• 제목/요약/키워드: Chance

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회사채 신용등급 예측을 위한 SVM 앙상블학습 (Ensemble Learning with Support Vector Machines for Bond Rating)

  • 김명종
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.29-45
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    • 2012
  • 회사채 신용등급은 투자자의 입장에서는 수익률 결정의 중요한 요소이며 기업의 입장에서는 자본비용 및 기업 가치와 관련된 중요한 재무의사결정사항으로 정교한 신용등급 예측 모형의 개발은 재무 및 회계 분야에서 오랫동안 전통적인 연구 주제가 되어왔다. 그러나, 회사채 신용등급 예측 모형의 성과와 관련된 가장 중요한 문제는 등급별 데이터의 불균형 문제이다. 예측 문제에 있어서 데이터 불균형(Data imbalance) 은 사용되는 표본이 특정 범주에 편중되었을 때 나타난다. 데이터 불균형이 심화됨에 따라 범주 사이의 분류경계영역이 왜곡되므로 분류자의 학습성과가 저하되게 된다. 본 연구에서는 데이터 불균형 문제가 존재하는 다분류 문제를 효과적으로 해결하기 위한 다분류 기하평균 부스팅 기법 (Multiclass Geometric Mean-based Boosting MGM-Boost)을 제안하고자 한다. MGM-Boost 알고리즘은 부스팅 알고리즘에 기하평균 개념을 도입한 것으로 오분류된 표본에 대한 학습을 강화할 수 있으며 불균형 분포를 보이는 각 범주의 예측정확도를 동시에 고려한 학습이 가능하다는 장점이 있다. 회사채 신용등급 예측문제를 활용하여 MGM-Boost의 성과를 검증한 결과 SVM 및 AdaBoost 기법과 비교하여 통계적으로 유의적인 성과개선 효과를 보여주었으며 데이터 불균형 하에서도 벤치마킹 모형과 비교하여 견고한 학습성과를 나타냈다.

기압과 기온변화가 자발성 기흉 발생에 미치는 영향 (Influence of Change of Atmospheric Pressure and Temperature on the Occurrence of Spontaneous Pneumothorax)

  • 이건;임창영;이헌재
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제40권2호
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    • pp.122-127
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    • 2007
  • 배경: 자발성 기흉은 임상에서 흔히 접하는 호흡계 질환으로, 기낭의 파열로 인해 누출된 공기가 흉강에 축적되는 질환이다. 기흉의 원인이 되는 기낭의 형태와 미세구조는 잘 알려져 있으나 기낭이 파열되는 원인에 대해서는 명확히 밝혀지지 않았다. 그 동안 기상요소인 기압 및 기온이 자발성 기흉의 발생에 미치는 영향을 밝히기 위해 많은 연구가 이루어졌으나 아직까지 명확히 밝혀진 바는 없다. 본 연구는 기압과 기온의 변화가 자발성 기흉의 발생에 미치는 영향을 알아보기 위해 실시하였다. 대상 및 방법: 2003년 1월부터 2004년 12월까지 본원에 입원하여 치료를 받은 환자 109명에서 발생한 자발성 기흉 128예를 연구대상으로 했다. 연구기간을 기흉이 발생한 날들과 발생하지 않은 날들로 분류하여, 기상청 자료 중 각각의 날에 해당하는 기압요소(평균기압, 최고기압, 최저기압, 기압일교차)와 기온요소(평균기온, 최고기온, 최저기온, 기온일교차)를 구하였다. 기흉이 발생한 날로부터 발생 전 5일까지, 기흉이 발생하지 않은 날도 그 전 5일까지 하루씩 전날로부터의 기압과 기온의 변화폭을 구하여, 독립변수인 기압과 기온변화가 종속변수인 기흉 발생여부에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 결과: 연구기간의 16.0%에 해당하는 117일 동안 자발성 기흉이 발생하였다. 기흉이 발생한 당일 및 그 전4일까지는 기압요소의 변화폭이 기흉이 발생하지 않은 날 및 그 전 4일까지와 특별한 차이가 없었으나, 기흉 발생 4일 전은, 기흉이 발생하지 않은 날 4일 전보다 전날 대비 평균기압이 높고(+0.934 vs. -0.191 hPa, RR 1.042, Cl $1.003{\sim}1.082$, p=0.033), 기압하강폭(전일 최고기압-당일 최저기압)은 적었다. (3.280 vs. 4.791 hPa, RR 1.051, Cl $1.013{\sim}l.090$, p=0.009). 기온요소는 기흉 발생 2일전이, 기흉이 발생하지 않은 날 2일 전보다 전날 대비 평균기온이 낮고(-0.576 vs.+$0.099^{\circ}C$, RR 0.886, 95% Cl $0.817{\sim}0.962$, p=0.004) 기온상승폭(당일 최고기온-전일 최저기온)도 적었다(7.231 vs. $8.079^{\circ}C$, RR 0.943, Cl $0.896{\sim}0.993$, p=0.027). 그러나 기흉 발생 당일은 기흉이 발생하지 않은 날 당일보다 전일 대비 평균 기온이 높고(0.533 vs. $-0.103^{\circ}C$, RR 1.141, Cl $1.038{\sim}l.255$, p=0.006), 기온상승폭도 컸다(9.209 vs. $7.754^{\circ}C$, RR 1.123, Cl $1.061{\sim}1.190$, p=0.000). 결론: 본 연구의 결과를 통해 저자들은 기압이 상승한 뒤 기온이 상승했다. 하강하는 약 4일간의 기상변화가 자발성 기흉 발생에 영향을 미친다고 추론할 수 있었다. 향후 본 연구에서 추론된 기상변화와 기흉 발생과의 인과관계를 확인하고 좀 더 구체화하기 위한 연구가 필요할 것이다.

