• Title/Summary/Keyword: Computable general equilibrium(CGE)

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The Economic Effects of Tariff Reduction Based on Economic Structures (경제구조 변화에 따른 관세 감축의 파급효과 분석)

  • Hee-Yong, Lee;Sang-Ho, Lee;Ik-Su, Kim
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.125-135
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    • 2022
  • This study is to analyze the economic effects of tariff reduction using computable general equilibrium(CGE) model. We set up the social accounting matrix for five-base equilibrium year. Our main findings are as follows. First, the impact of tariff reduction on GDP was different from time to time. It meas that the differentiated economics structure was affected by tariff reduction. As our economic grew up, the impact of tariff reduction was measured much higher. Second, until 1995 the impact of tariff reduction on total export and import was increased, then while 1995 the increase was dropped. This is because we reduced the tariff by the WTO negotiations. Third, the tariff reduction affected the price of imported goods, so it contributed to substitute effects between domestic and imported goods. According to these results, we found out the importance of the linkage between the tariff reduction and economic structure.

Computable General Equilibrium Analysis of Energy Markets with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economy (불완전경쟁 및 규모의 경제가 에너지 산업에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Chang Won;Kim, Gene Uhc
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.291-319
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    • 2002
  • This Paper investigates imperfect competition and economy of scale on Korean energy markets based on computable general equilibrium model. Some industries like energy sector have exhibited that their economies have strong economies of scale and imperfect competition. Thus these industrial organization facts should be incorporated into CGE model. In our model, non-competitive markets are adopted and compare these results with convention perfect competition model.

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Prioritization of National R&D Investment Using Estimation Results by CGE Model (CGE모형 추정결과를 이용한 국가 R&D 투자 우선순위 설정)

  • Lim, Byung-In;Ahn, Seung-Ku
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.57-83
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    • 2011
  • We suggested industry-specific priorities of R&D investment with R&D investment elasticity to GDP calculated from the ripple effect of 28 large-sized industry R&D investment, using a Computable General Equilibrium(CGE) Model. Priority orders apply to only 12 industries, because 16 industries with less than 1% of total investment have been excluded. First, R&D investment elasticity to GDP says that priorities are ordered as Basic metal products, Chemicals, drugs and medicines, Food, beverages and tobacco products, Electronic and electrical equipment, Transportation equipment, Precision instruments, Electrictity, gas, steam and water supply, General machinery and equipment, Communications and broadcasting, Construction, Other services, and Real estate and business services. These priorities show the status quo of Korean industry structures well. The GDP growth rate to 2030 year reference equilibrium, which is an auxiliary index, says a similar priority to results from R&D investment elasticity to GDP. In the end, two criteria of priority order can be functioned as a good index for National Science and Technology Commission deciding what industry to invest and what budget to allocate.

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Economic Impacts of Transportation Investment on Regional Growth: Evidence from a Computable General Equilibrium Model on Japan's Cross-Prefectural-Border Region

  • Thi Thu Trang, HA;Hiroyuki, SHIBUSAWA
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.183-193
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    • 2023
  • This paper proposes and examines the economic impact of infrastructure improvement on the San-En-Nanshin region in the Chubu area of Japan. We develop a single transportation computable general equilibrium (CGE) model for each subregion within the San-En-Nanshin region. The explicit modeling of the transportation infrastructure is defined based on interregional commuting flows and business trips, considering the spatial structure of the San-En-Nanshin economy. A CGE model is integrated with an interregional transportation network model to enhance the framework's potential for understanding the infrastructure's role in regional development. To evaluate the economic impact of transportation improvement, we analyze the interrelationship between travel time savings and regional output and income. The economic impact analysis under the CGE framework reveals how transportation facilities and systems affect firm and household behavior and therefore induce changes in the production and consumption of commodities and transportation services. The proposed theoretical model was tested by using data from the 2005 IO tables of each subregion and the 2006 transport flow dataset issued by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport, and Tourism in Japan. As a result, the paper confirms the positive effect of transportation investment on the total output and income of the studied region. Specifically, we found that while economic benefits typically appear in urban areas, rural areas can still potentially benefit from transportation improvement projects.

An Analysis of the Economic effect on Free Trade Agreement between Korea and China through the Computable General Equilibrium model (일반균형분석을 통한 한.중 자유무역협정의 경제적 효과와 추진 타당성 고찰)

  • Park, Do-Joon
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.313-331
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    • 2007
  • In a rapidly changing environment of international trade, the purpose of this study is to examine economic benefits and losses of each country involved in the negotiation on the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) in Northeast Asia and to prepare strategies for the negotiation in the FTA between Korea and China. Previous researches on FTA have been made mainly from the macroeconomic perspective. The approach in this study is a combination of regulatory, reviewing regulations, and economic making quantitative analysis of the economic effects of FTA, which are the basic background of FTA. In economic analysis, I estimated the macroscopic economic effects of FTA by examining the effects of FTA on the trade balance, GDP and production of focal countries through the Computable General Equilibrium(CGE) model using GTAP data set.

