• 제목/요약/키워드: Causality

검색결과 905건 처리시간 0.033초

그레인저 인과성 분석을 이용한 정상인과 수면무호흡증 환자의 수면 중 압수용기 반사 효과의 평가 (Evaluation of Baroreflex Effectiveness in Normal Subject and Obstructive Sleep Apnea Patient during Sleep using Granger Causality Analysis)

  • 정다운;김상경;김고근;이유진;정도언;박광석
    • 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
    • /
    • 제35권4호
    • /
    • pp.95-98
    • /
    • 2014
  • The baroreflex is one kind of homeostatic mechanisms to regulate acute blood pressure (BP) changes by controlling heartbeat interval (HBI). To quantify the effect of baroreflex, we suggested a new approach of analyzing Granger causality between systolic BP (SBP) and HBI. The index defined as baroreflex effectiveness (BRE) was generated by the hypothesis that more effectual baroreflex would be related to more effective Granger causal influence of SBP on HBI. Six obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) patients (apnea-hypopnea index, AHI ${\geq}5$ events/hr) and six normal subjects participated in the study. Their SBP and HBI during nocturnal sleep were obtained from a non-invasive continuous BP measurement device. While the BRE ($mean{\pm}SD$) of normal subjects was $47.0{\pm}4.0%$, OSA patients exhibited the BRE of $34.0{\pm}3.8%$. The impaired baroreflex function of OSA patients can be explained by the physiological mechanism associated with recurrent hypoxic episodes during sleep. Thus, the significantly lower BRE in OSA patients verified the availability of Granger causality analysis to evaluate baroreflex during sleep. Furthermore, the range of BRE obtained from normal subjects was not overlapped with that obtained from OSA patients. It suggests the potential of BRE as a new helpful tool for diagnosing OSA.

기후변화가 마로해의 김 양식에 미치는 영향 및 대응방안 (Effects of Climate Change on Purple Laver Farming in Maro-hae (Jindo-gun and Haenam-gun), Republic of Korea and Countermeasures)

  • 김태형;신종암;최상덕
    • 수산경영론집
    • /
    • 제52권2호
    • /
    • pp.55-67
    • /
    • 2021
  • Global warming affects critical natural resources, one of which is the oceans that occupy 70% of the total cover of the earth. In other words, ocean warming is a subset of global warming which needs to be addressed urgently. Purple laver (pyropia spp.) is one of the most vulnerable items to climate change although it is a major export product of Korean fisheries. The purpose of this study is to analyze the causality of how climate change caused by global warming affects the increase or decrease of PLP (purple laver production). The target area for analysis was set to Maro-hae between Jindo-gun and Haenam-gun. We selected marine environmental factors and meteorologic factors that could affect PLP as variables, as well as co-integration tests to determine long-term balance, and the Granger causticity tests. As a result, PLP and marine environmental factors WT (water temperature), pH, and DO confirmed that long-term equilibrium relationships were established, respectively. However, there is only causality with WT and it is confirmed that there is only a correlation between pH and DO (dissolved oxygen). There was no long-term equilibrium relationship between PLP and HDD (heating degree days) and there is a causal effect that HDD affects PLP; however, it was less clear than that of WT. The relationship between PLP and RF (rainfall), WS (wind speed), SS (percentage of sunshine), and FF (farm facilities) was all balanced in the long term, and causality exists. Based on the results of the analysis, policy proposals were made.

중국의 도시화와 에너지 소비 관계에 대한 연구 (Research on Relationship between Urbanization and Energy Consumption)

  • 원두환;정수관
    • 국제지역연구
    • /
    • 제22권1호
    • /
    • pp.91-112
    • /
    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 중국을 대상으로 도시화와 에너지소비의 동태적 관계를 살펴보았다. 시계열의 동일 적분 차수와 많은 자료가 있어야 하는 전통적인 방법의 대안으로 적분 차수에 상관없고, 소표본에 강건한 ARDL(한계검정법)과 Toda-Yamamoto 인과성 분석이 적용되었다. 분석 결과 도시화 소득, 에너지 소비는 장기적인 균형관계를 가지는 것으로 나타났다. 도시화와 소득은 장기적으로 에너지 소비에 양(+)의 영향을 미치지만, 도시화와 소득의 단기 변동은 에너지 소비 변동에 유의한 영향을 미치지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 조정계수는 통계적으로 유의한 -0.2395로 직전 연도의 장기균형관계에 발생한 충격은 당기에 23.95% 회복되었다. 인과성 검정에서는 소득과 에너지 소비는 상호 예측하는 데 유용하지만, 도시화는 다른 변수와 인과성이 없어 약 외생적인 것으로 나타났다. 중국의 도시화 과정은 정부에 의해 계획적으로 장기간에 걸쳐 이루어진 현상으로 도시화의 장기영향은 단기영향보다 명확하게 나타나고, 외생적인 특성을 내포한다고 볼 수 있을 것이다.

