• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cost Model Index

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An Analysis on Characteristics of Thickness of Asphalt Concrete Pavement with Computer Programs (전산해석 프로그램을 이용한 아스팔트포장 단면의 거동특성분석)

  • Lee, Gyeong-Ha;Lee, Gwang-Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.155-168
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    • 1999
  • Asphalt pavement tends to rut in high temperature and to crack in cold temperature. The performance of asphalt pavement can be deteriorated by korean weather condition which has the four distinct seasons. In this study, the typical sections that may minimize rutting and fatigue were analyzed through the numerical model tests. The layered elastic theory , finite element method and visco elastic theory were utilized for these numerical model tests. From the various numerical model tests, it is found that an optimum design procedure was recommended. It was increasing the thickness of asphalt stabilized base with fixing the wearing course as 5cm the minimum specified thickness. The section was most beneficial in resting rutting and fatigue. From the analysis of the relative index on tensile strain and cost analysis, it was recommended that the thickness ratio of subbase and asphalt concrete is 1.0$\sim$2.5.

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A STUDY ON THE GENERATING SYSTEM RELIABILITY INDEX EVALUATION WITH CONSIDERING THE LOAD FORECASTING UNCERTAINTY (수요예측에 오차를 고려한 신뢰도 지수 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Song, K.Y.;Kim, Y.H.;Cha, J.M.;Oh, K.H.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1991.07a
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    • pp.402-405
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    • 1991
  • This paper represents a new method for computing reliability indices by using Large Deviation method which is one of the probabilistic production cost simulations. The reliability measures are based on the models used for the loads and for the generating unit failure states. In computing these measures it has been tacitly assumed that the values of all parameters in the models are precisely known. In fact, however, some of these values must often be chosen with a considerable degree of uncertainty involved. This is particularly true for the forecast peak loads in the load model, where there is an inherent uncertainty in the method of forecasting, which are frequently based on insufficient statistics. In this paper, the effect of load forecasting uncertainty on the LOLP(Loss of Load Probability), is investigated. By applying the Large Deviation method to the IEEE Rilability Test System, it is verified that the proposed method is generally very accurate and very fast for computing system reliability indices.

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Forecasting and Analysis of Air Meteorological Service Charge using ARIMA-Intervention Time Series Model (ARIMA-개입모델을 이용한 항공기상정보 사용료 징수액 추정 및 적정성 연구)

  • Kim, Kwang-Ok;Park, Sung-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.9-22
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    • 2018
  • Korea meteorological administration(KMA) has started to levy air meteorological service charge on both national and foreign carriers since 2005. The charge has grown on 2010 and 2014 twice. However, KMA has still kept asking airlines to agree with another increase in the charge due to the low cost of goods recovery ratio of 7%. The air meteorological charge has changed from 2,210 KRW at the beginning to 11,400 KRW as of June 2018. According to ARIMA intervention time series analysis, it was proven national carriers would make a payment of 831 million KRW 2018 and 1,024 million KRW 2019, showing 186.2% and 123.2% increase compared to last year respectively. The total amount of charge for both national LCC and foreign airlines was aggregated up to 1,952 million KRW 2019, 227% bigger than the charge paid at 2017. Considering the 50% increase of consumer price index last decade, the increased charge would impair the global competitiveness of national carriers. It could be suggested that current air meteorological charge scheme be improved to apply overseas trend and for national carriers to have a competitive advantage in global aviation market.

Association Between Unplanned and Planned Readmissions in an University Hospital (비예정과 예정된 재입원 환자들간의 관련 요인 분석)

  • Oh, Hyonh-Joo;Yu, Seung Hum
    • Quality Improvement in Health Care
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.242-259
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    • 1997
  • This study describes associated factors of readmission of 213 inpatients from an university hospital in Seoul. This retrospective study reviewed medical records of patients who discharged from a hospital stay for general diseases between 1 August 1995 and 31 October 1995, Cases were 68 discharge patients with an unplanned readmission within 30 days of discharge from an index stay. And the other cases are 145 patients who had more than two discharges and didn't have an unplanned readmission within 30 days. Logistic regression model was analyzed and the results were as follows; 1. duration of readmission, rate of unpayed, room, path, and risk of disease were more likely to be readmitted unexpectedly than the expected readmission patients. 2. early readmission, low risk condition group, and inadquateness of discharge plann for patients had unplanned radmissions rather than planned readmissions. Therefore, discharge planning education to health care provider is required and assessement of discharge planning should be evaluated. Readmissions are usually for related problems that arose during the original hopitaliztion and caused cost problems. Especially the unplanned readmissions are frequently preventable. Ultimately, models for readmissions can serve as a valuable clinical tool for target high-risk patients and older patients and with this kind of tools we can reduce hospital readmissions and maintain high-quality of inpatient care.

