• Title/Summary/Keyword: Confidence Value

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Estimation of Design Flood by the Determination of Best Fitting Order of LH-Moments(II) (LH-모멘트의 적정 차수 결정에 의한 설계홍수량 추정(II))

  • 맹승진;이순혁
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 2003
  • This study was conducted to estimate the design flood by the determination of best fitting order for LH-moments of the annual maximum series at fifteen watersheds. Using the LH-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the optimal regional probability distribution was identified to be the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) in the first report of this project. Parameters of GEV distribution and flood flows of return period n years were derived by the methods of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments. Frequency analysis of flood flow data generated by Monte Carlo simulation was performed by the methods of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments using GEV distribution. Relative Root Mean Square Error. (RRMSE), Relative Bias (RBIAS) and Relative Efficiency (RE.) using methods of L, Ll , L2, L3 and L4-moments for GEV distribution were computed and compared with those resulting from Monte Carlo simulation. At almost all of the watersheds, the more the order of LH-moments and the return periods increased, the more RE became, while the less RRMSE and RBIAS became. The Absolute Relative Reduction (ARR) for the design flood was computed. The more the order of LH-moments increased, the less ARR of all applied watershed became It was confirmed that confidence efficiency of estimated design flood was increased as the order of LH-moments increased. Consequently, design floods for the appled watersheds were derived by the methods of L3 and L4-moments among LH-moments in view of high confidence efficiency.

A Study on the Packing Friction Estimation of Power-Operated Valves in Nuclear Power Plants (원전 동력구동 밸브 패킹 마찰력 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Dong Hwa;Lee, Young Shin
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.37 no.11
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    • pp.1053-1060
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the packing friction of power-operated valve in nuclear power plants. The roll of packing in valve is preventing leakage through stem. Packing friction is highly depend on gland nut tightness which means higher reliability in sealing is lower operability. For the estimation of friction, we used statistical analysis and experimental analysis. In experimental approach, we have performed packing fY test and applied it to valve field test. In statistical approach, we have used 10 years DB of safety-related valve in nuclear power plant and analyzed packing friction based on confidence interval of sample. The comparison of two results shows that statistical analysis for packing friction are more accurate than fY analysis even though both approach have error compared to measured value but we confirmed that statistical approach is proper way to estimate packing friction.

Estimation of Moisture Content in Comminuted Miscanthus based on the Intensity of Reflected Light

  • Cho, Yongjin;Lee, Dong Hoon
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.296-304
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The balance between miscanthus production and its cost effectiveness depends greatly on its moisture content during post processing. The objective of this research was to measure the moisture content using a non-destructive and non-contact methodology for in situ applications. Methods: The moisture content of comminuted miscanthus was controlled using a closed chamber, a humidifier, a precision weigher, and a real-time monitoring software developed in this research. A CMOS sensor equipped with $50{\times}$ magnifier lens was used to capture magnified images of the conditioned materials with moisture content level from 5 to 30%. The hypothesis is that when light is incident on the comminuted particles in an inclined manner, higher moisture content results in light being reflected with a higher intensity. Results: A linear regression analysis for an initiative hypothesis based on general histogram analysis yielded insufficient correlations with low significance level (<0.31) for the determination coefficient. A significant relationship (94% confidence level) was determined at level 108 in a reverse accumulative histogram proposed based on a revised hypothesis. A linear regression model with the value at level 108 in the reverse accumulative histogram for a magnified image as the independent variable and the moisture content of comminuted miscanthus as the dependent variable was proposed as the estimation model. The calibrated linear regression model with a slope of 92.054 and an offset of 32.752 yielded 0.94 for the determination coefficient (RMSE = 0.2%). The validation test showed a significant relationship at the 74% confidence level with RMSE 6.4% (n = 36). Conclusions: To compensate the inconsistent significance between calibration and validation, an estimation model robust against various systematic interferences is necessary. The economic efficiency of miscanthus, which is a promising energy resource, can be improved by the real-time measurement of its crucial material properties.