Oseltamivir 복용 이후 소아에서 발생한 이상행동 및 그 인과성 평가 (Psychiatric Symptoms after Taking Oseltamivir in a Child and Its Causality Assessment)

  • 손병우;최중혁;이승민;박선순;최은경;유봉규;지은희
    • 한국임상약학회지
    • /
    • 제29권1호
    • /
    • pp.56-60
    • /
    • 2019
  • Oseltamivir is an antiviral medication prescribed to prevent and treat influenza A and B. A case from a community pharmacy in Korea was reported for an adverse event associated with oseltamivir administration. A 20-month-old boy had psychiatric symptoms after receiving 2 doses of oseltamivir. Therefore, an evaluation of whether the psychiatric symptoms were caused by oseltamivir was required. To determine whether the adverse event resulted from the administrated medication or other factors, three tools were used: the Naranjo scale, the Korean causality assessment algorithm (Ver.2), and the World Health Organization-Uppsala Monitoring Center (WHO-UMC) criteria. The psychiatric symptoms occurred after oseltamivir administration, and were attenuated after oseltamivir termination. A possible cause of the psychiatric symptoms is high fever, but information on the body temperature of the patient was not sufficient. Therefore, it was unclear whether there were other nonpharmacological causes of adverse drug reaction. For these reasons, in terms of causality, the results evaluated by the three tools represented, "possible", "probable", and "probable/likely", respectively.

국제 유가 변동과 원양선망어업 가다랑어 가격 간의 인과성 분석 (An analysis of the causality between international oil price and skipjack tuna price)

  • 조헌주;김도훈;김두남;이성일;이미경
    • 수산해양기술연구
    • /
    • 제55권3호
    • /
    • pp.264-272
    • /
    • 2019
  • The aim of this study is to analyze the relationship between international oil price as a fuel cost in overseas fisheries and skipjack tuna price as a part of main products in overseas fisheries using monthly time series data from 2008 to 2017. The study also tried to analyze the change of fishing profits by fuel cost. For a time series analysis, this study conducted both the unit-root test for stability of data and the Johansen cointegration test for long-term equilibrium relations among variables. In addition, it used not only the Granger causality test to examine interactions among variables, but also the Vector Auto Regressive (VAR) model to estimate statistical impacts among variables used in the model. Results of this study are as follows. First, each data on variables was not found to be stationary from the ADF unit-root test and long-term equilibrium relations among variables were not found from a Johansen cointegration test. Second, the Granger causality test showed that the international oil prices would directly cause changes in skipjack tuna prices. Third, the VAR model indicated that the posterior t-2 period change of international oil price would have an statistically significant effect on changes of skipjack tuna prices. Finally, fishing profits from skipjack would be decreased by 0.06% if the fuel cost increases by 1%.

Does the Agricultural Ecosystem Cause Environmental Pollution in Azerbaijan?

  • Elcin Nesirov;Mehman Karimov;Elay Zeynalli
    • 자원환경지질
    • /
    • 제55권6호
    • /
    • pp.617-632
    • /
    • 2022
  • In recent years, environmental pollution and determining the main factors causing this pollution have become an important issue. This study investigates the relationship between the agricultural sector and environmental pollution in Azerbaijan for 1992-2018. The dependent variable in the study is the agricultural greenhouse gas emissions (CO2 equivalent). Eight variables were selected as explanatory variables: four agricultural inputs and four agricultural macro indicators. Unit root tests, ARDL boundary test, FMOLS, DOLS and CCR long-term estimators, Granger causality analysis, and variance decomposition analyses were used to investigate the effect of these variables on agricultural emissions. The results show that chemical fertilizer consumption, livestock number, and pesticide use positively and statistically significantly affect agricultural emissions from agricultural input variables. In contrast, agricultural energy consumption has a negative and significant effect. From agricultural macro indicator variables, it was found that the crop and animal production index had a positive and significant effect on agricultural emissions. According to the Granger causality test results, it was concluded that there are a causality relationship from chemical fertilizer consumption, livestock number, crop and livestock production index variables towards agricultural emissions. Considering all the results obtained, it is seen that the variables that have the most effect on the increase in agricultural emissions in Azerbaijan are the number of livestock, the consumption of chemical fertilizers, and the use of pesticides, respectively. The results from the research will contribute to the information on agricultural greenhouse gas emissions and will play an enlightening role for policymakers and the general public.

