• 제목/요약/키워드: Co-integration Relationship

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A Study on the Dynamic Relationship between Cultural Industry and Economic Growth

  • He, Yugang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2018
  • The cultural industry is treated as the sunrise industry in modern society. It has taken an increasing role in promoting the economic growth. Due to this, this paper attempts to explore the dynamic relationship between cultural industry and the economic growth. On the grounds of Cobb-Douglas production function, the cultural industry is regarded as a determinant such as the labor input and the capital input to impact the economic growth. Meanwhile, the quarterly datum form 2000-Q1 to 2017-Q4 are employed to perform an empirical analysis via the vector error correction model. The GDP is treated as an independent variable. The input of capital, the input of labor and the total input of cultural industry are treated as dependent variables. Furthermore, a menu of statistical approaches such as the co-integration test and the impulse response function will be used to testify the dynamic relationship between cultural industry and economic growth. Via the Johansen co-integration test, the results report that the cultural industry has a obviously positive effect on economic growth. Through the vector error correction estimation, the results also report that the cultural industry also has a significantly positive effect on economic growth, but less than that of the Johansen co-integration test. This paper provides a view that the cultural industry is a kind of a determinant to promote the economic growth. Therefore, the China's government should pay much attention to the cultural industry construction.

Does CO2 and Its Possible Determinants are Playing Their Role in the Environmental Degradation in Turkey. Environment Kuznets Curve Does Exist in Turkey.

  • RAHMAN, Zia Ur
    • 웰빙융합연구
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.19-37
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    • 2019
  • Over the last few decades, the atmospheric carbon dioxide emission has been amplified to a great extent in Turkey. This amplification may cause global warming, climate change and environmental degradation in Turkey. Consequently, ecological condition and human life may suffer in the near future from these indicated threats. Therefore, an attempt was made to test the relationship among a number of expected factors and carbon dioxide emissions in the case of Turkey. The study covers the time series data over the period of 1970-2017. We employed the modern econometric techniques such as Johansen co-integration, ARDL bound testing approach and the block exogeneity. The results of the Johansen co-integration test show that there is a significant long-run relationship between carbon dioxide emissions and expected factors. The long-run elasticities of the ARDL model show that a 1% increase in the GDP per capita, electric consumption, fiscal development and trade openness will increase carbon dioxide emissions by 0.14, 0.52, 0.09 and 0.20% respectively. Further, our findings reveal that the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis and inverted U-shaped relationship between carbon dioxide emission and economic growth prevails. Therefore, the EKC hypothesis is valid and prevailing in the Turkish economy. The diagnostic test results show that the parameters of the ARDL model are credible, sTable and reliable in the current form. Finally, Block exogeneity analysis displays that all the expected factors are contributing significantly to carbon dioxide emissions in the Turkish economy.

Sectoral Contribution to Economic Development in India: A Time-Series Co-Integration Analysis

  • SOLANKI, Sandip;INUMULA, Krishna Murthy;CHITNIS, Asmita
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권9호
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    • pp.191-200
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    • 2020
  • This research paper examines the causal relationship between India's economic growth and sectoral contribution to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and vice versa, in the short-run and long-run, over a 10 years time period. Johansen's method of cointegration is used to study the cointegration between the sectoral contributions to Indian GDP vis-à-vis India's economic growth. Further, the route of interconnection between economic growth and sectoral contribution is tested by using Vector Auto Regression (VAR) model. Special attention was given for investigating impulse responses of economic growth depending on the innovations in sectoral contribution using time-series data from 1960 to 2015. This paper highlighted a dynamic co-relationship among industrial sector contribution and agricultural sector contribution and economic development. In the long run, one percent change in industrial sector contribution causes an increase of 3.42 percent in the economic growth and an increase of 1.12 percent in the primary sector contribution, while in the short run industrial and service sector contributions showed significant impact on economic development and agriculture sector. The changing composition of sector contribution is going to be an important activity for the policymakers to monitor and control where the technology and integration of sectors play a significant role in economic development.

무장/장착물 통합 기준과 항공기 발사 순항 유도무기 개발 프로세스의 상관성 분석 (Analysis of the Correlation between Armament/Store Integration Criteria and Aircraft Launch Missile Development Process)

