• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cost and Returns

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국내 주식시장에서 주가급락위험이 기대수익률에 미치는 영향 (Left-tail Risk and Expected Stock Returns in the Korean Stock Market)

  • 전용호;반주일
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제21권11호
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    • pp.320-332
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구는 국내 주식시장에서 개별종목의 주가급락위험을 과거 1년간 일별수익률의 VaR(Value-at-Risk) 통계량으로 정의하고, 주가급락위험이 기대수익률에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 결과는 다음과 같이 요약된다. 첫째, 전체 종목을 전월의 주가급락위험의 크기 순으로 10개의 포트폴리오로 나눈 후, 주가급락위험이 가장 높은 포트폴리오를 매수하고 가장 낮은 포트폴리오를 공매도하여 매월 구성한 무비용 포트폴리오는 월평균 -2.29%의 수익률(주가급락위험 프리미엄)을 나타낸다. 둘째, Fama-MacBeth 횡단면 회귀분석에서 기업규모, 장부가대시장가비율, 시장베타, 유동성, 최대수익률, 고유변동성, 왜도 등의 다양한 기업특성변수를 통제한 후에도 전월의 주가급락위험은 금월 수익률에 대해 유의한 음(-)의 설명력을 갖는다. 셋째, 최근 1개월 이내에 주가급락폭이 큰 종목일수록 다음 달 수익률이 더 낮다. 넷째, 전월 시장수익률의 변동성과 주가급락위험 프리미엄의 크기는 음(-)의 상관관계를 갖는다. 이러한 결과는 주가급락위험에 대해 투자자들이 과소반응하는 경향으로 인해 주가급락위험이 높은 종목일수록 주가가 고평가된다는 행태재무학적 관점에서의 가설을 지지한다.

방글라데시 씨감자 농가의 유통비용 및 수익성에 관한 연구 (A study on the profitability and marketing costs of seed potato farming in Bangladesh)

  • 나지아 토바솜;김철원
    • 한국식품저장유통학회지
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.490-498
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    • 2009
  • This study attempted to examine the profitability and marketing costs of seed potato under contract farming system of BADC (Bangladesh Agricultural Development Corporation) with the help of primary and secondary data. Total 45 contract farmers were randomly selected. Attempts were made to calculate costs, returns and profitability of seed potato production under contract farming system, and to identify marketing channels of seed potato. The field level data were collected by a farm survey during the months of April 2005 through direct interviews with contract farmers and registered dealers using a structure survey questionnaire. The results showed that the gross return per hectare was Tk. 252,464 for all categories of farms. Cost of seeds, fertilizers, pesticides, irrigation and human labor were critical inputs for profitability of seed potato. Cobb-Douglas production function analysis was used to determine the effects of the key variables to seed potato production under contract farming system. The elasticity of seed potato production was at 0.727 for all categories of farms. The findings exhibited that the summation of elasticity of different inputs for seed potato production was less than one, implying that the production function exhibited decreasing returns to scale. Registered dealers and Upazila Sales Centers were involved in seed potato marketing formed a straightforward marketing channel. The total marketing costs of registered dealers were Tk. 759.49 per ton of seed potato. The net marketing margin of registered dealers was estimated at Tk. 465.51 per ton of seed potato. The selected contract farmers and registered dealers faced a number of problems and some of recommendations were suggested.

하수관거 정비사업의 타당성 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on Feasibility Analysis of Sewer Rehabilitation)

  • 한인섭;장대환;우병하;임철환
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2009
  • Feasibility which is complimented before Social Overhead Capital Project and National Policy Project is analyzed by economic and political benefits. The projects will be performed if the benefits are bigger than the project cost. In this study, feasibility was examined at various viewpoints on sewer rehabilitation projects implemented with private capitals. To achieve the feasibility analysis, the B/C (Benefit/Cost Ratio), IRR (Internal Rate of Return) and the returns ratio of the Build Transfer Lease project implemented in 2007 at W city were estimated. At the same time, the correlation with B/C and benefit sensitivity of concessionary rate fluctuation were analyzed to evaluate the efficiency and feasibility of the seven sewer rehabilitation projects promoted by a local autonomous entity.

신규간호사 교육 프로그램(Nurse Residency Program) 운영을 위한 교육비용 산출 모형 개발 및 모의 적용 (The Development and Simulation of Training Cost Estimating Model for the Operation of the Nurse Residency Program)

