• 제목/요약/키워드: Composite Indicators

검색결과 74건 처리시간 0.019초

종합주가지수·서울지역아파트가격·전국주택매매가격지수·경기선행지수의 상관관계와 선행성 분석 (Analysis of KOSPI·Apartment Prices in Seoul·HPPCI·CLI's Correlation and Precedence)

  • 최정일;이옥동
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제12권5호
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 2014
  • 주식시장에서 종합주가지수를 부동산시장에서 서울지역아파트가격과 전국주택매매가격지수를 선정하여 경기선행지수와 함께 각 지표들 사이의 상관관계를 찾아보았다. 또한 각 지표들 사이의 흐름을 서로 비교하여 선행성이 성립되는지도 살펴보았다. 본 연구의 목적은 종합주가지수와 서울지역아파트가격, 전국주택매매가격, 경기선행지수의 상관관계와 선행성을 분석해 보는 것이다. 주식시장의 종합주가지수나 부동산시장을 예측하기 위해서는 이에 선행하는 지표를 찾아 그 추이를 먼저 분석해 보는 것이다. 지난 1987년 1월부터 2013년 12월까지 총 27년 동안 KOSPI의 상승률은 687%로 나타났으며 CLI은 443%, 서울아파트는 391%, HPPCI는 263% 순으로 높은 상승률을 보여주었다. 서울아파트와 CLI, KOSPI, HPPCI의 상관분석을 실시한 결과 KOSPI는 상관계수 0.877인 HPPCI와 서울아파트는 상관계수 0.956인 CLI와 높은 상관관계를 보여주었다. 분석결과 CLI는 주식시장 및 부동산시장과 높은 상관관계를 보여주고 있어 주식시장 및 부동산시장을 예측하기 위해서는 CLI의 흐름을 먼저 살펴보는 지혜가 필요해 보인다.

Hysteretic behaviors and calculation model of steel reinforced recycled concrete filled circular steel tube columns

  • Ma, Hui;Zhang, Guoheng;Xin, A.;Bai, Hengyu
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제83권3호
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    • pp.305-326
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    • 2022
  • To realize the recycling utilization of waste concrete and alleviate the shortage of resources, 11 specimens of steel reinforced recycled concrete (SRRC) filled circular steel tube columns were designed and manufactured in this study, and the cyclic loading tests on the specimens of columns were also carried out respectively. The hysteretic curves, skeleton curves and performance indicators of columns were obtained and analysed in detail. Besides, the finite element model of columns was established through OpenSees software, which considered the adverse effect of recycled coarse aggregate (RA) replacement rates and the constraint effect of circular steel tube on internal RAC. The numerical calculation curves of columns are in good agreement with the experimental curves, which shows that the numerical model is relatively reasonable. On this basis, a series of nonlinear parameters analysis on the hysteretic behaviors of columns were also investigated. The results are as follows: When the replacement rates of RA increases from 0 to 100%, the peak loads of columns decreases by 7.78% and the ductility decreases slightly. With the increase of axial compression ratio, the bearing capacity of columns increases first and then decreases, but the ductility of columns decreases rapidly. Increasing the wall thickness of circular steel tube is very profitable to improve the bearing capacity and ductility of columns. When the section steel ratio increases from 5.54% to 9.99%, although the bearing capacity of columns is improved, it has no obvious contribution to improve the ductility of columns. With the decrease of shear span ratio, the bearing capacity of columns increases obviously, but the ductility decreases, and the failure mode of columns develops into brittle shear failure. Therefore, in the engineering design of columns, the situation of small shear span ratio (i.e., short columns) should be avoided as far as possible. Based on this, the calculation model on the skeleton curves of columns was established by the theoretical analysis and fitting method, so as to determine the main characteristic points in the model. The effectiveness of skeleton curve model is verified by comparing with the test skeleton curves.

