• 제목/요약/키워드: Channel uncertainty

검색결과 116건 처리시간 0.028초

The Role of Structural Holes in Uncertain Environments in Channel Relationships

  • Kim, Min-Jung
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.25-35
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - Although marketing networks are crucial competitive advantage in terms of firm's new information and resource acquisition ability, their impact on new product development performance remains vague, especially under environmental uncertainty. The principal objective of this research is to provide a better understanding of effects of technological uncertainty and volume uncertainty on first tier supplier's perceived performance of new product development under conditions reflecting varying levels of structural holes. Specifically, this research examines the moderating effect of structural holes on the relationship between environmental uncertainty and new product development performance. Research design, data, and methodology - To test the hypotheses, a questionnaire survey was conducted with a Korean engineering firm's major first-tier suppliers in the context of internal network entities, manufacturer-supplier-subsupplier relationships, and to verify the proposed hypotheses, structural equation modeling was established. Construct measures were based on existing measures and previous research. Results - The survey results indicate that technological uncertainty and volume uncertainty differentially affect NPD performance under conditions of high and low structural holes. Conclusions - This study offer some theoretical and practical implications among distribution channel members, especially, this study suggests that interfirm networks have critical competitive advantage in uncertain environments. The distinctiveness of engineering industry might limit the generalizability of the results. Thus, future research should consider a wider range of industries.

China's Economic Policy Uncertainty Shocks and South Korea's Exports: A TVP-VAR Approach with an SMSS Structure

  • Liu, Lin;Zhang, Manman;Li, Wei
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - Since China has been South Korea's biggest export destination, uncertainty shocks originating from it would influence South Korea's exports. This paper evaluates the effects of China's economic policy uncertainty on Korea's exports to explore the transmission channels. Design/methodology - Incorporating endogeneities and nonlinearities, this study employs a quarterly time-varying parameters vector autoregressive model to investigate the relationships between China's economic policy uncertainty and Korea's exports, where the overparameterization due to time-varying specifications is overcome by a novel stochastic model specification search framework. According to previous theoretical studies, this paper assesses two channels, demand shock channel and exchange rate channel, through which foreign uncertainty affects Korea's exports. This paper identifies the primary drivers of Korea's aggregate exports and analyzes the rationales for the time-variant impacts of China's economic policy uncertainty on Korea's exports to China. Findings - Our empirical results reveal that Korea's aggregate exports are less responsive to China's economic policy uncertainty shocks and significantly move together with global demand. In contrast, its bilateral exports to China are highly responsive in a negative and time-variant way. Moreover, Chinese investment is an important channel through which China's economic policy uncertainty affects Korea's exports to China after 2010. Further, the time-variant effects of China's economic policy uncertainty on Korea's exports to China are related to changes in China's foreign trade policies, global economic conditions, and China's degree of economic freedom. Originality/value - Few previous studies touch the effects of external uncertainty shocks on South Korea's exports. This paper attempts to fill this gap and explicitly investigate the impacts of China's economic policy uncertainty on Korea's exports from a time-varying perspective. As Korea is an export-oriented economy, this study provides insights for the Korean government to understand the transmissions of external uncertainty better.

불확실성을 고려한 연피해 기대치 산정 (Expected Annual Damage Estimation with Uncertainty)

  • 김형수;김유진;이지원
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2003
  • The flood damage reduction studies have been performed by the channel improvement plan and the levee has mainly constructed with the freeboard concept. However, the freeboard concept might be an inappropriate choice as a safety factor of the levee because many uncertainties are involved in the procedure of the channel improvement plan studies. So, we considered the uncertainties In the discharge-probability, stage-discharge, and stage-damage functions and estimate the expected annual damage. The Monte Carlo technique for uncertainty analysis is used. As our results, the expected annual damage with uncertainty shows the larger value than without uncertainty. Since the expected annual damage with uncertainty already considers the safety factor it is the proper result. However, the expected annual damage without uncertainty does not consider the safety factor yet. Thus, if the expected annual damage without uncertainty considers the freeboard concept, it could be compared with the expected annual damage with uncertainty for the evaluation of the overestimation or underestimation of the levee construction.