  • 정한나;안신기
    • 한국병원경영학회지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.60-75
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study aims to develop a cost model for NRP (Nursing Residency Program) operation and ultimately provide evidence for financial factors for NRP operation in the future by simulating a cost model. Methodology: This study developed a model for the NRP education cost calculation model based on the review of Hansen's model, which has systematically reported on the development and operation of NRP, and discussions with nursing education experts at a university-affiliated hospital. With the simulation, it was intended to predict nurses' supply and demand in the long term and to calculate changes in long-term education costs. Findings: Firstly, turnover model, term model, cost model necessary for calculating a model for the NRP education cost calculation model was set up. Secondly, the simulation showed the following results; 1) the proportion of newly graduated nurses less than 5 years of working decreases gradually over time, which will make the composition of nurses more balanced. 2) In the first year of the partial introduction of NRP, the cost of training new nurses was about 2.1 times higher than before. After the introduction, the training cost in the 13th year began to be lesser than before the introduction, and in the 25th year, it decreased by 28.1% compared to before the introduction. Practical Implications: Firstly, NRP would be an effective way to solve the higher turnover and frequent departure of new nurses and the imbalance of nurses' composition. Secondly, although the costs of NRP are incurred in the early stages, in the end, NRP training costs are reduced compared to before the introduction of NRP. It is necessary to systematically understand the contribution effect of NRP by analyzing the economic value of NRP considering financial and non-monetary returns in the future and providing a basis for decision-making related to NRP implementation.

A System Dynamics Model of Alternative Fuel Vehicles Market under the Network Effect

  • Kwon, Tae-Hyeong
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.5-23
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    • 2007
  • According to the system dynamics model of this study, if there is a significant network effect on vehicle operating costs, it is difficult to achieve the shift to AFV even in the long term without a policy intervention because the car market is locked in to the current structure. Network effect can be caused by an increasing return to scale in fuel supply sector as well as in maintenance service sector. It is also related to the fact that the reliability and awareness of consumers on new products increases with the growth of the market share of the new products. There are several possible policy options to break the 'locked in' structure of car market, such as subsidy on vehicle price (capital cost), subsidy on fuel (operating cost) and niche management policy. Combined policy options would be more effective than relying on a single policy option to increase the market share of AFV.

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'폐의약품 수거사업'을 통해 지역약국으로 회수된 처방전의약품의 성분 및 약가 분석 (Analysis of Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients and Drug Cost of Prescription Medications Returned to Community Pharmacies through 'Drug-Take Back' Program)

  • 천부순
    • 약학회지
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    • 제58권4호
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    • pp.262-267
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    • 2014
  • Unused medication disposal is a burden due to the cost of disposing as well as the cost of the drugs. Investigating medication returns is expected to suggest areas of intervention to reduce unused medications. Purpose: The aim of this study was to examine types, quantity, costs, active pharmaceutical ingredients, and therapeutic category of the medications returned to community pharmacies. Method: From January 15, 2014 to February 28, 2014, the medications returned to the 17 community pharmacies in Gimhae, Jinju, and Incheon, Korea were examined. The pharmacists and student volunteers worked cooperatively to identify the medications and analyze drug cost of prescription pill medications returned to the pharmacies. Results: A total of 2,720 pills of prescription medication were analyzed and 91 active pharmaceutical ingredients were identified. According to the Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC) classification, the most predominant group was A (alimentary tract and metabolism) with 33.3%, followed by N (nervous system) with 15.0%. With regard to the drug cost of groups, group A was the highest with 26.6%, followed by J01 (antibacterials for systemic use) with 20.2% and N (nervous system) with 18.3%. The total cost of the oral pill prescription medications was 468,477 won. Conclusion: The result from this study implies that unused drugs impose a significant cost to the health care system in Korea. In this study, medicines used to treat gastrointestinal conditions were returned most frequently with the highest drug cost. Further research in nationwide level is necessary to establish strategies to reduce the wastage of unused medicines.

시장이상현상과 기술적 분석을 이용한 거래전략에 관한 연구 (An Empirical Study of the Trading Rules on the basis of Market Anomalies and Technical Analysis)

  • 옥기율;이민규
    • 경영과정보연구
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 국내 주식시장을 대상으로 시장이상현상과 기술적 분석을 이용한 거래전략에 대해 검증하였다. 분석을 위하여 주식수익률의 특정경향이 분명하게 나타나는 기업특성 변수인 기업규모, 장부가/시가, 발생액 기준으로 10분위 포트폴리오를 구성하였다. 그리고 이 포트폴리오를 이용하여 이동평균 거래전략 포트폴리오를 형성하고 이에 대해 샤프지수를 사용하여 성과평가를 실시하였다. 또한 무비용 포트폴리오를 만들어 이동평균 거래전략의 수익성과 성공률을 확인하였다. 마지막으로 다양한 시차의 이동평균 거래전략 포트폴리오에 대한 소르티노지수를 계산하여 성과평가에 대한 강건성을 높이고자 하였다. 주요한 검증결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 기업규모가 작을수록, 장부가/시가가 높을수록, 발생액이 낮을수록 평균수익률이 높게 나타났다. 둘째, 이동평균 거래전략의 위험조정 성과는 기업규모, 장부가/시가, 발생액 포트폴리오 순으로 높게 나타났다. 셋째, 무비용 포트폴리오의 수익률은 모두 양의 값을 나타내고 성공률은 전반적으로 68.8%를 상회하여 이동평균 거래전략이 성공적이라는 것을 보여주었다. 넷째, 다양한 성과평가를 실시한 결과, 시장이상현상과 기술적 분석을 이용한 거래전략에는 경제적 유용성이 있는 것으로 나타났다.

