• 제목/요약/키워드: Climate change impacts

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Impacts of Climate Change on Water Crisis and Formation of Green Algal Blooms in Vietnam

  • Thriveni, Thenepalli;Lee, Namju;Nam, Gnu;Whan, Ahn Ji
    • 에너지공학
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.68-75
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    • 2017
  • Global warming affects water supply and water resources throughout the world. In many countries, climate change affects significantly on the fresh water resources. Vietnam is exposed mainly, to landslides and floods triggered by tropical storms and monsoon rains, although storm surge, whirlwind, river bank and coastal line erosion, hail rain. In addition to the prevalent drought, there are many major water challenges, including water availability, stress, scarcity and accessibility, because of poor resource management. Fast growth of urbanization, industrialization and population growth, agricultural activities and climate change cause heavy pressure on water quality. Both domestic and industrial wastewater, as well as storm water shares the same drainage. The common facilities for wastewater treatment are not available. Therefore, wastewater is treated only superficially and then discharged directly into rivers and lakes causing serious pollution of surface water environment. In this paper, we reported the severe water crisis and massive green algal blooms formation in Vietnam rivers and lakes. This is the biggest evidence of climate change variations in Vietnam.

기후변화가 논 필요수량에 미치는 영향 (Climate Change Impacts on Paddy Water Requirement)

  • 윤동균;정상옥;김성준
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제53권4호
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2011
  • The aim of the study is to predict potential evapotranspiration and crop water requirement using meteorological data from MIROC3.2 with A1B scenario. Increase of evapotranspiration due to temperature rise can be observed out of the analysis, while effective rainfall decreased. The evapotranspiration elevation results in large amount of crop water requirement in the paddy farming. It can be seen that rainfall intensification at non-irrigation period brings effective rainfall decrease, while contributes to higher demand of crop water at irrigation period. It is necessary to secure additional water resources to adapt the climate change. It is expected that estimation on potentialevapotranspiration in this study can be used for formulation of master plan of water resources.

Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment of Cool-Season Grasslands Based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process Method

  • Lee, Bae Hun;Cheon, Dong Won;Park, Hyung Soo;Choi, Ki Choon;Shin, Jeong Seop;Oh, Mi Rae;Jung, Jeong Sung
    • 한국초지조사료학회지
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    • 제41권3호
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    • pp.189-197
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    • 2021
  • Climate change effects are particularly apparent in many cool-season grasslands in South Korea. Moreover, the probability of climate extremes has intensified and is expected to increase further. In this study, we performed climate change vulnerability assessments in cool-season grasslands based on the analytic hierarchy process method to contribute toward effective decision-making to help reduce grassland damage caused by climate change and extreme weather conditions. In the analytic hierarchy process analysis, vulnerability was found to be influenced in the order of climate exposure (0.575), adaptive capacity (0.283), and sensitivity (0.141). The climate exposure rating value was low in Jeju-do Province and high in Daegu (0.36-0.39) and Incheon (0.33-0.5). The adaptive capacity index showed that grassland compatibility (0.616) is more important than other indicators. The adaptation index of Jeollanam-do Province was higher than that of other regions and relatively low in Gangwon-do Province. In terms of sensitivity, grassland area and unused grassland area were found to affect sensitivity the most with index values of 0.487 and 0.513, respectively. The grassland area rating value was low in Jeju-do and Gangwon-do Province, which had large grassland areas. In terms of vulnerability, that of Jeju-do Province was lower and of Gyeongsangbuk-do Province higher than of other regions. These results suggest that integrating the three aspects of vulnerability (climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity) may offer comprehensive and spatially explicit adaptation plans to reduce the impacts of climate change on the cool-season grasslands of South Korea.

고해상도 기후시나리오를 이용한 논용수 수요량 및 단위용수량의 기후변화 영향 분석 (The Impacts of Climate Change on Paddy Water Demand and Unit Duty of Water using High-Resolution Climate Scenarios)

  • 유승환;최진용;이상현;오윤경;박나영
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제54권2호
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2012
  • For stable and sustainable crop production, understanding the effects of climate changes on agricultural water resources is necessary to minimize the negative effects which might occur due to shifting weather conditions. Although various studies have been carried out in Korea concerning changes in evapotranspiration and irrigation water requirement, the findings are still difficult to utilize fordesigning the demand and unit duty of water, which are the design criteria of irrigation systems. In this study, the impact analysis of climate changes on the paddy water demand and unit duty of water was analyzed based on the high resolution climate change scenarios (specifically under the A1B scenario) provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration. The result of the study indicated that average changes in the paddy water demand in eight irrigation districts were estimated as -2.4 % (2025s), -0.2 % (2055s), and 3.2 % (2085s). The unit duty of water was estimated to increase on an average within 2 % during paddy transplanting season and within 5 % during growing season after transplanting. This result could be utilized for irrigation system design, agricultural water resource development, and rice paddy cultivation policy-making in South Korea.