담낭 및 간외담도계 악성종양의 방사선치료결과 (The Role of Radiotherapy for Carcinomas of the Gall Bladder and Extrahepatic Biliary Duct: Retrospective Analysis)

  • 정현주;이현주;양광모;서현숙;김예회;김성록;김홍용
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.43-49
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    • 1998
  • 배경 : 담낭 및 간외 담도계 악성종양의 5년 생존율은 $10\%$ 이하로 비교적 예후가 불량한 것으로 알려져 있다. 이러한 질환에서 방사선치료가 증상 완화 및 전체 생존율을 향상시키는 것으로 알려져 있어, 본원의 환자를 대상으로 후향적 분석을 시행하여, 방사선치료의 역할을 알아보고자 하였다. 방법 : 1984년 2월부터 1995년 11월까지 인제대학교 부속 백병원 방사선종양학과에서 담낭 및 간외 담도계 악성종양으로 완치 목적의 방사선 치료를 받은 43명의 환자중 3000cGy 이하의 방사선량 을 조사받은 10명을 제외한 총 33명의 환자(담낭 악성 종양은 21명, 간외 담도계 악성종양 12명)를 대상으로 하였다. 남녀 비는 전체 11명대 22명(담낭 악성종양 4:17, 간외 담도계 악성종양 7:5)이었고, 연령분포는 35-77세(중앙값 61세)이었다. 병기별로는 IV기가 19명으로 가장 많았으며, 재발후 방사선치료를 받은 경우가 3명 포함되었다. 방사선치료는 4MV 선형가속기를 사용하여 총 31.44-54.87Gy(중앙값 44.25Gy)가 조사되었고, 3명의 환자에서는 체외조사 전후로 근접치료가 추가되었다. 방사선조사 단독치료는 6명, 수술 후 방사선 치료는 27명에서 시행되었고, 이 중 16명만이 근치적절제술을 시행받았다. 항암화학요법은 17명에서 병행되었으며 이중 11명이 Mitomycin+5-FU+Leucovorin을 사용하였다. 결과 : 총 추적관찰 기간은 2-97개월(중앙값 8.5개월)이었다. 전체 환자의 2년 생존율은 $29.9\%$, 5년 생존율은 $13.3\%$로 나타났다. 질환별로는 담낭의 경우 2년 생존율이 $34.5\%$, 간외담도계 악성종양은 $27.8\%$이었다. 수술 후 방사선치료를 시행받은 환자들의 2년 생존율은 $30.1\%$이며, 이 중 근치적 절제술을 시행받은 16명의 2년 생존율은 $43.8\%$로, 부분절제 및 우회수술후 방사선치료를 시행받은 17명의 $20.7\%$보다 높게 나타났으나 통계적 유의성은 없었다(p>0.05). 병기별로는 1, II기의 2년 생존율이 $66.6\%$, III, IV기는 $23.6\%$로 통계학적으로 유의한 차이를 나타내었다(p<0.05). ECOG에 의한 임상수행능력정도에 따른 2년 생존율은 2급과 3급이 각각 $41.9\%$, $16.7\%$로 통계학적으로 유의한 차이를 나타내었다(p<0.05). 항암화학요법을 병행한 군의 2년 생존율은 $40.5\%$로 항암화학요법을 병행하지 않은 군의 $22.6\%$ 보다 비교적 높게 나타났으나 통계적 유의성은 없었다(p>0.05). 결론 : 본 연구결과 전체 환자의 2년 생존을과 5년 생존율은 $29.9\%$$13.3\%$로 나타났으며, 병기가 낮고, 임상수행능력이 높을수록 생존율이 향상됨을 알 수 있었다. 또한 근치적 절제술후 방사선 치료를 받은 환자와 항암화학요법을 병행한 군의 치료성적이 비교적 높은 것으로 볼 때, 담낭 및 간외담도계 악성종양환자중 일부에서 적극적인 병합치료요법이 생존율의 향상에 도움을 줄 것으로 기대된다.

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암성통증관리 만족도 (Patient Satisfaction with Cancer Pain Management)

