• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cause-Effect Model

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IDENTIFICATION OF FALSIFIED DRUGS USING NEAR-INFRARED SPECTROSCOPY

  • Scafi, Sergio H.F.;Pasquini, Celio
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Near Infrared Spectroscopy Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.3112-3112
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    • 2001
  • Near-Infrared Spectroscopy (NIRS) was investigated aiming at the identification of falsified drugs. The identification is based on comparison of the NIR spectrum of a sample with a typical spectra of an authentic drug using multivariate modelling and classification algorithms (PCA/SIMCA). Two spectrophotometers (Brimrose - Luminar 2000 and 2030), based on acoustic-optical filter (AOTF) technology, sharing the same controlling computer, software (Brimrose - Snap 2.03) and the data acquisition electronics, were employed. The Luminar 2000 scans the range 850 1800 nm and was employed for transmitance/absorbance measurements of liquids with a transflectance optical bundle probe with total optical path of 5 mm and a circular area of 0.5 $\textrm{cm}^2$. Model 2030 scans the rage 1100 2400 nm and was employed for reflectance measurement of solids drugs. 300 spectra, acquired in about 20 s, were averaged for each sample. Chemometric treatment of the spectral data, modelling and classification were performed by using the Unscrambler 7.5 software (CAMO Norway). This package provides the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and SIMCA algorithms, used for modelling and classification, respectively. Initially, NIRS was evaluated for spectrum acquisition of various drugs, selected in order to accomplish the diversity of physico-chemical characteristics found among commercial products. Parameters which could affect the spectra of a given drug (especially if presented as solid tablets) were investigated and the results showed that the first derivative can minimize spectral changes associated with tablet geometry, physical differences in their faces and position in relation to the probe beam. The effect of ambient humidity and temperature were also investigated. The first factor needs to be controlled for model construction because the ambient humidity can cause spectral alterations that should cause the wrong classification of a real drug if the factor is not considered by the model.

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A Study on the Influence of Husbands' Experience of Violence suffered in their Growing Ages, their Psychological Characteristics, and Interactions of the Couple on the Husband-to-Wife Violence - Focused on the Continuum of Violence Assumption - (남편의 성장기 폭력경험, 심리적 특성 및 부부간 상호작용이 아내폭력에 미치는 영향 - 폭력의 연속성 가정을 중심으로 -)

  • 김예정;김득성
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.53-67
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    • 2003
  • The aim of this research is to verify the assumption that the husband-to-wife violence lies upon a continuum of severity and to study how the premarital violence experience of husbands, along with their psychological characteristics and various marital interactions, can be the cause of husbands' violence against their wives. At the same time, the research aims at constructing a causal model of the husband-to-wife violence. For the purpose, this research surveyed 242 husbands residing in Pusan and another 50 husbands as violent assaulters in major cities of Korea. The following is a summary of the results of this research. First, the research can verify the two assumptions that “the group which has once inflicted a severe form of violence can easily inflict minor violences” and that “the factors related to violence play a far greater role in severe violences than in weaker violences.” As a result, it may be concluded that the study of a regular household violence can be based on the continuum of violence assumption. Secondly, In the husbands' experience of violence, dating violence and their experienced childhood abuse from their parents, in their psychological characteristics, temper control ability and their patriarchal sex role attitude, and finally in marital interactions, marital conflicts and distractor of communication played great role in their influence on the husband-to-wife violence. Thirdly, as the various factors which contribute to the violence against the wife have cause-and-effect rule, we shall be able to make a model which can be conceptualized.