Beyond Growth: Does Tourism Promote Human Development in India? Evidence from Time Series Analysis

  • SHARMA, Manu;MOHAPATRA, Geetilaxmi;GIRI, Arun Kumar
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제7권12호
    • /
    • pp.693-702
    • /
    • 2020
  • The present study aims to investigate the impact of tourism growth on human development in Indian economy. For this purpose, the study uses annual data from 1980 to 2018 and utilizes two proxies for tourism growth - tourism receipt and tourist arrivals - and uses human development index calculated by UNDP. The study uses control variables such as government expenditure and trade openness. The study employs auto regressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to investigate the cointegrating relationship among the variables in the model. Further, the study also explores the causal nexus between tourism sector and human development by using the Toda-Yamamoto Granger non-causality test. The result of ARDL bounds test reveals the existence of cointegrating relationship between human development indicators, government expenditure, trade openness, and tourism sector growth. The cointegating coefficient confirms a positive and significant relationship between tourism sector growth and human development in India. The causality result suggests that economic growth and tourism have a positive impact while trade openness has a negative impact on human development in India. The major findings of this study suggest that tourism plays an important role in the socio-economic development of Indian economy in recent years and the country must develop this sector to achieve sustainable development.

역할-거동 모델링에 기반한 화학공정 이상 진단을 위한 이상-인과 그래프 모델의 합성 (Synthesis of the Fault-Causality Graph Model for Fault Diagnosis in Chemical Processes Based On Role-Behavior Modeling)

  • 이동언;어수영;윤인섭
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
    • /
    • 제10권5호
    • /
    • pp.450-457
    • /
    • 2004
  • In this research, the automatic synthesis of knowledge models is proposed. which are the basis of the methods using qualitative models adapted widely in fault diagnosis and hazard evaluation of chemical processes. To provide an easy and fast way to construct accurate causal model of the target process, the Role-Behavior modeling method is developed to represent the knowledge of modularized process units. In this modeling method, Fault-Behavior model and Structure-Role model present the relationship of the internal behaviors and faults in the process units and the relationship between process units respectively. Through the multiple modeling techniques, the knowledge is separated into what is independent of process and dependent on process to provide the extensibility and portability in model building, and possibility in the automatic synthesis. By taking advantage of the Role-Behavior Model, an algorithm is proposed to synthesize the plant-wide causal model, Fault-Causality Graph (FCG) from specific Fault-Behavior models of the each unit process, which are derived from generic Fault-Behavior models and Structure-Role model. To validate the proposed modeling method and algorithm, a system for building FCG model is developed on G2, an expert system development tool. Case study such as CSTR with recycle using the developed system showed that the proposed method and algorithm were remarkably effective in synthesizing the causal knowledge models for diagnosis of chemical processes.

실데나필 복용 이후 발생한 청색시증에 대한 사례 (A Case Report of Cyanopsia after Taking Sildenafil)

  • 이찬희;윤중식;지은희
    • 한국임상약학회지
    • /
    • 제30권1호
    • /
    • pp.59-64
    • /
    • 2020
  • The emergence of phosphodiesterase (PDE) 5 inhibitors gave rise to the solution for erectile dysfunction, starting with the development of sildenafil. Although their efficacy in treating erectile dysfunction has been shown, the side effects of PDE5 inhibitors, especially sildenafil, must be taken into consideration. A 64-year-old man received 100 mg of sildenafil and experienced blue vision in both eyes; however, after a day or so, his symptoms improved. The symptoms disappeared when he stopped administering sildenafil, but reappeared when the medication was re-administered. Therefore, he discontinued sildenafil treatment and was prescribed udenafil instead. After that, visual adverse events no longer occurred. Causality assessment showed that in this case, sildenafil-induced cyanopsia was "certain" under the World Health Organization-Uppsala Monitoring Center (WHO-UMC) criteria and Korean causality assessment algorithm (Ver.2), and was "probable" according to the Naranjo scale. In addition, sildenafil also led to abnormal visual reactions in other cases. Sildenafil can also inhibit PDE6, which is present in retinal cells, unlike other PDE5 inhibitors. Thus, visual adverse reactions, such as blue vision, are the unique results of sildenafil, and other PDE5 inhibitors may be used to prevent them.

침의 유해사례 인과성 평가 연구 (Causality Assessment of Adverse Events on Acupuncture)

  • 정희정;최준용;박지은;김건형;최선미;오달석
    • Korean Journal of Acupuncture
    • /
    • 제25권2호
    • /
    • pp.95-105
    • /
    • 2008
  • Objectives : This study is to establish the appropriate assessment of causalities from adverse events (AEs) which are related to acupuncture treatment. Methods : We assessed thirty AEs which were caused in the early phase trial on concomitant use of acupuncture and herbal medicines. We scored each AE on the questionnaire in Naranjo and SNU algorithm scale which are for drug causality assessment in pharmacoepidemiology. Results : In Naranjo scale, there were consistencies among the evaluators qualitatively with "Probable", "Possible" degree. In reliability test, parameters, such as, gamma and kendall's tau-b revealed the degrees of 73%, and 32%, respectively. There were disaccordant tendency in SNU algorithm scale. Conclusion : A new algorithm which reflects acupuncture properties should be developed and elucidated.

  • PDF