• Title/Summary/Keyword: Constant Variance

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Hedge Effectiveness in Won-Dollar Futures Markets (원 달러 선물시장을 이용한 헤지효과성)

  • Hong, Chung-Hyo;Moon, Gyu-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.231-253
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    • 2004
  • We examine hedge strategies that use Won-dollar futures to hedge the price risk of the Won-dollar exchange rate. We employ the naive hedge model, minimum variance hedge model and bivariate ECT-ARCH(1) model as hedge instruments, and analyze their hedge performances. The sample period covers from January 2, 2001 to December 31, 2002 with sub-samples such as daily, weekly, bi-weekly prices of the Won-dollar futures and cash. The important findings may be summarized as follows. First, there is no significant difference in hedge ratio between the risk minimum variance model and bivariate ECT-ARCH(1) model that controls for the cointegration relationship of the Won-dollar futures and cash. Second, hedge performance of the naive model and minimum variance model with constant hedge ratios is not far behind that of bivariate ECT-ARCH(1) model with time-varying hedge ratios. This results imply that investors are encouraged to use the minimum variance hedge model to hedge Won-dollar exchange rate with Won-dollar futures. Third, hedge performance and effectiveness of each model is also analyzed with respect to hedge period appear to be greater over long than over the short period. This evidence supports the hypothesis that futures prices would have more time to respond to the greater cash price changes over the longer holding period, leading to an improved hedge performance.

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Design of a Self-tuning Controller with a PID Structure Using Neural Network (신경회로망을 이용한 PID구조를 갖는 자기동조제어기의 설계)

  • Cho, Won-Chul;Jeong, In-Gab;Shim, Tae-Eun
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SC
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents a generalized minimum-variance self-tuning controller with a PID structure using neural network which adapts to the changing parameters of the nonlinear system with nonminimum phase behavior and time delays. The neural network is used to estimate the controller parameters, and the control output is obtained through estimated controller parameter. In order to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm, the computer simulation is done to adapt the nonlinear nonminimum phase system with time delays and changed system parameter after a constant time. The proposed method compared with direct adaptive controller using neural network.

Clustering Korean Stock Return Data Based on GARCH Model (이분산 시계열모형을 이용한 국내주식자료의 군집분석)

  • Park, Man-Sik;Kim, Na-Young;Kim, Hee-Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.925-937
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    • 2008
  • In this study, we considered the clustering analysis for stock return traded in the stock market. Most of financial time-series data, for instance, stock price and exchange rate have conditional heterogeneous variability depending on time, and, hence, are not properly applied to the autoregressive moving-average(ARMA) model with assumption of constant variance. Moreover, the variability is font and center for stock investors as well as academic researchers. So, this paper focuses on the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic(GARCH) model which is known as a solution for capturing the conditional variance(or volatility). We define the metrics for similarity of unconditional volatility and for homogeneity of model structure, and, then, evaluate the performances of the metrics. In real application, we do clustering analysis in terms of volatility and structure with stock return of the 11 Korean companies measured for the latest three years.

A Bitrate Control considering Interframe Variance of Image for H.264/AVC (화면간 영상 변화량을 고려한 H.264/AVC 비트율 제어 방법)

  • Son Nam-Rye;Lee Guee-Sang
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.13B no.3 s.106
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    • pp.245-254
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    • 2006
  • In this work, a new rate control algorithm for transmission of H.264/AVC video bit stream through CBR(constant bit rate) channel is proposed. The proposed algorithm predicts target bit rate and MAD(mean of absolute difference) for current frame considering image complexity variance between neighboring backward and current images. In details, respective linear regression analysis for MAD and encoded bit rate against image complexity variance produce correlation parameters. Additionally, it uses frame skip technique to maintain bit stream within a manageable range and protect buffer from overflow or underflow. Implementation and experimental results show that the proposed algorithm can provide accurate bit allocation, and can effectively visual degradation after scene changes. Also our proposed algorithm encodes the video sequences with less frame skipping compared to the existing rate control for H.264/AVC.

Outlier-Object Detection Using an Image Pair Based on Regression Analysis: Noise Variance Estimation and Performance Analysis (영상 쌍에서 회귀분석에 기초한 이상 물체 검출: 잡음분산의 추정과 성능 분석)

  • Kim, Dong-Sik
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2008
  • By comparing two images, which are captured with the same scene at different time, we can detect a set of outliers, such as occluding objects due to moving vehicles. To reduce the influence from the different intensity properties of the images, an intensity compensation scheme, which is based on the polynomial regression model, is employed. For an accurate detection of outliers alleviating the influence from a set of outliers, a simple technique that reruns the regression is employed. In this paper, an algorithm that iteratively reruns the regression is theoretically analyzed by observing the convergence property of the estimates of the noise variance. Using a correction constant for the estimate of the noise variance is proposed. The correction enables the detection algorithm robust to the choice of thresholds for selecting outliers. Numerical analysis using both synthetic and Teal images are also shown in this paper to show the robust performance of the detection algorithm.

Eddy Diffusion in Coastal Seas: Observation and Fractal Diffusion Modelling (연안역와동확산: 관측 및 프랙탈 확산 모델링)

  • 이문진;강용균
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 1997
  • We measured the variance of eddy diffusion and associated ‘diffusion coefficients’ in coastal regions of Korea by observing the separation distances among multiple drifters deployed simultaneously at the same initial position. The variance of eddy diffusion was found to be proportional to $t^m$, where t is the time and m is a non-integer scaling exponent between 1.5 and 3.5. The observed scaling exponent of eddy diffusion cannot be reproduced by diffusion models employing constant eddy diffusivity. In this study, we applied fractal theory in simulating exponential increase of variance of eddy diffusion. We employed the fGn(fractional Gaussian noise) as a ‘modified’ random walks corresponding to the oceanic eddy diffusion. The variance of eddy diffusion, which corresponds to the fBm(fractional Brown motion) of our diffusion model, is proportional to $t^{2H}$, where H is Hurst scaling exponent. The temporal increase of the variance. with scaling exponent between 1 and 2, was successfully reproduced by our fractal diffusion model. However, our model cannot reproduce scaling exponent greater than 2. The scaling exponents greater than 2 are associated with the velocity shear of the mean flow.

