• 제목/요약/키워드: Climate risk

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민간기업을 위한 물리적 기후리스크 추정 연구 (Estimation of Physical Climate Risk for Private Companies)

  • 최용상;유창현;공민정;조민정;정해수;이윤경;박선기;안명환;황재학;김성주
    • 대기
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 2024
  • Private companies are increasingly required to take more substantial actions on climate change. This study introduces the principle and cases of climate (physical) risk estimation for 11 private companies in Korea. Climate risk is defined as the product of three major determinants: hazard, exposure, and vulnerability. Hazard is the intensity or frequency of weather phenomena that can cause disasters. Vulnerability can be reflected in the function that explains the relationship between past weather records and loss records. The final climate risk is calculated by multiplying the function by the exposure, which is defined as the area or value of the target area exposed to the climate. Future climate risk is estimated by applying future exposure to estimated future hazard using climate model scenarios or statistical trends based on weather data. The estimated climate risks are developed into three types according to the demand of private companies: i) climate risk for financial portfolio management, ii) climate risk for port logistics management, iii) climate risk for supply chain management. We hope that this study will contribute to the establishment of the climate risk management system in the Korean industrial sector as a whole.

기후변화 리스크의 지역 불평등 모니터링 : 폭염을 중심으로 (Monitoring regional inequalities in climate change risk - A Focus on Heatwave -)

  • 김근한
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.97-107
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    • 2021
  • Abnormal climate caused by climate change causes enormous social and economic damage. And such damage and its impact may vary depending on the location and regional characteristics of the region and the social and economic conditions of local residents. Therefore, it is necessary to continuously monitor whether there are indicators that are weaker than other regions among the detailed indicators that constitute the risk, exposure and vulnerability of climate change risk. In this study, the concept of climate change risk was used for heatwave to determine regional inequality of climate change risk. In other words, it was judged that inequality in climate change risk occurred in regions with high risk but high exposure and low vulnerability compared to other regions. As a result of the analysis, it was found that 13 local governments in Korea experienced regional inequality in climate change risk. In order to resolve regional inequality in climate change risks, the current status of regional inequality in climate change should be checked based on the analysis proposed in this study, there is a need for an evaluation and monitoring system that can provide appropriate feedback on areas where inequality has occurred. This continuous evaluation and monitoring-based feedback system is expected to be of great help in resolving regional inequality in climate change risks.

기후변화 위험관리를 위한 체계 (A Framework for Climate Change Risk Management)

  • 이승준
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.367-379
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    • 2019
  • 연구목적: 본 연구는 기후변화에 따른 재난의 특성을 분석하여 기후위험에 대비하기 위한 관리체계를 제시함을 목적으로 한다. 연구방법: 최근 국내외 자연재난으로 인한 피해의 추이를 분석하고 기후변화에 따른 재난의 특성을 파악함으로써 기후위험을 위한 관리체계를 설계한다. 연구결과: 기후변화에 따른 위험의 불확실성과 다양한 규모의 재난을 고려할 때, 위험의 평가에서부터 목표 설정, 계획 수립, 모니터링 및 평가, 학습과 조정 등의 핵심과정을 포함하는 포괄적 기후위험 관리체계가 요구되며, 이는 이해관계자 참여를 바탕으로 지속적으로 반복되는 체계를 의미한다. 결론: 본 연구에서 제시한 포괄적 기후위험 관리체계를 효과적으로 추진하기 위해 시범사업을 통해 관리체계를 수정 및 보완하고, 필요한 제도적 여건을 마련해야 한다.

Global Assessment of Climate Change-Associated Drought Risk

  • 김혜진;김연주
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.397-397
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    • 2019
  • With the consequences of climate change becoming more evident, research on climate-associated risks has become a basis for climate adaptation and mitigation. Amongst the different sectors and natural resources considered in assessing such risks, drought is one impact to our environment that experiences stress from climate change but is often overlooked and has the potential to bring severe consequences when drought occurs. For example, when temperatures are higher, water demand increases and water supply decreases; when precipitation patterns fluctuate immensely, floods and droughts occur more frequently at greater magnitudes, putting stress on ecosystems. Hence, it is important for us to evaluate drought risk to observe how different climate change and socioeconomic scenarios can affect this vital life resource. In this study, we review the context of drought risk on the basis of climate change impacts and socioeconomic indicators. As underlined in the IPCC AR5 report, the risks are identified by understanding the vulnerability, exposure, and hazards of drought. This study analyzed drought risk on a global scale with different RCP scenarios projected until the year 2099 with a focus on the variables population, precipitation, water resources, and temperature.

