• Title/Summary/Keyword: Change and Growth

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From Miracle to Mediocrity? Explaining the Growth Slowdown of the Korean Economy

  • DUYONG KANG;SUNGKEUN PARK
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.23-56
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    • 2023
  • To investigate the causes of Korea's growth slowdown over the past thirty years, we estimate the contributions of major developmental factors, including i) demographic factors (changes in population growth and workforce age due to the demographic transition), ii) quality-of-life-related choice factors (changes in working hours, education, and the female employment rate), iii) structural change, and iv) the effects of productivity catch-up. Our estimates show that these four groups of factors account for approximately 90 percent of the growth slowdown, with demographic factors contributing approximately 30 percent and the other three groups of factors each contributing about 20 percent. We also show that the same factors explain most of Korea's high growth in the 1980s. These results suggest that Korea's growth slowdown is basically a consequence of its successful economic development and that the high growth and subsequent slowdown can be regarded as a single process. In addition, given that the factors examined here exhibit similar patterns of change in the course of economic development of most countries, we think that our estimation results of the relationship between economic development and changes in economic growth trends could have more general implications that go beyond Korea's experience.

Potential Effects of Urban Growth under Urban Containment Policy on Streamflow in the Gyungan River Watershed, Korea

  • Kim, Jinsoo;Park, Soyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.163-172
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    • 2015
  • This study examined the potential effects of urban growth on streamflow in the Gyungan River watershed, Korea, using urban containment scenarios. First, two scenarios (conservation and development) were established, and SLEUTH model was adapted to predict urban growth into the year 2060 with 20 years interval under two scenarios in the study area. Urban growth was larger under scenario 2, focusing on development, than under scenario 1, focusing on conservation. Most urban growth was predicted to involve the conversion of farmland, forest, and grasslands to urban areas. Streamflow in future periods under these scenarios was simulated by the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. Each scenario showed distinct seasonal variations in streamflow. Although urban growth had a small effect on streamflow, urban growth may heighten the problems of increased seasonal variability in streamflow caused by other factor, such as climate change. This results obtained in this study provide further insight into the availability of future water resource and can aid in urban containment planning to mitigate the negative effects of urban growth in the study area.

Effect of Organic Material, Active Carbon and Magnesium on the Growth of Zoysia koreana (잔디생육에 대한 유기물, 활성탄소 및 마그네슘의 효과)

  • Choi, Byung-Ju;Shim, Jai-Sung;Park, Hoon
    • Asian Journal of Turfgrass Science
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.193-199
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    • 1994
  • Effect pf rape seed oil cake compast (OM) active carbon(C) compound fertilizer (NPK) and magnesium sulfate (Mg) application on Zoysia koreana growth by lysimeter of 50cm soil column filled with a low fertility loam. Effect on growth was in order of OM>OM . NPK interaction> NPK . active carbon and Mg were not effective OM . NPK interaction effect was negative on leaf width and root dry matter yield. OM and OM . NPK interaction were most effective on rhizome growth. Their effect did not change the ratio of growth rates between aerial part and rhizome but change that between aerial part and root. Leaf width was most sensitive to the treatments.

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Climate Change and Individual Life History (기후변화와 개체의 생활사)

  • Lee, Who-Seung
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.275-286
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    • 2012
  • Over the last 20 years there have been more than 3000 peer-reviewed papers relating to climate change and biodiversity published, and still the numbers are increasing. However, most studies focused on the impacts of climate change at population or community levels, and the results invariably reveal that there has been, or will be, a negative effect on the structure and pattern of biodiversity. Moreover, the climate change models and statistical analyses used to test the impacts are only newly developed, and the analyses or predictions can often be misled. In this review, I ask why an individual's life history is considered in the study how climate change affects biodiversity, and what ecological factors are impacted by climate change. Using evidence from a range of species, I demonstrate that diverse life history traits, such as early growth rate, migration/foraging behaviour and lifespan, can be shifted by climate change at individual level. Particularly I discuss that the optimal decision under unknown circumstance (climate change) would be the reduction of the ecological fitness at individual level, and hence, a shift in the balance of the ecosystem could be affected without having a critical impact on any one species. To conclude, I summarize the links between climate changes, ecological decision in life history, the revised consequence at individual level, and discuss how the finely-balanced relationship affects biodiversity and population structure.

Estimation of Highland Kimchi Cabbage Growth using UAV NDVI and Agro-meteorological Factors

  • Na, Sang-Il;Hong, Suk-Young;Park, Chan-Won;Kim, Ki-Deog;Lee, Kyung-Do
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.420-428
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    • 2016
  • For more than 50 years, satellite images have been used to monitor crop growth. Currently, unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) imagery is being assessed for analyzing within field spatial variability for agricultural precision management, because UAV imagery may be acquired quickly during critical periods of rapid crop growth. This study refers to the derivation of growth estimating equation for highland Kimchi cabbage using UAV derived normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and agro-meteorological factors. Anbandeok area in Gangneung, Gangwon-do, Korea is one of main districts producing highland Kimchi cabbage. UAV imagery was taken in the Anbandeok ten times from early June to early September. Meanwhile, three plant growth parameters, plant height (P.H.), leaf length (L.L.) and outer leaf number (L.N.), were measured for about 40 plants (ten plants per plot) for each ground survey. Six agro-meteorological factors include average temperature; maximum temperature; minimum temperature; accumulated temperature; rainfall and irradiation during growth period. The multiple linear regression models were suggested by using stepwise regression in the extraction of independent variables. As a result, $NDVI_{UAV}$ and rainfall in the model explain 93% of the P.H. and L.L. with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 2.22, 1.90 cm. And $NDVI_{UAV}$ and accumulated temperature in the model explain 86% of the L.N. with a RMSE of 4.29. These lead to the result that the characteristics of variations in highland Kimchi cabbage growth according to $NDVI_{UAV}$ and other agro-meteorological factors were well reflected in the model.