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한반도 주변해역 대기환경에 대한 싱글채널 온도추정 알고리즘의 불확도 추정 (Uncertainty Estimation of Single-Channel Temperature Estimation Algorithm for Atmospheric Conditions in the Seas around the Korean Peninsula)

  • 이종혁;강경웅;백승일;김원국
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.355-361
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    • 2023
  • 지구 표면에 대한 정보는 기상 및 대기 역학의 이해나 인간을 포함한 동물에 큰 영향을 미치는 극한 열현상에 대응함에 있어서 핵심적인 지구 물리량이다. 지구 영역에 대한 온도를 추정하기 위하여 위성에 탑재된 열적외 센서가 널리 활용되어 왔는데, 정밀한 활용을 위해서는 온도 추정 과정의 불확도에 대한 이해가 선행되어야 한다. 하지만 온도추정 불확도에 영향을 미치는 많은 요소 중에서 한반도 주변의 환경 하에서의 온도추정 알고리즘의 불확도 산정에 대한 연구는 미미하였다. 본 연구에서는 한반도 주변의 대기 및 해양 조건하에서 범용성이 높은 single-channel 알고리즘의 불확도를 추정하는 연구를 수행하였다. 알고리즘의 입력자료로 필요한 재분석자료(reanalysis)의 영향성을 평가하기 위하여 두 가지의 재분석자료, 즉 fifth generation of European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis of the global climate and weather (ERA5)와 Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications-2 (MERRA-2)를 사용하였고, 복사전달모델은 MODerate resolution atmospheric TRANsmission (MODTRAN)을 사용하였다. MODTRAN 모의와 온도 추정 정확도 검증에 사용되는 현장 관측 수온은 한반도 인근 해역에 위치한 해양 기상 부이(buoy)로부터 획득했다. 실험 결과, 알고리즘 불확도는 대기 수증기량에 따라서 선형에 가깝게 증가하는 것을 확인하였고, 가장 건조한 조건에서는 약 0.35K 그리고 평균적으로 0.45K 가량의 불확도가 발생함을 확인하였다. 이러한 결과는 재분석자료의 종류에 상관없이 유사하게 도출되어 알고리즘이 가지는 순수한 불확도라고 추정할 수 있었다.

오프라인-온라인 멀티채널 상황에서 불확실성, 전환비용, 오프라인 신뢰 및 개인의 부정감정이 사용자 지속구매의도에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증연구 (Empirical Analysis Approach to Investigating how Consumer's Continuance Intention to Use Online Store is Influenced by Uncertainty, Switching Cost, Offline Trust, and Individual Negative Emotion: Emphasis on Offline-Online Multi-Channels)

  • 전현규;이건창
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.428-439
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    • 2016
  • 최근 온라인 상거래에서는 오프라인 상에서 어느 정도 이름이 알려진 쇼핑몰이 온라인 채널까지 동시에 운영하는 것이 보편화되어 있다. 이와 같은 멀티채널 상거래 상황에서 사용자의 온라인 상거래 지속사용의도를 분석하기 위해서는 오프라인 채널에서 발생된 신뢰가 온라인 구매행동에 미치는 영향을 분석할 필요가 있으며, 또한 온라인 채널에 대한 불확실성이 고려된 연구가 필요하다. 한편, 개인들이 가지고 있는 부정 감정은 멀티채널 상황 하에서 사용자 행위에 다양한 조절효과를 미치는 것으로 파악되지만, 이러한 개인의 부정감정이 충분히 반영된 연구가 부족한 상황이다. 본 연구에서는 멀티채널상황에서 오프라인 신뢰, 불확실성, 전환비용, 그리고 개인의 부정감정이 사용자 온라인 상거래 지속사용의도에 미치는 영향을 실증적으로 분석하였다. 406부의 설문지를 분석한 결과 만족과 전환비용, 그리고 개인의 부정감정이 온라인 쇼핑몰에서의 구매경험자들의 지속구매의도에 매우 유의한 영향을 미치는 요인으로 입증되었다.

총채널 불확실도를 적용한 원전 노심출구온도의 운전가능 판정기준 (Operating Criteria of Core Exit Temperature in Nuclear Power Plant with using Channel Statistical Allowance)

  • 성제중;윤덕주;하상준
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.166-171
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    • 2014
  • Nuclear power plants are equipped with the reactor trip system (RTS) and the engineered safety features actuation system (ESFAS) to improve safety on the normal operation. In the event of the design basis accident (DBA), a various of post accident monitor(PAM)systems support to provide important details (e.g. Containment pressure, temperature and pressure of reactor cooling system and core exit temperature) to determine action of main control room (MCR). Operator should be immediately activated for the accident mitigation with the information. Especially, core exit temperature is a critical parameter because the operating mode converts from normal mode to emergency mode when the temperature of core exit reaches $649^{\circ}C$. In this study, uncertainty which was caused by exterior environment, characteristic of thermocouple/connector and accuracy of calibrator/indicator was evaluated in accordance with ANSI-ISA 67.04. The square root of the sum of square (SRSS) methodology for combining uncertainty terms that are random and independent was used in the synthesis. Every uncertainty that may exist in the hardware which is used to measure the core exit temperature was conservatively applied and the associative relation between the elements of uncertainty was considered simultaneously. As a result of uncertainty evaluation, the channel statistical allowance (CSA) of single channel of core exit temperature was +1.042%Span. The range of uncertainty, -0.35%Span ($-4.05^{\circ}C$) ~ +2.08%Span($24.25^{\circ}C$), was obtained as the operating criteria of core exit temperature.

