• 제목/요약/키워드: Climate changes

검색결과 1,843건 처리시간 0.028초

Pasture estimating with climate change over Mongolia using climate and NOAA/NDVI data

  • Erdenetuya, M.;Khudulmur, S.;Bolortsetseg, B.;Natsagdorj, L.;Batima, P.
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of ACRS 2003 ISRS
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    • pp.120-122
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    • 2003
  • Geographical position and associated climatic influences can be a negative environmental condition that affects sustainable use of land resources, especially pastoral livestock production. Vegetation condition of the country is sensitively changes upon climate changes and human impacts. Within last 60 years data the annual air temperature has increased in 1.66 degrees in average and the total precipitation amount had almost no change. The main goal of this work is to relate climate change within last 20 years with pasture condition, estimated by NOAA/NDVI data set.

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우리나라의 겨울철 기온 변화 및 한파 발생빈도 분석 (An Analysis of a Winter-time Temperature Change and an Extreme Cold Waves Frequency in Korea)

  • 전미정;조용성
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2015
  • To compare changes in winter temperature over South Korea, 30-year average climate data and climate data of recent 10 years (2014~2014) such as mean temperature, daily maximum temperature and daily minimum temperature were analyzed. Also, we set analysis extreme cold waves frequency related to winter such as freezing days, snow days, days with temperature of below -5, and days with temperature of below -10. This process enabled the comparative analysis of winter temperature changes and extreme cold waves frequency related to winter. This study estimated that winter temperature has gradually increased throughout the last five decades, however, the frequency of extreme weather, such as cold waves has also increased.

Developing a tool for quick assessment of climate change impacts on exploitation effect of reservoirs in central provinces of Vietnam

  • Tung, H.T.
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.200-200
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    • 2016
  • Climate changes have impacted to many sectors including water resources in Vietnam. Vietnam is agricultural development country having a lot of reservoirs. These reservoirs play a very important role in flow regulation for water supply to economic sectors. In the context of undesirable impacts of climate change such as increasing temparature, evaporation, changing rainfall and rainfall pattern, water demands and inflow to reservoirs also are being influenced. This leads to changes of resevoir exploitation effects that needs to be assessed for adaptation solutions. This arcticle summaries the development of a tool for quick assessement of climate change impacts on exploitation effect of reservoir in central provinces of Vietnam.

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미래 도시성장 시나리오에 따른 수도권 기후변화 예측 변동성 분석 (Analysis of Climate Variability under Various Scenarios for Future Urban Growth in Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA), Korea)

  • 김현수;정주희;김유근
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.261-272
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    • 2012
  • In this study, climate variability was predicted by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model under two different scenarios (current trends scenario; SC1 and managed scenario; SC2) for future urban growth over the Seoul metropolitan area (SMA). We used the urban growth model, SLEUTH (Slope, Land-use, Excluded, Urban, Transportation, Hill-Shade) to predict the future urban growth in SMA. As a result, the difference of urban ratio between two scenarios was the maximum up to 2.2% during 50 years (2000~2050). Also, the results of SLEUTH like this were adjusted in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to analysis the difference of the future climate for the future urbanization effect. By scenarios of urban growth, we knew that the significant differences of surface temperature with a maximum of about 4 K and PBL height with a maximum of about 200 m appeared locally in newly urbanized area. However, wind speeds are not sensitive for the future urban growth in SMA. These results show that we need to consider the future land-use changes or future urban extension in the study for the prediction of future climate changes.

Climate Variability and Its Effects on Major Fisheries in Korea

  • Kim, Su-Am;Zhang, Chang-Ik;Kim, Jin-Yeong;Oh, Jae-Ho;Kang, Su-Kyung;Lee, Jae-Bong
    • Ocean Science Journal
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    • 제42권3호
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    • pp.179-192
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    • 2007
  • Understanding in climate effects on marine ecosystem is essential to utilize, predict, and conserve marine living resources in the 21st century. In this review paper, we summarized the past history and current status of Korean fisheries as well as the changes in climate and oceanographic phenomena since the 1960s. Ocean ecosystems in Korean waters can be divided into three, based on the marine commercial fish catches; the demersal ecosystem in the Yellow Sea and the East China Sea, the pelagic ecosystem in the Tsushima Warm Current from the East China Sea to the East/Japan Sea, and the demersal ecosystem in the northern part of the East/Japan Sea. Through the interdisciplinary retrospective analysis using available fisheries, oceanographic, and meteorological information in three important fish communities, the trend patterns in major commercial catches and the relationship between climate/environmental variability and responses of fish populations were identified. Much evidence revealed that marine ecosystems, including the fish community in Korean waters, has been seriously affected by oceanographic changes, and each species has responded differently. In general, species diversity is lessening, and mean trophic level of each ecosystem has decreased during the last $3\sim4$ decades. Future changes in fisheries due to global warming are also considered for major fisheries and aquaculture in Korean waters.

