• 제목/요약/키워드: Climate sensitivity

검색결과 227건 처리시간 0.026초

부산지역 토지이용(land-use) 변화에 의한 열환경 수치모의 (A Numerical Simulation for Thermal Environments by the Modification of Land-use in Busan)

  • 김유근;문윤섭;오인보;임윤규
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.453-463
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    • 2002
  • Prognostic meteorological model, MM5V3 (Mesoscale Model 5 Version 3) was used to assess the effects of the land-use modifications on spatial variations of temperature and wind fields in Busan during the selected period of summer season in 2000. We first examined sensitivity analysis for temperature between MM5V3 predictions and meteorological data observed at 4 AWS (Automatic Weather System) stations in Busan, which exhibited low structural and accurate errors (Mean Bias Error, MBE: 0.73, Root Mean Square Error, RMSE: 1.18 on maximum). The second part of this paper, MMSV3 simulations for the modification of land-use was performed with 1 km resolution in target domain, 46$\times$46 $\textrm{km}^2$ area around city of Busan. It was found that modification result from change of surface land-use in central urban area altered spatial distributions of temperature and wind. In particular, heat island core moved slightly to the seaward at 1300 LST. This results may imply that modification of surface land-use leads to change the thermal environments; in addition, it has a significant effect on local wind circulations and dispersions of air pollutants.

수문학적 예측의 정확도에 따른 저수지 시스템 운영의 민감도 분석 (Sensitivity Analysis for Operation a Reservoir System to Hydrologic Forecast Accuracy)

  • 김영오
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.855-862
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    • 1998
  • 본 연구는 수력발전을 위한 저수지 관리에 있어 예측오차의 영향을 살펴보기 위해 예측오차를 Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)로 측정하였고, 이를 Generalized Maintenance Of Variance Extension (GMOVE)기법을 통하여 변화시켜보았다.변화된 예측오차의 RMSE는 천이확률을 통하여 Bayesian Stochastic Dynamic Programming (BSDP)에 고려되어졌으며, 이 BSDP 모형을 이용하여 월별 방류량을 결정하였고 그 유용성을 평가하였다. 제시된 연구방법은 미국의 Skagit 시스템에 적용되었고, 그 결과로 Skagit 시스템의 운영은 예측오차의 RMSE에 비선형이므로 반응하므로 이 시스템의 운영을 개선하기 위해서는 현재의 수문학적 예측기법을 개선해야함을 제시하였다.

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Advances in the design of high-rise structures by the wind tunnel procedure: Conceptual framework

  • Simiu, Emil;Yeo, DongHun
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.489-503
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    • 2015
  • This paper surveys and complements contributions by the National Institute of Standards and Technology to techniques ensuring that the wind tunnel procedure for the design of high-rise structures is based on sound methods and allows unambiguous inter-laboratory comparisons. Developments that enabled substantial advances in these techniques include: Instrumentation for simultaneously measuring pressures at multiple taps; time-domain analysis methods for estimating directional dynamic effects; creation of large simulated extreme directional wind speed data sets; non-parametric methods for estimating mean recurrence intervals (MRIs) of Demand-to-Capacity Indexes (DCIs); and member sizing based on peak DCIs with specified MRIs. To implement these advances changes are needed in the traditional division of tasks between wind and structural engineers. Wind engineers should provide large sets of directional wind speeds, pressure coefficient time series, and estimates of uncertainties in wind speeds and pressure coefficients. Structural engineers should perform the dynamic analyses, estimates of MRIs of wind effects, sensitivity studies, and iterative sizing of structural members. The procedure is transparent, eliminates guesswork inherent in frequency domain methods and due to the lack of pressure measurements, and enables structural engineers to be in full control of the structural design for wind.

