• 제목/요약/키워드: Climate extremes

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기후변화에 대한 생태계 적응전략 (Environmental Implications of an Increasingly Erratic Climate)

  • 에스 엘윈 테일러
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.22-27
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    • 2006
  • 최근 수십년간 관측자료에 의하면 기후는 여러 측면에서 눈에 띄게 달라졌다. 이제는 관측이래 최고기온 혹은 최대강수량이란 단어가 그렇게 낯설지않은 시대가 되었고 앞으로의 변화와 그 여파에 더욱 긴장하며 살고 있다. 하지만 기후변화와 그 영향을 조금만 잘 이해하면 생태, 사회, 경제적 영향 가운데 우리가 충분히 받아들일 수 있는 부분도 상당하다. 식물과 자연생태계는 기후변화에 적응할 수 있는 다양한 방법을 이미 우리에게 보여주었다. 지구온난화에 의해 우리의 기후는 더욱 예측불허의 혼란에 빠질 것으로 보인다. 이 논문을 통해 역사적인 기후이변사례와 식물의 적응전략을 찾아보며, 인류가 기후변화를 극복하고 생태계를 유지하기 위해 보여주었거나 혹은 그렇지 못했던 사례에 대해 설명한다.

Assessment of extreme precipitation changes on flood damage in Chungcheong region of South Korea

  • Bashir Adelodun;Golden Odey;Qudus Adeyi;Kyung Sook Choi
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.163-163
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    • 2023
  • Flooding has become an increasing event which is one of the major natural disasters responsible for direct economic damage in South Korea. Driven by climate change, precipitation extremes play significant role on the flood damage and its further increase is expected to exacerbate the socioeconomic impact in the country. However, the empirical evidence associating changes in precipitation extremes to the historical flood damage is limited. Thus, there is a need to assess the causal relationship between changes in precipitation extremes and flood damage, especially in agricultural region like Chungcheong region in South Korea. The spatial and temporal changes of precipitation extremes from 10 synoptic stations based on daily precipitation data were analyzed using the ClimPACT2 tool and Mann-Kendall test. The four precipitation extreme indices consisting of consecutive wet days (CWD), number of very heavy precipitation wet days (R30 mm), maximum 1-day precipitation amount (Rx1day), and simple daily precipitation intensity (SDII), which represent changes in intensity, frequency, and duration, respectively, and the time series data on flooded area and flood damage from 1985 to 2020 were used to investigate the causal relationship in the ARDL-ECM framework and pairwise Granger causality analysis. The trend results showed that majority of the precipitation indices indicated positive trends, however, CWD showed no significant changes. ARDL-ECM framework showed that there was a long-run relationship among the variables. Further analysis on the empirical results showed that flooded area and Rx1day have significant positive impacts on the flood damage in both short and long-runs while R30 mm only indicated significant positive impact in the short-run, both in the current period, which implies that an increase in flooded area, Rx1day, and R30 mm will cause an increase in the flood damage. The pairwise Granger analysis showed unidirectional causality from the flooded area, R30 mm, Rx1day, and SDII to flood damage. Thus, these precipitation indices could be useful as indicators of pluvial flood damage in Chungcheong region of South Korea.

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기후변화·기상학적 비전·문학적 상상력 (Climate Change, Meteorological Vision, and Literary Imagination)

  • 신문수
    • 영어영문학
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    • 제57권1호
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    • pp.3-25
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    • 2011
  • As extremes of climate such as heavy storms, rainfalls, and droughts tend to be routine in recent years, global climate change becomes a serious concern not only for natural scientists but also for scholars of the human sciences. Efforts to tackle the anthropogenic climate change certainly require not only scientific knowledge about it but also a new sociocultural paradigm for valorizing and respecting nature in its own right. The huge casualties and mass destruction caused by recent climate disasters also remind us that nature has been an important factor to bring about changes in human history-a fact largely ignored in traditional history. This again validates the ecocritical request to prioritize place, physical setting, or the relationship characters hold with the natural world in understanding literary works. In this context this paper aims to demonstrate the importance of the meteorological vision in creating as well as understanding literary and cultural texts by examining such works as Shelley's "The Cloud," Byron's "Darkness," Keats's "To Autumn," all produced during the period of dramatic climate change including "the year without summer." It also briefly discusses Roland Emmerich's 2004 movie The Day after Tomorrow as a way of understanding recent cultural responses to the crisis of global warming.

미래 서울의 여름날씨 전망과 도시농업에의 영향 (Projections of Future Summer Weather in Seoul and Their Impacts on Urban Agriculture)

  • 김진희;윤진일
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.182-189
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    • 2015
  • 기후이탈이 예상되는 2041-2070년 기간의 서울지방 여름(6월1일-9월30일) 날씨를 기상청 시나리오 기후자료(RCP8.5 기반) 가운데 일 최고기온과 최저기온 측면에서 전망하고, 이것이 도시농업의 주작목인 고추의 생육에 미치는 영향을 평가하였다. 이 시기의 일 최고기온 및 최저기온 평균값은 과거평년(1951-1980)의 극한기후 기준(90분위)에 근접하였다. 반면 폭염과 열대야의 경우 기후이탈시점까지 가기 전인 가까운 미래1평년(2011-2040) 기간에 이미 최빈값이 과거에 관측된 변동범위를 벗어났다. 기온의 평균값을 기준으로 본 기후이탈시점은 2040년 이후이지만, 폭염이나 열대야 같은 기후 극한지수 차원에서는 기후이탈이 이미 시작된 것으로 판단된다. 도시농업의 주작물인 고추의 생육을 대상으로 시나리오기후를 적용한 결과, 기후이탈시점과 거의 함께 노지고추 최초 정식일, 최종 수확일 등 주요 농업기후도 이탈이 시작될 것으로 전망되었다. 최초 정식일로부터 최종 수확일까지 전 기간, 즉 노지고추 재배 가능기간은 과거평년 변동 범위로부터 이탈시기가 정식일이나 수확일보다 30년 일찍 시작되었다.