THE SWINGS EFFECTS OF THE A-X SYSTEM AND v''= 1-0 BAND OF CO

  • KIM SANG-JOON
    • Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.223-243
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    • 1996
  • We have constructed a line-by-line model of the A-X system of CO in order to analyze the CO bands appearing in the UV spectra of comets. The model includes electronic, rotational, vibrational transitions, excitations by solar UV radiation, and effects of neutral and electron collisions. The major bands of the A-X system occur in the $1200 - 1800{\AA}$ range where the temporal variation of solar irradiation is significant. The solar spectrum in this spectral range shows many emission lines, which cause a significant Swings effect. We derived fluorescence efficiencies of the bands as functions of heliocentric velocity and cometocentric distance using a high resolution spectrum of the sun. We compared our model with a spectrum of comet P/Halley obtained with the IUE, and estimated that the UV Swings effects are less than 20 fluorescence efficiencies for the most bands of the A-X system. We discuss the temporal variation of solar UV irradiation and its effects on the fluorescence efficiencies. The study of the A-X system also requites knowledge of vibrational and rotational fluorescent processes in the infrared and radio regions because the majority of CO molecules in the coma is in the ground rotational states. The solar infrared spectrum near 5 microns, where the fundamental band of CO occurs, contains strong absorption lines of the fundamental band and hot bands of CO and its isotopes. We derived fluorescence efficiencies of the infrared band as functions of heliocentric velocity and cometrocentric distance. The solar absorption lines near 5 microns cause a 20 reduction of the g-factor of the fundamental band at heliocentric velocities close to 0 km/sec. We discuss the effects of neutral and electron collisions on the fluorescence efficiencies of the infrared and UV bands.

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The Fuzzy QFD Approach to Importance the Public Sector Information Performance Measurement Category (퍼지 QFD를 활용한 공공부문 정보화 성과 측정범주 중요도 도출)

  • Oh, Jin-Seok;Song, Young-Il
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.189-203
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    • 2010
  • Is presenting guidance of information performance measurement as government PRM version 2.0 these common reference models in public sector. Government PRM is consisted of assessment classification system and standard line of sight and performance management standard form. Through this, is sorting performance element and define cause-and effect. Government PRM is supplying measurement categories at assessment classification system, but relative importance for application standard by measurement categories is not presenting. In this study, importance for government PRM's measurement categories been applying by commonness Test of information performance measurement of public sector wishes to deduce estimation and priority. Research model used Fuzzy QFD, and designed so that can reflect well PRM's development purpose. I applied Fuzzy AHP and FPP method that graft together fuzzy theory to minimize uncertainty and ambiguity in that expert opinion. Is drawn to element that "Standard model offer for information department and management" is the most important in government PRM's development purpose. "Quality of service" is showing the highest priority in customer results in measurement category. Importance for government PRM's measurement categories can offer common valuation basis in government and public institution. Hereafter if examine closely quantitative cause-and effect for structure model of measurement classification system when study government PRM more objective and efficient reference model become.

Forecasts of the BDI in 2010 -Using the ARIMA-Type Models and HP Filtering (2010년 BDI의 예측 -ARIMA모형과 HP기법을 이용하여)

  • Mo, Soo-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.222-233
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    • 2010
  • This paper aims at predicting the BDI from Jan. to Dec. 2010 using such econometric techniues of the univariate time series as stochastic ARIMA-type models and Hodrick-Prescott filtering technique. The multivariate cause-effect econometric model is not employed for not assuring a higher degree of forecasting accuracy than the univariate variable model. Such a cause-effect econometric model also fails in adjusting itself for the post-sample. This article introduces the two ARIMA models and five Intervention-ARIMA models. The monthly data cover the period January 2000 through December 2009. The out-of-sample forecasting performance is compared between the ARIMA-type models and the random walk model. Forecasting performance is measured by three summary statistics: root mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and mean error (ME). The RMSE and MAE indicate that the ARIMA-type models outperform the random walk model And the mean errors for all models are small in magnitude relative to the MAE's, indicating that all models don't have a tendency of overpredicting or underpredicting systematically in forecasting. The pessimistic ex-ante forecasts are expected to be 2,820 at the end of 2010 compared with the optimistic forecasts of 4,230.

Assessing Risks and Categorizing Root Causes of Demolition Construction using the QFD-FMEA Approach (QFD-FMEA를 이용한 해체공사의 위험평가와 근본원인의 분류 방법)

  • Yoo, Donguk;Lim, Nam-Gi;Chun, Jae-Youl;Cho, Jaeho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.417-428
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    • 2023
  • The demolition of domestic infrastructures mirrors other significant construction initiatives in presenting a markedly high accident rate. A comprehensive investigation into the origins of such accidents is crucial for the prevention of future incidents. Upon detailed inspection, the causes of demolition construction accidents are multifarious, encompassing unsafe worker behavior, hazardous conditions, psychological and physical states, and site management deficiencies. While statistics relating to demolition construction accidents are consistently collated and reported, there exists an exigent need for a more foundational cause categorization system based on accident type. Drawing from Heinrich's Domino Theory, this study classifies the origins of accidents(unsafe behavior, unsafe conditions) and human errors(human factors) as per the type of accidents experienced during demolition construction. In this study, a three-step model of QFD-FMEA(Quality Function Deployment - Failure Mode Effect Analysis) is employed to systematically categorize accident causes according to the types of accidents that occur during demolition construction. The QFD-FMEA method offers a technique for cause classification at each stage of the demolition process, including direct causes(unsafe behavior, unsafe environment), and human errors(human factors) through a tri-stage process. The results of this accident cause classification can serve as safety knowledge and reference checklists for accident prevention efforts.

