• 제목/요약/키워드: Cost Model Index

검색결과 273건 처리시간 0.029초

Bayesian Belief Network 활용한 균형성과표 기반 가정간호사업 성과예측모델 구축 및 적용 (Development and Application of a Performance Prediction Model for Home Care Nursing Based on a Balanced Scorecard using the Bayesian Belief Network)

  • 노원정;서문경애
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제45권3호
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    • pp.429-438
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: This study was conducted to develop key performance indicators (KPIs) for home care nursing (HCN) based on a balanced scorecard, and to construct a performance prediction model of strategic objectives using the Bayesian Belief Network (BBN). Methods: This methodological study included four steps: establishment of KPIs, performance prediction modeling, development of a performance prediction model using BBN, and simulation of a suggested nursing management strategy. An HCN expert group and a staff group participated. The content validity index was analyzed using STATA 13.0, and BBN was analyzed using HUGIN 8.0. Results: We generated a list of KPIs composed of 4 perspectives, 10 strategic objectives, and 31 KPIs. In the validity test of the performance prediction model, the factor with the greatest variance for increasing profit was maximum cost reduction of HCN services. The factor with the smallest variance for increasing profit was a minimum image improvement for HCN. During sensitivity analysis, the probability of the expert group did not affect the sensitivity. Furthermore, simulation of a 10% image improvement predicted the most effective way to increase profit. Conclusion: KPIs of HCN can estimate financial and non-financial performance. The performance prediction model for HCN will be useful to improve performance.

Damage detection of plate-like structures using intelligent surrogate model

  • Torkzadeh, Peyman;Fathnejat, Hamed;Ghiasi, Ramin
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.1233-1250
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    • 2016
  • Cracks in plate-like structures are some of the main reasons for destruction of the entire structure. In this study, a novel two-stage methodology is proposed for damage detection of flexural plates using an optimized artificial neural network. In the first stage, location of damages in plates is investigated using curvature-moment and curvature-moment derivative concepts. After detecting the damaged areas, the equations for damage severity detection are solved via Bat Algorithm (BA). In the second stage, in order to efficiently reduce the computational cost of model updating during the optimization process of damage severity detection, multiple damage location assurance criterion index based on the frequency change vector of structures are evaluated using properly trained cascade feed-forward neural network (CFNN) as a surrogate model. In order to achieve the most generalized neural network as a surrogate model, its structure is optimized using binary version of BA. To validate this proposed solution method, two examples are presented. The results indicate that after determining the damage location based on curvature-moment derivative concept, the proposed solution method for damage severity detection leads to significant reduction of computational time compared with direct finite element method. Furthermore, integrating BA with the efficient approximation mechanism of finite element model, maintains the acceptable accuracy of damage severity detection.

최적화 기법을 이용한 점탄성물질의 분수차 미분모델 물성계수 추정 (Identification of Fractional-derivative-model Parameters of Viscoelastic Materials Using an Optimization Technique)

  • 김선용;이두호
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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    • 제16권12호
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    • pp.1192-1200
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    • 2006
  • Viscoelastic damping materials are widely used to reduce noise and vibration because of its low cost and easy implementation, for examples, on the body structure of passenger cars, air planes, electric appliances and ships. To design the damped structures, the material property such as elastic modulus and loss factor is essential information. The four-parameter fractional derivative model well describes the dynamic characteristics of the viscoelastic damping materials with respect to both frequency and temperature. However, the identification procedure of the four-parameter is very time-consuming one. In this study a new identification procedure of the four-parameters is proposed by using an FE model and a gradient-based numerical search algorithm. The identification procedure goes two sequential steps to make measured frequency response functions(FRF) coincident with simulated FRFs: the first one is a peak alignment step and the second one is an amplitude adjustment step. A numerical example shows that the proposed method is useful in identifying the viscoelastic material parameters of fractional derivative model.

최적화 기법을 이용한 점탄성물질의 유리미분모델 물성값 추정 (Identification of fractional-derivative-model parameters of viscoelastic materials using an optimization technique)

  • 김선용;이두호
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2006년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.1235-1242
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    • 2006
  • Viscoelastic damping materials are widely used to reduce noise and vibration because of its low cost and easy implementation, for examples, on the body structure of passenger cars, air planes, electric appliances and ships. To design the damped structures, the material property such as elastic modulus and loss factor is essential information. The four-parameter fractional derivative model well describes the nonlinear dynamic characteristics of the viscoelastic damping materials with respect to both frequency and temperature with fewer parameters than conventional spring-dashpot models. However the identification procedure of the four-parameter is very time-consuming one. An efficient identification procedure of the four-parameters is proposed by using an FE model and a gradient-based numerical search algorithm. The identification procedure goes two sequential steps to make measured FRFs coincident with simulated FRFs: the first one is a peak alignment step and the second one is an amplitude adjustment. A numerical example shows that the proposed method is efficient and robust in identifying the viscoelastic material parameters of fractional derivative model.