  • 최석민;이종홍;김지민;;정재원
    • 한국항행학회논문지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.84-89
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    • 2018
  • 국내 기술의 발달로 인하여 다양한 항공기 발사 무장이 개발되고 있으며, 항공기-무장통합 인증에 대한 중요성 역시 높아지고 있다. 항공기-무장 통합 인증은 표준감항인증기준 (Standard ACC; standard airworthiness certification criteria)에서 제시하는 무장/장착물 통합 기준에 대한 적합성을 검증하여 안전 비행에 문제가 없다는 것을 증명하는 것으로, 무장 개발 후 항공기 통합 과정에서 요구되는 다양한 기준을 만족시켜야 함을 의미한다. 따라서 항공기의 요구사항을 무장 개발 과정에서 반영하여야 적합성 검증 단계에서 설계 변경 소요를 줄일 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 표준감항인증기준과 항공기-무장적합성 기준문서인 MIL-HDBK-1763, 그리고 순항유도무기 개발 프로세스간의 상관성을 분석하였다. 분석 결과 설계 초기 단계부터 공력 및 구조설계 분야에서 항공기 요구사항을 반영하여 개발을 진행하는 경우 항공기-무장 통합 인증 단계에서의 설계 변경 발생을 줄일 수 있다고 판단하였다.

기업 프로세스 통합을 위한 EAI 구축사례: 대교(주)의 EAI 프로젝트를 중심으로 (A Case Study on EAI Implementation for Enterprise Process Integration: Focusing on EAI Project in Deakyo Co)

  • 윤철호;최해성
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.109-119
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    • 2006
  • The company cannot optimize its computing environment just with individual solutions such as ERP(enterprise resource planning), SCM(supply chain management), CRM(customer relationship management), and KM(knowledge management). EAI(enterprise application integration) has emerged as an alternative that can optimize computing environment of the company through integrating such solutions and systems of distributed computing and mainframe environment. This paper reports the case study of Deakyo Co. in successfully implementing EAI. It describes project goal, project organization, project plan, the implemented EAI configuration and its features, the EAI effectiveness to the firm, and the critical success factors of the EAI project. This case study is thought to be useful as a practical guideline in carrying out EAI project of the company and to provide significant basis for constructing the theoretical framework of EAI project methodology.

분위수 공적분 모형과 해운 경기변동 분석 (Quantile Co-integration Application for Maritime Business Fluctuation)

  • 김현석
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.153-164
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구는 2000년 1월부터 2021년 12월까지의 대표적 원자재 운송 수단인 Capesize 중고선가를 대상으로 해운산업에 대한 분위수 모형을 추정한다. 본 연구는 두 가지 학술적 기여를 목표로 한다. 첫째, 혼재된 실증분석 결과가 제기되는 원자재 운송 시장의 대표적 선종인 Capesize 중고선과 운임시장의 연관성을 분석한다. 둘째, 분위수 회귀로 김현석·장명희(2020a) 연구에서 제기하는 구조변환을 고려하는 실증분석 모형을 제시한다. 분석 결과는 분위수 모형은 시계열 자료에서 구조변화를 분석에 반영함으로써 오차의 불안정성으로 제기되는 문제를 우회할 수 있음을 확인한다. 그리고 공적분 모형의 장기 균형관계를 장기와 단기 추정변수를 통해 외생변수의 장·단기 영향으로 구분하고, 이를 분위별로 세분화한 예측으로 확장한다. 이상의 추정결과는 해운 이론모형에 기반한 분석을 인공지능과 기계학습으로 확장할 수 있는 근거가 된다.

E-commerce Readiness, Micro, Small, and Medium-Sized Enterprises (MSMEs), and Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation

  • Anasuya Barik;Sidheswar Panda
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.246-260
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    • 2023
  • With the advent of COVID-19, the world economy has undergone enormous losses and unprecedented crises. Moreover, this pandemic has put a significant effect on all business organizations, comprising the micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) sector. MSMEs have been continuing to develop business strategies and are eager to compete in the market. The COVID-19 pandemic has shifted the full focus of MSMEs from 'business growth' to 'business survival' worldwide. E-commerce readiness plays a crucial role in a time of uncertainty and crisis during COVID-19 and affects the durability and sustainability of the business. This study attempts to study the readiness of online business and "E-commerce" adoption of MSMEs and its contribution to economic growth by utilizing both qualitative and quantitative techniques in the case of India. We use content analysis to determine the readiness of online business and Ecommerce in the post COVID-19 period. The result highlights the specific issues of this sector such as the shortage of resources and disruptions in the supply chain & logistical issues during the COVID-19 pandemic. Qualitative analysis discloses that almost half of the respondents adopt online platforms along with additional challenges to sustain their business during the pandemic. This study utilizes annual time series data for the period from 1973-74 to 2017-18 to understand the long-run relationship between India's GDP and MSMEs units. By utilizing the co-integration technique, this study reveals that there is a long-run relationship between MSME units and the economic growth of this country.