  • 이소우;김시영;홍영선;김은경;김현숙
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.22-33
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    • 2003
  • 목적 : 본 연구는 국내 암성통증관리지침이 제시된 후 환자들의 통증관리에 대한 만족도, 만족 및 불만족 요인, 통증관리전략을 규명하여 앞으로의 통증관리에 있어 의료인이 지향해야할 세부적인 방향을 제시하기 위함이다. 방법 : 2002년 7월부터 11월까지 서울소재 2개 대학병원 혈액종양내과에 입원 또는 외래치료중인 암환자 59명을 대상으로 하였으며, 미국통증학회의 Patient Outcome Questionnaire(APS-POQ) 및 여러 선행연구를 참고로 연구자들이 구성한 설문지 및 의무기록 열람을 통해 자료를 수집하여 분석한 조사연구이다. 결과 : 1) 대상자의 특성 : 연구대상자의 24시간 동안 가장 심했을 때 통증 평균은 6.74점($0{\sim}10$점 범위), 24시간 평균 통증의 평균은 3.80점이었으며, 통증조절이 이루어진 후 느낀 통증의 정도는 평균 2.93점이었다. 일상 생활에 지장을 주는 정도 합계 평균은 $25.03{\pm}12.82$점($0{\sim}50$점 범위)으로 중등도의 지장을 느끼고 있었으며, 통증에 대한 환자의 염려 항목 중 3점 이상($0{\sim}5$점 범위)인 항목은 질병악화, 중독, 그리고 내성에 대한 항목이었다. 2) 암성통증관리현황 : 진통제를 적절히 복용하고 있는 대상자는 66.1%(39명)이었다. 대상자의 33.9%만 통증조절을 위해 약물이외의 간호중재방법을 사용한 적이 있었고, 의료진으로부터 통증관리에 대한 교육을 받아본 대상자도 35.6%로 나타났다. 3) 통증관리에 대한 환자의 만족도 및 그 이유 : 통증관리에 대한 평균 만족 정도는 $4.19{\pm}1.14$ ($1{\sim}6$점 범위)이었으며, 72.9%(43명)의 대상자가 만족한다고 응답했다. 불만족 하는 이유는 '통증조절 후에도 통증이 감소되지 않았다' '통증을 호소했을 때 빨리 혹은 시기적절하게 대처해주지 않았다', '환자가 통증을 호소할 때, 무관심하며 형식적으로 대했다', '약물 투여방법, 작용시간, 부작용 등 통증 관리에 대한 정보제공이 없었다' 이었으며, 만족하는 이유는 '통증조절 후 통증이 감소했다', '통증을 호소할 때 의료진이 관심을 가져주었다', '의사나 간호사가 신속하게 통증조절을 해주었다' '의사를 신뢰하기 때문' 이었다. 4) 암성통증관리의 만족 또는 불만족에 영향을 미치는 요인 : 만족 집단과 불만족 집단의 통증정도 및 일상생활에 지장을 미치는 정도에 있어서 두 그룹간 통계적으로 유의한 차이가 없었다. 통증관리에 대한 환자의 염려 항목 중 '훌륭한 환자는 통증을 호소하지 않는 자이다'에 있어서 만족 집단의 평균점수가 불만족 집단의 평균점수보다 통계적으로 매우 유의하게 높았다. 결론 : 선행연구들에 비해 암환자의 통증관리에 대한 만족도는 증가하였으나 아직도 30%정도의 대상자는 만족하지 못하는 것으로 나타났다. 암환자의 통증 관리에 대한 만족도 향상을 위해 통증관련 약물, 통증 완화를 위한 간호중재방법 및 환자들의 통증과 관련된 잘못된 지식을 개선하는 내용이 포함된 환자교육이 절실히 요구된다.

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제휴카드 할인프로그램이 외식업의 수익성에 미치는 영향 (A Study on Profitability of the Allianced Discount Program with Credit Cards and Loyalty Cards in Food & Beverage Industry)

  • 신영식;차경천
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.55-78
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    • 2011
  • 외식업계에서는 충성도제고를 위한 장기적 고객 관리 프로그램으로서 사용금액 대비 일정률의 포인트를 적립해주는 고객보상(로열티)프로그램을 시행해왔으며, 단기적인 매출 증대를 목적으로 신용카드사나 이동통신사와의 전략적 제휴를 통해 소비자에게 할인혜택을 제공하는 제휴할인카드를 경쟁적으로 도입하고 있다. 포인트 적립과 제휴카드할인 프로그램은 추구하는 목적은 서로 다르나 소비자에게는 동일한 구매시점에 둘 중에서 하나를 선택해야하는 경합적인 대안이 된다. 일반적으로 소비자는 손실에 대해 더 민감하게 반응하는 위험회피 성향을 보이며, 실용적 동기에 의한 취득 및 거래효용의 관점에서 할인이 강력한 구매 동기가 되므로, 분리된 이익으로서의 포인트 적립 보다 할인 혜택을 제공함으로써 손실의 감소로 인식되는 제휴카드할인이 더 선호될 것으로 예상할 수 있다. 기업의 입장에서도 제휴기업간의 비용분담을 통해 보다 적은 비용으로 큰 소비자 할인혜택을 제공할 수 있다는 비용효율의 장점 및 경쟁 대응 필요성 때문에 제휴카드할인을 도입하게 된다. 그러나 할인판촉은 실제적인 비용이 투입되므로 매출의 증가를 통해 비용 보다 큰 수익이 보장될 때만 의미를 가지는 촉진 수단이다. 외식업의 경우 방문객수가 증가해야 매출의 증대를 이룰 수 있으며 운영효율이 향상된다. 테이블당 고객수 증가는 공간효율을 높여주어 이익개선에 기여가 크다. 따라서 제휴카드할인이 실제적인 기업성과향상을 가져오려면 할인이 객수의 증가 특히 테이블당 객수의 증가에 기여를 해야 한다. 제휴카드할인이 객수증가 및 이익률의 향상에 도움이 되는지의 여부를 알아보기 위하여 패밀리 레스토랑업체의 실제 매출 데이터를 사용하여 검증해 본 결과 포인트 적립제도는 객수 증가와 유의적 관계를 보이지 않은 반면 제휴할인은 객수 증가에 실제적인 영향이 있음이 밝혀졌으며, 할인율이 증가하면 테이블당 고객수도 증가하며 약 25%의 할인이 제공되면 추가로 한 명의 고객이 유인되는 효과가 있었다. 또한 수익성의 측면에서는 1인당 지불금액 즉 객단가는 할인율의 증가에 따라 하락하는 경향을 보였지만 객수의 증가로 인한 추가이익이 추가비용을 상쇄하고 있어서 제휴할인카드의 도입이 비용 대비 효과의 측면에서 적극적으로 고려할 수 있는 촉진 수단임이 입증되었다. 본 연구는 기업의 실측 데이터를 활용하고 있다는 점에서 소비자 태도나 의도의 변화를 기준으로 기업의 의사 결정 정보를 제공하고자한 기존연구보다 현실적인 접근을 하고 있다. 즉, 기업의 실제 데이터로 제휴카드할인 프로그램의 효과를 측정하였고, 포인트 적립 및 차감제도를 직접 비교함으로써 기업에게 향후 마케팅 전략 수립에 관한 현실적인 시사점을 제공하였다는 점에서 연구의 의의를 찾을 수 있을 것이다.

