• Title/Summary/Keyword: Convective rain

검색결과 49건 처리시간 0.027초

A mathematical spatial interpolation method for the estimation of convective rainfall distribution over small watersheds

  • Zhang, Shengtang;Zhang, Jingzhou;Liu, Yin;Liu, Yuanchen
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.226-232
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    • 2016
  • Rainfall is one of crucial factors that impact on our environment. Rainfall data is important in water resources management, flood forecasting, and designing hydraulic structures. However, it is not available in some rural watersheds without rain gauges. Thus, effective ways of interpolating the available records are needed. Despite many widely used spatial interpolation methods, few studies have investigated rainfall center characteristics. Based on the theory that the spatial distribution of convective rainfall event has a definite center with maximum rainfall, we present a mathematical interpolation method to estimate convective rainfall distribution and indicate the rainfall center location and the center rainfall volume. We apply the method to estimate three convective rainfall events in Santa Catalina Island where reliable hydrological data is available. A cross-validation technique is used to evaluate the method. The result shows that the method will suffer from high relative error in two situations: 1) when estimating the minimum rainfall and 2) when estimating an external site. For all other situations, the method's performance is reasonable and acceptable. Since the method is based on a continuous function, it can provide distributed rainfall data for distributed hydrological model sand indicate statistical characteristics of given areas via mathematical calculation.

2DVD와 Parsivel 이용한 김해지역 강수사례일의 종관기상학적 분류 및 강수 특성 분석 (Synoptic Meteorological Classification and Analysis of Precipitation Characteristics in Gimhae Region Using 2DVD and Parsivel)

  • 천은지;박종길;정우식
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.289-302
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    • 2017
  • During the research period, error analysis of the amount of daily precipitation was performed with data obtained from 2DVD, Parsivel, and AWS, and from the results, 79 days were selected as research days. According to the results of a synoptic meteorological analysis, these days were classified into 'LP type, CF type, HE type, and TY type'. The dates showing the maximum daily precipitation amount and precipitation intensity were 'HE type and CF type', which were found to be attributed to atmospheric instability causing strong ascending flow, and leading to strong precipitation events. Of the 79 days, most days were found to be of the LP type. On July 27, 2011 the daily precipitation amount in the Korean Peninsula reached over 80 mm (HE type). The leading edge of the Northern Pacific high pressure was located over the Korean Peninsula with unstable atmospheric conditions and inflow of air with high temperature and high humidity caused ascending flow, 120 mm/h with an average precipitation intensity of over 9.57 mm/h. Considering these characteristics, precipitation in these sample dates could be classified into the convective rain type. The results of a precipitation scale distribution analysis showed that most precipitation were between 0.4-5.0 mm, and 'Rain' size precipitation was observed in most areas. On July 9, 2011, the daily precipitation amount was recorded to be over 80 mm (CF type) at the rainy season front (Jangma front) spreading across the middle Korean Peninsular. Inflow of air with high temperature and high humidity created unstable atmospheric conditions under which strong ascending air currents formed and led to convective rain type precipitation.

2013년 8월 6일 한반도에서 발달한 다세포(Multicell) 대류계의 특성 분석 (Characteristic Analysis of Multicell Convective System that Occurred on 6 August 2013 over the Korean Peninsula)

  • 윤지현;민기홍
    • 대기
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.321-336
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    • 2016
  • Damages caused by torrential rain occur every year in Korea and summer time convection can cause strong thunderstorms to develop which bring dangerous weather such as torrential rain, gusts, and flash flooding. On 6 August 2013 a sudden torrential rain concentrated over the inland of Southern Korean Peninsula occurred. This was an event characterized as a mesoscale multicellular convection. The purpose of this study is to analyze the conditions of the multicellular convection and the synoptic and mesoscale nature of the system development. To this end, dynamical and thermodynamic analyses of surface and upper-level weather charts, satellite images, soundings, reanalysis data and WRF model simulations are performed. At the beginning stage there was a cool, dry air intrusion in the upper-level of the Korean Peninsula, and a warm humid air flow from the southwest in the lower-level creating atmospheric instability. This produced a single cell cumulonimbus cloud in the vicinity of Baengnyeongdo, and due to baroclinic instability, shear and cyclonic vorticity the cloud further developed into a multicellular convection. The cloud system moved southeast towards Seoul metropolitan area accompanied by lightning, heavy precipitation and strong wind gusts. In addition, atmospheric instability due to daytime insolation caused new convective cells to develop in the upstream part of the Sobaek Mountain which merged with existing multicellular convection creating a larger system. This case was unusual because the system was affected little by the upper-level jet stream which is typical in Korea. The development and propagation of the multicellular convection showed strong mesoscale characteristics and was not governed by large synoptic-scale dynamics. In particular, the system moved southeast crossing the Peninsula diagonally from northwest to southeast and did not follow the upper-level westerly pattern. The analysis result shows that the movement of the system can be determined by the vertical wind shear.