공공투자사업 평가의 적정 사회적할인율 추정에 관한 연구 (Study on Estimation of the Appropriate Social Discount Rate for Evaluating Public Investment Project)

  • 장병철;손의영;오미영
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2010
  • 공공투자사업평가 시 사회적할인율의 높고 낮음에 따라 비용 편익분석의 결과가 상이하다는 점에서 적정 수치는 매우 중요한 요소이다. 그리고 사회적할인율의 개념을 무엇으로 적용하는 것이 합리적인지에 대한 많은 논란과 연구가 현재까지 진행되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 사회적할인율의 개념을 크게 세 가지 사회적 시간선호율, 사회적 투자수익률 그리고 이 둘을 가중평균 한 값으로 구분하였다. 추정방법으로는 사회적 시간선호율의 경우 소비이자율과 Pearce and Ulph식을 사용하였고, 사회적 투자수익률은 민간 총 자본 수익률을 사용하였다. 그리고 가중평균은 투자의 잠재가격을 이용한 Squire, L., Herman G. van der Tak식과 공공투자와 대치되는 민간투자와 민간 소비지출비율을 이용하여 추정하였다. 본 연구에서는 현재 시점의 사회적할인율을 추정하기 위해 연대구분을 1990년대, 2000년~2003년, 2004년~2008년으로 각각 구분한 후, 과거 한국개발연구원에서 제시된 1999년 7.5%, 2004년 6.5%, 그리고 2007년~현재 5.5%와 각각 비교하였다. 추정결과는 1990년대 6.6~10.7%, 2000년~2003년 4.0~7.0%, 2004년~2008년 2.4~3.9%로 각각 추정되었다. 현재 공공투자 사업평가에 사용되고 있는 사회적할인율 5.5%는 본 연구의 추정결과 보다 약1.6~3.1% 높은 것으로 나타났다. IMF이후 급격하게 하락한 소비이자율은 계속적으로 낮아지고 있고 앞으로도 지속될 것으로 예측하고 있다. 따라서 공공투자 사업의 목적인 현 세대부터 장래세대까지 모두를 고려한 사회적 자원의 재분배를 실현시키기 위해 선 현재의 사회적할인율은 점차 하향조정할 필요가 있다.

해면 중간육성 생산방식의 경제성 분석 - 갯벌 참굴 산업을 중심으로 - (Economic Valuation for Nursery-Phase Production - Focusing on the tidal flat Oyster -)

  • 최종두
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제43권3호
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2012
  • This paper was conducted to study the economic valuation for Nursery-Phase production of the tidal flat oyster in Korea. Benefit-cost(B/C) model used to indicate the effects of economic valuation. Using discounting rates(i.e., 4.5%, 6.5% and 8.5%), the model compared revenues and costs that occur at different times from 2012 to 2018. This study also estimated various submodels, which are Benefit Cost Ratio(B/C ratio), Net Present Value(NPV), Internal Ration of Return(IRR), to compare profit of Nursery-Phase production styles and analyzed returns to evaluate the scenarios. Sensitivity analysis were conducted for various scenarios. The results suggest as follows. First, the oyster spat to the shell height of 3~5cm was more profit than the shell height of 1~3cm. Second, all of sensitivity analysis with submodels were economic valuation such that B/C ratio > 1, NPV > 0 and IRR > discounting rate. Third, the payback period was about 3years after installed Nursery-Phase production system.

Financial Disclosure and the Cost of Equity Capital: The Empirical Test of the Largest Listed Companies of Kazakhstan

  • Baimukhamedova, Aizhan;Baimukhamedova, Gulzada;Luchaninova, Albina
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.5-17
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    • 2017
  • This study extends research into whether disclosure of corporate and financial information is associated with firms' costs of equity capital. This study sets out to examine empirically the determinants of corporate disclosure in the annual reports of 37 largest and most liquid firms listed on Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) in Kazakhstan. It also reports the results of the association between company-specific characteristics and disclosure of the sample companies. Based on the analysis of existing empirical research, the disclosure index has been constructed and regression analysis of the influence of the disclosure index on the cost of equity capital has been conducted. The obtained results show that the received findings correlate with foreign empirical studies, and the disclosure index in this sample has a negative impact on the cost of equity capital. Using cost of equity capital estimates derived from capital asset pricing model, we find that firms with higher levels of financial transparency are associated with significantly lower costs of equity capital. Economic theory assumes that by increasing the level of corporate reporting, firms not only increase their stock market liquidity, but also decrease the investors' estimation risk, arising from uncertainty about future returns and payout distributions. The results show that firms on the Kazakhstan market can reduce their cost of equity capital by increasing the level of their voluntary corporate disclosures.