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뇌혈관질환의 예측인자로서의 악력 (Grip Strength as a Predictor of Cerebrovascular Disease)

  • 정석환;김재현
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.303-311
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    • 2019
  • Background: Cerebrovascular disease is included in four major diseases and is a disease that has high rates of prevalence and mortality around the world. Moreover, it is a disease that requires a high cost for long-term hospitalization and treatment. This study aims to figure out the correlation between grip strength, which was presented as a simple, cost-effective, and relevant predictor of cerebrovascular disease, and cerebrovascular disease based on the results of a prior study. And furthermore, our study compared model suitability of the model to measuring grip strength and relative grip strength as a predictor of cerebrovascular disease to improve the quality of cerebrovascular disease's predictor. Methods: This study conducted an analysis based on the generalized linear mixed model using the data from the Korea Longitudinal Study of Ageing from 2006 to 2016. The research subjects consisted of 9,132 middle old age people aged 45 years or older at baseline with no missing information of education level, gender, marital status, residential region, type of national health insurance, self-related health, smoking status, alcohol use, and economic activity. The grip strength was calculated the average which measured 4 times (both hands twice), and the relative grip force was divided by the body mass index as a variable considering the anthropometric figure that affects the cerebrovascular disease and the grip strength. Cerebrovascular diseases, a dependent variable, were investigated based on experiences diagnosed by doctors. Results: An analysis of the association between grip strength and found that about 0.972 (odds ratio [OR], 0.972; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.963-0.981) was the incidence of cerebral vascular disease as grip strength increased by one unit increase and the association between relative grip strength and cerebrovascular disease found that about 0.418 (OR, 0.418; 95% CI, 0.342-0.511) was the incidence of cerebral vascular disease as relative grip strength increased by unit. In addition, the model suitability of the model for each grip strength and relative grip strength was 11,193 and 11,156, which means relative grip strength is the better application to the predictor of cerebrovascular diseases, irrespective of other variables. Conclusion: The results of this study need to be carefully examined and validated in applying relative grip strength to improve the quality of predictors of cerebrovascular diseases affecting high mortality and prevalence.

공동주택 분양가 결정모형에 관한 연구 (A Study of the Decision to Standardize Sale Price Model of Supplying Apartment Houses)

  • 황규성;이찬호
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.181-189
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 아파트 신규 공급 시 시장 내 경쟁력 있는 분양가격을 결정하기 위한 산정기준을 마련하였다. 도출된 모형은 건설사가 새로운 아파트 분양 시 가격결정을 토지비와 공사비 등 들어가는 비용에 일정 이윤을 합하는 방식이 아니고 최근 공급한 새로운 아파트 단지의 가격을 기준으로 결정하는 방법으로 이루어지고 있음을 고려하여 인근 아파트와 분양가격 비교분석의 모형을 만들었다. 아파트를 새로 공급할 때 결정요인에 대하여 1단계 4가지요인, 2단계 9가지요인, 3단계 25가지 요인으로 계층화하여 분석함으로써 새로이 공급되는 아파트의 가격을 산정하기 위한 기준을 마련하고자 한다. 분양가격 결정요인의 상대적 중요도도 파악하여서 신규공급 아파트 분양가격의 분양시 지표로 활용한다. 또한 2단계 9가지 요인특성을 기준으로 분양가 비교 모형을 만들어 실무에 적용할 수 있도록 제시하였다. 향후에는 마케팅 외적인 요인도 추가적으로 고려하여 일반화된 기준을 찾는 연구가 필요 할 것이다.