수질영향평가의 신뢰수준 향상을 위한 기상자료의 검정 (Climate Data Qualification for Water Quality Impact Assessment)

  • 이길하;조홍연
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제20권5호
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    • pp.601-613
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    • 2011
  • This study is focused on a climate data integrity to improve water quality assessment due to the social development projects. The study is in an attempt to calculate both extreme ranges of weather data measurements and partly provide means to assess qualification of data which fall within the extremes at the 23 meteorological weather stations. Generally speaking, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, relative humidity, dew point temperature are in the range of reasonable accuracy. However, there found some outliers of the brightness sunshine hours in Cheonan station. Also some years in Gwangju, Seoul, Wonju, Busan, and Jeju never reach to their upper limit and perhaps the calibration of the equipment is doubtful. The users need to take cautions in using the brightness sunshine hour data in preparation of water resources planning and management by estimating evapotranspiration and river discharge, and/or growth rate of the algae (phytoplankton).

Challenges of Groundwater as Resources in the Near Future

  • Lee, Jin-Yong
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2015
  • Groundwater has been a very precious resource for human life and economic development in the world. With increasing population and food demand, the groundwater use especially for agriculture is largely elevated worldwide. The very much large groundwater use results in depletion of major aquifers, land subsidences in many large cities, anthropogenic groundwater contamination, seawater intrusion in coastal areas and accompanying severe conflicts for water security. Furthermore, with the advent of changing climate, securing freshwater supply including groundwater becomes a pressing and critical issue for sustainable societal development in every country because prediction of precipitation is more difficult, its uneven distribution is aggravating, weather extremes are more frequent, and rising sea level is also threatening the freshwater resource. Under these difficulties, can groundwater be sustaining its role as essential element for human and society in the near future? We have to focus our efforts and wisdom on answering the question. Korean government should increase its investment in securing groundwater resources for changing climate.

탄소중립과 대기질 개선 정책이 동아시아 근 미래 기후변화에 미치는 영향 (Impacts of Carbon Neutrality and Air Quality Control on Near-term Climate Change in East Asia)

  • 김윤아;최정;손석우
    • 대기
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.505-517
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    • 2023
  • This study investigates the impacts of carbon neutrality and air quality control policies on near-term climate change in East Asia, by examining three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios from five climate models. Specifically, low carbon and strong air quality control scenario (SSP1-1.9), high carbon and weak air quality control scenario (SSP3-7.0), and high carbon and strong air quality control scenario (SSP3-7.0-lowNTCF) are compared. For these scenarios, the near-term climate (2045-2054 average) changes are evaluated for surface air temperature (SAT), hot temperature extreme intensity (TXx), and hot temperature extreme frequency (TX90p). In all three scenarios, SAT, TXx, and TX90p are projected to increase in East Asia, while carbon neutrality reduces the increasing rate of SAT and hot temperature extremes. Air quality control strengthens the warming rate. These opposed mitigation effects are robustly forced in all model simulations. Nonetheless, the impact of carbon neutrality overcomes the impact of air quality control. These results suggest that fast carbon neutrality, more effective than an air quality control policy, is necessary to slowdown future warming trend in East Asia.

Evolution of Agrometeorology at the Global Level

  • Sivakumar, M.V.K.
    • 한국농림기상학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농림기상학회 2003년도 춘계 학술발표논문집
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    • pp.161-178
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    • 2003
  • Agriculture is probably the most weather-dependent of all human activities. Variations lil climate have been, and continue to be, the principal source of fluctuations in global food production, particularly in the semi-arid tropical countries of the developing world. Throughout history, extremes of heat and cold, droughts and floods, and various forms of violent weather have wreaked havoc on the agricultural systems that depend on for food.(omitted)

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Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment of Cool-Season Grasslands Based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process Method

  • Lee, Bae Hun;Cheon, Dong Won;Park, Hyung Soo;Choi, Ki Choon;Shin, Jeong Seop;Oh, Mi Rae;Jung, Jeong Sung
    • 한국초지조사료학회지
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    • 제41권3호
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    • pp.189-197
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    • 2021
  • Climate change effects are particularly apparent in many cool-season grasslands in South Korea. Moreover, the probability of climate extremes has intensified and is expected to increase further. In this study, we performed climate change vulnerability assessments in cool-season grasslands based on the analytic hierarchy process method to contribute toward effective decision-making to help reduce grassland damage caused by climate change and extreme weather conditions. In the analytic hierarchy process analysis, vulnerability was found to be influenced in the order of climate exposure (0.575), adaptive capacity (0.283), and sensitivity (0.141). The climate exposure rating value was low in Jeju-do Province and high in Daegu (0.36-0.39) and Incheon (0.33-0.5). The adaptive capacity index showed that grassland compatibility (0.616) is more important than other indicators. The adaptation index of Jeollanam-do Province was higher than that of other regions and relatively low in Gangwon-do Province. In terms of sensitivity, grassland area and unused grassland area were found to affect sensitivity the most with index values of 0.487 and 0.513, respectively. The grassland area rating value was low in Jeju-do and Gangwon-do Province, which had large grassland areas. In terms of vulnerability, that of Jeju-do Province was lower and of Gyeongsangbuk-do Province higher than of other regions. These results suggest that integrating the three aspects of vulnerability (climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity) may offer comprehensive and spatially explicit adaptation plans to reduce the impacts of climate change on the cool-season grasslands of South Korea.