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'창조적 글쓰기'가 개인 및 시대에 미치는 치유적 작용 - '어둠의 남자(Vampire)' 상징을 중심으로 - (Healing Effect of 'Creative Writing' on Individual and on Our Age - Focused on the 'Man of Darkness (Vampire)' Symbol -)

  • 김계희;김기원;한은선
    • 심성연구
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.1-49
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    • 2013
  • 이 논문은 '만남'과 '설레임'에서 비롯되었다. 본 논문의 저자는 2013년 2월 중순 경 만나 6월 초에 예정되어있던 원내 학술발표 주제에 대해 상의하였다. "현금(現今) 대중들의 강한 호응을 얻으며 많은 관객들의 발길을 끌어당기고 있는 개봉관 영화들 중에 어린 시절 들었던 옛날이야기들과 유사한 내용의 영화들이 유난히 많이 눈에 띈다. 그런 현상이 신기하다." 라는 대화를 하며 이런 저런 이야기들을 나누다가, 영화 '드라큘라', '트와일라잇 시리즈', '웜바디스(Warm bodies)'에로 자연스럽게 주제가 흘러가게 되고, 저자 공히 이 영화들을 모두 보았으며 또한 매우 인상 깊게 보았다는 사실을 발견하게 되었다. 학술발표의 주제를 이와 관련하여 정하면 좋겠다는 생각이 떠오르고 그것이 말로 표현되는 순간, 가슴 두근거리는 설레임과 두려움과 망설임이 동시에 느껴졌으며, 이렇게 하여 학술발표의 주제가 결정되었다. 학술발표를 준비하고 강연발표하고 청중들과 토론하는 과정 내내 설레임과 열정이 저자와 함께 하였으며, 학술발표집담회에 참석한 청중들 역시 긍정적으로 혹은 부정적으로 강한 감정반응을 보이며 시간이 지나도록 열띤 토론을 한 후 학술발표를 마치게 되었다. 구연된 발표내용을 그냥 덮어버리려 했으나 웬지 모를 아쉬움이 남고 그 여운이 가시지 않고 있던 중에, 청중들 중 한 분의 조언과 권고에 따라, 논문으로 완성하여 투고하기로 결심하게 되었다. 이 논문은 저자가 만나 설레임과 열정을 공유하며 설레임과 열정이 이끄는 곳으로 동반하던 길 위에서 시도하게 된 하나의 작은 '창조적 글쓰기'이다. 본 논문의 제 l장에서는 '창조적 글쓰기'로 이어진 31세 여성의 꿈을 소개하고 그 꿈 이전과 이후의 여성 개인의 삶이 어떠한지에 대해 조명해 보았으며, 제 2장에서는 개인의 무의식(꿈, 환상)에 나타나거나 체험되는 '창조적 충동'의 귀결(실현 방향) 및 의미에 대해 고찰하였다. 개인에서 보이는 '창조적 충동'은, '내향화' 과정을 통해 개인의 인격의 창조적 변환을 가져오게 되기도 하며, '환상적 창작' 혹은 '외향화' 과정을 통해 '작품'으로 출산되기도 함을 볼 수 있었다. 때로는 두 방향의 귀결이 동시에 함께 일어나기도 하였다. 후일 처녀작 '트와일라잇'이라는 작품으로 완성됨으로써 '작가'로서의 새로운 자신을 발견하게 한, 스테프니 메이어(Stephenie Meyer)의 '원형적 꿈'을 분석심리학적으로 고찰하고 그 해석을 시도해보았다. 제 3장에서는 개인의 꿈들과 영화 '드라큘라' '트와일라잇 시리즈' '웜바디스' 등을 조명해 보면서, 개인의 꿈들과 대중들의 뜨거운 호응을 얻고 있는 소설, 영화 등의 일부 예술작품에서 '어둠의 남자(뱀파이어, 좀비)'의 모습(像)에 변환이 있으며, 인간인 여성과 사랑에 빠지게 되고 사랑이 결실을 맺기도 하며, 또한 어둠의 남자(뱀파이어)에 대한 의식의 자아의 태도와 상호 관계양상에 있어서도 매우 인상적인 어떤 변화가 일어나고 있음을 볼 수 있었다. 현금의 이와 같은 현상에 대해, 왜 이런 변화가 일어나고 있는 것인지 이와 같은 변화는 그 개인 및 이 시대와 어떤 관련이 있으며 개인 및 시대에 어떤 영향을 미치게 되는 것인지 등에 대해 숙고해 보았다. 인간의 마음 심층(深層)으로부터 솟아오르는 '창조적 충동'은 '개인의 인격의 창조적 변환'으로 실현되거나 예술적 창조를 통해 '작품'으로 출산되기도 하며 시대의 인연과 닿을 경우 그 시대의 많은 사람들과 공유하게 됨으로써, 개인과 시대를 새롭게 할 수 있는 치유와 구원의 작용을 가져오게 되기도 함을 볼 수 있었다. 본 논문에서는 개인의 '창조적 충동'의 긍정적이고 치유적인 측면에 대해 주로 조명해 보았으며, '창조적 충동'이 초래할 수 있는 부정적인 귀결 및 그 원인에 대한 고찰은 후일 기회가 되면 새로운 논문을 통해 다시 다루고자 한다.