Analysis of Shape Change of a Surface Crack during Stable Fatigue Growth (안정피로성장 중인 표면균열 형상변화의 해석)

  • Chu, Seok-Jae
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.2843-2853
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    • 1996
  • The multi-point procedure is developed to predict the shape change of a semi-elliptical surface crack during stable fatigue crack growth. 3-D stress intensity factors along a crack front are calculated using the simplified 3-D J-intergral. Crack growth rate coefficient in the Paris law is assumed to be constant along the crack growth. Crack growth rate is set to be the distance between the two parallel tangent lines on the two semi-elliptic crack fronts before and after crack growth.

The Longitudinal Study on Structural Relationship between Parental Attitude and Adolescent's Self-Esteem - Application of Latent Growth Model -

  • Park, Hwieseo
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.157-161
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    • 2019
  • This study is to suggest some theoretical and policy implications through investigating the relationships between parental attitude and adolescent's self_esteem. This study analyzed some data including parental attitude and self_esteem from KCYPS. Parental attitude was supposed not to change as time goes by. The analytical results are the followings. First, the change rate and intercept of adolescent's self-esteem were significant, which means the change pattern of self-esteem depends on adolescent. Second, positive parental attitudes influence on the change pattern of adolescent's self-esteem significantly. Third, negative parental attitude influence on the change pattern of adolescent's self-esteem significantly. This study suggests some policy implications basing on these analytical results.

Effect of Salinity Change on Physiological Response and Growth of yearling Sea Bass, Lateolabrax japonicus (염분 변화에 따른 농어, Lateolabrax japonicus 유어의 생리 반응과 성장 차이)

  • 한형균;강덕영;전창영;장영진
    • Journal of Aquaculture
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.31-36
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    • 2003
  • Two experiments were conducted for the physiological and growth responses of yearling sea bass, Lateolabrax japonicus (total length 24.4$\pm$1.5 cm, body weight 125.4$\pm$25.4 g) by the manipulation of salinity. To study the physiological responses of the sea bass by acute salinity change, we changed water salinity from 30 ppt into 2 ppt in rearing tank through 1 hour or 6 hour. To access the effect of salinity in the growth of sea bass, we also examined the growth of the sea bass in 2, 10, 20 and 30 ppt for 180 days. After salinity change, all yearlings appeared some stress response and ions changes in blood. The yearlings showed a slow recovery by an acute salinity exchange, but a fast recovery by slow salinity exchange. In the study about the influence of salinity in growth, although the food intake of yearlings in 20 ppt was significantly higher than the yearling in the other salinities, feed efficiency was higher in 10 ppt than the other salinities. However, the food intake and the feed efficiency in 2 ppt were significantly lower than in other groups. The growth of yearlings was significantly faster in 20 ppt than in the other salinities, but the growth showed significantly slower in 2 ppt than in the other salinities.

Analysing the Relationship Between Tree-Ring Growth of Pinus densiflora and Climatic Factors Based on National Forest Inventory Data (국가산림자원조사 자료를 활용한 소나무 연륜생장과 기후인자와의 관계분석)

  • Lim, Jong-Hwan;Park, Go Eun;Moon, Na Hyun;Moon, Ga Hyun;Shin, Man Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.106 no.2
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    • pp.249-257
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    • 2017
  • This study was conducted to analyze the relationship between tree-ring growth of Pinus densiflora and climate factors based on national forest inventory(NFI) data. Annual tree-ring growth data of P. densiflora collected by the $5^{th}$ NFI were first organized to analyze yearly growth patterns of the species. Yearly growing degree days and standard precipitation index based on daily mean temperature and precipitation data from 1951 to 2010 were calculated. Using the information, yearly temperature effect index(TEI) and precipitation effect index(PEI) were estimated to analyze the effect of climate conditions on the tree-ring growth of the species. A tree-ring growth estimation equation appropriate for P. densiflora was then developed by using the TEI and PEI as independent variables. The tree-ring growth estimation equation was finally applied to the climate change scenarios of RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 for predicting the changes in tree-ring growth of P. densiflora from 2011 to 2100. The results indicate that tree-ring growth of P. densiflora is predicted to be decreased over time when the tree-ring growth estimation equation is applied to the climate change scenarios of RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. It is predicted that the decrease of tree-ring growth over time is relatively small when RCP 4.5 is applied. On the other hand, the steep decrease of tree-ring growth was found in the application of RCP 8.5, especially after the year of 2050. The results of this study are expected to provide valuable information necessary for estimating local growth characteristics of P. densiflora and for predicting changes in tree-ring growth patterns caused by climates change.