Object tracking based on adaptive updating of a spatial-temporal context model

  • Feng, Wanli;Cen, Yigang;Zeng, Xianyou;Li, Zhetao;Zeng, Ming;Voronin, Viacheslav
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.5459-5473
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    • 2017
  • Recently, a tracking algorithm called the spatial-temporal context model has been proposed to locate a target by using the contextual information around the target. This model has achieved excellent results when the target undergoes slight occlusion and appearance changes. However, the target location in the current frame is based on the location in the previous frame, which will lead to failure in the presence of fast motion because of the lack of a prediction mechanism. In addition, the spatial context model is updated frame by frame, which will undoubtedly result in drift once the target is occluded continuously. This paper proposes two improvements to solve the above two problems: First, four possible positions of the target in the current frame are predicted based on the displacement between the previous two frames, and then, we calculate four confidence maps at these four positions; the target position is located at the position that corresponds to the maximum value. Second, we propose a target reliability criterion and design an adaptive threshold to regulate the updating speed of the model. Specifically, we stop updating the model when the reliability is lower than the threshold. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm achieves better tracking results than traditional STC and other algorithms.

Analgesic Effects of Intrathecal Curcumin in the Rat Formalin Test

  • Han, Yong-Ku;Lee, Seong-Heon;Jeong, Hye-Jin;Kim, Min-Sun;Yoon, Myung-Ha;Kim, Woong-Mo
    • The Korean Journal of Pain
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2012
  • Background: Curcumin has been reported to have anti-inflammatory, antioxidant, antiviral, antifungal, antitumor, and antinociceptive activity when administered systemically. We investigated the analgesic efficacy of intrathecal curcumin in a rat model of inflammatory pain. Methods: Male Sprague Dawley rats were prepared for intrathecal catheterization. Pain was evoked by injection of formalin solution (5%, $50{\mu}l$) into the hind paw. Curcumin doses of 62.5, 125, 250, and $500{\mu}g$were delivered through an intrathecal catheter to examine the flinching responses. The $ED_{50}$ values (half-maximal effective dose) with 95% confidence intervals of curcumin for both phases of the formalin test were calculated from the dose-response lines fitted by least-squares linear regression on a log scale. Results: In rats with intrathecal administration of curcumin, the flinching responses were significantly decreased in both phases. The slope of the regression line was significantly different from zero only in phase 2, and the $ED_{50}$ value (95% confidence interval) of curcumin was $511.4{\mu}g$ (23.5-1126.5). There was no apparent abnormal behavior following the administration of curcumin. Conclusions: Intrathecal administration of curcumin decreased inflammatory pain in rats, and further investigation to elucidate the precise mechanism of spinal action of curcumin is warranted.

Development of an Portable Urine Glucose Monitoring System (휴대용 뇨당 측정 시스템의 개발)

  • 박호동;이경중;윤형로
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.397-403
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    • 2002
  • Urine glucose monitoring system is a self-monitoring system that display the glucose level by non-invasive measurement method. In this paper, We developed a noninvasive urine glucose monitoring system that improved defects of urine glucose measurement with a colorimeter method and invasive blood glucose measurement method. This system consist of bio-chemical sensor for urine glucose measurements, signal detecting part, digital and signal analysis part, display part and power supplying part. The developed bio-chemical sensor for the measurement of urine glucose has good reproducibility, convenience of handing and can be mass-produced with cheap price. To evaluate the performance of the developed system, We performed the evaluation of confidence about the detection of glucose level by a comparison between a standard instrument in measuring glucose level and the developed system using standard glucose solutions mixed with urine. Standard error was 2.85282 from the evaluation of confidence based on regression analysis. Also, In analysis of S.D(standard deviation) and C.V(coefficient of validation) that are important parameters to evaluate system using bio-chemical sensor, S.D was 10% which falls under clinically valid value, 15%, and C.V was under 5%. Consequently from the above results, compared to blood glucose measurement, the system performance is satisfactory.

Validity of the Wii Balance Board for Evaluation of Medial Patellar Luxation in Small Sized Dog

  • Lee, Shinho;Lee, Joo-Myoung;Park, Hyunjung;Cha, Yuri;Cheong, Jongtae
    • Journal of Veterinary Clinics
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.297-300
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    • 2019
  • Wii® balance board (WBB) is a device that can measure and record body sway. This study was conducted to evaluate the reliability of WBB in small sized dog as inexpensive, portable and convenient tool. The center of pressure path length (CPPL) and 95% confidence ellipse area (Area 95) were evaluated with only two plates of WBB. The parameters were evaluated between no load (0 kg) and mass group (0.25-4 kg on each one plate). 23 dogs (2.3-7.3 kg) were evaluated for with hindlimb standing for 10 seconds. The mass group showed a significant value in comparison to the no load during the measurement. And intra-class correlation coefficients (ICCs) between CPPL and Area 95 revealed very high both mass and dog group. In the evaluation of medial patellar luxation (MPL) as a diagnostic tool, 80 dogs with MPL and 23 non-affected dogs were used. In studies of CPPL and Area 95, significant differences were found between non-affected and MPL groups for 10 and 30 seconds, respectively. The WBB can be used as a valid tool for evaluating hind limb standing balance and can be useful as an objective tool to present clinical results in small sized dog with MPL.

