 방안 연구 (A study on the method of rolling stock maintenance cost management)

  • 최석중;김문홍;정예성
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2011년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1134-1141
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    • 2011
  • Costs have long since become a major issue in railway system analysis, attention is not limited to the acquisition costs alone, but encompasses all costs involved in the use and disposal of the systems. Concepts such as Life Cycle Cost(LCC), Costs Of Ownership(COO), or Total Ownership Cost(TOC) are more and more frequent in any document dealing with system analysis. Most of railway projects have applied this LCC Model to evaluate effectiveness of system acquisition cost. But these action of LCC model does not applied all the rest of system life cycle period due to the differences of its responsibility. This is why a study has been undertaken by the operation party to harmonize the most important aspects of the LCC model. This study focused on these and other objectives for introduction of method and needs for an action plan for maintenance actions involved relevant cost allocation.

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