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Environmental Regulation and Technological Constraint (환경규제와 기술제약 -한국지역제조업을 중심으로-)

  • Kang, Sang Mok;Gim, Uhn Soon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.345-375
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this paper is to measure the change of the production efficiency which may happen when environmental regulation incurs technological constraint in the process of production, and to compute the opportunity cost of pollution reduction with the lost products based on the change of efficiency. The patterns of production technoloy in the paper are divided into the technologies of strong disposability and weak disposabilty to grasp the effect of the technological constraint due to the environmental regulation. The endowment of the technolgical constraints in the process of production is considered to bring the greatest restriction on firm's production. When the environmental efficiencies of Korean regional manufactures were measured with linear programming model, the lost products related with the constraint of production technology that environmental regulation incurred, was average 148.1 billion dollar per year(5.87% of one year overall products) for total manufactures in 1991~1998. The ratio of the lost products for total products was spread from 0.78% to 1l.08%. The average lost products of 15 regions were changed from 4.66% to 18.35% of total products. Generally the environmental efficiency index of regional manufactures being decreased continuously since 1991, it is estimated that the environmental performance of Korean manufactures has been more and more deteriorating.

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Chinese Prosody Generation Based on C-ToBI Representation for Text-to-Speech (음성합성을 위한 C-ToBI기반의 중국어 운율 경계와 F0 contour 생성)

  • Kim, Seung-Won;Zheng, Yu;Lee, Gary-Geunbae;Kim, Byeong-Chang
    • MALSORI
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    • no.53
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    • pp.75-92
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    • 2005
  • Prosody Generation Based on C-ToBI Representation for Text-to-SpeechSeungwon Kim, Yu Zheng, Gary Geunbae Lee, Byeongchang KimProsody modeling is critical in developing text-to-speech (TTS) systems where speech synthesis is used to automatically generate natural speech. In this paper, we present a prosody generation architecture based on Chinese Tone and Break Index (C-ToBI) representation. ToBI is a multi-tier representation system based on linguistic knowledge to transcribe events in an utterance. The TTS system which adopts ToBI as an intermediate representation is known to exhibit higher flexibility, modularity and domain/task portability compared with the direct prosody generation TTS systems. However, the cost of corpus preparation is very expensive for practical-level performance because the ToBI labeled corpus has been manually constructed by many prosody experts and normally requires a large amount of data for accurate statistical prosody modeling. This paper proposes a new method which transcribes the C-ToBI labels automatically in Chinese speech. We model Chinese prosody generation as a classification problem and apply conditional Maximum Entropy (ME) classification to this problem. We empirically verify the usefulness of various natural language and phonology features to make well-integrated features for ME framework.

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Generation of contrast enhanced computed tomography image using deep learning network

  • Woo, Sang-Keun
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.41-47
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose a application of conditional generative adversarial network (cGAN) for generation of contrast enhanced computed tomography (CT) image. Two types of CT data which were the enhanced and non-enhanced were used and applied by the histogram equalization for adjusting image intensities. In order to validate the generation of contrast enhanced CT data, the structural similarity index measurement (SSIM) was performed. Prepared generated contrast CT data were analyzed the statistical analysis using paired sample t-test. In order to apply the optimized algorithm for the lymph node cancer, they were calculated by short to long axis ratio (S/L) method. In the case of the model trained with CT data and their histogram equalized SSIM were $0.905{\pm}0.048$ and $0.908{\pm}0.047$. The tumor S/L of generated contrast enhanced CT data were validated similar to the ground truth when they were compared to scanned contrast enhanced CT data. It is expected that advantages of Generated contrast enhanced CT data based on deep learning are a cost-effective and less radiation exposure as well as further anatomical information with non-enhanced CT data.