A Study on the Meaning and Strategy of Keyword Advertising Marketing

  • Park, Nam Goo
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2010
  • At the initial stage of Internet advertising, banner advertising came into fashion. As the Internet developed into a central part of daily lives and the competition in the on-line advertising market was getting fierce, there was not enough space for banner advertising, which rushed to portal sites only. All these factors was responsible for an upsurge in advertising prices. Consequently, the high-cost and low-efficiency problems with banner advertising were raised, which led to an emergence of keyword advertising as a new type of Internet advertising to replace its predecessor. In the beginning of 2000s, when Internet advertising came to be activated, display advertisement including banner advertising dominated the Net. However, display advertising showed signs of gradual decline, and registered minus growth in the year 2009, whereas keyword advertising showed rapid growth and started to outdo display advertising as of the year 2005. Keyword advertising refers to the advertising technique that exposes relevant advertisements on the top of research sites when one searches for a keyword. Instead of exposing advertisements to unspecified individuals like banner advertising, keyword advertising, or targeted advertising technique, shows advertisements only when customers search for a desired keyword so that only highly prospective customers are given a chance to see them. In this context, it is also referred to as search advertising. It is regarded as more aggressive advertising with a high hit rate than previous advertising in that, instead of the seller discovering customers and running an advertisement for them like TV, radios or banner advertising, it exposes advertisements to visiting customers. Keyword advertising makes it possible for a company to seek publicity on line simply by making use of a single word and to achieve a maximum of efficiency at a minimum cost. The strong point of keyword advertising is that customers are allowed to directly contact the products in question through its more efficient advertising when compared to the advertisements of mass media such as TV and radio, etc. The weak point of keyword advertising is that a company should have its advertisement registered on each and every portal site and finds it hard to exercise substantial supervision over its advertisement, there being a possibility of its advertising expenses exceeding its profits. Keyword advertising severs as the most appropriate methods of advertising for the sales and publicity of small and medium enterprises which are in need of a maximum of advertising effect at a low advertising cost. At present, keyword advertising is divided into CPC advertising and CPM advertising. The former is known as the most efficient technique, which is also referred to as advertising based on the meter rate system; A company is supposed to pay for the number of clicks on a searched keyword which users have searched. This is representatively adopted by Overture, Google's Adwords, Naver's Clickchoice, and Daum's Clicks, etc. CPM advertising is dependent upon the flat rate payment system, making a company pay for its advertisement on the basis of the number of exposure, not on the basis of the number of clicks. This method fixes a price for advertisement on the basis of 1,000-time exposure, and is mainly adopted by Naver's Timechoice, Daum's Speciallink, and Nate's Speedup, etc, At present, the CPC method is most frequently adopted. The weak point of the CPC method is that advertising cost can rise through constant clicks from the same IP. If a company makes good use of strategies for maximizing the strong points of keyword advertising and complementing its weak points, it is highly likely to turn its visitors into prospective customers. Accordingly, an advertiser should make an analysis of customers' behavior and approach them in a variety of ways, trying hard to find out what they want. With this in mind, her or she has to put multiple keywords into use when running for ads. When he or she first runs an ad, he or she should first give priority to which keyword to select. The advertiser should consider how many individuals using a search engine will click the keyword in question and how much money he or she has to pay for the advertisement. As the popular keywords that the users of search engines are frequently using are expensive in terms of a unit cost per click, the advertisers without much money for advertising at the initial phrase should pay attention to detailed keywords suitable to their budget. Detailed keywords are also referred to as peripheral keywords or extension keywords, which can be called a combination of major keywords. Most keywords are in the form of texts. The biggest strong point of text-based advertising is that it looks like search results, causing little antipathy to it. But it fails to attract much attention because of the fact that most keyword advertising is in the form of texts. Image-embedded advertising is easy to notice due to images, but it is exposed on the lower part of a web page and regarded as an advertisement, which leads to a low click through rate. However, its strong point is that its prices are lower than those of text-based advertising. If a company owns a logo or a product that is easy enough for people to recognize, the company is well advised to make good use of image-embedded advertising so as to attract Internet users' attention. Advertisers should make an analysis of their logos and examine customers' responses based on the events of sites in question and the composition of products as a vehicle for monitoring their behavior in detail. Besides, keyword advertising allows them to analyze the advertising effects of exposed keywords through the analysis of logos. The logo analysis refers to a close analysis of the current situation of a site by making an analysis of information about visitors on the basis of the analysis of the number of visitors and page view, and that of cookie values. It is in the log files generated through each Web server that a user's IP, used pages, the time when he or she uses it, and cookie values are stored. The log files contain a huge amount of data. As it is almost impossible to make a direct analysis of these log files, one is supposed to make an analysis of them by using solutions for a log analysis. The generic information that can be extracted from tools for each logo analysis includes the number of viewing the total pages, the number of average page view per day, the number of basic page view, the number of page view per visit, the total number of hits, the number of average hits per day, the number of hits per visit, the number of visits, the number of average visits per day, the net number of visitors, average visitors per day, one-time visitors, visitors who have come more than twice, and average using hours, etc. These sites are deemed to be useful for utilizing data for the analysis of the situation and current status of rival companies as well as benchmarking. As keyword advertising exposes advertisements exclusively on search-result pages, competition among advertisers attempting to preoccupy popular keywords is very fierce. Some portal sites keep on giving priority to the existing advertisers, whereas others provide chances to purchase keywords in question to all the advertisers after the advertising contract is over. If an advertiser tries to rely on keywords sensitive to seasons and timeliness in case of sites providing priority to the established advertisers, he or she may as well make a purchase of a vacant place for advertising lest he or she should miss appropriate timing for advertising. However, Naver doesn't provide priority to the existing advertisers as far as all the keyword advertisements are concerned. In this case, one can preoccupy keywords if he or she enters into a contract after confirming the contract period for advertising. This study is designed to take a look at marketing for keyword advertising and to present effective strategies for keyword advertising marketing. At present, the Korean CPC advertising market is virtually monopolized by Overture. Its strong points are that Overture is based on the CPC charging model and that advertisements are registered on the top of the most representative portal sites in Korea. These advantages serve as the most appropriate medium for small and medium enterprises to use. However, the CPC method of Overture has its weak points, too. That is, the CPC method is not the only perfect advertising model among the search advertisements in the on-line market. So it is absolutely necessary that small and medium enterprises including independent shopping malls should complement the weaknesses of the CPC method and make good use of strategies for maximizing its strengths so as to increase their sales and to create a point of contact with customers.