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The Influence of Safety Climate, Safety Leadership, Workload, and Accident Experiences on Risk Perception: A Study of Korean Manufacturing Workers

  • Oah, Shezeen;Na, Rudia;Moon, Kwangsu
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.427-433
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    • 2018
  • Background: The purpose of this study was to identify the influence of workers' perceived workload, accident experiences, supervisors' safety leadership, and an organization's safety climate on the cognitive and emotional risk perception. Methods: Six hundred and twenty employees in a variety of manufacturing organizations were asked to complete to a questionnaire. Among them, a total of 376 employees provided valid data for analysis. To test the hypothesis, correlation analysis and hierarchical regression analysis were used. Statistical analyses were conducted using IBM SPSS program, version 23. Results: The results indicated that workload and accident experiences have a positive influence and safety leadership and safety climate have a negative influence on the cognitive and emotional risk perception. Workload, safety leadership, and the safety climate influence perceived risk more than accident experience, especially for the emotional risk perception. Conclusion: These results indicated that multilevel factors (organization, group, and individual) play a critical role in predicting individual risk perceptions. Based on these results, therefore, to reduce risk perception related with unsafe behaviors and accidents, organizations need to conduct a variety of safety programs that enhance their safety climate beyond simple safety-related education and training. Simultaneously, it needs to seek ways to promote supervisors' safety leadership behaviors (e.g., site visits, feedback, safety communication, etc.). In addition, it is necessary to adjust work speed and amount and allocate task considering employees' skill and ability to reduce the workload for reducing risk perception.

Attribution of Responsibility, Risk Perception, and Perceived Corporate Social Responsibility in Predicting Policy Support for Climate Change Mitigation: Evidence from South Korea

  • Bumsub Jin
    • Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.182-200
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    • 2023
  • A recent nationwide survey reported that South Koreans perceive large corporations as the party that should be the most responsible for tackling climate change. This public opinion result offers insight into the argument that defining who is responsible for the climate change issue can guide campaigners and policymakers in designing effective communication strategies. This study examines how attributing responsibility to large corporations can affect behavioral intention to support government policy and regulation via a moderated mediation model of the perceived risk of climate change and corporate social responsibility (CSR). A nationwide online survey of 295 South Koreans was conducted. The findings reveal an indirect effect of responsibility attribution on behavioral intention through risk perception. Moreover, perceived CSR moderated the causal link between risk perception and behavioral intention, such that South Koreans reported higher levels of behavioral intention when they reported higher CSR. However, perceived CSR failed to moderate the indirect effect. These findings have implications for communication processes and policymaking to address climate change problems in South Korea.

Implementation of Agrometeorological Early Warning System for Weather Risk Management in South Korea

  • Shim, Kyo Moon;Kim, Yong Seok;Jung, Myung-Pyo;Choi, In Tae;Kim, Hojung;Kang, Kee Kyung
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.171-175
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of the farmstead-specific early warning service system for weather risk management is to develop custom-made risk management recommendations for individual farms threatened by climate change and its variability. This system quantifies weather conditions into a "weather risk index" that is customized to crop and its growth stage. When the risk reaches the stage where it can cause any damage to the crops, the system is activated and the corresponding warning messages are delivered to the farmer's mobile phone. The messages are sent with proper recommendations that farmers can utilize to protect their crops against potential damage. Currently, the technology necessary to make the warning system more practical has been developed, including technology for forecasting real-time weather conditions, scaling down of weather data to the individual farm level and risk assessments of specific crops. Furthermore, the scientific know-how has already been integrated into a web-based warning system (http://new.agmet.kr). The system is provided to volunteer farmers with direct, one-on-one weather data and disaster warnings along with relevant recommendations. In 2016, an operational system was established in a rural catchment ($1,500km^2$) in the Seomjin river basin.