기후와 환경에 대응하기 위한 아웃도어 웨어 디자인에 관한 연구 -2000년 이후 컬렉션에서 발표된 디자인을 중심으로- (A Study on Development of Out-door Wear Design to Respond to the Climate and Environment -Focus on the design in collections after the year 2000-)

  • 배정민
    • 복식
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    • 제61권7호
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2011
  • The present research aims to suggest the design of a new direction that copes with the changing environment. For example, the design for outdoor wear can be made through various methods that allows it to be worn for anytime and anywhere. Also, the research aimed to seek a development direction of outdoor wear design with environment-friendly expanded function that handles unpredictable environmental changes. The analysis of this research is as follows. First, it can be said that the trend of the outdoor wear design according to climate and environment changes is a design that seeks an efficient and rational role in functional aspects such as complex multi-functionality and minimum decorations as well as enhancing economic efficiency. Second, the outdoor wear design provides the optimal climate for the human body even in a continuously changing artificial environment. Its easy and comfortable function also helps to keep defense from possible risk elements. Lastly, this research seeks interactions among design, the body and environment. It also tries shape change using buttons and zippers, etc. according to expansion of a structural form of clothes as multi-functionality and versatility tools, and seeks a design form that can be reconstructed. The research that geared toward environmental changes should be further progressed in order to produce apparel that have efficient adaptability of any climate situations.

산림경관천이모델(LANDIS-II)를 이용한 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 산림의 생물량 장기변화 추정 연구 -충청북도 영동군 학산면 봉소리 일대 산림을 중심으로 - (Long-term Effects on Forest Biomass under Climate Change Scenarios Using LANDIS-II - A case study on Yoengdong-gun in Chungcheongbuk-do, Korea -)

  • 최영은;최재용;김휘문;김성열;송원경
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.27-43
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    • 2019
  • This study applied the LANDIS-II model to the forest vegetation of the study area in Yeongdong-gun, Korea to identify climate effects on ecosystems of forest vegetation. The main purpose of the study is to examine the long-term changes in forest aboveground biomass(AGB) under three different climate change scenarios; The baseline climate scenario is to maintain the current climate condition; the RCP 4.5 scenario is a stabilization scenario to employ of technologies and strategies for reducing greenhouse gas emissions; the RCP 8.5 scenario is increasing greenhouse gas emissions over time representative with 936ppm of $CO_2$ concentration by 2100. The vegetation survey and tree-ring analysis were conducted to work out the initial vegetation maps and data for operation of the LANDIS model. Six types of forest vegetation communities were found including Quercus mongolica - Pinus densiflora community, Quercus mongolica community, Pinus densiflora community, Quercus variabilis-Quercus acutissima community, Larix leptolepis afforestation and Pinus koraiensis afforestation. As for changes in total AGB under three climate change scenarios, it was found that RCP 4.5 scenario featured the highest rate of increase in AGB whereas RCP 8.5 scenario yielded the lowest rate of increase. These results suggest that moderately elevated temperatures and $CO_2$ concentrations helped the biomass flourish as photosynthesis and water use efficiency increased, but huge increase in temperature ($above+4.0^{\circ}C$) has resulted in the increased respiration with increasing temperature. Consequently, Species productivity(Biomass) of trees decrease as the temperature is elevated drastically. It has been confirmed that the dominant species in all scenarios was Quercus mongolica. Like the trends shown in the changes of total AGB, it revealed the biggest increase in the AGB of Quercus mongolica under the RCP 4.5 scenario. AGB of Quercus mongolica and Quercus variabilis decreased in the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios after 2050 but have much higher growth rates of the AGB starting from 2050 under the baseline scenario. Under all scenarios, the AGB of coniferous species was eventually perished in 2100. In particular they were extinguished in early stages of the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. This is because of natural selection of communities by successions and the failure to adapt to climate change. The results of the study could be expected to be effectively utilized to predict changes of the forest ecosystems due to climate change and to be used as basic data for establishing strategies for adaptation climate changes and the management plans for forest vegetation restoration in ecological restoration fields.