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THE EFFECTS OF WALL BOUNDARY CONDITIONS ON MASS TRANSFER IN TURBULENT PIPE FLOW (난류 파이프 유동 내 물질전달에서의 경계조건 영향)

  • Kang, Chang-Woo;Yang, Kyung-Soo
    • Journal of computational fluids engineering
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.42-52
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    • 2012
  • Direct Numerical Simulation(DNS) of turbulent mass transfer in fully developed turbulent pipe flow has been performed to study the effect of wall boundary conditions on the concentration fields at $Re_{\tau}$=180 based on friction velocity and pipe radius. Fully developed turbulent pipe flows for Sc=0.71 are studied with two different wall boundary conditions, namely, constant mass flux and constant wall concentration. The mean concentration profiles and turbulent mass fluxes obtained from the present DNS are in good agreement with the previous numerical results currently available. To investigate the effects of wall boundary condition on the turbulent mass transfer, the mean concentration profile, root-mean-square of concentration fluctuation, turbulent mass fluxes and higher-order statistics(Skewness and Flatness factor) are compared for the two cases. Furthermore, the budgets of turbulent mass fluxes and concentration variance were computed and analyzed to elucidate the effects of wall boundary conditions on the turbulent mass transfer.

The Search of Pig Pheromonal Odorants for Biostimulation Control System Technologies: A 2D-QSAR Model for Binding Affinity between 2-Cyclohexyloxytetrahydrofurane Analogues and Porcine Odorant Binding Protein (생물학적 자극 통제 수단으로 활용하기 위한 돼지 페로몬성 냄새 물질의 탐색: 2-Cyclohexyloxytetrahydrofurane 유도체와 Porcine Odorant Binding Protein 사이의 결합 친화력에 관한 2D-QSAR 모델)

  • Park, Chang-Sik;Choi, Yang-Seok;Sung, Nack-Do
    • Reproductive and Developmental Biology
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.15-20
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    • 2007
  • To search of a new porcine pheromonal odorant for biostimulation control system technologies to offer a potentially useful and practical way to improve reproductive efficiency in livestock species, the two dimensional quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) models between physicochemical parameters as descriptors of 2-cyclohexyloxytetrahydrofurane (A), 2-phenoxytetrahydrofurane (B) analogues and binding affinity constant ($p[Od.]_{50}$) for porcine odorant-binding protein (pOBP) as receptor of pig pheromones were derived and disscused. The statistical quality of the optimized 2D-QSAR model is good ($r^{2}=0.964$) and accounts for 96.4% of the variance in the binding affinity constants. It was found that the binding affinity constants were dependent upon the optimal value, $(SL)_{opt.}=1.418$ of substituent lipole (SL) in molecules. Therefore, the SL constant was very important factor for binding affinity.

Estimation of the methane generation rate constant using a large-scale respirometer at a landfill site

  • Park, Jin-Kyu;Tameda, Kazuo;Higuchi, Sotaro;Lee, Nam-Hoon
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.339-346
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this study is the evaluation of the performance of a large-scale respirometer (LSR) of 17.7 L in the determination of the methane generation rate constant (k) values. To achieve this objective, a comparison between anaerobic (GB21) and LSR tests was conducted. The data were modeled using a linear function, and the resulting correlation coefficient ($R^2$) of the linear regression is 0.91. This result shows that despite the aerobic conditions, the biodegradability values that were obtained from the LSR test produced results that are similar to those from the GB21 test. In this respect, the LSR test can be an indicator of the anaerobic biodegradability for landfill waste. In addition, the results show the high repeatability of the tests with an average coefficient of variance (CV) that is lower than 10%; furthermore, the CV for the LSR is lower than that of the GB21, which indicates that the LSR-test method could provide a better representation of waste samples. Therefore, the LSR method allows for both the prediction of the long-term biodegradation potential in a shorter length of time and the reduction of the sampling errors that are caused by the heterogeneity of waste samples. The k values are $0.156y^{-1}$ and $0.127y^{-1}$ for the cumulative biogas production (GB21) and the cumulative oxygen uptake for the LSR, respectively.

The Estimation of Parameters to minimize the Energy Function of the Piecewise Constant Model Using Three-way Analysis of Variance (3원 변량분석을 이용한 구분적으로 일정한 모델의 에너지 함수 최소화를 위한 매개변수들 추정)

  • Joo, Ki-See;Cho, Deog-Sang;Seo, Jae-Hyung
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.846-852
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    • 2012
  • The result of imaging segmentation becomes different with the parameters involved in the segmentation algorithms; therefore, the parameters for the optimal segmentation have been found through a try and error. In this paper, we propose the method to find the best values of parameters involved in the area-based active contour method using three-way ANOVA. The segmentation result applied by three-way ANOVA is compared with the optimal segmentation which is drawn by user. We use the global consistency rate for comparing two segmentations. Finally, we estimate the main effects and interactions between each parameter using three-way ANOVA, and then calculate the point and interval estimate to find the best values of three parameters. The proposed method will be a great help to find the optimal parameters before working the motion segmentation using piecewise constant model.