Variation of Hydro-Meteorological Variables in Korea

  • Nkomozepi, Temba;Chung, Sang-Ok;Kim, Hyun-Ki
    • Current Research on Agriculture and Life Sciences
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 2014
  • The variability and temporal trends of the annual and seasonal minimum and maximum temperature, rainfall, relative humidity, wind speed, sunshine hours, and runoff were analyzed for 5 major rivers in Korea from 1960 to 2010. A simple regression and non-parametric methods (Mann-Kendall test and Sen's estimator) were used in this study. The analysis results show that the minimum temperature ($T_{min}$) had a higher increasing trend than the maximum temperature ($T_{max}$), and the average temperature increased by about $0.03^{\circ}C\;yr.^{-1}$. The relative humidity and wind speed decreased by $0.02%\;yr^{-1}$ and $0.01m\;s^{-1}yr^{-1}$, respectively. With the exception of the Han River basin, the regression analysis and Mann-Kendall and Sen results failed to detect trends for the runoff and rainfall over the study period. Rapid land use changes were linked to the increase in the runoff in the Han River basin. The sensitivity of the evapotranspiration and ultimately the runoff to the meteorological variables was in the order of relative humidity > sunshine duration > wind speed > $T_{max}$ > $T_{min}$. Future studies should investigate the interaction of the variables analyzed herein, and their relative contributions to the runoff trends.

읍면 단위 도서지역의 가뭄 취약성 평가 (Vulnerability assessment of drought of small island areas in Korea)

  • 심인태;홍봉창;김은주;황태문
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.341-351
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate vulnerability of drought in small island areas. Vulnerability assessment factors of drought were selected by applying the factor analysis. Ninety Eup/Myon areas in small island were evaluated to vulnerability of drought by entropy method adapting objective weights. Vulnerability consisted of climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. A total of 22 indicators were used to evaluate and analyze vulnerability of drought in small island areas. The results of entropy method showed that winter rainfall, no rainfall days, agricultural population rate, cultivation area rate, water supply rate and groundwater capacity have a significant impact on drought assessment. The overall assessment of vulnerability indicated that Seodo-myeon Ganghwa-gun, Seolcheon-myeon Namhae-gun and Samsan-myeon Ganghwa-gun were the most vulnerable to drought. Especially Ganghwa-gun should be considered policy priority to establish drought measures in the future, because it has a high vulnerability of drought.

기후변화와 미래 용수공급 안정성을 고려한 한반도 가뭄 위험도 평가 (Evaluation on Drought Risk of the Korean peninsula considering climate change and future water supply stability)

  • 나병찬;이현주;서찬양;최시중;이주헌
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.122-122
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    • 2019
  • 가뭄위험도(Drought Risk)는 위해성(Hazard), 취약성(Vulnerability), 민감도(Sensitivity) 및 적응능력(Adaptive Capacity) 등 여러 가지의 지표를 활용하여 평가가 가능하다. 가용한 자료와 분석기법에 따라서 위해성과 취약성만으로도 평가가 가능하며, 유역내의 가용한 수자원인프라에 의한 적응능력을 포함하여 평가할 수도 있다. 본 연구에서는 미래 가뭄위험도를 평가하기 위하여 기후학적 인자인 가뭄 위해성과 사회 경제적 인자인 취약성 인자 그리고 유역내의 수자원 인프라시설(용수공급 시설)에 의한 적응능력과 관련된 지표를 조합하였다. 특히, 물수요와 공급가능량을 고려한 물수지분석을 통하여 미래 용수공급 안정성을 평가하였으며 다양한 기후변화 시나리오 기반 가뭄 위해성 인자를 Rating 기법을 활용하여 산정하였으며, 취약성의 경우 인구밀도, 농경지 면적 등의 민감도와 적응능력을 동시에 고려할 수 있는 용수 부족량을 시나리오별로 산정하였다. 본 연구를 통하여 도출된 한반도의 미래 가뭄위험도 평가 결과는 유역별 가뭄대책을 수립하기 위한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Vibration based bridge scour evaluation: A data-driven method using support vector machines