Performance Evaluation of Access Channel Slot Acquisition in Cellular DS/CDMA Reverse Link

  • Kang, Bub-Joo;Han, Young-Nam
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.16-27
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we consider the acquisition performance of an IS-95 reverse link access channel slot as a function of system design parameters such as postdetection integration length and the number of access channel message block repetitons. The uncertainty region of the reverse link spreading codes compared to that of forward link is very small, since the uncertainty region of the reverse link is determined by a cell radius. Thus, the parallel acquisiton technique in the reverse link is more efficient than a serial acquisition technique in terms of implementation and of acquisition time. The parallel acquisition is achieved by a bank of N parallel I/Q noncoherent correlator are analyzed for band-limited noise and the Rayleigh fast fading channel. The detection probability is derived for multiple correct code-phase offsets and multipath fading. The probability of no message error is derived when rake combining, access channel message block combining, and Viterbi decoding are applied. Numerical results provide the acquisition performance for system design parameters such as postdetection integration length and number of access channel message block repetitions in case of a random access on a mobile station.

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Energy-Efficient Power Control for Underlaying D2D Communication with Channel Uncertainty: User-Centric Versus Network-Centric

  • Ding, Jianfeng;Jiang, Lingge;He, Chen
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.589-599
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    • 2016
  • Most existing resource management problem models arise from the original desire of allocating resources in either a user-centric or network-centric manner. The difference between their objectives is obvious: user-centric methods attempt to optimize the utility of individual users, whereas network-centric models intend to optimize the collective utilities of the entire network. In this paper, from the above two aspects, we analyze the robust power control problem in device-to-device (D2D) communication underlaying cellular networks, where two types of channel uncertainty set (e.g., ellipsoidal and column-wise) are considered. In the user-centric method, we formulate the problem into the form of a Stackelberg game, where the energy efficiency (EE) of each user is the ingredient of utility function. In order to protect the cellular user equipment's (CUE) uplink transmission, we introduce a price based cost function into the objectives of D2D user equipment (DUE). The existence and uniqueness of the game with the influence of channel uncertainty and price are discussed. In the network-centric method, we aim to maximize the collective EE of CUEs and DUEs. We show that by the appropriate mathematical transformation, the network-centric D2D power control problem has the identical local solution to that of a special case of the user-centric problem, where price plays a key role. Numerical results show the performance of the robust power control algorithms in the user-centric and network-centric models.

The uncertainty problem analysis of the engineering solution for prediction and estimation of the operating regime to design of gas- hydro-dynamic systems

  • ;;이지형
    • 한국추진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국추진공학회 2009년도 제33회 추계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.459-468
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    • 2009
  • Analysis of the uncertainty to have engineering solution of gas-dynamic and hydrodynamic problems is based on the comparison the prospective engineering solution with experimental result. In this paper, the mathematical model to estimate heat flux along gas-dynamic channel wall and the solution sequence are shown. Statistical information and generalizing experimental characteristics about gas- and hydro-dynamic channels were applied to the mathematical model. As the results, it is possible to draw a conclusion that models of the integrated approach, using the averaged statistical data of generalizing characteristics for a turbulent flow, without consideration of the turbulent mechanism (characteristic pulsations), can predict a nominal operating regime for gas-dynamic and hydrodynamic systems. The probable deviation of operating regime for newly designed the gas-dynamic channel can achieve 20% from a regime predicted on a basis 1-D or 3-D modelling irrespective of a kind of used models.

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DEVELOPING A VISIBLE CHANNEL CALIBRATION ALGORITHM FOR COMS OVER OCEAN AND DESERT TARGETS

  • Sohn, B.J.;Chun, Hyoung-Wook;Kim, Jung-Geun
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2007년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2007
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    • pp.53-56
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    • 2007
  • The Korean Geostationary satellite (COMS) to fly in year 2009 will carry a meteorological sensor from which visible channel measurements will be available. We developed a method utilizing satellite-derived BRDFs for the solar channel calibration over the bright desert area. The 6S model has been incorporated to account for directional effects of the surface using MODIS-derived BRDF parameters within the spectral interval in interest. Simulated radiances over the desert targets were compared with MODIS and SeaWiFS measured spectral radiances in order to examine the feasibility of the developed calibration algorithm. We also simulated TOA radiance over ocean targets to verify the consistency and reliability of the result. It was shown that simulated 16-day averaged radiances are in good agreement with the satellite-measured radiances within about ${\pm}5%$ uncertainty range for the year 2005, suggesting that the developed algorithm can be used for calibrating the COMS visible channel within about 5% uncertainty level.

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