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빅데이터 도입의도에 미치는 영향요인에 관한 연구: 전략적 가치인식과 TOE(Technology Organizational Environment) Framework을 중심으로 (An Empirical Study on the Influencing Factors for Big Data Intented Adoption: Focusing on the Strategic Value Recognition and TOE Framework)

  • 가회광;김진수
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.443-472
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    • 2014
  • To survive in the global competitive environment, enterprise should be able to solve various problems and find the optimal solution effectively. The big-data is being perceived as a tool for solving enterprise problems effectively and improve competitiveness with its' various problem solving and advanced predictive capabilities. Due to its remarkable performance, the implementation of big data systems has been increased through many enterprises around the world. Currently the big-data is called the 'crude oil' of the 21st century and is expected to provide competitive superiority. The reason why the big data is in the limelight is because while the conventional IT technology has been falling behind much in its possibility level, the big data has gone beyond the technological possibility and has the advantage of being utilized to create new values such as business optimization and new business creation through analysis of big data. Since the big data has been introduced too hastily without considering the strategic value deduction and achievement obtained through the big data, however, there are difficulties in the strategic value deduction and data utilization that can be gained through big data. According to the survey result of 1,800 IT professionals from 18 countries world wide, the percentage of the corporation where the big data is being utilized well was only 28%, and many of them responded that they are having difficulties in strategic value deduction and operation through big data. The strategic value should be deducted and environment phases like corporate internal and external related regulations and systems should be considered in order to introduce big data, but these factors were not well being reflected. The cause of the failure turned out to be that the big data was introduced by way of the IT trend and surrounding environment, but it was introduced hastily in the situation where the introduction condition was not well arranged. The strategic value which can be obtained through big data should be clearly comprehended and systematic environment analysis is very important about applicability in order to introduce successful big data, but since the corporations are considering only partial achievements and technological phases that can be obtained through big data, the successful introduction is not being made. Previous study shows that most of big data researches are focused on big data concept, cases, and practical suggestions without empirical study. The purpose of this study is provide the theoretically and practically useful implementation framework and strategies of big data systems with conducting comprehensive literature review, finding influencing factors for successful big data systems implementation, and analysing empirical models. To do this, the elements which can affect the introduction intention of big data were deducted by reviewing the information system's successful factors, strategic value perception factors, considering factors for the information system introduction environment and big data related literature in order to comprehend the effect factors when the corporations introduce big data and structured questionnaire was developed. After that, the questionnaire and the statistical analysis were performed with the people in charge of the big data inside the corporations as objects. According to the statistical analysis, it was shown that the strategic value perception factor and the inside-industry environmental factors affected positively the introduction intention of big data. The theoretical, practical and political implications deducted from the study result is as follows. The frist theoretical implication is that this study has proposed theoretically effect factors which affect the introduction intention of big data by reviewing the strategic value perception and environmental factors and big data related precedent studies and proposed the variables and measurement items which were analyzed empirically and verified. This study has meaning in that it has measured the influence of each variable on the introduction intention by verifying the relationship between the independent variables and the dependent variables through structural equation model. Second, this study has defined the independent variable(strategic value perception, environment), dependent variable(introduction intention) and regulatory variable(type of business and corporate size) about big data introduction intention and has arranged theoretical base in studying big data related field empirically afterwards by developing measurement items which has obtained credibility and validity. Third, by verifying the strategic value perception factors and the significance about environmental factors proposed in the conventional precedent studies, this study will be able to give aid to the afterwards empirical study about effect factors on big data introduction. The operational implications are as follows. First, this study has arranged the empirical study base about big data field by investigating the cause and effect relationship about the influence of the strategic value perception factor and environmental factor on the introduction intention and proposing the measurement items which has obtained the justice, credibility and validity etc. Second, this study has proposed the study result that the strategic value perception factor affects positively the big data introduction intention and it has meaning in that the importance of the strategic value perception has been presented. Third, the study has proposed that the corporation which introduces big data should consider the big data introduction through precise analysis about industry's internal environment. Fourth, this study has proposed the point that the size and type of business of the corresponding corporation should be considered in introducing the big data by presenting the difference of the effect factors of big data introduction depending on the size and type of business of the corporation. The political implications are as follows. First, variety of utilization of big data is needed. The strategic value that big data has can be accessed in various ways in the product, service field, productivity field, decision making field etc and can be utilized in all the business fields based on that, but the parts that main domestic corporations are considering are limited to some parts of the products and service fields. Accordingly, in introducing big data, reviewing the phase about utilization in detail and design the big data system in a form which can maximize the utilization rate will be necessary. Second, the study is proposing the burden of the cost of the system introduction, difficulty in utilization in the system and lack of credibility in the supply corporations etc in the big data introduction phase by corporations. Since the world IT corporations are predominating the big data market, the big data introduction of domestic corporations can not but to be dependent on the foreign corporations. When considering that fact, that our country does not have global IT corporations even though it is world powerful IT country, the big data can be thought to be the chance to rear world level corporations. Accordingly, the government shall need to rear star corporations through active political support. Third, the corporations' internal and external professional manpower for the big data introduction and operation lacks. Big data is a system where how valuable data can be deducted utilizing data is more important than the system construction itself. For this, talent who are equipped with academic knowledge and experience in various fields like IT, statistics, strategy and management etc and manpower training should be implemented through systematic education for these talents. This study has arranged theoretical base for empirical studies about big data related fields by comprehending the main variables which affect the big data introduction intention and verifying them and is expected to be able to propose useful guidelines for the corporations and policy developers who are considering big data implementationby analyzing empirically that theoretical base.