기후변화 시나리오에 따른 미래 토지피복변화 예측 및 군집분석을 이용한 지역 특성 분석 (Prediction of Land-cover Change Based on Climate Change Scenarios and Regional Characteristics using Cluster Analysis)

  • 오윤경;최진용;유승환;이상현
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제53권6호
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2011
  • This study was conducted to predict future land-cover changes under climate change scenarios and to cluster analysis of regional land-cover characteristics. To simulate the future land-cover according to climate change scenarios - A1B, A2, and B1 of the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES), Dyna-CLUE (Conversion of Land Use Change and its Effects) was applied for modeling of competition among land-use types in relation with socioeconomic and biophysical driving factors. Gyeonggi-do were selected as study areas. The simulation results from 2010 to 2040 suggested future land-cover changes under the scenario conditions. All scenarios resulted in a gradual decrease in paddy area, while upland area continuously increased. A1B scenario showed the highest increase in built-up area, but all scenarios showed only slight changes in forest area. As a result of cluster analysis with the land-cover component scores, 31 si/gun in Gyeonggi-do were classified into three clusters. This approach is expected to be useful for evaluating and simulating land-use changes in relation to development constraints and scenarios. The results could be used as fundamental basis for providing policy direction by considering regional land-cover characteristics.

21세기 기후 및 사회체제 변화와 관련하여 동아시아 수산활동에서 떠오르는 사안들 (Emerging Issues of East Asian Fisheries in Conjunction with Changes in Climate and Social Systems in the 21st Century)

  • 김수암
    • 환경정책연구
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.73-91
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    • 2011
  • 2000년대 초반의 동아시아 수산활동을 기후변화와 사회경제적 개발과 연관하여 연구하였다. 세계 인구의 약 1/3이 동아시아 지역에 살고 있는데, 이들은 많은 수산물을 생산하고, 소비하며, 국제무역에 기여하고 있다. 지역적으로, 전지구적으로 진행되고 있는 기후변화와 더불어 해수의 온난화 및 산성화는 수산생물과 수산업에 심대한 영향을 미칠 것이다. 동아시아 지역의 잦은 태풍은 연안의 사회집단에 막대한 손실과 희생을 유발할 것이며, 이러한 환경의 변화속도는 우리가 효과적으로 대응하기에 벅찰 정도로 빠르게 진행 중이다. 과학적 활동은 기후변화의 상황에서 발생하는 문제점들을 찾아내고, 더 나아가 효과적인 해결책을 만들기 위한 기본 지침을 제공하여야 한다. 또한 수산관리 계획은 기후변화와 더불어 사회체제의 변화를 고려하여 수립되어야 한다. 그러므로 이 해역에서 공동과학연구를 추진하고, 수산자원을 보존하고 관리하는 국제적 공조체제를 구축하여야 한다는 제안은 매우 논리적이다.

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기후변화가 남해 해양생태계에 미치는 영향평가 (Assessment of the Impact of Climate Change on Marine Ecosystem in the South Sea of Korea)

  • 주세종;김세주
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.197-199
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    • 2012
  • According to the IPCC climate change scenario (A1B scenario), the surface seawater temperature of the South Sea of Korea by 2100 may be $2-3.5^{\circ}C$ higher than at present, and seawater pH may decrease from 8.1 to 7.8, due to the increase in atmospheric $CO_2$, which is predicted to increase in concentration from 380 to 750 ppm. These changes may not only intensify the strength of typhoons/storm surges but also affect the function and structure the marine ecosystem. In order to assess the impact of climate change on the marine ecosystem in Korean waters, the project named the 'Assessment of the impact of climate change on marine ecosystem in the South Sea of Korea' has been supported by the Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs, from 2008. The goal of this project is to enhance our ability to adapt and prepare for the future environmental changes through the reliable predictions based on the knowledge obtained from projects like this. In this respect, this project is being conducted to investigate the effects of climate/marine environment changes (ocean warming and acidification), and to predict future changes of the structure and function of the ecosystem in the South Sea of Korea. This special issue contains 6 research articles, which are the highlights of the studies carried out through this project.