Co-creation을 위한 SNS 플랫폼의 개념 모델 (The Conceptual Model of a SNS Platform for Co-creation)

  • 홍순구;김현종;최형림
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.95-104
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    • 2012
  • 기업은 SNS를 홍보 및 마케팅, 고객관리에 적극 이용하고 있다. 그러나 SNS는 고객의 의견과 아이디어를 수집하고 기업 내 외 관계자들의 협업을 도모하는 Co-creation을 실현하기에는 부족한 기능이 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 기업과 소비자의 상호연계를 통한 가치를 공동 창출하는 Co-creation을 위한 SNS의 플랫폼을 설계하는 것이다. 이를 위해 기존의 SNS의 문제점을 파악하고 SNS의 플랫폼 설계를 위한 고려사항으로 애플리케이션의 활용, 클라우드 서비스와의 연동, 기업 시스템과의 연동을 설계의 주요 요소로 정의 하고 각 요소별로 플랫폼을 설계하였으며 이를 통합한 플랫폼의 모형을 제시하였다. 설계된 플랫폼은 가상의 시나리오를 통해 그 타당성을 살펴보았다. 본 연구의 시사점으로는 Co-creation을 SNS와 접목하여 기업과 소비자 간의 공동 가치창출을 위해 소통의 효과와 효율을 극대화 시킬 수 있는 SNS의 플랫폼 설계에 관한 연구가 처음으로 시도되어 후속 연구를 유발하였다는 점이다.

A 3D co-rotational beam element for steel and RC framed structures

  • Long, Xu;Tan, Kang Hai;Lee, Chi King
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제48권5호
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    • pp.587-613
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    • 2013
  • A 3-node 3D co-rotational beam element using vectorial rotational variables is employed to consider the geometric nonlinearity in 3D space. To account for shape versatility and reinforced concrete cross-sections, fibre model has been derived and conducted. Numerical integration over the cross-section is performed, considering both normal and shear stresses. In addition, the derivations associated with material nonlinearity are given in terms of elasto-plastic incremental stress-strain relationship for both steel and concrete. Steel reinforcement is treated as elasto-plastic material with Von Mises yield criterion. Compressive concrete behaviour is described by Modified Kent and Park model, while tensile stiffening effect is taken into account as well. Through several numerical examples, it is shown that the proposed 3D co-rotational beam element with fibre model can be used to simulate steel and reinforced concrete framed structures with satisfactory accuracy and efficiency.

주택유통산업에서의 주택가격과 기대주택가격간의 관계분석 (Relationship Between Housing Prices and Expected Housing Prices in the Real Estate Industry)

  • 최차순
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제13권11호
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - In Korea, there has been a recent trend that shows housing prices have risen rapidly following the International Monetary Fund crisis. The rapid rise in housing prices is spreading recognition of this as a factor in housing price volatility. In addition, this raises the expectations of housing prices in the future. These expectations are based on the assumption that a relationship exists between the current housing prices and expected housing prices in the real estate industry. By performing an empirical analysis on the validity of the claim that an increase in current housing prices can be correlated with expected housing prices, this study examines whether a long-term equilibrium relationship exists between expected housing prices and existing housing prices. If such a relationship exists, the recovery of equilibrium from disequilibrium is analyzed to derive related implications. Research design, data, and methodology - The relationship between current housing prices and expected housing prices was analyzed empirically using the Vector Error Correction Model. This model was applied to the co-integration test, the long-term equilibrium equation among variables, and the causality test. The housing prices used in the analysis were based on the National Housing Price Trend Survey released by Kookmin Bank. Additionally, the Index of Industrial Product and the Consumer Price Index were also used and were obtained from the Bank of Korea ECOS. The monthly data analyzed were from January 1987 to May 2015. Results - First, a long-term equilibrium relationship was established as one co-integration between current housing price distribution and expected housing prices. Second, the sign of the long-term equilibrium relationship variable was consistent with the theoretical sign, with the elasticity of housing price distribution to expected housing price, the industrial production, and the consumer price volatility revealed as 1.600, 0.104,and 0.092, respectively. This implies that the long-term effect of expected housing price volatility on housing price distribution is more significant than that of the industrial production and consumer price volatility. Third, the sign of the coefficient of the error correction term coincided with the theoretical sign. The absolute value of the coefficient of the correction term in the industrial production equation was 0.006, significantly larger than the coefficients for the expected housing price and the consumer price equation. In case of divergence from the long-term equilibrium relationship, the state of equilibrium will be restored through changes in the interest rate. Fourth, housing-price volatility was found to be causal to expected housing price, and was shown to be bi-directionally causal to industrial production. Conclusions - Based on the finding of this study, it is required to relieve the association between current housing price distribution and expected housing price by using property taxes and the loan-to-value policy to stabilize the housing market. Further, the relationship between housing price distribution and expected housing price can be examined and tested using a sophisticated methodology and policy variables.