Molecular biological analysis of Bt-transgenic (Bt-9) rice and its effect on Daphnia magna feeding

  • Oh, Sung-Dug;Yun, Doh-Won;Chang, Ancheol;Lee, Yu-jin;Lim, Myung-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.113-124
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    • 2019
  • Insect-resistant transgenic (Bt-9) rice was generated by inserting mCry1Ac1, a modified gene from the soil bacterium Bacillus thuringiensis, into the genome of a conventional variety of rice (Ilmi). With regard to potential problems such as safety, an evaluation of non-target organisms is necessary as an essential element of an environmental risk assessment of genetically modified (GM) crops. We studied the effects of the Bt-9 rice on the survival of cantor Daphnia magna, a commonly used model organism in ecotoxicological studies. D. magna fed on the Bt-transgenic rice (Bt-9) and its near non-GM counterparts (Ilmi) grown in the same environment (a 100% ground rice suspension). The Bt-9 rice was confirmed to have the inserted T-DNA and protein expression evident by the PCR and ELISA analyses. The feeding study showed a similar cumulative immobility and abnormal response of the Daphnia magna between the Bt-9 rice and Ilmi. Additionally, the 48 h-EC50 values of the Bt-9 and Ilmi rice were 4,400 mg/L (95% confidence limits: 3861.01 - 5015.01 mg/L) and 5,564 mg/L (95% confidence limits: 4780.03 - 6476.93 mg/L), respectively. The rice NOEC (No observed effect concentration) value for D. magna was suggested to be 1,620 mg/L. We conclude that the tested Bt-9 and Ilmi have a similar cumulative immobility for D. magna, a widely used model organism, and the growth of Bt-9 did not affect non-target insects.

The Effect of Software Education Teaching Efficacy(SE-TE) of In-service Teachers on Backward Design based TPACK-P Teachers' Training Program (백워드 설계 기반 TPACK-P 교육 프로그램이 교사의 SW교육 교수효능감(SE-TE)에 미치는 영향)

  • Yi, Soyul;Lee, YoungJun
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to develop TPACK-P teachers' training program based on backward design included understanding of backward design principles in order to enhance teachers' professionalism of software education and informatics education. This teachers' training program was conducted for non-informatics teachers in 32 hours. As a results, teachers showed that post-test result of SE-TEBI was higher than pre-test and the t-test results showed that the total value of SE-TE was t=-3.541(p< .01), subscale PSETE was t=-3.559( p< .01) and SEOE was t=-2.258(p< .05). Therefore, we demonstrate that it helps improve the teaching professionalism of teachers. However, as a result of the test, teachers' PSETE tend to be lower in SEOE, which is interpreted as a lack of confidence in the lessons. Therefore, in further study, it is necessary to develop a teacher education program that can promote the confidence of teachers.

The Meaning of University-Graduate School Experiences of Employee's for Job Conversion (재직자의 대학·대학원 경험이 직업전환에 주는 의미)

  • Lee, Kyoung Jaa;Kim, Jin Sook
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.165-170
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    • 2019
  • This study examined the meaning of employees' university-graduate school experiences for job conversion. For it, date was collected and analyzed by in-depth interview for 7 employees with university-graduate school experiences from Jun. to Doc. 2018. As a result, 3 great ranges and 8 sub-factors of the meaning of employees' university-graduate school experience for job conversion. were drawn. First is the change of value changing new view and recognition. Second is confidence improvement, motivation, and psychological change recovering interests and aptitudes. Third is changes of actual life that obtain pleasure of leaning, formation of personal network, and family supports. From the above results, employees' university-graduate school experience may let them challenge new works with confidence and be analyzed as appearance of identity finding the work suitable for their aptitude and living a subjective life.