교량 및 터널 시설물의 유지관리 의사결정을 위한 성능 예측 방법 개발 (Development of Performance Prediction Method for Bridge and Tunnel Management Decision-making)

  • 이동현;김지원;전태현;정원석;박기태
    • 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 비용예측모델과 성능예측모델을 이용하여 네트워크 레벨에서 향후 교량과 터널 유지관리 비용과 성능을 예측할 수 있는 방법론은 개발하였다. 현재 국내의 시설물 유지관리 관련 연구는 대부분 단일 시설물에 집중되어 있어 도로망차원의 네트워크 레벨 분석에는 적용하기 어렵다. 따라서 시설물군 단위로 유지관리 계획을 수립해야하는 실무주체에게 유의한 정보를 제공하지 못하고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구의 예측모델은 시설물의 성능에 현재 시특법에 의해 평가하고 있는 상태외 사용성과 기능성을 포함하였으며, 기본 분석과 확장 분석을 통해 각 시설물의 조치 시기와 연간 예산을 추정할 수 있다. 또한 사례 분석을 통해 기술적 타당성을 검증하였다. 본 연구의 방법론이 활성화된다면 다수의 시설물의 비용대비 미래 성능을 파악할 수 있으며, 효과적인 중장기 예산 수립을 할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

Coordinated Control Strategy and Optimization of Composite Energy Storage System Considering Technical and Economic Characteristics

  • Li, Fengbing;Xie, Kaigui;Zhao, Bo;Zhou, Dan;Zhang, Xuesong;Yang, Jiangping
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.847-858
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    • 2015
  • Control strategy and corresponding parameters have significant impacts on the overall technical and economic characteristics of composite energy storage systems (CESS). A better control strategy and optimized control parameters can be used to improve the economic and technical characteristics of CESS, and determine the maximum power and stored energy capacity of CESS. A novel coordinated control strategy is proposed considering the coordination of various energy storage systems in CESS. To describe the degree of coordination, a new index, i.e. state of charge coordinated response margin of supercapacitor energy storage system, is presented. Based on the proposed control strategy and index, an optimization model was formulated to minimize the total equivalent cost in a given period for two purposes. The one is to obtain optimal control parameters of an existing CESS, and the other is to obtain the integrated optimal results of control parameters, maximum power and stored energy capacity for CESS in a given period. Case studies indicate that the developed index, control strategy and optimization model can be extensively applied to optimize the economic and technical characteristics of CESS. In addition, impacts of control parameters are discussed in detail.

최상부분집합이 고려된 능형회귀를 적용한 현장관입지수에 대한 통계적 예측기법 개발 및 적용 (Development and implementation of statistical prediction procedure for field penetration index using ridge regression with best subset selection)

  • 이항로;송기일;김경열
    • 한국터널지하공간학회 논문집
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.857-870
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    • 2017
  • 사회기반시설의 지중화로 인하여 쉴드 TBM 적용이 점차 확대되고 있는 추세다. 합리적인 공기기간 및 공사비 산정을 위해 쉴드 TBM의 실굴진율을 정확하게 예측하는 것은 매우 중요한 사안이라 할 수 있다. 이러한 이유로 국내에서는 지반의 물성을 합리적으로 반영한 쉴드 TBM의 실굴진율 예측모델이 필요한 상황이다. 본 연구는 쉴드 TBM의 순굴진율 산정을 위해 현장 데이터베이스를 기반으로 현장관입지수의 통계적 예측절차를 모듈화 하였다. 출력인자로 현장관입지수를 선정하였고, 비정상치 제거 및 전처리 그리고 최상 부분집합선택이 고려된 능형회귀를 적용한 예측시스템을 모듈에 포함하였다. 또한 현장 굴진 데이터를 활용하여 예측모델의 적용성을 확인하였다.

가뭄시 용수공급지장으로 인한 경제적 파급효과 분석 (The Economic Impacts of Water Supply Constraints During a Drought Using input-output Analysis)

  • 최장환;허은녕;심명필
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.647-658
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    • 2000
  • 본 연구에서는 공급측면 산업연관분석모형을 사용하여 물공급지장이 끼치는 산업의 전방효과를 분석하고자 하였다. 여기서 분석된 공급지장비용은 수도사업의 신뢰도 결정에 사용될수 있으며 물의 공급부족이 발생할 경우 물의 효율적 배분을 위한 정책적 기초를 제공할 수 있다. 따라서 산업연관분석을 이용하여 수도부문이 차지하는 국민경제적 위치를 확인하고 공급지장으로 인한 산업간 직·간접 피해를 분석하였다. 또한 가뭄시 중요한 공급우선 순위 결정을 위한 공급지장지수를 제안하였다. 한편 가뭄의 발생은 지역적인 특성을 가지고 있어서 전국산업연관표를 이용한 지역수준의 공급지장비용이 과대 도는 과소평가될 여지가 있다. 따라서 경남지역산업연관표를 통해 산정한 공급지장비용을 전국산업관표와 비교·분석하였다.

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