Two Decades of International Climate Negotiations - Carbon Budget Allocation Approach to Re-shaping Developing Country Strategies

  • Yedla, Sudhakar;Garg, Sandhya
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.277-299
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    • 2014
  • Climate negotiations have been going on for the last two decades and the awareness for impacts of climate change has improved substantially. However, the trends of global $CO_2$ emissions did not reveal any encouraging signs, with developing countries emitting even more $CO_2$ and industrialized nations showing no signs of reducing emissions to below their 1990 levels. In order to meet the ambitious targets set by the Stern report for the next two decades, it is important to find new and path-breaking approaches to climate change. This paper attempts to analyze the use of carbon/development space historically, at present and in the future with a focus on equity. Trends analysis focuses on the last two decades (Post Rio) and the carbon budget based analysis considers a period of 1850-2050. Industrialized countries are found to have significantly overshot their budgeted allocation for the last 160 years. Both the developing and industrialized countries are overshooting the present budget estimates based on world per capita budget for the next forty years and proportional to the population of each country. It is important for the industrialized countries to bring down their emissions to meet their carbon budgets while the developing countries use their development space as a guideline for their development path. Furthermore, this paper presents aggressive and regressive scenarios for the industrialized countries to compensate for the climate debt they have created.

녹지대 분포가 도시 지역의 소기후에 미치는 영향 (On the Impacts to the Loca l Climate Change of Urban Area due to the Vegetation Canopy)

  • 진병화;변희룡
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2000
  • Through numerical experiment using simplified OSU-1D PBL(Oregon State University One-Dimensional Planetary Boundary Layer) model and field measurement, we studied the impacts of vegetation canopy on heat island that was one of the characteristics of local climaate in urban area. it was found that if the fraction of vegetation was extended by 10 percent, the maximum air temperature and the maximum ground temperature can come down about 0.9${\circ}C$, 2.3${\circ}C$, respectively. Even though the field measurement was done under a little unstable atmospheric condition, the canopy air temperature was lower in the daytime, and higher at night than the air and ground temperature. This result suggests that the extention of vegetation canopy can bring about more pleasant local climate by causing the oasis, the shade and the blanket effect.

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기후인자의 변화에 따른 대청댐유역의 유출민감도 모의평가 - 4th IPCC 보고서의 결과를 기준으로 - (Sensitivity Assessment on Daecheong Dam Basin Streamflows According to the Change of Climate Components - Based on the 4th IPCC Report -)

  • 정상만;서형덕;김형수;한규하
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제41권11호
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    • pp.1095-1106
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    • 2008
  • 기후변화와 지구온난화현상은 지구 전체에 걸쳐 분명하게 나타나고 있으며 그에 따라 발생할 수 있는 수문 변화에 대한 연구가 다양하게 이루어지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 유역 유출의 민감도를 평가하기 위하여 SWAT 모형을 이용하였으며 대청댐유역에 적용하였다. 모형의 보정은 1982-1995년의 월평균 하천유량을 이용하였고 1996-2005년의 자료를 이용하여 검증하였다. 기후변화에 따른 수문 변동을 정량적으로 분석하기 위하여 1988-2002년을 기준시나리오 기간으로 설정하였으며 이산화탄소 농도, 기온, 강수의 변화에 따른 총 7개의 시나리오를 구성하였다. 7개의 시나리오 중 배증 이산화탄소와 기온의 5.4℃ 증가를 반영하는 시나리오는 연평균 4~5%의 하천유량 증가를 예측하였고, 강수량의 변화를 반영하는 시나리오는 -42, -17, 17, 42%의 변화에 따라 -55, -24, 25, 64%의 비선형적인 하천유량 증감이 예측되었다. 기후인자의 변화를 복합적으로 반영하고 있는 시나리오에서는 평균 12%(봄, 여름, 가을)와 63%(겨울)의 하천유량 변화를 예측하였다. 또한 유황분석 결과 대청댐유역의 유출은 기후변화에 매우 민감한 것으로 나타났으며, 이러한 기후변화는 가뭄과 홍수의 심도와 발생기간에 큰 영향을 미칠 것으로 판단된다.