Performance Analysis of M-ary Optical Communication over Log-Normal Fading Channels for CubeSat Platforms

  • Lim, Hyung-Chul;Yu, Sung-Yeol;Sung, Ki-Pyoung;Park, Jong Uk;Choi, Chul-Sung;Choi, Mansoo
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.219-228
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    • 2020
  • A CubeSat platform has become a popular choice due to inexpensive commercial off-the-shelf (COTS) components and low launch cost. However, it requires more power-efficient and higher-data rate downlink capability for space applications related to remote sensing. In addition, the platform is limited by the size, weight and power (SWaP) constraints as well as the regulatory issue of licensing the radio frequency (RF) spectrum. The requirements and limitations have put optical communications on promising alternatives to RF communications for a CubeSat platform, owing to the power efficiency and high data rate as well as the license free spectrum. In this study, we analyzed the performance of optical downlink communications compatible with CubeSat platforms in terms of data rate, bit error rate (BER) and outage probability. Mathematical models of BER and outage probability were derived based on not only the log-normal model of atmospheric turbulence but also a transmitter with a finite extinction ratio. Given the fixed slot width, the optimal guard time and modulation orders were chosen to achieve the target data rate. And the two performance metrics, BER and outage data rate, were analyzed and discussed with respect to beam divergence angle, scintillation index and zenith angle.

An Analysis of the Productivity Changes of Korean Pharmaceutical Industry Using Bootstrapped Malmquist Index (Bootstrapped Malmquist 지수를 이용한 국내 의약품산업의 생산성 변화 요인 분석에 관한 연구)

  • So, Soon-Hu
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.141-153
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    • 2016
  • This study estimates the productivity change of pharmaceutical industry and decompose the change into technical efficiency change and technological change to explore ways to improve the productive efficiency. Unlike most previous studies, this study employs the non-radial and non-oriented slacks-based Malmquist productivity index which can deals directly with the input excesses and output shortfalls. In addition a smoothed bootstrap method is applied to estimate statistical confidence intervals for the Malmquist Index and its components. For the empirical analysis a balanced panel data set is constructed covering ten years over the period from 2005 to 2014. The input variables used in this study are number of workers, tangible assets and major production cost. The gross production is selected as a main output variable. The empirical results suggest that the productivity of pharmaceutical industry has decreased due mainly to decline in the technological progress rather than improvements in technical efficiency. An analysis result shows that the scale efficiency outweighs the pure efficiency in determining the technical efficiency of pharmaceutical industry. Therefore, in order to enhance the competitiveness of domestic pharmaceutical industry, it is important to continue supporting policies to promote the technology innovation capability through efficient R&D investment and industry reform strategy.

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A Study on Practical Method of Utility Curve for Deciding Priority Order of the Improvements in Traffic Safety Audit (교통안전진단 개선방안들의 우선순위 산정 연구)

  • Choi, Ji Hye;Kang, Soon Yang;Hong, Ji Yeon;Lim, Joon Beom
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.143-155
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    • 2016
  • Recently, a massive loss of life and property is occurring in Korea due to traffic accidents, with the rapid increase in cars. For improvement of traffic safety, the Korea Transportation Safety Authority intensively analyzes accident data in local governments with low traffic safety index, performs a field investigation to extract problems and offers local governments improvements for problems, by conducting the 'Special Survey of Actual Conditions of Traffic Safety' each year, starting 2008. But local governments cannot strongly push forward the improvement projects due to the limited budget and the uncertainty of the improvement plan effects. Therefore, this study suggested a model which applied the Utility concept to the AHP theory, in order to efficiently decide a priority of the improvement plans in accident black spots in consideration of the limited budget of local governments. The number of accidents in each spot for improvement and accident severity, traffic volume, pedestrian volume, the improvement project cost and the accident reduction effect were chosen as evaluation factors for deciding a priority, and data about the improvement plan costs and the accident reduction effects, traffic accidents and traffic volume in the spots to undergo the special research on the real condition of traffic accident in the past were collected from the existing studies. Then, regression analysis was carried out and the Utility Curve of each evaluation factor was computed. Based on the AHP analysis findings, this study devised a priority decision method which calculated the weight and the utility function of each evaluation factor and compared the total utility values. The AHP analysis findings showed that among the evaluation factors, accident severity had the biggest importance and it was followed by the improvement plan cost, the number of accidents, the improvement effect, traffic volume and pedestrian volume. The calculated utility function shows a rise in utility, as the variables of the 5 evaluation factors; the number of accidents, accident severity, the improvement plan effect, traffic volume and pedestrian volume increase and a fall in utility, as the variables of the improvement plan cost increase, since the improvement plan cost is included in the budget spent by a local government.