• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.41 no.1
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• pp.10-16
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• 2015

In this study, we suggest a method to predict probability distribution of a new customer's degree of loyalty using C-CRF that reflects the RFM score and similarity to the neighbors of the customer. An RFM score prediction model is introduced to construct the first feature function of C-CRF. Integrating demographical similarity, purchasing characteristic similarity and purchase history similarity, we make a unified similarity variable to configure the second feature function of C-CRF. Then parameters of each feature function are estimated and we train our C-CRF model by training data set and suggest a probabilistic distribution to estimate a new customer's degree of loyalty. An example is provided to illustrate our model.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.307-320
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• 2000

It has been studied to find relationships between pine-mushroom yield and climatic factors. Recently, Hyun-Park, Key-I! shin and Hyun-Joong Kim(1998) investigated relationships between pine-mushroom yield and climatic factors by autoregression model. In this paper, to improve the forecast we suggest the conditional autoregression model using probability of existing pine-mushroom production.

• Korean Journal of Child Studies
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.17-32
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• 2004

Factor analysis of data collected from 336 elementary school children provided difficuitness and susceptibility as the temperament factors, and affect and control as the nurturing factors. Results showed that non-susceptible children with low controlling mother perceived their cognitive competence positively while highly susceptible children showed no differences in their self-competence by mothers' controlling behavior. Perceived cognitive competence of susceptible boys and of susceptible 3rd graders were low when their mothers asserted low control. Thus, mothers' controlling behavior supported perceived cognitive competence in highly susceptible boys and 3rd graders. That is, the effect of mother's behavior on child's self-competence was moderated by child's characteristics. These results partially supported the Conditional Model.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.17 no.5
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• pp.684-690
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• 2007

We describe our method to predict the direction of conditional probabilistic dependencies between clusters of random variables. Selected variables called 'gateway variables' are used to predict the conditional probabilistic dependency relations between clusters. The direction of conditional probabilistic dependencies between clusters are predicted by finding directed acyclic graph (DAG)-shaped dependency structure between the gateway variables. We show that our method shows meaningful prediction results in determining directions of conditional probabilistic dependencies between clusters.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.975-982
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• 2003

In this paper we considered the problem of estimating the bivariate survival distribution of the random vector (X, Y) when Y may be subject to random censoring but X is always uncensored. Adapting conditional Koziol-Green model, simplified estimator for bivariate survival function is proposed. We perform simulation to compare the proposed estimator with popular estimators and discussed the performance of it.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.359-368
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• 1996

The maximum likelihood estimation is discussed for the NLAR model with Laplacian marginals. Since the explicit form of the estimates cannot be obtained due to the complicated nature of the likelihood function we utilize the automatic computer optimization subroutine using a direct search complex algorithm. The conditional least square estimates are used as initial estimates in maximum likelihood procedures. The results of a simulation study for the maximum likelihood estimates of the NLAR(1) and the NLAR(2) models are presented.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 2001.05a
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• pp.219-223
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• 2001

In this paper, we proposed the intelligent navigation agent model for successive electronic commerce management. For allowing intelligence, we used conditional probability and trapezoidal fuzzy number. Our goal of study is make an intelligent automatic navigation agent model.

• 한국연소학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2001.11a
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• pp.35-41
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• 2001

A second-order conditional moment closure(CMC) model is applied to the prediction of local extinction in a turbulent hydrocarbon diffusion flame and compared with direct numerical simulation(DNS) results for the flame. Combustion of a hydrocarbon fuel is described by a simple two-step mechanism. A second-order correction for conditional mean reaction rate terms is made by the assumed pdf method. The results show that the second-order closure is necessary for accurate prediction of intermediate species, while first-order CMC gives good predictions for fuel, oxidant, product and temperature. Conditional variances and covariances are well predicted during an extinction process while they are overpredicted during a reignition process.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.405-411
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• 2004

In the analysis of cancer data, it is important to make inferences of survival function and to assess the effects of covariates. Cox's proportional hazard model(PHM) and Beran's nonparametric method are generally used to estimate the survival function with covariates. We adjusted the incomplete survival time using the Buckley and James's(1979) pseudo random variables, and then proposed the estimator for the conditional survival function. Also, we carried out the simulation studies to compare the performances of the proposed method.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.881-891
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• 2014

Graphical models can be used as an intuitive tool for modeling a complex stochastic system with a large number of variables related each other because the conditional independence between random variables can be visualized as a network. Graphical least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) is considered to be effective in avoiding overfitting in the estimation of Gaussian graphical models for high dimensional data. In this paper, we consider the model selection problem in graphical LASSO. Particularly, we compare various model selection criteria via simulations and analyze a real financial data set.