IPCC-IV 국가 보고서 분석에 의한 한국의 기후변화과학 분야의 현황과 발전방향 (The Present Status and Development Plan in the Field of Climate Change Science in Korea analyzed by the IPCC-IV Reports)

  • 정연앙;정효상;류찬수
    • 통합자연과학논문집
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.38-43
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    • 2011
  • The recent global warming may be estimated to give lots of impacts to the human society and biosphere of influencing climate change included by the natural climate variations through the human activity which can directly and/or indirectly play a major role of total atmospheric composition overall. Therefore it currently appears evidences such as hot wave, typhoon, and biosphere disturbance, etc. over the several regions to be influenced by global warming due to increasing the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere through inducing forest destruction, fossil fuel combustion, greenhouse gases emission, etc. since industrial revolution era. Through the working group report of IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) for climate change was analyzed by the individual country's current status and figure out the important issues and problems related to the future trend of climate change science with advanced countries preparedness and research, In this study, the first working group report of IPCC focuses on those aspects of the current understanding of the physical science of climate change that are judged to be most relevant to policymakers. As this report was assessed and analyzed by including the progress of climate change science, the role of climate models and evolution in the treatment of uncertainties. This consists of the changes in atmospheric constituents(both aerosols and gases) that affect the radiative energy balance in the atmosphere and determine the Earth's climate, considering the interaction between biogeochemical cycles that affect atmospheric constituents and climate change, including aerosol/cloud interactions, the extensive range of observations snow available for the atmosphere and surface, for snow, ice, and frozen ground and for the oceans, respectively and changes in sea level, the paleoclimate perspective and assessment of evidence for past climate change and the extension, the ways in which physical processes are simulated in climate models and the evaluation of models against observed climate, the development plans and methods of improving expert and building manpower urgently and R&D fund expansion in detail for climate change science in Korea will be proposed.

불확실성을 고려한 논벼 증발산량 기후변화 영향 평가 (Assessing the Climate Change Impacts on Paddy Rice Evapotranspiration Considering Uncertainty)

  • 최순군;정재학;조재필;허승오;최동호;김민경
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.143-156
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    • 2018
  • Evapotranspiration is a key element in designing and operating agricultural hydraulic structures. The profound effect of climate change to local agro-hydrological systems makes it inevitable to study the potential variability in evapotranspiration rate in order to develop policies on future agricultural water management as well as to evaluate changes in agricultural environment. The APEX-Paddy model was used to simulate local evapotranspiration responses to climate change scenarios. Nine Global Climate Models(GCMs) downscaled using a non-parametric quantile mapping method and a Multi?Model Ensemble method(MME) were used for an uncertainty analysis in the climate scenarios. Results indicate that APEX-Paddy and the downscaled 9 GCMs reproduce evapotranspiration accurately for historical period(1976~2005). For future periods, simulated evapotranspiration rate under the RCP 4.5 scenario showed increasing trends by -1.31%, 2.21% and 4.32% for 2025s(2011~2040), 2055s(2041~2070) and 2085s(2071~2100), respectively, compared with historical(441.6 mm). Similar trends were found under the RCP 8.5 scenario with the rates of increase by 0.00%, 4.67%, and 7.41% for the near?term, mid?term, and long?term periods. Monthly evapotranspiration was predicted to be the highest in August, July was the month having a strong upward trend while. September and October were the months showing downward trends in evapotranspiration are mainly resulted from the shortening of the growth period of paddy rice due to temperature increase and stomatal closer as ambient $CO_2$ concentration increases in the future.

이산화탄소 지중저장 시설의 잠재적 누출 판단을 위한 DGCI(Dark Green Color Index) 적용 가능성 평가 (Applicability of DGCI (Dark Green Color Index) to Assess Potential Impacts of CO2 Leakage from the Geological Storage Site)

  • 유신이;송윤진;오희주;김유진;유가영
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.351-356
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    • 2016
  • The carbon capture and storage (CCS), which collects and stores carbon dioxide in a geological site, is a promising option to mitigate climate change. However, there is the possibility of carbon dioxide leakage from the soil in the steps of collecting, transporting, and storing. To ensure the feasibility of this technology, it is important to monitor the leakage of carbon dioxide and to assess the potential impacts. As plants are sensitive to the changes in carbon dioxide in the soil environment, we can utilize plant parameter to detect the carbon dioxide leakage. Currently, chlorophyll a content is a conventional index indicating the changes in plants, however, this method is labor intensive and it only utilizes a small portion of leaves. To overcome its limitations, a simple spectroscopic parameter, DGCI (dark green color index), was suggested as an easy and quick indicator. In this study, we compared the values of chlorophyll a contents with DGCI from the experiment investigating the impacts of high underground $CO_2$ on grape plants. Results suggest that DGCI had high correlation with chlorophyll a contents and it has high potential to be utilized as an easy indicator to monitor plants' responses to $CO_2$ treatment.