기후변화에 따른 공공기관 건축물의 리스크평가 (Risk Assessment of Public Agencies' Buildings due to Climate Change)

  • 최윤철
    • 대한건축학회논문집:구조계
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    • 제33권12호
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 2017
  • Climate change not only has various impacts such as human shoes, economics, the environment, industry, etc. but the damage caused by this is also increasing, it is expected that severe damage will not occur without efforts to respond to climate change ing. Therefore, as the impact of climate change like the extreme weather phenomenon is dailyized and its strength tends to become stronger, as much as the mitigation measures of climate change, as a comparative effort to reduce the negative impact of climate change, adaptation to climate change is necessary. Especially when the damage caused by climate change (intense heat, torrential rain, cold wave and heavy snow etc.) as an institution responsible for the provision of public services such as public institutions, the socio-economic spread to the nation and the people The effect is very large. We confirmed the level of response to climate change for the entire public institution, and selected climate change risk which is relatively important for specific facilities and business establishments of public institutions, climate change adaptation measures We will try to utilize it as basic material of establishment.

기후변화에 따른 기업 공급체인의 물 리스크 대응 실태 조사 (A study of how Supply Chain companies correspond to water risk resulted from climate change)

  • 박지영;박석하;임병선;김제숭
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.149-168
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    • 2015
  • It is expected that the temperature in Pyeongyang will be similar to that ($16.6^{\circ}C$) in Seogwipo in the late 21st century, and most of South Korea will enter the subtropical climate due to climate change. Change in the precipitation pattern like the range of fluctuation caused by climate change will lead to expanded uncertainty in securing reliable water supply, along with a serious impact on demands for living and industrial water due to change in the volume and period of river outflow. As industrial water for production activities is estimated based on the contract quantity, it is difficult to apply rationalization of water usage and incentives in water recycling. Therefore many companies are making efforts in complying with the effluent standard while spending few resources on such rationalization and recycling. This study researched water risk management over 115 Korean companies by 28 questions in 4 categories. Through the research, this study aims to understand water risk management levels and seek response plans.

기후변화 적응을 위한 리스크 평가 및 유형화: 영국의 정성적 리스크 평가 방법론 적용 (Risk Assessment and Clasification for Climate Change Adaptation: Application on the Method of Climate Change Risk Assessment in the UK)

  • 김동현
    • 환경정책연구
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.53-83
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    • 2015
  • 최근 기후변화 적응 분야의 연구에 있어 리스크 평가가 적응정책 수립의 중간 과정으로서 논의되고 있다. 기후변화 리스크 평가는 기존의 기후변화 영향평가, 취약성 평가와 더불어 적응정책을 도출하는 데 있어, 관리방안 구성의 매개체로서 역할을 하는 것으로 알려져 있으며 영국 적응정책 수립에 활용되었다. 목적은 영국의 국가 적응정책 수립에 활용된 정성적 리스크 평가의 방법의 일부를 국내 적응정책 수립의 각 부문에 대해 적용하고, 이를 유형화하여 관리방안의 방향을 도출하고자 하는 것이다. 방법으로는 델파이 기법을 응용한 전문가 설문조사와 Klinke and Renn(2002)이 제안한 유형화의 방법을 적용하였다. 논문에 사용된 기후변화 리스크는 국내 기후변화 영향 및 취약성 보고서, 국가기후변화적응대책, 영국 리스크 평가에 사용된 목록 등을 활용하였다. 분석결과 총 125개 리스크 중 42개가 선택되었다. 리스크의 영향정도와 관리의 시급성이 높은 리스크의 경우는 이상기상, 극한기상과 관련하여 반복적이고 피해규모가 커지는 풍수해 관련 리스크가 다수를 차지하였다. 또한, 생태계 변화, 기반시설 대응과 같은 중장기적 대응이 필요한 리스크도 다수 도출되었다. 국내의 기후변화 리스크는 사회적 신뢰와 촉발메커니즘, 책임성 등이 관리에서 요구되는 유형으로 나타났다. 시사점으로 시민사회의 역량강화와 상호간 신뢰, 정책구성에 있어 시민참여 등을 통해 자율적 적응의 폭을 넓일 것을 제안하였다.

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