연직강우레이더와 광학우적계 관측자료를 이용한 2012년 여름철 남해안 강우사례 분석 (Analysis of Summer Rainfall Case over Southern Coast Using MRR and PARSIVEL Disdrometer Measurements in 2012)

  • 문지영;김동균;김연희;하종철;정관영
    • 대기
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.265-273
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    • 2013
  • To investigate properties of cloud and rainfall occurred at Boseong on 10 July 2012, Raindrop Size distributions (RSDs) and other parameters were analyzed using observation data collected by Micro Rain Radar (MRR) and PARticle SIze and VELocity (PARSIVEL) disdrometer located in the National center for intensive observation of severe weather at Boseong in the southwest of the Korean peninsula. In addition, time series of RSD parameters, relationship between reflectivity-rain rate, and vertical variation of rain rates-fall velocities below melting layer were examined. As a result, good agreements were found in the reflectivity-rain rate time series as well as their power relationships between MRR and PARSIVEL disdrometer. The rain rate was proportional to reflectivity, mean diameter, and inversely proportional to shape (${\mu}$), slope (${\Lambda}$), intercept ($N_0$) parameter of RSD. In comparison of the RSD, as rain rate was increased, the slope of RSD became less steep and the mean diameter became larger. Also, it was verified that reflectivities are classified in three categories (Category 1: Z (reflectivity) > 40 dBZ, Category 2: 30 dBZ < Z < 40 dBZ, Category 3: Z < 30 dBZ). As reflectivity was increased, rain rate was intensified and larger raindrops were existed, while reflectivity was decreased, shape (${\mu}$), slope (${\Lambda}$), intercept ($N_0$) parameter of RSD were increased. We expected that these results will lead to better understanding of microphysical process in convective rainfall system occurred during short-term period over Korean peninsula.

WRF 모델에서 모의된 2005년 장마 기간 강수의 동조성 연구 (A Study on the Coherence of the Precipitation Simulated by the WRF Model during a Changma Period in 2005)

  • 변재영;원혜영;조천호;최영진
    • 대기
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 2007
  • The present study uses the GOES IR brightness temperature to examine the temporal and spatial variability of cloud activity over the region $25^{\circ}N-45^{\circ}N$, $105^{\circ}E-135^{\circ}E$ and analyzes the coherence of eastern Asian summer season rainfall in Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model. Time-longitude diagram of the time period from June to July 2005 shows a signal of eastward propagation in the WRF model and convective index derived from GOES IR data. The rain streaks in time-latitude diagram reveal coherence during the experiment period. Diurnal and synoptic scales are evident in the power spectrum of the time series of convective index and WRF rainfall. The diurnal cycle of early morning rainfall in the WRF model agrees with GOES IR data in the Korean Peninsula, but the afternoon convection observed by satellite observation in China is not consistent with the WRF rainfall which is represented at the dawn. Although there are errors in strength and timing of convection, the model predicts a coherent tendency of rainfall occurrence during summer season.

한반도에서 발생하였던 집중호우 시 적외 및 수증기 영상의 특성 (Characteristics of Infrared and Water Vapor Imagery for the Heavy Rainfall Occurred in the Korean Peninsula)