일본의 중견기업에 관한 연구 : 현황과 특징, 정책을 중심으로 (A Study on Medium-Sized Enterprises of Japan)

  • 강철구;김현성;김현철
    • 중소기업연구
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.209-223
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    • 2010
  • 본고에서는 일본 중견기업의 위상, 특징, 관련 정책을 검토함으로써 우리나라에서의 중견기업 정책의 방향을 모색하고자 한다. 일본의 경쟁우위업종인 기계, 전자부품업의 출하와 고용비중은 여타 업종보다 높아, 그 저변에 두터운 중견기업이 존재하고 있음을 알 수 있다. 일본의 중견기업 육성정책은 연구개발과 환경대책을 위한 기업간 제휴 유도라는 측면에서 간접적으로 지원하고 있다. 우리나라도 특정 정책사업에 있어서 기업간 협력 유도를 통하여 중견기업을 육성할 수 있을 것이다.

가족계획과 모자보건 통합을 위한 조산원의 투입효과 분석 -서산지역의 개입연구 평가보고- (An Intervention Study on Integration of Family Planning and Maternal/Infant Care Services in Rural Korea)

  • 방숙;한성현;이정자;안문영;이인숙;김은실;김종호
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.165-203
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    • 1987
  • This project was a service-cum-research effort with a quasi-experimental study design to examine the health benefits of an integrated Family Planning (FP)/Maternal & Child health (MCH) Service approach that provides crucial factors missing in the present on-going programs. The specific objectives were: 1) To test the effectiveness of trained nurse/midwives (MW) assigned as change agents in the Health Sub-Center (HSC) to bring about the changes in the eight FP/MCH indicators, namely; (i)FP/MCH contacts between field workers and their clients (ii) the use of effective FP methods, (iii) the inter-birth interval and/or open interval, (iv) prenatal care by medically qualified personnel, (v) medically supervised deliveries, (vi) the rate of induced abortion, (vii) maternal and infant morbidity, and (viii) preinatal & infant mortality. 2) To measure the integrative linkage (contacts) between MW & HSC workers and between HSC and clients. 3) To examine the organizational or administrative factors influencing integrative linkage between health workers. Study design; The above objectives called for quasi-experimental design setting up a study and control area with and without a midwife. An active intervention program (FP/MCH minimum 'package' program) was conducted for a 2 year period from June 1982-July 1984 in Seosan County and 'before and after' surveys were conducted to measure the change. Service input; This study was undertaken by the Soonchunhyang University in collaboration with WHO. After a baseline survery in 1981, trained nurses/midwives were introduced into two health sub-centers in a rural setting (Seosan county) for a 2 year period from 1982 to 1984. A major service input was the establishment of midwifery services in the existing health delivery system with emphasis on nurse/midwife's role as the link between health workers (nurse aids) and village health workers, and the referral of risk patients to the private physician (OBGY specialist). An evaluation survey was made in August 1984 to assess the effectiveness of this alternative integrated approach in the study areas in comparison with the control area which had normal government services. Method of evaluation; a. In this study, the primary objective was first to examine to what extent the FP/MCH package program brought about changes in the pre-determined eight indicators (outcome and impact measures) and the following relationship was first analyzed; b. Nevertheless, this project did not automatically accept the assumption that if two or more activities were integrated, the results would automatically be better than a non-integrated or categorical program. There is a need to assess the 'integration process' itself within the package program. The process of integration was measured in terms of interactive linkages, or the quantity & quality of contacts between workers & clients and among workers. Intergrative linkages were hypothesized to be influenced by organizational factors at the HSC clinic level including HSC goals, sltrurture, authority, leadership style, resources, and personal characteristics of HSC staff. The extent or degree of integration, as measured by the intensity of integrative linkages, was in turn presumed to influence programme performance. Thus as indicated diagrammatically below, organizational factors constituted the independent variables, integration as the intervening variable and programme performance with respect to family planning and health services as the dependent variable: Concerning organizational factors, however, due to the limited number of HSCs (2 in the study area and 3 in the control area), they were studied by participatory observation of an anthropologist who was independent of the project. In this observation, we examined whether the assumed integration process actually occurred or not. If not, what were the constraints in producing an effective integration process. Summary of Findings; A) Program effects and impact 1. Effects on FP use: During this 2 year action period, FP acceptance increased from 58% in 1981 to 78% in 1984 in both the study and control areas. This increase in both areas was mainly due to the new family planning campaign driven by the Government for the same study period. Therefore, there was no increment of FP acceptance rate due to additional input of MW to the on-going FP program. But in the study area, quality aspects of FP were somewhat improved, having a better continuation rate of IUDs & pills and more use of effective Contraceptive methods in comparison with the control area. 2. Effects of use of MCH services: Between the study and control areas, however, there was a significant difference in maternal and child health care. For example, the coverage of prenatal care was increased from 53% for 1981 birth cohort to 75% for 1984 birth cohort in the study area. In the control area, the same increased from 41% (1981) to 65% (1984). It is noteworthy that almost two thirds of the recent birth cohort received prenatal care even in the control area, indicating that there is a growing demand of MCH care as the size of family norm becomes smaller 3. There has been a substantive increase in delivery care by medical professions in the study area, with an annual increase rate of 10% due to midwives input in the study areas. The project had about two times greater effect on postnatal care (68% vs. 33%) at delivery care(45.2% vs. 26.1%). 