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Scale Economies and The Effects of A Carbon Tax on Korean Economy : A Cournot-Walrasian CGE Simulation (규모의 경제와 탄소세의 경제적 효과: CGE모형을 이용한 분석)

  • Shin, Dong-Cheon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.973-997
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    • 2000
  • The carbon tax is one of several measures to reduce the green-house gases emitted from burning the fossil fuels, which has been much discussed internationally. The analyses of the effects of a carbon tax on individual countries have been carried out by applying the computable general equilibrium(CGE) models, especially models with the assumption of non-existence of scale economies. However, the introduction of scale economies to CGE models changes the simulation results drastically. In this paper, two CGE models are used to compute and compare the economic and $CO_2$ reduction effects of a carbon tax, one of with is the model with scale economies and the other is without scale economies. One of main results is that the analysis using the CGE model without scale economies may underestimate the effects of a carbon tax on GDP and reducing the emission of $CO_2$.

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Economic impact of digitalization on agriculture: a Korean perspective

  • Jung-Won Youm;Su-Hwan Myeong;Jeong-Ho Yoo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.31-43
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    • 2022
  • The global trade environment is rapidly changing. The spread of COVID-19 promotes digitalization, and online transactions are becoming the new normal. Currently, Korea is actively introducing information and communication technology (ICT) that uses the internet of things (IoT) in relation to agriculture. However, few studies have analyzed the impact of digitalization on trade in the agricultural sector. Thus, the purpose of this study is to examine how the introduction of digital technology can affect the economy and trade of Korea. In this study, we estimate the impact of introducing digital technologies using the computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The results of this analysis indicate that the GDP could increase by 3.82% to 10.53%. Also, agricultural production and trade according to the model will significantly increase to 8.67% and 5.72%, respectively, through a productivity increase from Blockchain, IoT, and artificial intelligence (AI) technologies, despite logistics inefficiencies. Although the effects of digitalization could be significant, farmers are still struggling to introduce digital technologies, stemming from the fact that government support systems are concentrated in only a few sub-sectors. In this regard, support in this area must be expanded and diversified according to the current environment of agriculture in Korea.

Impact Analysis of Transition in Electricity Generation System on a National Economy and Environmental Level in Korea: a Recursive CGE Modeling Approach (발전수단 전환이 우리나라 경제와 환경에 미치는 영향분석)

  • Lee, Min-Gi;Kim, Hong-Bae
    • Journal of Korea Planning Association
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.67-86
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    • 2018
  • This paper attempted to analyze impacts of transition in electricity generation system on a national economy and environmental level in Korea using a recursive computable general equilibrium(CGE) model. In particular, the paper presented a hybrid model combining the top-down CGE model with the bottom-up model which describes the structure of electricity production in detail. The impacts were analyzed by two policy scenarios base on the basic plan for electricity supply and demand proposed by the Korean government. As a result, the paper specifically showed that there exists a trade-off relationship in the policy-making between economic efficiency and environmental level. The paper also suggested that the transition in electricity generation system should be done more gradually and carefully.

A Dualistic Development in Korean Industrialization (한국 산업화의 이중구조)

  • Lee, Jai Min
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.27-51
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    • 2012
  • Among the hypotheses regarding the internal process of industrialization, the debates about 'labor-surplus' model have been intensive. The basic idea of this neoclassical theory is that industrial development is brought about by the transfer of the unlimited cheap labor to the modern sector, and thus, under the labor-surplus situation labor-using technologies should be used for industrialization. Fei and Rannis attempted to confirm this theory by applying it to the Japanese economy. The purpose of this paper is to study whether the theory can be applied to Korean economic development. The neoclassical dualistic model which was designed by Kelly and Williamson was utilized. Simulating Korea's major economic variables for the period of 1965-1992 by using computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, we found that there are significant differentials between the simulation and the actual data. It suggests that Korea's economic development has not followed the neoclassical path -- creation of comparative advantage on the basis of market force.

A Free Trade Area of the Asia Pacific (FTAAP): Is It Desirable?

  • Kim, Sangkyom;Park, Innwon;Park, Soonchan
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.3-25
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    • 2013
  • This paper evaluates whether the proposed FTAAP is a desirable policy option for APEC member economies and the world economy. More specifically, this paper qualitatively investigates whether the FTAAP satisfies conditions for a trade bloc to generate positive and sufficient net trade creation effect. In addition, this paper estimates the likely impact of the FTAAP by using a CGE model analysis. From the qualitative analysis based on statistical data, this paper strongly argues that the FTAAP can be a desirable regional trade bloc able to generate positive gains from freer trade. From the ex-ante scenario analysis using both static and capital accumulation CGE Models, this paper concludes that the FTAAP has great potential for improving welfare of participating APEC economies and will boost economic growth in the region. In particular, the FTAAP would be even better if it can be linked with liberalization of trade in services and enhanced trade facilitation.