  • 성민규;서명석
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.465-480
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구에서는 최근 발생한 집중호우 사례들 중 예보가 어려워 피해가 컸던 두 사례(2010년 9월 21일, 2011년 8월 9일)에 대해 적외영상과 수증기영상의 시 공간적인 변화 특성을 분석하였다. 두 사례에서 한반도지역에 집중호우를 유발한 대류 세포들은 적외영상에서 하층운이 광범위하게 분포하고 수증기 영상에서는 명역과 암역의 경계(boundary)에서 생성되는 특징을 보였다. 또한 대류 세포들의 이동속도 차에 의한 총 5번의 병합과정 중 4번의 병합과정에서 대류 세포들의 병합 후 대류 세포는 더욱 발달되었으며 강수 강도도 급격하게 강화되었다. 대류시스템에서의 강우강도 변화는 휘도온도의 평균보다 최소 휘도온도의 시간적 변화와 밀접하게 관련된 것으로 판단되며 대류 세포들의 병합도 집중호우의 강도 변화에 영향을 주는 주요 인자로 생각된다. 대류 세포들의 병합은 영상동화를 통해 어느 정도 예측이 가능하지만 대류 세포의 탐지는 적외 및 수증기 영상 모두에서 일정 강도 이상 발달한 상태에서만 탐지가 가능하였다.

강수의 물리적 특성 이해를 위한 MRR 및 PASIVEL 우적계의 관측사례 분석 (Analysis of Observational Cases Measured by MRR and PARSIVEL Disdrometer for Understanding the Physical Characteristics of Precipitation)

  • 차주완;장기호;오성남;최영진;정진임;정재원;양하영;배진영;강선영
    • 대기
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2010
  • The methods measuring the precipitation drop size distribution(hereafter referred to as DSD) at Cloud Physics Observation System (CPOS) in Daegwallyeong are to use PARSIVEL (PARticle SIze and VELocity) disdrometer (hereafter referred to as PARSIVEL) and Micro Rain Radar (hereafter referred to as MRR). First of all, PARSIVEL and MRR give good correlation coefficients between their rain rates and those of rain gage: $R^2=0.93$ and 0.91, respectively. For the DSD, the rain rates are classified in 3 categories (Category 1: rr (Rain Rate) ${\leq}0.5\;mm\;h^{-1}$, Category 2: $0.5\;mm\;h^-1$ < rr < $4.0\;mm\;h^{-1}$, Category 3: rr ${\geq}4\;mm\;h^{-1}$). The shapes of PARSIVEL and MRR DSD are relatively most similar in category 2. In addition, we retrieve the vertical rain rate and liquid water content from MRR under melting layer, calculated by Cha et al's method, in Daegwallyeong ($37^{\circ}41{\prime}N$, $128^{\circ}45^{\prime}E$, 843 m ASL, mountain area) and Haenam ($34^{\circ}33^{\prime}N$, $126^{\circ}34^{\prime}E$, 4.6 m ASL, coast area). The vertical variations of rain rate and liquid water content in Daegwallyeong are smaller than those in Haenam. We think that this different vertical rain rate characteristic for both sites is due to the vertical different cloud type (convective and stratiform cloud seem dominant at Haenam and Daegwallyeong, respectively). This suggests that the statistical precipitation DSD model, for the application of weather radar and numerical simulation of precipitation processes, be considered differently for the region, which will be performed in near future.

Case study on the Accuracy Assessment of the rainrate from the Precipitation Radar of TRMM Satellite over Korean Peninsula

  • Chung, Hyo-Sang;Park, Hye-Sook;Noh, Yoo-Jeong
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 1999년도 Proceedings of International Symposium on Remote Sensing
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    • pp.103-106
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    • 1999
  • The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission(TRMM) is a United States-Japan project for rain measurement from space. The first spaceborne Precipitation Radar(PR) has been installed aboard the TRMM satellite. The ground based validation of the TRMM satellite observations was conducted by TRMM science team through a Global Validation Program(GVP) consisted of 10 or more ground validation sites throughout the tropics. However, TRMM radar should always be validated and assessed against reference data to be used in Korean Peninsula because the rainrates measured with satellite varies by time and space. We have analyzed errors in the comparison of rainrates measured with the TRMM/PR and the ground-based instrument i.e. Automatic Weather System(AWS) by means of statistical methods. Preliminary results show that the near surface rainrate of TRMM/PR are highly correlated with ground measurements especially for the very deep convective rain clouds, though the correlation is changed according to the type and amount of precipitating clouds. Results also show that TRMM/PR instrument is inclined to underestimate the rainrate on the whole over Korea than the AWS measurement for the cases of heavy rainfall.

