• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cost Estimating Model

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Estimating the Impact of Trade Cost on Export: A Case Study Vietnam

  • Tu, Mai Thi Cam;Giang, Huynh Thi Thuy
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2018
  • The paper aims to investigate the impact of trade cost on export: A Case Study Vietnam. The study conducts a static linear panel data analysis on annual data covering bilateral export between Vietnam and 70 major importers of Vietnam from 2001 to 2013. The gravity model has been one of the most successful applications in empirical trade. In this paper we apply the gravity model to estimate the impact of trade cost on Vietnamese bilateral export value. The paper uses gravity model to estimate the impact of trade cost on Vietnamese bilateral export value. The empirical results derive from a static linear panel data analysis (fixed effects model) indicates that trade cost plays a crucial role in determining the export value that occurs between Vietnam and trading partners. Besides, population of importing country, trade openness of importing country, gross domestic product of importing country and gross domestic product of Vietnam are also significant determinants of Vietnamese bilateral export value. The main findings indicates that trade cost plays a very important role in the Vietnamese bilateral export performance. This suggests that the Vietnamese government should attempt to improve domestic trade costs to enhance competitiveness and increase export growth sustainably.

Probabilistic LCC evaluation for Surface Repair of carbonated RC structure (탄산화된 RC구조물의 표면보수에 대한 확률론적 LCC 평가)

  • Lee, Hyung-Min;Yang, Hyun-Min;Lee, Han-Seung
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Structure & Construction
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2018
  • Carbonation is one of the major detrimental factors to the reinforced concrete structures owing to penetration of atmospheric CO2 through the micro pores, thereby it reduces the durability of the concrete. The maintenance periods and cost for concrete according to the coefficient variation of different finishing materials is documented in literature. However, it is required to carry out the systematic and well planned studies. Therefore, keeping them in mind, surface repair was carried out to the carbonated concrete and the maintenance cost was calculated to measure the durability life after repair with different variable. The deterministic and probabilistic methods were applied for durability and repair cost of the concrete. In the existing deterministic model, the cost of repair materials increases significantly when the concrete structure reaches its service life. In present study using a stochastic model, the maintenance period and cost was evaluated. According to obtained results, there was no significant difference in the number of maintenance of the coefficient variation. The initial durability has a great influence on the maintenance time and cost of the structure. Unlike the deterministic model, the probabilistic cost estimating model reduces the number of maintenance to the target service life expectancy.

Care Cost Prediction Model for Orphanage Organizations in Saudi Arabia

  • Alhazmi, Huda N;Alghamdi, Alshymaa;Alajlani, Fatimah;Abuayied, Samah;Aldosari, Fahd M
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.84-92
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    • 2021
  • Care services are a significant asset in human life. Care in its overall nature focuses on human needs and covers several aspects such as health care, homes, personal care, and education. In fact, care deals with many dimensions: physical, psychological, and social interconnections. Very little information is available on estimating the cost of care services that provided to orphans and abandoned children. Prediction of the cost of the care system delivered by governmental or non-governmental organizations to support orphans and abandoned children is increasingly needed. The purpose of this study is to analyze the care cost for orphanage organizations in Saudi Arabia to forecast the cost as well as explore the most influence factor on the cost. By using business analytic process that applied statistical and machine learning techniques, we proposed a model includes simple linear regression, Naive Bayes classifier, and Random Forest algorithms. The finding of our predictive model shows that Naive Bayes has addressed the highest accuracy equals to 87% in predicting the total care cost. Our model offers predictive approach in the perspective of business analytics.

Estimating the Cost of Air Pollution on Morbidity: Focusing on Hospital Visit for Acute Respiratory Diseases (대기오염으로 인한 건강효과의 경제적 비용 -급성 호흡기 질환 외래환자를 중심으로-)

  • Shin, Young Chul
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.659-687
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    • 2002
  • This study used a discrete choice model to investigate an association between air pollution and hospital visits for acute respiratory symptoms with the national health interview survey conducted in 1998 in South Korea. The results showed that $NO_2$ and TSP were significantly related to hospital visits in a single-pollutant model, but when they were simultaneously considered, only $NO_2$ remained significant. It was estimated as $NO_2$ level increased by 10%(0.0027ppm) from 0.027ppm (the mean $NO_2$ level), hospital visits increase by 0.176%. This study also measured respondent's out-of-pocket expense and the time cost for commuting and waiting for the visit. We found that on the average, out-of-pocket expense is 5,600 won per hospital visit, but the total cost per hospital visit is measured at 33,440 won with time cost of commuting and waiting at 27,840 won. Time cost was over 63.6~83.3% of the total cost per hospital visit.

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A Study on Estimating Method for Actual Unit Cost Based on Bid Prices in Public Construction Projects (시설공사 입찰단가를 활용한 실적단가의 산정 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Sang-Hyeok;Park, Won-Young;Song, Soon-Ho;Seo, Jong-Won
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.159-166
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    • 2006
  • It was found that Korean Standard of Estimate which has been used as the only basis of cost estimate of public construction projects had some side effects such as jerry-build construction and over-estimation because it failed to reflect the current price and the state-of-the-art construction methods in a changing construction environment. Therefore, the government decided to gradually introduce historical construction cost into cost estimate of public construction projects from 2004. This paper presents analytic criteria and a process model for deducing more current and reasonable historical construction cost for contract items from not only previous contract prices but also all of the other bid prices that were not contracted. The procedure of estimating actual unit cost proposed in this paper focuses on the removal of abnormal values including strategically too low or high prices and the time correction. In addition, basic research is conducted for the correction of actual unit cost through the analysis of fluctuation of bid price depending on bidding types and rates of successful bid. It is anticipated that the effective use of the proposed process model for estimating actual unit cost would make the cost estimation more current and reasonable.