4. The study area had better reproductive efficiency (wanted pregancies with FP practice & healthy live births survived by one year old) than the control area, especially among women under 30 (14.1% vs. 9.6%). The proportion of women who preferred the 1st trimester for their first prenatal care rose significantly in the study area as compared to the control area (24% vs 13%). B) Effects on Interactive Linkage 1. This project made a contribution in making several useful steps in the direction of service integration, namely; i) The health workers have become familiar with procedures on how to work together with each other (especially with a midwife) in carrying out their work in FP/MCH and, ii) The health workers have gotten a feeling of the usefulness of family health records (statistical integration) in identifying targets in their own work and their usefulness in caring for family health. 2. On the other hand, because of a lack of required organizational factors, complete linkage was not obtained as the project intended. i) In regards to the government health worker's activities in terms of home visiting there was not much difference between the study & control areas though the MW did more home visiting than Government health workers. ii) In assessing the service performance of MW & health workers, the midwives balanced their workload between 40% FP, 40% MCH & 20% other activities (mainly immunization). However, $85{\sim}90%$ of the services provided by the health workers were other than FP/MCH, mainly for immunizations such as the encephalitis campaign. In the control area, a similar pattern was observed. Over 75% of their service was other than FP/MCH. Therefore, the pattern shows the health workers are a long way from becoming multipurpose workers even though the government is pushing in this direction. 3. Villagers were much more likely to visit the health sub-center clinic in the study area than in the control area (58% vs.31%) and for more combined care (45% vs.23%). C) Organization factors (admistrative integrative issues) 1. When MW (new workers with higher qualification) were introduced to HSC, it was noted that there were conflicts between the existing HSC workers (Nurse aids with less qualification than MW) and the MW for the beginning period of the project. The cause of the conflict was studied by an anthropologist and it was pointed out that these functional integration problems stemmed from the structural inadequacies of the health subcenter organization as indicated below; i) There is still no general consensus about the objectives and goals of the project between the project staff and the existing health workers. ii) There is no formal linkage between the responsibility of each member's job in the health sub-center. iii) There is still little chance for midwives to play a catalytic role or to establish communicative networks between workers in order to link various knowledge and skills to provide better FP/MCH services in the health sub-center. 2. Based on the above findings the project recommended to the County Chief (who has power to control the administrative staff and the technical staff in his county) the following ; i) In order to solve the conflicts between the individual roles and functions in performing health care activities, there must be goals agreed upon by both. ii) The health sub·center must function as an autonomous organization to undertake the integration health project. In order to do that, it is necessary to support administrative considerations, and to establish a communication system for supervision and to control of the health sub-centers. iii) The administrative organization, tentatively, must be organized to bind the health worker's midwive's and director's jobs by an organic relationship in order to achieve the integrative system under the leadership of health sub-center director. After submitting this observation report, there has been better understanding from frequent meetings & communication between HW/MW in FP/MCH work as the program developed. Lessons learned from the Seosan Project (on issues of FP/MCH integration in Korea); 1) A majority or about 80% of the couples are now practicing FP. As indicated by the study, there is a growing demand from clients for the health system to provide more MCH services than FP in order to maintain the achieved small size of family through FP practice. It is fortunate to see that the government is now formulating a MCH policy for the year 2,000 and revising MCH laws and regulations to emphasize more MCH care for achieving a small size family through family planning practice. 2) Goal consensus in FP/MCH shouBd be made among the health workers It administrators, especially to emphasize the need of care of 'wanted' child. But there is a long way to go to realize the 'real' integration of FP into MCH in Korea, unless there is a structural integration FP/MCH because a categorical FP is still first priority to reduce the rate of population growth for economic reasons but not yet for health/welfare reasons in practice. 3) There should be more financial allocation: (i) a midwife should be made available to help to promote the MCH program and coordinate services, (in) there should be a health sub·center director who can provide leadership training for managing the integrated program. There is a need for 'organizational support', if the decision of integration is made to obtain benefit from both FP & MCH. In other words, costs should be paid equally to both FP/MCH. The integration slogan itself, without the commitment of paying such costs, is powerless to advocate it. 4) Need of management training for middle level health personnel is more acute as the Government has already constructed 90 MCH centers attached to the County Health Center but without adequate manpower, facilities, and guidelines for integrating the work of both FP and MCH. 5) The local government still considers these MCH centers only as delivery centers to take care only of those visiting maternity cases. The MCH center should be a center for the managment of all pregnancies occurring in the community and the promotion of FP with a systematic and effective linkage of resources available in the county such as i.e. Village Health Worker, Community Health Practitioner, Health Sub-center Physicians & Health workers, Doctors and Midwives in MCH center, OBGY Specialists in clinics & hospitals as practiced by the Seosan project at primary health care level.

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