공공연구부문에서의 기술이전컨소시엄의 효과와 특성 연구: 공공기술이전컨소시엄 사례를 중심으로 (Effectiveness and characteristics of technology transfer consortia in public R&D sector: The case of Korean TT consortia)

  • 박종복;류태규
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.284-309
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구는 2002년부터 5년간 운영된 권역별 공공기술이전컨소시엄의 실증분석을 통하여 기술이전컨소시엄의 유효성과 주요 특성요인을 살펴보고자 한다. 유효성 검정은 기술이전프로세스를 토대로 하여 개발된 기술이전효율성지수가 컨소시엄의 운영기간 동안 변화한 정도로 판단하였고, 특성요인의 탐색은 기술이전 메커니즘 연구의 핵심변수인 가입동기, 촉진요인, 장애요인 및 극복과제를 사용하여 이루어졌다. 그 결과, 기술이전컨소시엄에 참여한 대학 또는 정부연구기관의 기술 이전효율성지수가 참여하지 않은 기관에 비하여 더욱 큰 증가를 보였으며, 조사된 특성요인들도 컨소시엄의 직접참여자 그룹과 간접참여자 그룹간에 인식 차가 거의 없는 것으로 판명되었다. 본 연구는 기술이전컨소시엄이 새로운 기술이전 메커니즘으로서의 유의미성과 공통적 특성을 갖는지를 탐색해 보았다는 것에 그 의의가 있다.

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WHICH INFORMATION MOVES PRICES: EVIDENCE FROM DAYS WITH DIVIDEND AND EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENTS AND INSIDER TRADING

  • Kim, Chan-Wung;Lee, Jae-Ha
    • 재무관리논총
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.233-265
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    • 1996
  • We examine the impact of public and private information on price movements using the thirty DJIA stocks and twenty-one NASDAQ stocks. We find that the standard deviation of daily returns on information days (dividend announcement, earnings announcement, insider purchase, or insider sale) is much higher than on no-information days. Both public information matters at the NYSE, probably due to masked identification of insiders. Earnings announcement has the greatest impact for both DJIA and NASDAQ stocks, and there is some evidence of positive impact of insider asle on return volatility of NASDAQ stocks. There has been considerable debate, e.g., French and Roll (1986), over whether market volatility is due to public information or private information-the latter gathered through costly search and only revealed through trading. Public information is composed of (1) marketwide public information such as regularly scheduled federal economic announcements (e.g., employment, GNP, leading indicators) and (2) company-specific public information such as dividend and earnings announcements. Policy makers and corporate insiders have a better access to marketwide private information (e.g., a new monetary policy decision made in the Federal Reserve Board meeting) and company-specific private information, respectively, compated to the general public. Ederington and Lee (1993) show that marketwide public information accounts for most of the observed volatility patterns in interest rate and foreign exchange futures markets. Company-specific public information is explored by Patell and Wolfson (1984) and Jennings and Starks (1985). They show that dividend and earnings announcements induce higher than normal volatility in equity prices. Kyle (1985), Admati and Pfleiderer (1988), Barclay, Litzenberger and Warner (1990), Foster and Viswanathan (1990), Back (1992), and Barclay and Warner (1993) show that the private information help by informed traders and revealed through trading influences market volatility. Cornell and Sirri (1992)' and Meulbroek (1992) investigate the actual insider trading activities in a tender offer case and the prosecuted illegal trading cased, respectively. This paper examines the aggregate and individual impact of marketwide information, company-specific public information, and company-specific private information on equity prices. Specifically, we use the thirty common stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and twenty one National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ) common stocks to examine how their prices react to information. Marketwide information (public and private) is estimated by the movement in the Standard and Poors (S & P) 500 Index price for the DJIA stocks and the movement in the NASDAQ Composite Index price for the NASDAQ stocks. Divedend and earnings announcements are used as a subset of company-specific public information. The trading activity of corporate insiders (major corporate officers, members of the board of directors, and owners of at least 10 percent of any equity class) with an access to private information can be cannot legally trade on private information. Therefore, most insider transactions are not necessarily based on private information. Nevertheless, we hypothesize that market participants observe how insiders trade in order to infer any information that they cannot possess because insiders tend to buy (sell) when they have good (bad) information about their company. For example, Damodaran and Liu (1993) show that insiders of real estate investment trusts buy (sell) after they receive favorable (unfavorable) appraisal news before the information in these appraisals is released to the public. Price discovery in a competitive multiple-dealership market (NASDAQ) would be different from that in a monopolistic specialist system (NYSE). Consequently, we hypothesize that NASDAQ stocks are affected more by private information (or more precisely, insider trading) than the DJIA stocks. In the next section, we describe our choices of the fifty-one stocks and the public and private information set. We also discuss institutional differences between the NYSE and the NASDAQ market. In Section II, we examine the implications of public and private information for the volatility of daily returns of each stock. In Section III, we turn to the question of the relative importance of individual elements of our information set. Further analysis of the five DJIA stocks and the four NASDAQ stocks that are most sensitive to earnings announcements is given in Section IV, and our results are summarized in Section V.

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