  • Zhang, Zhiming;Sun, Chao;Li, Changbin;Sun, Mingxuan
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.125-145
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    • 2019
  • Bridge scour is one of the predominant causes of bridge failure. Current climate deterioration leads to increase of flooding frequency and severity and thus poses a higher risk of bridge scour failure than before. Recent studies have explored extensively the vibration-based scour monitoring technique by analyzing the structural modal properties before and after damage. However, the state-of-art of this area lacks a systematic approach with sufficient robustness and credibility for practical decision making. This paper attempts to develop a data-driven methodology for bridge scour monitoring using support vector machines. This study extracts features from the bridge dynamic responses based on a generic sensitivity study on the bridge's modal properties and selects the features that are significantly contributive to bridge scour detection. Results indicate that the proposed data-driven method can quantify the bridge scour damage with satisfactory accuracy for most cases. This paper provides an alternative methodology for bridge scour evaluation using the machine learning method. It has the potential to be practically applied for bridge safety assessment in case that scour happens.

Nuclear energy consumption, nuclear fusion reactors and environmental quality: The case of G7 countries

  • Cakar, Nigar Demircan;Erdogan, Seyfettin;Gedikli, Ayfer;Oncu, Mehmet Akif
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권4호
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    • pp.1301-1311
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    • 2022
  • Global climate change brings environmental quality sensitivity, especially in developed countries. Developed countries use non-renewable energy sources intensively both in their own countries and in other countries, they make productions that cause an enormous rate of increase in CO2 emissions and unsustainable environmental costs. This has increased the interest in environmentally friendly alternative energy sources. The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of nuclear energy consumption and technological innovation on environmental quality in G7 countries using annual data over the period 1970-2015. The Panel Threshold Regression Model was used for the analysis. Empirical findings have indicated that the relationship between nuclear energy consumption and carbon emissions differs according to innovation for nuclear power plants. It was also concluded that nuclear energy consumption reduces carbon emissions more after a certain level of innovation. This result shows that the increase in innovative technologies for nuclear power plants not only increases energy efficiency but also contributes positively to environmental quality.

미세먼지 여지의 무게 측정을 위한 저비용 계량챔버 개발 및 성능평가 (Development and Evaluation of an Inexpensive Weighing Chamber for Particulate Filters)

  • 박준현;임호진
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.131-137
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    • 2023
  • Filter and microbalance sensitivity in measuring fine particulate matter mass is greatly influenced by particulate properties and environmental factors. Temperature and humidity control inside a measuring chamber with a microbalance, and neutralization of static charges on filters are essential for consistent filter weighing. Commercial weighing chambers are expensive with a unit price of tens of millions won. This study developed an inexpensive weighing chamber for weighing fine particulate matter and evaluatedits weighing performance. A microbalance with 1 ㎍ precision was used to measure the weight of a filter. The microbalance was set in a transparent acrylic enclosure (100 × 60 × 65 cm3) equipped with temperature and humidity control equipments. Weighing performance of the chamber was examined using Teflon filters with or without different particulate sample types. Temperature and humidity were maintained at approximately 23.2±1.2 ℃ and 36.2±1.8℃ for 8 days, respectively.

에디 공분산 기반의 플럭스 타워 관측자료를 이용한 두만강 유역 습지 생태계 CO2 흡수량 분석 (Estimating carbon dioxide uptake in wetland ecosystems of Tumen River Basin using eddy covariance flux data)

  • ;;;이동근
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2024
  • In the context of rapid temperature rise in mid-to-high latitude regions, cold region wetlands have become a hotspot for current wetland carbon cycle research due to their high sensitivity to climate change. Strengthening the monitoring of CO2 fluxes in wetland ecosystems is of great practical significance for clarifying the carbon balance of wetlands and maintaining the ecological balance of wetland ecosystems in China's high latitude regions. In this study, the carbon flux (NEE, Net ecosystem exchange; GPP, Gross Primary Production; RECO, Ecosystem response) of Jingxin Wetland was monitored by eddy correlation method from August 2021 to March 2024.2022-2023 shows CO2 sinks, absorbing 349.4 g C·m-2·yr-1 annually. The correlation analysis showed that Ta, VPD and PPFD were the main environmental factors affecting CO2 flux in Jingxin wetland.