The effects of developmental network characteristics and develomental functions on career identity (경력정체성에 대한 개발지원관계망 특성과 개발지원기능의 효과 분석)

  • Chang, Jihyun
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.23-44
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    • 2016
  • This study examined the cause-and-effect relationships among developmental network characteristics, developmental functions, and career identity. The study analyzed the data of employees with more than two years of experience and a college degree or over qualifications, from domestic companies. For analysis, the structural equation model was applied. Most of all, it was substantiated that the structural relationships among the developmental network characteristics, developmental functions, and career identity. The specific results were as follows. First, tie strength had a positive effect on all of developmental functions but psychosocial support mediated the relationship between the tie strength and career identity. Second, an indirect relationship between indicators of network diversity and identity was not found or the indirect relationship was very weak.

Effect of Slurry Property on Preparation of Zirconia Film in Electrophoretic Deposition (전착법에서 용액특성이 지르코니아 막형성에 미치는 영향)

  • 김상우;이병호;손용배;송휴섭
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.36 no.9
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    • pp.991-996
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    • 1999
  • Effect of solution property on the weight varation and microstructural change of film was studied by electrophoretic deposition in order to obtain a homogeneous and dense zirconia film. As a result of weight kinetics of film which obtained in alcohol or aqueous solution having different polarity experimental data showed large deviation from theoretical ones calculated by Zhang's kinetic model. It had been shown that the weight affecting factors was largely dependent on properties other than dielectric constant and viscosity of solvent zeta potential appiled field and time. In initial stage a main factor of the drastic weight increase was the capillary drag of porous substrate. The cause of weight decrease with time in aqueous solution after 300 s was attributed to the defect of film by sagging and electrolytic reaction. The electrolyte film which prepared in alcohol solution with good wetting for substrate had better homogeneous and dense microstructure than one in aqueous solution with high surface tension.

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Classify and Quantify Cumulative Impact of Change Orders On Productivity Using ANN Models

  • Lee, Min-Jae
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.6 no.5 s.27
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2005
  • Change is inevitable and is a reality of construction projects. Most construction contracts include change clauses and allowing contractors an equitable adjustment to the contract price and duration caused by change. However, the actions of a contractor can cause a loss of productivity and furthermore can result in disruption of the whole project because of a cumulative or ripple effect. Because of its complicated nature, it becomes a complex issue to determine the cumulative impact (ripple effect) caused by single or multiple change orders. Furthermore, owners and contractors do not always agree on the adjusted contract price for the cumulative Impact of the changes. A number of studies have attempted to quantify the impact of change orders on project costs and schedule. Many of these attempted to develop regression models to quantify the loss. However, regression analysis has shortcomings in dealing with many qualitative or noisy input data. This study develops ANN models to classify and quantify the labor productivity losses that are caused by the cumulative impact of change orders. The results skew that ANN models give significantly improved performance compared to traditional statistical models.

Business Process Change Design from Decision Model Perspective

  • Han, Hyun-Soo
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.21-45
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    • 2003
  • Various organizational factors effect successful implementation of IT enabled business transformation. Among them, the most critical success factor is deemed to overcoming change management problem. Lots of studies have been made on implementation methodologies and business process formalizations to encourage organizational members to accept new business process changes. However, the logic of process redesign still depends on qualitative problem solving techniques mostly depending on basically human intuition such as brainstorming, cause-and-effect analysis, and so on. In this paper, we develop algorithmic procedure applicable to designing various business process changes such as process automation, business process resequencing, and more radical process integration. The framework is employed from dynamic programming approach in the literature, which is based on the decision making paradigm of organizations to abstract business processes as quantitative decision models. As such, our research can fill the gap of limited development of theory based analytic methodologies for business process design, by providing objective rationale to reach the consensus among the organizational members including senior management.