Development of Time-Cost Models for Building Construction Projects in Bangladesh

  • Rahman, MD. Mizanur;Lee, Young Dai;Ha, Duy Khanh;Chun, Yong Hyun
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2014
  • Estimating time and cost is an important mission in the early phase of a construction project, especially in feasibility study. It provides a foundation for making decision whether or not the project is performed on schedule and within budget. Thus, reliability of this estimate plays a key role in measuring the success of a project. This study was carried out to investigate the time-cost relationship in building construction projects in Bangladesh. The mathematical equation used in this study is based on Bromilow's equation. The research data were collected from sixty-three completed building projects through questionnaire survey. Type of clients, type of projects, and tender methods are the project characteristics considered in this study. The results of analysis indicated that the Bromilow's time-cost (BTC) models developed for each project characteristic are appropriate due to quite high coefficient of determination and relatively small mean percent errors. Among them, the forecasted model for time and cost according to tender methods is the best fit model. It is concluded that the BTC model could be applied in building construction project to predict its time and cost in Bangladesh. Four different regression models were also developed in this study. The results of BTC model between some selected countries were compared to gain the comprehensive view.

The Development and Simulation of Training Cost Estimating Model for the Operation of the Nurse Residency Program (신규간호사 교육 프로그램(Nurse Residency Program) 운영을 위한 교육비용 산출 모형 개발 및 모의 적용)

  • Jung, Hanna;An, Shinki
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.60-75
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study aims to develop a cost model for NRP (Nursing Residency Program) operation and ultimately provide evidence for financial factors for NRP operation in the future by simulating a cost model. Methodology: This study developed a model for the NRP education cost calculation model based on the review of Hansen's model, which has systematically reported on the development and operation of NRP, and discussions with nursing education experts at a university-affiliated hospital. With the simulation, it was intended to predict nurses' supply and demand in the long term and to calculate changes in long-term education costs. Findings: Firstly, turnover model, term model, cost model necessary for calculating a model for the NRP education cost calculation model was set up. Secondly, the simulation showed the following results; 1) the proportion of newly graduated nurses less than 5 years of working decreases gradually over time, which will make the composition of nurses more balanced. 2) In the first year of the partial introduction of NRP, the cost of training new nurses was about 2.1 times higher than before. After the introduction, the training cost in the 13th year began to be lesser than before the introduction, and in the 25th year, it decreased by 28.1% compared to before the introduction. Practical Implications: Firstly, NRP would be an effective way to solve the higher turnover and frequent departure of new nurses and the imbalance of nurses' composition. Secondly, although the costs of NRP are incurred in the early stages, in the end, NRP training costs are reduced compared to before the introduction of NRP. It is necessary to systematically understand the contribution effect of NRP by analyzing the economic value of NRP considering financial and non-monetary returns in the future and providing a basis for decision-making related to NRP implementation.

Cost Analysis and Economic Evaluation for Manufacturing System Installation (생산시스템의 설치에 따른 비용분석 및 경제성평가)

  • 최형호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.18 no.34
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    • pp.161-172
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    • 1995
  • The paper examines the cost analysis and economic evaluation for manufacturing system installation in a metal industry. The evaluation procedure is consist of four steps. 1) Attribute determination of manufacturing system 2) Cost Estimating 3) Alternative and Model determination of manufacturing system 4) Economic Analysis. The impact of manufacturing system installations on employment displacement and strategic benefit is discussed and suggested to make a coherent determination of company's objective.

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Man-hours Prediction Model for Estimating the Development Cost of AI-Based Software (인공지능 기반 소프트웨어 개발 비용 산정에 관한 소요 공수 예측 모형)

  • Chang, Seong Jin;Kim, Pan Koo;Shin, Ju Hyun
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2022
  • The artificial intelligence software market is expected to grow sixfold from 2020 to 2025. However, the software development process is not standardized and there is no standard for calculating the cost. Accordingly, each AI software development company calculates the input man-hours according to their respective development procedures and presents this as the basis for the development cost. In this study, the development stage of "artificial intelligence-based software" that learns with a large amount of data and derives and applies an algorithm was defined, and the required labor was collected by conducting a survey on the number of man-hours required for each development stage targeting developers. Correlation analysis and regression analysis were performed between the collected man-hours for each development stage, and a model for predicting the man-hours for each development stage was derived. As a result of testing the model, it showed an accuracy of 92% compared to the collected airborne effort. The man-hour prediction model proposed in this study is expected to be a tool that can be used simply for estimating man-hours and costs.

Cost Prediction Model for Building Demolition Work by Using Regression Analysis (회귀분석을 이용한 건축물 해체공사비 예측모델)

  • Kim, Taehoon;Kim, Young Hyun;Cho, Kyuman
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 2021
  • While the scale of the domestic market for demolition work is steadily increasing, research on cost prediction for demolition work is insufficient. Thus, this study proposes a cost prediction model for demolition work that reflects various attributes influecing the fluctuation of demolition cost. 13 influencing factors and historical cost data were collected based on literature review and experts' advice, and two prediction models were constructed through regression analysis and the prediction accuracy was evaluated. As a result, it showed an average error rate of about 6 to 12%, and it was possible to explore the possibility of use as a reliable prediction model. The results of this study can contribute to estimating appropriate construction cost and improving related standards for domestic demolition works in the future.