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장마와 볼라벤(태풍 15호)에 동반된 집중호우 레이더관측과 위성관측 자료로부터 도출한 강우강도의 비교연구 (A Comparative Study of Rain Intensities Retrieved from Radar and Satellite Observations: Two Cases of Heavy Rainfall Events by Changma and Bolaven (TY15))

  • 이동인;류찬수
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제33권7호
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    • pp.569-582
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    • 2012
  • 2011년 7월 26일 서울은 장마에 동반된 기록적인 대류성 집중호우로 인해 약 2천5백억 원 이상의 재산피해와 57명(사망자)의 인명손실이 발생되었고, 2012년 8월 27일 15호 태풍 볼라벤에 동반된 집중호우로 광주광역시에는 보다 약한 집중호우와 강풍을 동반하여 피해는 상대적으로 적게 발생시켰다. 위의 사례에 대해 KLAPS(기상청 국지분석 및 예측시스템)을 사용하여 집중호우 시 다른 물리적 요소들에 의한 중규모 과정들의 조사 및 분석을 수행하였다. 이것은 레이더관측과 천리안 위성관측 자료로부터 강우강도를 도출하는데 호조건의 전형적인 중규모 시스템이기 때문에 선택되었으며, 두 사례는 모두 집중호우 발생에 좋은 환경임을 보였다. 2011년 장마에 동반되어 서울에 나타난 사례에서 레이더와 천리안의 정량적인 강우강도를 지상강우계 관측과 비교했을 때, 최대 관측값이 85 mm/hr 이상이 나타난 시점에 비해 약 50 mm/hr 이상이 과소 추정되는 차이가 나타났으나, 레이더 강우강도는 35 mm/hr의 차이와 천리안 강우강도는 60 mm/hr의 차이를 보였다. 그러나 2012년 8월 27일 15호 태풍 볼라벤에 동반되어 광주광역시에 나타난 강우강도와 지상강우강도의 경향은 위의 사례와 유사하게 나타났으며, 정량적인 강우강도 차이는 최대 관측값이 17 mm/hr 이상이 나타난 시점에 비해 약 10 mm/hr 이상이 과소 추정되는 차이가 나타났으나, 레이더 강우강도는 5 mm/hr의 차이와 천리안 강우강도는 10 mm/hr의 차이를 보였다. 이것은 태풍 볼라벤에 의한 집중호우가 상대적으로 약했기 때문이었다. 두 사례에 대해 레이더 강우강도와 천리안 강우강도는 지상강우강도와 시계열적으로 비교했을 때, 모두 유사한 경향을 보였다.

2006-2007년 여름 사례로 본 구름-지면 낙뢰와 강우의 관계 (On the Relation Between Cloud-to-Ground Lightning and Rainfall During 2006 and 2007 Summer Cases)

  • 오석근;서명석;이윤정
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제31권7호
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    • pp.749-761
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 2006-2007년 여름(6-8월)동안의 기상청 낙뢰 관측자료와 자동관측소 강우량 자료를 사용하여 여름철 낙뢰와 강우의 관계에 대해 분석하였다. 대부분의 부극성 낙뢰는 대류가 활발한 중심에 집중되어 발생하고 낙뢰빈도가 높고 강한 강우를 동반하였다. 반면 대부분의 정극성 낙뢰는 구름의 가장자리 또는 모루운에서 발생하고 낙뢰빈도는 낮으며, 약한 강우를 동반하였다. 일반적으로 강우강도는 부극성과 정극성이 함께 발생했을 경우 가장 강하고 부극성 낙뢰, 정극성 낙뢰, 그리고 낙뢰가 발생하지 않은 순으로 나타나고 있다. 여름철 전체 낙뢰 중 정극성 낙뢰의 비율은 평균 10% 이하이며 강우를 유발하지 않는 낙뢰의 비율은 평균 34%이다. 강우강도는 특히 부극성 낙뢰빈도와 높은양의 상관을 보였고, 낙뢰는 강우와 동시에 발생하거나 약 10분정도 선행하는 경향을 보였다. 낙뢰를 동반한 강우를 대류성 강우로 정의하여 분석한 결과 우리나라 여름철 강우 중 적어도 20% 이상은 대류성 강우이며 6, 7월보다는 8월에 대류성 강우가 많이 발생하고 있다. 또한 강우 및 낙뢰와 같이 대류성 강우의 비율도 오후에 최대치를 보이는 일변동을 보인다.